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S&P 500's Sensational Rally Keeps On Going Thanks to NVDA — What You Need to Watch
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* S&P 500 hits a new all-time high and could keep on going
* NVIDIA's stellar earnings report was a catalyst to the rise in the S&P 500
* Volatility declined, indicating that investors are still relatively calm
Well, Nvidia did it! A stellar earnings...
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3 Unique RSI Techniques to Maximize Your Investments
by Joe Rabil,
President, Rabil Stock Research
On this week's edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe dives into the world of technical analysis by sharing three unique ways to utilize the RSI indicator alongside MACD and ADX -- the Pullback Trade, Confirming a Breakout and 2nd Chance Entry. He then covers the symbol...
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Markets Bracing for NVDA Earnings
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave breaks down the latest market breadth indicators, ranging from bullish (S&P 500 advance-decline line) to bearish (Bullish Percent Indexes breaking down) to everything in between. He also analyzes key growth names including SMCI, PANW, AMZN, and NVDA....
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Emerging Markets Getting Closer to a Breakout
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
Last November I asked the question "Are emerging markets about to emerge?"Using the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) as our benchmark, I concluded that more strength was needed in order to push the indicators into a bullish mode. In the intervening period, things have improved, but...
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The Titanic Syndrome Indicator Issues a WARNING!
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave focuses on AAPL which closed below its 200-day moving average as it tests key price support. Guest Jesse Felder of The Felder Report reports on the Titanic Syndrome, a market breadth indicator similar to the Hindenburg Omen that suggests...
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Sector Spotlight: Dominant Trend for Stocks Still UP
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
On this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I separate the 11 sectors in the S&P 500 into Offensive, Defensive, and Sensitive, assessing their group rotational patterns to see if there is any alignment with the current technical condition of the S&P 500. After...
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SPY Uptrend Intact, But Mixed Sector Rotation Signals Hesitation
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Looking at Risk ON / OFF through BETA
* RRG shows mixed rotations
* SPY Uptrend intact with limited downside risk
BETA
One of the Risk ON/OFF metrics I like to keep an eye on is BETA.
From Investopedia:
—systematic risk—
I have updated my spreadsheet with last year'...
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Capturing the Momentum Phenomenon - Nvidia vs Tesla
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The momentum phenomenon has been a fixture in the US equity markets for decades. There are two types of momentum to consider: absolute momentum and relative momentum. Absolute momentum refers to the underlying trend, up or down. Relative momentum quantifies the strength of the uptrend and compares it to other...
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This Beaten-Down Magnificent Seven Stock is Poised to Regain Its Leadership Status
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
Going into last week, the Magnificent Seven stocks were looking more like the Magnificent Four. Leadership within the group became more concentrated, with Amazon, Meta, Microsoft and Nvidia having done most of the heavy lifting.
This is far different from the first 6 weeks of 2023, when gains among these...
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Three Leading Growth Stocks Testing Gap Support
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* The NYFANG+ index of leading growth stocks is up about 12% year-to-date, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 have gained only 5%.
* All three of these growth stocks show similar patterns, with a recent gap higher. But they have now all stalled out.
* If these...
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What to Do With NVDA (And Others Like It)
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave answers viewer questions on the Money Flow Index, using RSP vs. SPY for relative strength analysis, strategies for names in extended uptrends like NVDA, applying Fibonacci retracements to charts like KRE, and more.
This video originally premiered on February...
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DraftKings' Stock Overheating? Here's What You Need to Do Now
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* DraftKings has demonstrated significant revenue growth following a lengthy period of outperformance relative to the S&P 500 and its respective sector and industry
* DraftKings' stock is overbought, with a declining RSI suggesting near term market correction
* Set a price alert to measure an anticipated pullback...
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BUY Signals Continue to Diminish
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
A Golden Cross BUY Signal is generated when the 50-day EMA of a price index crosses up through its 200-day EMA. DecisionPoint's Golden Cross Index (GCI) shows the percentage of stocks in a price index that have a Golden Cross BUY Signal, and is an expression of long-term...
