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Lift Off! Aerospace and Defense Stocks Showing Multi-Year Breakout
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest Jeff Huge, CMT of JWH Investment Partners highlights one industry within the Industrial sector showing a multi-year breakout, and lays out the bull case for gold in 2024. Dave reviews travel and tourism charts, speaks to the strength...
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GNG TV: What Lies Ahead For End-of-the-Year Equities?
by Alex Cole,
Co-founder, GoNoGo Charts®
by Tyler Wood,
Co-founder, GoNoGo Charts®
In this edition of the GoNoGo Charts show, Alex and Tyler take a top-down approach to the markets as they apply the GoNoGo suite of tools to all the major asset classes. Starting with a look at macro factors effecting equity investors, they discuss the technical analysis from trend,...
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Santa Claus Rally Alert: Predicting a 70% Chance of Surge in the Dow Jones This December!
by Karl Montevirgen,
The StockCharts Insider
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* December has seen the Dow Jones Industrial Average rally 7 out of 10 times in December since 1896.
* DIA is seeing support at its former resistance level of $352.
* DIA has pulled back from "overbought" highs, which looks favorable for market engagement.
It's that...
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45% of Market Capitalization In S&P 500 Showing Strong Sector Rotation
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* RRG showing very distinct opposite rotations
* Once Sector Inside Leading and Two Sectors Inside Improving and Pushing toward Leading
* Energy Sector At Risk of Completing a Massive Double Top Formation
Usually, I would do this week's Sector Spotlight on the completed monthly charts for November. But...
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Are Financials Ready to Extend their Leadership?
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
Technology (XLK) and Communications Services (XLC) have been the leaders since the bull market began in October of last year. However, they may need to look over their shoulders, as financials have been creeping up since the October 27 intermediate low. The short answer to the question posed by the...
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Is Every Stock on the Planet Overbought?!
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, host David Keller, CMT shows how mega-cap growth stocks like NFLX and GOOGL have pulled back from overbought conditions, and reviews how other market segments like gold and small caps are experiencing a similar pattern of upside exhaustion. He...
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Fresh Trade Opportunities as Market Eases Up on the Reins!
by TG Watkins,
Director of Stocks, Simpler Trading
In this week's edition of Moxie Indicator Minutes, TG notes that the market is finally letting some steam out which is what we want since we need this to present fresher opportunities for us to buy. TG presents some great examples of how to use and read the...
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Unlock the Secrets of Five Candlestick Patterns
by Joe Rabil,
President, Rabil Stock Research
On this week's edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe presents 5 specific candlestick patterns and how to use them. He explains how the location of these candles have an impact on their importance, and also discusses how a higher timeframe candle can help with trades on...
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Santa Comes to Wall Street | Focus on Stocks: December 2023
by Larry Williams,
Veteran Investor and Author
Santa Comes to Wall Street
Maybe St. Nick gets into the eggnog before he visits Wall Street each year, because the trading pattern has been a step up, then a stumble down before recovering at the end of the year. I first noticed this Up-Down-Up pattern back in...
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The Halftime Show: Are Rate Cuts on the Horizon? Watch the Jobless Claims
by Pete Carmasino,
Chief Market Strategist, Chaikin Analytics
As Pete has said several times on theHalftimeshow before, the Fed will likely cut rates when the unemployment rate ticks higher. Year-to-date the unemployment rate is up 14% from its lows in January and even Christopher Waller, an economist and member of the Fed Board of Governors, mentioned...
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Three Markets That are Right At Significant Breakout Points
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
A lot of the time, I write articles that focus on markets or technical situations that should be monitored for a potential turn. This one is no different, except to say that these markets are not close to breakout points, but right at them. In short, it's fish-...
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Economic Modern Family -- Home for the Holidays, Part 2
Over the weekend, I covered small caps, retail, semiconductors and transportation. The conclusion was that "If you put these four charts all together, we get a reunion that is filled with the makings of a family breakdown. While Granny XRT and Sister Semiconductors SMH give us investors reasons to...
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Market Secrets Revealed! Final Bar Mailbag -- US Dollar, S&P 500 ETF, Fibonacci Pivots
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave devotes the show to the Mailbag. He answers viewer questions about the impact of the US Dollar on the stock market, why he uses the S&P 500 ETF rather than the S&P Index for relative...
