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DEFENSE IS ON THE FIELD | GoNoGo Show APRIL 26, 2024
by Tyler Wood,
Co-founder, GoNoGo Charts®
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Defensive Sector Leadership
* Risk Off Macro Environment
* Opportunities in Electricity Utilities Companies
Chart Above (XLU:SPY) highlights trending relative strength of Utilities Sector. Watch Video below for details:
The S&P500 trend conditions have continued this week in "NoGo" conditions despite relief rallies. Alex Cole...
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Spotting Downturns Early: Daily or Weekly Charts?
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave answers viewer questions on spotting downturns in daily vs. weekly charts, using the Relative Rotation Graphs (RRG) to identify actionable ideas, and comparing the NYSE Composite Index ($NYA) to the S&P 500 Index ($SPX). He also shares...
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S&P 500 & Nasdaq Composite Approach Critical Resistance; Watch for These Important Levels!
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* The Nasdaq Composite is trading above its last swing high, which could a the first sign of a reversal to the upside
* The S&P 500 is up against resistance from its 50-day moving average and a downward sloping trendline
* The Dow Jones Industrial Average has reversed...
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Analyzing Alphabet's Surge — Here's How to Get In Earlier Next Time
by Karl Montevirgen,
The StockCharts Insider
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Alphabet shocked Wall Street on Thursday when it reported earnings, its first dividend, and a $70-billion buyback
* The stock gapped up 16%, its biggest since 2015
* Alphabet's technical "undervaluation" and quirks signaled the go-ahead to go long
Using technical indicators to identify stocks fundamentally...
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META's Reverse Island - Two More Mag Seven Islands to Monitor
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
Whenever we see price gapping up or down, as happened with META in February, we prepare for the possibility of an island reversal. After the gap up, price forms a cluster, the island, and we ponder the possibility of a gap down to complete the reversal. During the formation of...
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Rules-Based Money Management - Part 2: Measuring the Market
by Greg Morris,
Veteran Technical Analyst, Investor, and Author
Note to the reader: This is the eighteenth in a series of articles I'm publishing here taken from my book, "Investing with the Trend." Hopefully, you will find this content useful. Market myths are generally perpetuated by repetition, misleading symbolic connections, and the complete ignorance of...
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10% Downside Risk For Stocks as Value Takes The Lead
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Value stocks are taking over the lead from Growth
* When Value beats Growth, the S&P 500 usually does not do too well
* The strength of Value is surfacing across all size segments of the market
* Important support areas for SPY at 480 and 460
Value Taking...
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What's Really Driving Tesla's Surprising Stock Surge?
by Karl Montevirgen,
The StockCharts Insider
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* TSLA has been riding a long and volatile downtrend since 2021
* Tuesday's earnings were dismal, yet the stock jumped 16% after an announcement about near-term EV production
* The big question is if the gap up in TSLA's stock price has any substance or if...
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Pinpoint the Next Buying Opportunity in SPY
by Joe Rabil,
President, Rabil Stock Research
On this week's edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe uses the MACD to analyze SPY and shares what to look for to find the next buy point. Joe then analyzes stocks including ADBE, XOM, and CRM.
This video was originally published on April 24, 2024. Click...
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Are We There Yet?
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
Back in early February, I wrote an article entitled "Only a Fool Would Try to Call a Correction in a Bull Market, So Here Goes". In it, I was trying to point out that counter-cyclical corrections are notably difficult to identify, as they often terminate just at the...
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S&P 500 Approaches 100-Day Moving Average: Is Now an Attractive Time to Buy Stocks?
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* The possibility of only one interest rate cut and escalation of geopolitical tensions increases uncertainty levels for investors
* The 100-day simple moving average could be the S&P 500's next support level
* Massive selloff in Tech stocks sends the Nasdaq Composite below its 100-day moving...
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META Stock in Limbo: What You Need to Know Before the Next Big Price Swing
by Karl Montevirgen,
The StockCharts Insider
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Meta's prospects look bullish mostly due to the rollout of Meta AI, which is expected to lead to substantial growth in ad revenue
* While analyst price predictions show a wide range, consensus ratings lean towards a "Buy" to a "Strong Buy"
* Technically,...
