Note to the reader: This is the sixteenth in a series of articles I'm publishing here taken from my book, "Investing with the Trend." Hopefully, you will find this content useful. Market myths are generally perpetuated by repetition, misleading symbolic connections, and the complete ignorance of... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * A few fringe economists are sounding the alarm on a looming series of banking collapses * With bank holdings of government debt now underwater, some claim that banks are virtually insolvent as a result * Whether any of this takes place, even partially, technical levels on the charts can help... READ MORE
This may seem like a contradiction, but it is possible for two different things to be true at the same time. What I am referring to is the fact that the health care sector (XLV) recently broke out from a consolidation reverse head-and-shoulders pattern, as we can see from the... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave drops a market update, with a focus on Bitcoin's rebound above 70K, deteriorating short-term breadth conditions, and stocks still making new highs despite the market consolidation phase. This video originally premiered on April 8, 2024. Watch on... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave answers questions from The Final Bar Mailbag. Today he talks about how to use the ADX indicator, how growth vs. value may have formed a double top pattern, how to use VWAP for intraday and historical analysis, and what... READ MORE
The VIX ended the week just above 16, bringing it to its highest level in 2024. What does this tell us about investor sentiment, and how does this compare to previous market cycles? Let's take a quick tour of market history through the lens of the VIX, focusing... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Energy sector is breaking higher on price chart * XLE's RRG tail is continuing to pick up steam * The exploration & production industry is leading inside the energy sector Strong Rotation on the Weekly RRG For a few weeks now, the improvement in the energy sector (XLE)... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Several analysts have grown exceedingly bullish on silver which has been undervalued for some time * Price targets are now at the range of $35 to $50 an ounce * The technical outlook presents a mixed picture, but there are a few key levels to watch if you're... READ MORE
On this week's edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe demonstrates how to use the "Big Green Bar" candlestick pattern. This candlestick provides great confirmation on certain types of entry points, and can also be helpful for exits. Joe finishes up the show covering the... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave and guest Julius de Kempenaer of RRG Research talk sector rotation, growth vs. value, offense vs. defense, and an outlook for the US equity markets as we begin Q2 2024. Dave also charts the strong breadth readings and low... READ MORE
Sometimes, simple indicators like bar or candlesticks operate just as the textbooks tell us they should. I don't normally follow individual stocks, but the hype surrounding last week's listing of Trump Media piqued my interest to see if the technical position squared with what the many... READ MORE
Today Carl and Erin cover the topic of On-Balance Volume (OBV) as a representation of volume trends. This came to their attention as they uncovered an OBV negative divergence on the SPY chart. Carl completes a review of the weekly charts for the Magnificent 7 stocks, giving us a more... READ MORE
Here comes the answer to a very old question, "Do stocks lead the economy, does the economy lead the stock market, or is there something else?" My work has shown numerous times that GDP is not a good predictor of the Dow Jones. Also, business inventories and a... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Overbought is just another term for strong. Â RSI above 70 shows strong upside momentum, which his bullish. Â Stocks can become overbought (strong) and remain strong. Momentum and trend strategies are off to a roaring start here in 2024. More often than not, these strategies buy leading stocks that... READ MORE
The Fed's preferred gauge of inflation was released today and, according to Fed chief Jerome Powell, "it was good," as there were no ugly surprises. This news could boost the markets, as sticky inflation data has had investors on edge amid interest rates that have remained... READ MORE
This article represents an exercise I like to call the "Single Stock Portfolio". In this scenario, you can only own one stock in your portfolio for the next three months, and you can pick any one of the following eight stocks. Which one would you select, and why?... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave presents a mailbag show discussing key technical analysis topics. He covers breakouts, the role of TSX, CCI signals, Gartner Group (IT) strategies, seasonal patterns, ATR use, NVDA Fibonacci retracements, and managing high-yield stocks like GLP. You don't... READ MORE
On this week's edition of StockCharts TV'sStockCharts in Focus, Grayson explains the importance of market breadth and shares some of the most crucial charts for understanding what's truly happening beneath the surface of the market. Using the Sample Chart Gallery, you'll see... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave highlights charts breaking above resistance levels, including Gold Shares (GLD), Phillips 66 (PSX), Capital One Fence Corp (COF), Freeport-McMoRan (FCX), and DraftKings (DKNG). Dave also interviews Buff Dormeier of Kingsview Investment Management, who shows how he uses RSI, the... READ MORE
The late Yale Hirsch (Stock Trader's Almanac) has long been known for identifying the six-month periods of positive and negative seasonality in the stock market. The positive period is November through April, and the negative period is May through October. We are currently in a positive period, which... READ MORE
