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View The Large Cap - Small Cap Debate in a Direct Comparison on RRG
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Using RRG to see Large-Cap vs Small-Cap sector rotation
* The current strength for Small-Cap stocks vs Large-Caps is evident
At the end of last year, I wrote a blog article about the relationship between Large-Cap and Equal-Weight sectors. It involved plotting the ratios of the large-cap sector ETFs...
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The Secret Sauce! Expert Investors Use This to Anticipate Market Moves
by Grayson Roze,
Chief Strategist, StockCharts.com
On this week's edition of StockCharts TV'sStockCharts in Focus, Grayson shows you how to dig deeper into the markets like a true veteran chartist and put price history to work for you using Seasonality Charts. These simple, yet powerful historical charts let you see past price...
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S&P 4300 by End of February?
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
We kicked off the new year of 2024 with an overheated stock market, excessively bullish breadth indicators, and euphoric sentiment levels. While the first week in January felt like a "wake-up call" pullback for awestruck bulls, this last week saw the S&P 500 push right back...
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Dramatic Bearish Bias Shift on Major Market Indexes This Week
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
(This is an excerpt from the subscriber-only DecisionPoint Alert on DecisionPoint.com)
This week, the markets experienced a dramatic bias shift. We measure the Intermediate-Term Bias using our Silver Cross Index (SCI). The SCI measures how many stocks within an index, sector, or industry group hold "silver crosses"...
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Your Questions Answered! Moving Averages, Chart Patterns, Inflation & More
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave presents a special all-mailbag episode, answering viewer questions on simple vs. exponential moving averages, the benefits of analyzing sector rotation, and a good first chart for beginners learning technical analysis.
This video originally premiered on January 12, 2024. Watch...
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XLV's Record Rally: The Must-Know Investment Move of the Year
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* The Healthcare Select SPDR ETF XLV has seen a 16% rise from its October low and is showing upside momentum
* Seasonal patterns in XLV show that July and November are the strongest months in terms of returns and higher close rates
* Combining seasonality patterns and technical indicators shows...
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From Selloff to Surge: Growth Stocks Rebound After CPI
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave highlights three leading growth stocks continuing to push to new swing highs. He also breaks down key market sentiment indicators, including the VIX, AAII survey, NAAIM Exposure Index, Rydex fund flows, and put/call ratios.
This video originally premiered...
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The Secret Behind My Moving Average "Buddy" System
by Joe Rabil,
President, Rabil Stock Research
On this week's edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe shows how the 18MA can be a powerful tool when used in conjunction with the 40MA line. First, Joe explains why he uses a 18MA instead of a 20MA, demonstrating how this MA line can act as...
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Commodities Trade Analysis: Aluminum
As a main aluminum producer, Alcoa (AA) announced cost-cutting measures, along with plans to curtail production at one Western Australian Refinery. But that is just one facility, and the company plans to continue to operate its port facilities located alongside the refinery. Plus, it will continue to import raw materials...
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January 2024: The Final Bar's Top 10 Must See Charts
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
by Grayson Roze,
Chief Strategist, StockCharts.com
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Grayson Roze and Dave break down the trends for the top ten stocks and ETF charts for December 2023. They'll identify key levels and signals to watch for using technical analysis tools including moving averages, relative strength, RSI,...
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Putting a Mean-Reversion Strategy Into Practice
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Mean-reversion strategies typically buy stocks when they are oversold, which means catching the falling knife. These declines are often rather sharp, but the odds favor some sort of bounce after reaching an oversold extreme. While there are no guarantees, chartists can mitigate risk by insuring that the stock is still...
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Three Charts to Track Impending Doom
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* January through March is the weakest three-month period for stocks in an election year.
* The McClellan Oscillator turned bearish this week, suggesting at least a short-term pullback for stocks.
* The VIX remains low, but a push above 15 could indicate further downside, retracing the gains from Q4.
Okay,...
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Prepare for 2024: Martin Pring's Expert Insights on the Equity Market
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
In this must-see once a year special, Martin breaks down his comprehensive equity market outlook for 2024, accompanied by Bruce Fraser.
Encompassing a secular (multi-business cycle) perspective of the forces that are likely to influence stocks and bonds over the coming years, Martin presents a look ahead at what'...