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Economic Modern Family -- Home for the Holidays
In the 1995 film, Home for the Holidays, family reunions are explored using both drama and comedy. The film illustrates how we outsiders looking in never really know the love and the madness that goes on inside any one family's home during Thanksgiving.
Happily, our Economic Modern Family...
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A NEW ERA of Growth Leadership?
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest Mary Ann Bartels of Sanctuary Wealth describes how falling interest rates could pave the way for another leadership by mega-cap growth stocks, including semiconductors. Host David Keller, CMT breaks down two market breadth indicators to watch into December...
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Check These Out: Buyable Pullbacks Under the Surface!
by TG Watkins,
Director of Stocks, Simpler Trading
In the previous episode, TG explained that we needed to wait for the right opportunities to buy pullbacks from when the market shot up. The mega-caps and the major indexes did one small day of pulling back, but underneath that, many individual stocks have pulled back and come into...
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Cap-Weighted Leadership Is Unhealthy
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
Below is a reprint of an article written Thursday in the subscriber-only DecisionPoint Alert:
One of the things we keep track of is the performance of the S&P 500 Index (SPY), which is cap-weighted, versus the S&P 500 Equal Weight Index (RSP). In a...
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MEM TV: Easy Way To Uncover Best Candidates for These Markets
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe MEM Edge, Mary Ellen reveals areas of the market that are reversing lengthy downtrends and the best way to participate. She also highlights where the strength is in the markets as the uptrend remains firmly in place.
This video originally premiered November...
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Recap and Action Plan: Small Caps, Beans, Oil
Since we came back from vacation, I've written 3 Dailys. The first of these was on the Economic Modern Family and how it opened its loving arms to the bulls.
I was particularly keen on small caps or the Russell 2000 (IWM). I wrote, "Beginning with Granddad...
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Stock Market Welcomes Us Home in a Big Way
The Economic Modern Family has opened its loving arms to the bulls and to us after our 2 weeks away.
Beginning with Granddad Russell 2000 (IWM), Monday began with a gap up over the 50-DMA (blue). We will watch for a phase change confirmation. Furthermore, the monthly chart shows...
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A Supercharged Stock Market Rally: Catch These Stocks Before They Get Away
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Cooling CPI data sends equities roaring higher
* The 10-year Treasury yield fell below 4.5%, a critical support level
* Small-cap stocks were clearly the biggest winners today
October's unchanged headline US CPI and lower-than-expected core CPI were reasons for investors to celebrate....
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Finding Setups as Markets Wait for October CPI
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave identifies bullish and bearish momentum divergences as the equity and bond markets await the October CPI reading on Tuesday morning. He answers questions covering Brent crude oil prices, uranium stocks, inverse head and shoulders patterns, and upside potential for...
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DP Trading Room: Is Your Portfolio OUTDATED? The Truth About The 60/40 Mix
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
In this week's edition of The DecisionPoint Trading Room, Carl opens the show with a discussion about the typical 60/40 Portfolio (60% US Stocks/40% US Bonds) and whether it will continue to serve you well given the decline in Bonds. Is this portfolio blend obsolete? Both...
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Focused Market Leadership Ahead Of Core Inflation Data - Here's What Investors Need To Look Out For
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
On Friday, the Nasdaq Composite posted its best day in more than five months, with a 2% rally that pushed this Index further into an uptrend. The S&P 500 had a good day as well, with all eleven sectors advancing higher. The sharp gain in the Nasdaq was...
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Moxie Indicator Alerts: Predicting Yesterday's Market Pullback!
by TG Watkins,
Director of Stocks, Simpler Trading
We had been patiently waiting for the action that happened yesterday, even though it was down. In this week's edition of Moxie Indicator Minutes, TG shows you real alerts from the Moxie Indicator Trading room that called the pullback before it happened, and presents how you too can...
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Stock Market Still Has Legs, Bitcoin Sees a Breakthrough Rally: Is the Market On the Mend?
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* The stock market makes major gains with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite closing above previous highs
* The 10-Year Treasury yield retested its 4.5% level and reversed to the upside
* Bitcoin rallied to close the week above 37,000
It was quite the week...
