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Intraday Trading Entry and Exit Strategies
by Joe Rabil,
President, Rabil Stock Research
On this week's edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe details a trade setup in the QQQ that demonstrates how he uses MACD and ADX in multiple timeframes for his trading. He gives detail on the entry and exit for this trade. Joe then covers the stock...
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Rules-Based Money Management - Part 1: Popular Indicators and Their Uses
by Greg Morris,
Veteran Technical Analyst, Investor, and Author
Note to the reader: This is the seventeenth in a series of articles I'm publishing here taken from my book, "Investing with the Trend." Hopefully, you will find this content useful. Market myths are generally perpetuated by repetition, misleading symbolic connections, and the complete ignorance of...
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Will NFLX Pierce Through Resistance With Breakthrough Earnings? Here's What You Need to Know
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* NFLX is close to a strong resistance level and could break above it if the company beats earnings estimates
* Netflix's stock price has been trending higher since July 22 after the stock took a deep plunge
* Expect a lot of volatility after NFLX announces earnings on...
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AMD Plunges to a Critical Support Level: Is Now the Time to Go Long?
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* AMD is in a technical (near-term) downtrend, but its fundamentals promise otherwise
* AMD's stock price is trailing NVDA, though its lead over the rest of the industry appears to be waning
* AMD is in a technical "buy" range and the potential for a bullish...
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Is Market Breadth Signaling THE TOP?!
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave shows how bearish short-term breadth combined with the deterioration in long-term breadth lines up well with previous market tops. He then breaks down key levels for the S&P 500 index as well as MSFT, TSLA, and more....
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DP Trading Room: Final Earnings are In for 2023 Q4!
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
Carl opens the show with a view of the final earnings results for 2023 Q4! His chart reveals whether stocks are fair valued, overvalued or undervalued. Get his take on the current readings.
Carl gave us his market overview including Bitcoin, Gold Miners, Gold and Crude Oil and many more....
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Precious Metals Reach Exhaustion
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
In the last couple of weeks, I have been reading stories about shoppers picking up gold bars in, of all places, Costco. According to Gemini, the AI branch of Google, "Reports indicate they may be selling up to $200 million worth of gold bars every month."
Normally, thin...
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S&P 500 Flashes Major Topping Signals
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* The weekly RSI has signaled an exit from overbought conditions, but the weekly PPO has not yet indicated a bearish reversal.
* A break below the 200-day moving average would validate the weekly sell signals, and align with previous market tops since the 2009 market bottom.
Toward the bottom...
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Keeping Up With The Jones - How Weakness in This Index May Foretell a Broader Market Correction
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 2.4% last week in a move that pushes this index further below its key 50-day simple moving average. While not the most widely followed index, the Dow has continued to evolve so that its 30 components more closely represent the current economy. Amazon&...
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Stay Ahead of the Markets with AUTOMATED Portfolio Reports
by Grayson Roze,
Chief Strategist, StockCharts.com
Staying on top of your portfolio in a fast-moving market can be a challenge. On this week's edition of StockCharts TV'sStockCharts in Focus, Grayson shows you how to make things easier on yourself with automated ChartList Reports for your portfolio. You'll learn how to...
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The Day the Yields Broke Out
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
Wednesday brought an unexpected firming up of the inflation figures, causing analysts and commentators to trim the number of times they expect interest rates to be cut this year. Whenever it is that the questions turn away from whether to when and by how much, as was the case until...
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Using Outsized Moves to Identify Trend Reversals - Checking in on Housing and Semis
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Outsized Moves Can Jump Start Trends
* Chartists can use ATR-SAR to Identify Outsized Moves
* Housing and Retail are Leading Lower with Outsized Declines
Trends often start with outsized moves. But how do we measure and identify such moves? Chartists can measure moves in Average True Range (ATR) terms...
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From Relic To Reckoning: Can Gold Surge To $3,000?
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Gold is at record highs with retail investors buying despite sky-high valuations
* Fiscal, monetary, and geopolitical uncertainties are driving this "relic" turned "alternative currency"
* The technical context reveals a few strategic insights for anyone bullish on the yellow metal
The strange thing about gold...