We were perusing the Advance-Decline Line charts that we have and noticed something that surprised us. The Nasdaq Advance-Decline Line is trending lower while prices continue higher. This is negative divergence we didn't expect to see. What makes that negative divergence even more interesting is looking at the... READ MORE
To paraphrase the late great contrarian Humphrey Neil: When everyone thinks alike, it's usually time to look for a turn in the market. It seems to me, after reviewing an unscientific survey of the financial media, that everyone and his dog (no disrespect to our canine friends) is... READ MORE
Today Carl and Erin reviewed the Boeing (BA) chart together discussing the technical ramifications of the step down of the CEO and two other board members. We do note that the CEO will finish out the year so problems could continue throughout the year. The technicals on the chart are... READ MORE
After a corrective action the week before, the markets continued to wear a tentative look throughout this past week as well. In the previous technical note, it was mentioned that the level of 22525 has become an intermediate top for the markets, and any runway upsides should not be expected.... READ MORE
The 200-day SMA is perhaps the most widely used long-term moving average. As its name implies, it is a simple indicator that chartists can use for trend-following and momentum strategies. For trend-following, we just need to know where prices stand relative to the 200-day SMA. For momentum, we need to... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * While the long-term trend in Apple has been quite strong, the weekly charts shows a clear double-top pattern with declining momentum. * Our Market Trend Model currently reads short-term bearish, medium-term bearish, and long-term bullish. * A break below price support around $169 could open the door to further downside,... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and Nasdaq Composite are holding strong * Gold and the US dollar trend higher in spite of dovish Fed comments * Cannabis stocks trade higher on news of partial legalization in Germany It was an action-packed week in the stock market.... READ MORE
In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe MEM Edge, Mary Ellen reviews what's shaping up in the broader markets after the Fed announced their rate cut plans. She also shares how to use ETFs to shape your investment decisions for the longer term. In addition, Mary Ellen... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave brings you another mailbag show! Explore the differences between RSI and Accumulation Distribution for stocks. Compare the benefits of SharpCharts or ACP on StockCharts. Understand the nuances between Keltner and Bollinger Bands. Discover why considering sector trends and using... READ MORE
By now it's common knowledge that the Chinese property sector is in crisis, foreign investment has slowed, and youth unemployment is at record levels. Should be time to sell Chinese equities, right? After all, we don't know when the other shoe is going to drop. They... READ MORE
Note to the reader: This is the thirteenth in a series of articles I'm publishing here taken from my book, "Investing with the Trend." Hopefully, you will find this content useful. Market myths are generally perpetuated by repetition, misleading symbolic connections, and the complete ignorance of... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Technical indicators suggested that Coinbase stock was due for a pullback * The scenario identified a clear short setup with multiple price targets and stop-loss levels * Coinbase eventually dipped but the risk may have been greater than the reward As a trader, calling market tops (or bottoms) is a... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave welcomes guest Chris Ciovacco of Ciovacco Capital Management. David focuses on downside risk for GOOGL and AMZN, and shares one utility name that should be on your radar! Chris updates a weekly S&P 500 chart he first... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Energy sector showing relative strength in three timeframes * The sector is nearing a heavy resistance area * A long-term turnaround in relative strength appears to be underway Energy Improving in Three Time Frames Watching the sector rotation at the start of this week shows a continued improvement for the... READ MORE
Today Carl and Erin open the show with an example of how you can find stock and ETF relative strength using a Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO) sort. Many may not know but PMO readings can be compared to one another to determine relative strength. Carl gives us a review of... READ MORE
The S&P 500 ended the week with a slight pullback that has this Index closing below its key 10-day simple moving average, but above its 21-day moving average. With the RSI and MACD in positive territory, the near-term uptrend in this Index remains in place. While last week&... READ MORE
On this week's edition of StockCharts TV'sStockCharts in Focus, Grayson shares a little trick out of his own process to make sure he's trading in the right direction. If you find yourself buying a new stock only to watch it go down, down, down... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * A bearish momentum divergence and declining Bullish Percent Index suggests rough waters ahead for the QQQ. * The 50-day moving average and Chandelier Exit system can serve as trailing stops to lock in gains from the recent uptrend. * If stops are broken, we can use Fibonacci Retracements to identify... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave presents an in-depth discussion on technical analysis patterns, market trends, and risk management. Explore how to spot bankruptcy risks, candlestick patterns, Dave's approach to QQQ, optimizing the Market Trend Model, RSI and MACD signals, "master risk... READ MORE
This month, the SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) broke out to new, all-time highs. That was a significant long-term move, which we will discuss when we get to the monthly chart. Of more immediate interest is the fact that sentiment is still bearish, which bodes well for a continued advance. We... READ MORE