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This Relative Strength Signal Can Provide Early Warning Signs
by Joe Rabil,
President, Rabil Stock Research
On this week's edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe shows how to use comparative relative strength to identify important shifts in trend, sometimes well in advance of price. He explains what the line means, plus how to use it to provide early warning signals and for...
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Market is UP After 10% Correction; Is a V Bottom in Place?
by TG Watkins,
Director of Stocks, Simpler Trading
The market has been signalling over-sold in multiple ways over the last 3 months, but we finally got a trigger, right around the 10% correction market plus FOMC. Powell was pretty neutral, but whatever it was, the market decided it liked it. So a V bottom appears to be...
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This Country ETF Rallies Sharply After War Breaks Out
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
Understandably, most Middle Eastern country ETFs have performed poorly since the war broke out, but there is one noticeable exception, which I will get to later.
Israel
First, as might be expected, the iShares Israel ETF (EIS) has moved lower and completed what looks to be a massive top. The...
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Focus on Stocks: November 2023
by Larry Williams,
Veteran Investor and Author
The Million Dollar Stock Market Bet
Warren Buffett proved his point in 2016 when he bet $1,000,000 that the S&P 500 Stock Index would outperform hedge funds. His bet was that active investment management by professionals would under-perform the returns of people who were passively...
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Market's At RISK in The Mega Cap Bloodbath!
by TG Watkins,
Director of Stocks, Simpler Trading
In this week's edition of Moxie Indicator Minutes, TG discusses how breadth continues to be abysmal, and now that some of the mega caps are reporting earnings, they are getting whacked hard. If they can't hold up, most of the market is at risk of moving...
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Two Defensive Sectors are Outperforming - What Does This Mean?
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
The only two sectors to close higher on Wednesday were in the defensive category, Consumer Staples (XLP) and Utilities (XLU).
We were already watching XLP as it established a short-term rising trend. What we aren't seeing is healthy participation...yet. We are seeing some expansion in stocks...
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It's All About Risk and the Long Bonds
Monday, after a lot of spooky headlines, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) touched its 23-month moving average (MA) or the two-year biz cycle breakout point right around 417.
Plus, the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)flashed green as didIWM,the small caps.
The...
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The Kids: Semiconductors, Biotechnology, Regional Banks
Most of you know our Big Viewproduct since I often discuss our risk gauges.
I can report to you that our risk gauges show three out of the five with risk off.
Most interestingly, the SPY continues to outperform the long bonds, risk-on.
And junk bonds continue to outperform...
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Tesla Stock Has High Expectations: A Strong Pop or Plunge
by Karl Montevirgen,
The StockCharts Insider
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Tesla's stock formed a symmetrical triangle pattern leading up to Q3 earnings, indicating potential volatility amid indecision
* TSLA stock broke below the symmetrical triangle after missing earnings
* You can figure out the price target based on a measured move or average statistics
Sometimes, a stock'...
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Market Has Stress Fractures but No Clear Breaks
Considering everything:
1. Yields and mortgage rates
2. War
3. Inflation and rising commodity prices
4. Bank stocks falling
5. Risk Gauges: 2 out of 6 now risk-off
To name a few, why, then is the S&P 500 so strong?
Here are a few reasons:
1. Fed...
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Home Construction ETF Breaks and a Home Builder Sets up for Further Downside
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The Home Construction ETF (ITB) led the market the first seven months of the year, but fell on hard times the last two months and reversed its long-term uptrend. Today's report/video will look at the trend reversal in ITB using the RSI Trend Range indicator. We...
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An Award Announcement With a Dash of Market Commentary
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Small cap and retail stocks are rising and need to hold support to clear overhead resistance.
* iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF (IBB) should stay within the 120 to 125 range.
* Watch the range in regional banks, a potential uptrend in Bitcoin, and a bullish move in commodities.
With words...
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How Mega-Cap Names Dominate Through Market Cap
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave shares how growth over value is less about the types of companies and more about the market cap represented in the largest benchmark names. He breaks down today's pop-and-drop for Bitcoin and answers questions from...
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When News Moves So Fast, Stocks Can Stand Still
Waking up to a new week of geopolitical stress, fake news (Blackrock spot ETF), higher yields, softer dollar, equities rally, I thought to myself: As far as the market goes, it feels like time is standing still.
Why would I think that? After all, it may not last and certainly...
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