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Identifying Powerful Trends with This Game-Changing ADX Setup
by Joe Rabil,
President, Rabil Stock Research
On this week's edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe shares the criteria for his favorite ADX setup. He explains what he needs to see on 2 different timeframes to put a stock into position for a powerful trend that can last a long time. Joe closes...
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Larry's "Family Gathering" February 15, 2024 Recording
by Larry Williams,
Veteran Investor and Author
In this video, Larry begins by presenting two trade recommendations, then digs into AI stocks, Bitcoin, and what you should be doing right now. Is it time to go long? Go short? Or wait for a decline? He explains the difference between FOMO and actually losing money, and how pain...
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The Hoax of Modern Finance - Part 8: The Enemy in the Mirror
by Greg Morris,
Veteran Technical Analyst, Investor, and Author
Note to the reader: This is the eighth in a series of articles I'm publishing here taken from my book, "Investing with the Trend." Hopefully, you will find this content useful. Market myths are generally perpetuated by repetition, misleading symbolic connections, and the complete ignorance of...
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Gold is at the Crossroad
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
Last November and December, it looked as if gold had broken out from a multi-year inverse head-and-shoulders. Since then, the price has dropped below the breakout area, and the long-term KST has begun to roll over.
Just like takeoff and landing are the critical points for an aircraft, breakouts are...
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The Halftime Show: Inflation Back in the Driver's Seat
by Pete Carmasino,
Chief Market Strategist, Chaikin Analytics
Yesterday, the market saw a massive selloff of over 2% at market lows for the SPY and the NDX. However, the rebound at the end of the day was promising, though not enough to change sentiment. What this means is that the selloff came from the hot CPI print, so...
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S&P 500 Plunges Below 5K!
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave shows how the S&P 500 is just barely holding trendline support as his short-term Market Trend Model threatens to turn bearish this week. Guest Sean McLaughlin of All Star Charts talks through how he's playing...
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Walmart Stood Strong When The Market Crumbled - Time To Buy?
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Walmart's stock was one among 37 outliers, rising early amidst a major market decline before slightly pulling back
* Technical indicators warn of potential weakness, signaling an imminent dip, but there's a good entry point for WMT
* Setting price alerts around specific levels and watching...
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DP Trading Room: Avoid These "Magnificent 7" Stocks!
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
On today's DecisionPoint Trading Room episode, Carl reviews the Magnificent 7 and gives you his opinion on their current and possible future states. He warns against two in particular and gives his stamp of approval on three others. Negative divergences are still a problem and Carl explains why....
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Beware the Hindenburg Omen!
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Jim Miekka created the Hindenburg Omen after studying the conditions present at previous market peaks.
* The Hindenburg Omen triggered an initial signal this week, just as the S&P 500 finally closed above 5000 for the first time.
* If we see a second signal in the next...
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Sentiment Lopsided - Is It a Problem?
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
Periodically, we like to review sentiment charts, and today we have two for you. One is the poll results from the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) and the other is the National Association of Active Investment Managers (NAAIM) Exposure level.
In both cases, we are starting to see sentiment...
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Your Questions, Answered! Price Gaps, Bull Flags, Inverse Patterns, and MORE
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave digs into The Final Bar Mailbag and answers questions on price patterns like bull flags, what price gaps actually represent on the chart, and why analyzing earnings trends could help you anticipate subsequent moves for stocks like META.
This...
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The Costco Stock Surge: What You Need to Know Right Now!
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Costco's stock surged to unprecedented heights, surpassing its previous all-time record
* Costco's technical situation looks exceedingly bullish, but like many stocks hitting record highs, the stock may be slightly overbought
* The Money Flow Index can measure momentum and show whether price buying pressure is...
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3 Expert Earnings Plays: Maximizing Reward, Minimizing Risk
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave welcomes Danielle Shay of Simpler Trading. Danielle highlights three earnings plays she's focused on this week, and shares how she combines multiple time frames in her trading to better define risk vs. reward. Dave laments the weakening...
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Master Momentum Using Price Swings and Fibonacci Grids
by Joe Rabil,
President, Rabil Stock Research
On this week's edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe discusses how he uses the price swings and Fibonacci grid to determine the momentum of a trend without the use of indicators. He explains how indicators can lag at reversal points and why we need to lean...