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Charts Flashing "No Go" for S&P 500!
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave welcomes guest Tyler Wood, CMT of GoNoGo Charts. Tyler walks through their proprietary momentum model which confirms a bearish rotation for the major equity benchmarks yet a bullish rotation for the commodity space. David walks through key earnings names...
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Rocks over Stocks | GoNoGo Show 041824
by Tyler Wood,
Co-founder, GoNoGo Charts®
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* New Risk Off Environment for Equities
* Commodities Leading
The S&P500 trend conditions have reversed into "NoGo" and strengthened to purple bars. Alex Cole and Tyler Wood, CMT identify intermarket forces including rising rates ($TNX) and a strong US Dollar (UUP) that can provide headwinds...
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Larry's "Family Gathering" April 18, 2024 Recording
by Larry Williams,
Veteran Investor and Author
Right now, there's lots of room for a downside in the market. Do we really want a rate cut?
In this video, Larry talks about past interest rate cuts from the Fed, and what happens to stock prices as a result. Historically, we've seen these cuts...
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Intraday Trading Entry and Exit Strategies
by Joe Rabil,
President, Rabil Stock Research
On this week's edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe details a trade setup in the QQQ that demonstrates how he uses MACD and ADX in multiple timeframes for his trading. He gives detail on the entry and exit for this trade. Joe then covers the stock...
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Rules-Based Money Management - Part 1: Popular Indicators and Their Uses
by Greg Morris,
Veteran Technical Analyst, Investor, and Author
Note to the reader: This is the seventeenth in a series of articles I'm publishing here taken from my book, "Investing with the Trend." Hopefully, you will find this content useful. Market myths are generally perpetuated by repetition, misleading symbolic connections, and the complete ignorance of...
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Will NFLX Pierce Through Resistance With Breakthrough Earnings? Here's What You Need to Know
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* NFLX is close to a strong resistance level and could break above it if the company beats earnings estimates
* Netflix's stock price has been trending higher since July 22 after the stock took a deep plunge
* Expect a lot of volatility after NFLX announces earnings on...
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AMD Plunges to a Critical Support Level: Is Now the Time to Go Long?
by Karl Montevirgen,
The StockCharts Insider
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* AMD is in a technical (near-term) downtrend, but its fundamentals promise otherwise
* AMD's stock price is trailing NVDA, though its lead over the rest of the industry appears to be waning
* AMD is in a technical "buy" range and the potential for a bullish...
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Is Market Breadth Signaling THE TOP?!
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave shows how bearish short-term breadth combined with the deterioration in long-term breadth lines up well with previous market tops. He then breaks down key levels for the S&P 500 index as well as MSFT, TSLA, and more....
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DP Trading Room: Final Earnings are In for 2023 Q4!
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
Carl opens the show with a view of the final earnings results for 2023 Q4! His chart reveals whether stocks are fair valued, overvalued or undervalued. Get his take on the current readings.
Carl gave us his market overview including Bitcoin, Gold Miners, Gold and Crude Oil and many more....
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Precious Metals Reach Exhaustion
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
In the last couple of weeks, I have been reading stories about shoppers picking up gold bars in, of all places, Costco. According to Gemini, the AI branch of Google, "Reports indicate they may be selling up to $200 million worth of gold bars every month."
Normally, thin...
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S&P 500 Flashes Major Topping Signals
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* The weekly RSI has signaled an exit from overbought conditions, but the weekly PPO has not yet indicated a bearish reversal.
* A break below the 200-day moving average would validate the weekly sell signals, and align with previous market tops since the 2009 market bottom.
Toward the bottom...
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Keeping Up With The Jones - How Weakness in This Index May Foretell a Broader Market Correction
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 2.4% last week in a move that pushes this index further below its key 50-day simple moving average. While not the most widely followed index, the Dow has continued to evolve so that its 30 components more closely represent the current economy. Amazon&...