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RRG Indicates That Non-Mega Cap Technology Stocks are Improving
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* The energy sector remains on a very strong rotational path
* A completed top formation in Healthcare opens up significant downside risk
* Smaller Technology stocks are taking over from mega-cap names
A Sector Rotation Summary
A quick assessment of current sector rotation on the weekly Relative Rotation Graph:
XLB:...
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NVDA is Holding Strong: It's Time to Think About Accumulating this Stock
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* NVDA stock is rising as the broader market sells off
* NVDA is technically and fundamentally strong and is outperforming the S&P 500
* NVDA's stock price has broken above a downward channel, which could be the start of the next uptrend
Sometimes, it helps to...
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Market Research and Analysis - Part 5: Drawdown Analysis
by Greg Morris,
Veteran Technical Analyst, Investor, and Author
Note to the reader: This is the sixteenth in a series of articles I'm publishing here taken from my book, "Investing with the Trend." Hopefully, you will find this content useful. Market myths are generally perpetuated by repetition, misleading symbolic connections, and the complete ignorance of...
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Is the Banking System on the Verge of Systemic Implosion? What to Look Out For
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* A few fringe economists are sounding the alarm on a looming series of banking collapses
* With bank holdings of government debt now underwater, some claim that banks are virtually insolvent as a result
* Whether any of this takes place, even partially, technical levels on the charts can help...
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This Sector is Breaking Up and Down Simultaneously
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
This may seem like a contradiction, but it is possible for two different things to be true at the same time.
What I am referring to is the fact that the health care sector (XLV) recently broke out from a consolidation reverse head-and-shoulders pattern, as we can see from the...
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Despite Stable Markets, Breadth Says Danger
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave drops a market update, with a focus on Bitcoin's rebound above 70K, deteriorating short-term breadth conditions, and stocks still making new highs despite the market consolidation phase.
This video originally premiered on April 8, 2024. Watch on...
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Double Top Forming in Growth vs. Value?
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave answers questions from The Final Bar Mailbag. Today he talks about how to use the ADX indicator, how growth vs. value may have formed a double top pattern, how to use VWAP for intraday and historical analysis, and what...
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VIX Spikes Above 16 - Is This the End?
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
The VIX ended the week just above 16, bringing it to its highest level in 2024. What does this tell us about investor sentiment, and how does this compare to previous market cycles?
Let's take a quick tour of market history through the lens of the VIX, focusing...
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Energy is on Fire
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Energy sector is breaking higher on price chart
* XLE's RRG tail is continuing to pick up steam
* The exploration & production industry is leading inside the energy sector
Strong Rotation on the Weekly RRG
For a few weeks now, the improvement in the energy sector (XLE)...
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Silver's Surge: Can It Reach $50 an Ounce This Year?
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Several analysts have grown exceedingly bullish on silver which has been undervalued for some time
* Price targets are now at the range of $35 to $50 an ounce
* The technical outlook presents a mixed picture, but there are a few key levels to watch if you're...
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Spot Big Reversals Using the ADX Indicator
by Joe Rabil,
President, Rabil Stock Research
On this week's edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe demonstrates how to use the "Big Green Bar" candlestick pattern. This candlestick provides great confirmation on certain types of entry points, and can also be helpful for exits. Joe finishes up the show covering the...
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Should You be Concerned About These Four Stocks?
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave and guest Julius de Kempenaer of RRG Research talk sector rotation, growth vs. value, offense vs. defense, and an outlook for the US equity markets as we begin Q2 2024. Dave also charts the strong breadth readings and low...
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DJT Has Closed Last Week's Gap, But is It Enough?
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
Sometimes, simple indicators like bar or candlesticks operate just as the textbooks tell us they should. I don't normally follow individual stocks, but the hype surrounding last week's listing of Trump Media piqued my interest to see if the technical position squared with what the many...
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DP Trading Room: On-Balance Volume (OBV) Explained
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
Today Carl and Erin cover the topic of On-Balance Volume (OBV) as a representation of volume trends. This came to their attention as they uncovered an OBV negative divergence on the SPY chart.
Carl completes a review of the weekly charts for the Magnificent 7 stocks, giving us a more...