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Supercharge Your SUCCESS with The Ultimate List of Prebuilt Charts
by Grayson Roze,
Chief Strategist, StockCharts.com
On this week's edition of StockCharts TV'sStockCharts in Focus, Grayson kicks off the New Year by hooking you up with every chart you could ever need, and you don't have to create a single one yourself! In just a couple of clicks, you can...
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Add Happiness To Your Portfolio With a Sprinkle of Disney Stock
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Disney's stock price is showing signs of consolidation and may be worth watching for signs of a breakout
* The stock is at a critical support level and if the stock is able to hold this support, it could be positive for the stock
* A break above...
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Discover the Hottest Sectors of 2024!
by Joe Rabil,
President, Rabil Stock Research
On this week's edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe explains how to use the MACD zero line in 2 consecutive timeframes to identify ideal entry zones. He presents two examples of how this pattern works and when to enter. He also examines what he is seeing...
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January: NASDAQ Has the Best Odds of Gains, BUT...
"January provides us with a wealth of information that gets our year off to a good start, financially and emotionally.
"The data is specifically chosen to begin in 2009 because that is the bottom of the most significant bear market prior to the 2022 bear market, and 2009...
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Sprouts Farmers Market: A Hidden Gem on the Corner of Wall and Main Street?
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Sprouts Farmers Market has been riding a relatively steady uptrend channel over the last year
* More dominant on Main Street than Wall Street, its earnings have been yielded positive surprises almost every quarter since 2019
* Look for SFM stock to pull back to its 50-day SMA
Most traders...
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Technology Shares PLUNGE to Kick Off 2024
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest Mish Schneider of MarketGauge talks strength in small caps, leadership in retail, and the importance of watching junk bonds for risk-on conditions. Dave charts pullbacks in AAPL and NVDA, and shares two names pushing higher as value beats growth...
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MRNA Stock Gets an Upgrade: When is the Best Time To Buy?
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* MRNA stock surges on the potential of widening its vaccine offerings
* Moderna's stock price has crossed above its upper Bollinger Band and is showing technical strength
* Look for MRNA's stock price to move above its 50-week moving average
Last year's vaccine sales...
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The Science and Art of Stock Market Predictions
Over the holiday, I thought a lot about predictions and how they are formed.
The dictionary meaning of prediction is a statement about a future eventor data.Many of the predictions for 2024 that I have seen are made by what we assume are knowledgeable people in the financial fields....
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Guidelines for 2024 | Focus on Stocks: January 2024
by Larry Williams,
Veteran Investor and Author
Let's Get This Out of The Way Right Now
For the last 18 years, I've had a love affair with my annual forecast report. Until I began writing this letter, it was the only thing I did. Many of you purchased it last year, and some...
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STRONG Indicators for 2024!
by TG Watkins,
Director of Stocks, Simpler Trading
On this week's edition of Moxie Indicator Minutes, TG points out how broadly supported the market has been this time around, and how he's seeing excellent setups on the higher time frames. He walks us through some of the action that is making him look forward...
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Unlocking Russell 2000 SECRETS & Volatility INSIGHTS!
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this special all-Mailbag edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave answers viewers' burning questions, ranging from the effectiveness of short-term moves with the 5-day MA to deciphering the mysteries of the Russell 2000's growth or value positioning and much more!
Click here to take...
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Ready Yourself for 2024 With Macro to Micro Analysis
For the new year, we have given you an extensive 3-pronged look at the markets.
First, we have the general outlook for the economy and markets through the Outlook 2024. This is the general outlook for 2024, including the recap of 2023 and how the predictions I made then played...
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Intermediate-Term Participation Levels Are Very Overbought, and They Are Weak Long-Term
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
When we discuss participation, we are referring to the more specific and accurate assessment of breadth available with the Golden Cross and Silver Cross Indexes. The venerable and widely-known Golden Cross is when the 50-day moving average of a price index crosses up through the 200-day moving average, which signals...
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This Stock is up a Startling 90% This Year: Last Time This Happened Was in 2003
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Intel stock is up over 90% in 2023 and could see further growth in 2024
* The stock crossed above its upper Bollinger Band and is now pulling back
* Any signs of a reversal followed by price action that confirms the uptrend is resuming will be an ideal entry...