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Why the NAAIM Exposure Index Matters to Your Investments
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave welcomes Ryan Redfern, ChFC, CMT of Shadowridge Asset Management and President of NAAIM. Ryan provides a primer on the NAAIM Exposure Index, including what it is, how it's calculated, and how it can be used to measure...
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Decoding PLTR Stock: Why It's an Attractive Investment
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* PLTR stock gapped up after its impressive Q4 earnings and guidance
* Watch the average directional index and relative strength index to monitor the momentum of the upward trend
* If momentum continues to be strong, the stock would be an attractive investment
If you look at a chart of...
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Eli Lilly's Volatile Victory: What Tuesday's Turnaround Means for Your Portfolio
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Eli Lilly & Co's beat on earnings and revenue expectations led to a swift 5% spike and reversal in its stock price
* Analyzing Eli Lilly's stock price chart reveal some headwinds that may not be apparent in fundamental data
* Eli Lilly's stock...
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Market Breadth Divergence Says NO BULL!
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave demonstrates how the market's recent upswing has left mid-caps and small-caps in the dust, with deteriorating breadth conditions suggesting an increased risk of downside for the S&P 500. He also unveils the latest enhancements to...
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Only a Fool Would Try to Call a Correction in a Bull Market, So Here Goes!
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
The vast majority of the primary trend indicators are pointing to a bull market and have been doing so for the better part of a year. Chart 1, for instance, shows that NYSE Margin Debt, or rather its long-term KST, has only recently gone bullish. The vertical lines point out...
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DecisionPoint Trading Room: Narrow Advance a Big Problem!
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
The market rally last week was very narrow, driven mainly by large gains in communication services stocks like Meta. Many technical indicators are showing negative divergences. The broader market struggled. Erin reviews all of the sectors under the hood and then takes your symbol requests.
Key Takeaways:
- Communication services...
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Generals March On, but Fewer Troops are Following - Get the Essential Breadth Indicator ChartList
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Divergences reflect a disconnect between price and the indicator. A bearish divergence forms when price forges a higher high and the indicator fails to confirm this high. In the case presented below, we have the S&P 500 moving higher and fewer stocks making it back above their 50...
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Deciphering Gold's (GLD) Signals: Is Now the Time to Go Long on Gold?
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* The robust jobs data triggered a sell-off in the gold market, hampering expectations of an imminent rate cut
* Price projections for GLD in 2024 span a wide spectrum, below and above current prices because of fluctuating macroeconomic and geopolitical dynamics
* The Volume-by-Price indicator is especially useful in recognizing...
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Top Ten Charts to Watch for February 2024
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Grayson and Dave run through charts they feel present actionable opportunities based on their technical analysis setups. They'll cover breakout strategies, moving average techniques, relative strength, and much more. And you'll have ten new charts to...
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DR Horton Stock Plummets: Is Now the Time to Buy the Dip?
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* DHI's stock plummeted after missing Wall Street's earnings expectations and soft guidance
* Technical indicators provide a clearer view for those looking to buy the dip
* You can use StockCharts seasonality charts to provide a big-picture context to your trading setup
The tight supply environment...
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Mastering MACD: The Fly-By Pattern
by Joe Rabil,
President, Rabil Stock Research
On this week's edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe discusses key aspects to MACD when viewed as an oscillator rather than a momentum indicator. He also explains how to use MACD combination signals as well as combining with the ADX indicator. He then covers the symbol...
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Home Prices and Stocks | Focus on Stocks: February 2024
by Larry Williams,
Veteran Investor and Author
Let's begin this month with a look at ...
Home Prices and Stocks
Most people have the majority of their money in homes and/or stocks. Thus, I thought that this month, I would take a look at what should be happening in the real estate market.
Let'...
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S&P 500 Falls, Nears First Support Level -- How Much Lower Can It Go?
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* The Fed leaves interest rates unchanged as expected, but investors weren't happy
* S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average, and Nasdaq Composite all close lower after Fed decision
* The 10-year Treasury yield falls to a three week low
Will the Fed cut interest rates at...
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