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Business Confidence and Stocks | Focus on Stocks: April 2024
by Larry Williams,
Veteran Investor and Author
Here comes the answer to a very old question, "Do stocks lead the economy, does the economy lead the stock market, or is there something else?"
My work has shown numerous times that GDP is not a good predictor of the Dow Jones. Also, business inventories and a...
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Overbought Conditions Reflect Strength and Said Strength Drives Momentum Rotation Strategies
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Overbought is just another term for strong. RSI above 70 shows strong upside momentum, which his bullish. Stocks can become overbought (strong) and remain strong.
Momentum and trend strategies are off to a roaring start here in 2024. More often than not, these strategies buy leading stocks that...
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Core PCE Data Has Powell Pleased - May Set Tone For Q2
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
The Fed's preferred gauge of inflation was released today and, according to Fed chief Jerome Powell, "it was good," as there were no ugly surprises. This news could boost the markets, as sticky inflation data has had investors on edge amid interest rates that have remained...
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Which Magnificent 7 Stock Would You Pick for Q2?
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
This article represents an exercise I like to call the "Single Stock Portfolio". In this scenario, you can only own one stock in your portfolio for the next three months, and you can pick any one of the following eight stocks. Which one would you select, and why?...
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Buy Breakout or Fade Divergence on Growth Stocks?
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave presents a mailbag show discussing key technical analysis topics. He covers breakouts, the role of TSX, CCI signals, Gartner Group (IT) strategies, seasonal patterns, ATR use, NVDA Fibonacci retracements, and managing high-yield stocks like GLP. You don't...
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These Breadth Charts PROVE How Strong This Bull Market Is
by Grayson Roze,
Chief Strategist, StockCharts.com
On this week's edition of StockCharts TV'sStockCharts in Focus, Grayson explains the importance of market breadth and shares some of the most crucial charts for understanding what's truly happening beneath the surface of the market. Using the Sample Chart Gallery, you'll see...
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How to Analyze Volume Trends on Multiple Time Frames
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave highlights charts breaking above resistance levels, including Gold Shares (GLD), Phillips 66 (PSX), Capital One Fence Corp (COF), Freeport-McMoRan (FCX), and DraftKings (DKNG). Dave also interviews Buff Dormeier of Kingsview Investment Management, who shows how he uses RSI, the...
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One Month of Positive Seasonality Remaining -- OBV Says, "Maybe Not."
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
The late Yale Hirsch (Stock Trader's Almanac) has long been known for identifying the six-month periods of positive and negative seasonality in the stock market. The positive period is November through April, and the negative period is May through October. We are currently in a positive period, which...
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Surprise Negative Divergence on Nasdaq Advance-Decline Line
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
We were perusing the Advance-Decline Line charts that we have and noticed something that surprised us. The Nasdaq Advance-Decline Line is trending lower while prices continue higher. This is negative divergence we didn't expect to see.
What makes that negative divergence even more interesting is looking at the...
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Don't Bet on Lower Rates
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
To paraphrase the late great contrarian Humphrey Neil: When everyone thinks alike, it's usually time to look for a turn in the market.
It seems to me, after reviewing an unscientific survey of the financial media, that everyone and his dog (no disrespect to our canine friends) is...
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DP Trading Room: Shake Up at Boeing (BA)
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
Today Carl and Erin reviewed the Boeing (BA) chart together discussing the technical ramifications of the step down of the CEO and two other board members. We do note that the CEO will finish out the year so problems could continue throughout the year. The technicals on the chart are...
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Week Ahead: Short Week May Not See NIFTY Adopting Sustained Directional Bias; Volatility May Return
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
After a corrective action the week before, the markets continued to wear a tentative look throughout this past week as well.
In the previous technical note, it was mentioned that the level of 22525 has become an intermediate top for the markets, and any runway upsides should not be expected....
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An Indicator to Define the Trend and Quantify Momentum
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The 200-day SMA is perhaps the most widely used long-term moving average. As its name implies, it is a simple indicator that chartists can use for trend-following and momentum strategies. For trend-following, we just need to know where prices stand relative to the 200-day SMA. For momentum, we need to...
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