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Is FedEx's Long-Term Uptrend in Jeopardy? Here's What to Watch.
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* A drop in global demand contributed to FedEx's quarterly earnings miss which caused the stock price to fall
* FedEx's stock price action reveals the critical price levels to watch for entry points
* Set technical price alerts at key support and resistance levels to closely...
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The Top Five Charts of 2023
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* 2023 was dominated by mega cap growth stocks, but the fourth quarter saw a potential change as other sectors experienced renewed vigor.
* Three breadth indicators provided great clarity to the up and down cycles over the course of the year, as extreme readings tended to coincide with major...
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Boost Your Trading Success with This Chart Trick
by Grayson Roze,
Chief Strategist, StockCharts.com
On this week's edition of StockCharts TV'sStockCharts in Focus, Grayson we reveals a useful chart trick that will revolutionize your trading toolkit. Get ready to dive into the site, explore the tools, and walk through the features that will help you maximize the value of your...
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Is Sentiment Too Bullish?
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* NAAIM Sentiment - No Leverage
* AAII Sentiment Highly Bullish
* Rydex Bull Assets Have Room to Move Higher
(This is an excerpt from today's subscriber-only DP Alert.)
We thought it might be a good idea to review sentiment today. It should be no surprise that investors are...
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GNG TV: Buying Opportunity or Trend Reversal?
by Alex Cole,
Co-founder, GoNoGo Charts®
by Tyler Wood,
Co-founder, GoNoGo Charts®
In this edition of the GoNoGo Charts show, Tyler and Alex dive into the current trends and momentum in the markets, in order to help navigate through the ever-changing landscape of stocks, bonds, commodities, and the dollar. Is the recent pullback in the S&P 500 is just a...
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More from Mish's Outlook 2024 -- S&P 500
A passage from the Outlook:
SPY's all-time high was made in January 2022 at $479.98.
For now, the chart looks clear. If SPY pushes over 460, we can expect more upside at least until we get near the ATHs.
Should those levels clear, then we are in...
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Profit From the AI Wave Now: One Stock With Lots of Upside Potential
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* An earnings beat and strong guidance was enough to send shares of Micron Technology higher
* Micron Technology hit a new 52-week high and the stock has room for more upside
* Identify your entry and exit price targets to trade this stock
Yesterday's stock market selloff was...
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The Hoax of Modern Finance - Part 3: Fictions Told to Investors
by Greg Morris,
Veteran Technical Analyst, Investor, and Author
Note to the reader: This is the third in a series of articles I'm publishing here taken from my book, "Investing with the Trend," in article form here on my blog. Hopefully, you will find this content useful. Market myths are generally perpetuated by repetition, misleading...
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Mish's Outlook 2024 is Here -- Macro to Micro
Coming into 2023, we used the theme, "You can't hunt with the hounds and run with the rabbit." Those who stood back with the hounds, in search of a sure hit, were not only left behind, but missed the move higher as the rabbit got the...
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Top Five Charts of 2023 #3: Market Breadth Indicators
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In the third of a five-part special series on StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave breaks down three market breadth indicators that tell the story of market conditions in 2023. By analyzing the S&P 500 Bullish Percent Index, the percentage of stocks above their 50-day moving average,...
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Costco's Record-Breaking Surge: Is It Time to Buy or Sell?
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Costco experienced a significant rally driven by strong earnings and an upgraded analyst target of $700
* Despite COST's bullish prospects, the stock is overbought and is likely to pull back
* Setting price alerts at several support levels may be key to finding a strong long entry...
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What Would It Take for Emerging Markets to Emerge?
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
Over the years, emerging markets as a group have experienced huge swings in relative performance. The latest one, which began in 2010, has been quite bearish. When such linear trends dominate the scene, reliable cyclical indicators, such as the long-term KST or monthly MACD, often give premature buy signals and...
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Top Five Charts of 2023 #2: Ten-Year Treasury Yield
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In the second of a five-part special series on StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave takes a deep dive into the bond markets, talking rising rates, Fed rate hikes, value vs. growth, inverted yield curves, and what the bond markets in 2023 could tell us about potential future paths...
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