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Stay Ahead of the Markets with AUTOMATED Portfolio Reports
by Grayson Roze,
Chief Strategist, StockCharts.com
Staying on top of your portfolio in a fast-moving market can be a challenge. On this week's edition of StockCharts TV'sStockCharts in Focus, Grayson shows you how to make things easier on yourself with automated ChartList Reports for your portfolio. You'll learn how to...
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The Day the Yields Broke Out
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
Wednesday brought an unexpected firming up of the inflation figures, causing analysts and commentators to trim the number of times they expect interest rates to be cut this year. Whenever it is that the questions turn away from whether to when and by how much, as was the case until...
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Using Outsized Moves to Identify Trend Reversals - Checking in on Housing and Semis
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Outsized Moves Can Jump Start Trends
* Chartists can use ATR-SAR to Identify Outsized Moves
* Housing and Retail are Leading Lower with Outsized Declines
Trends often start with outsized moves. But how do we measure and identify such moves? Chartists can measure moves in Average True Range (ATR) terms...
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From Relic To Reckoning: Can Gold Surge To $3,000?
by Karl Montevirgen,
The StockCharts Insider
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Gold is at record highs with retail investors buying despite sky-high valuations
* Fiscal, monetary, and geopolitical uncertainties are driving this "relic" turned "alternative currency"
* The technical context reveals a few strategic insights for anyone bullish on the yellow metal
The strange thing about gold...
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RRG Indicates That Non-Mega Cap Technology Stocks are Improving
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* The energy sector remains on a very strong rotational path
* A completed top formation in Healthcare opens up significant downside risk
* Smaller Technology stocks are taking over from mega-cap names
A Sector Rotation Summary
A quick assessment of current sector rotation on the weekly Relative Rotation Graph:
XLB:...
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NVDA is Holding Strong: It's Time to Think About Accumulating this Stock
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* NVDA stock is rising as the broader market sells off
* NVDA is technically and fundamentally strong and is outperforming the S&P 500
* NVDA's stock price has broken above a downward channel, which could be the start of the next uptrend
Sometimes, it helps to...
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Market Research and Analysis - Part 5: Drawdown Analysis
by Greg Morris,
Veteran Technical Analyst, Investor, and Author
Note to the reader: This is the sixteenth in a series of articles I'm publishing here taken from my book, "Investing with the Trend." Hopefully, you will find this content useful. Market myths are generally perpetuated by repetition, misleading symbolic connections, and the complete ignorance of...
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Is the Banking System on the Verge of Systemic Implosion? What to Look Out For
by Karl Montevirgen,
The StockCharts Insider
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* A few fringe economists are sounding the alarm on a looming series of banking collapses
* With bank holdings of government debt now underwater, some claim that banks are virtually insolvent as a result
* Whether any of this takes place, even partially, technical levels on the charts can help...
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This Sector is Breaking Up and Down Simultaneously
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
This may seem like a contradiction, but it is possible for two different things to be true at the same time.
What I am referring to is the fact that the health care sector (XLV) recently broke out from a consolidation reverse head-and-shoulders pattern, as we can see from the...
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Despite Stable Markets, Breadth Says Danger
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave drops a market update, with a focus on Bitcoin's rebound above 70K, deteriorating short-term breadth conditions, and stocks still making new highs despite the market consolidation phase.
This video originally premiered on April 8, 2024. Watch on...
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Double Top Forming in Growth vs. Value?
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave answers questions from The Final Bar Mailbag. Today he talks about how to use the ADX indicator, how growth vs. value may have formed a double top pattern, how to use VWAP for intraday and historical analysis, and what...
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VIX Spikes Above 16 - Is This the End?
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
The VIX ended the week just above 16, bringing it to its highest level in 2024. What does this tell us about investor sentiment, and how does this compare to previous market cycles?
Let's take a quick tour of market history through the lens of the VIX, focusing...
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Energy is on Fire
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Energy sector is breaking higher on price chart
* XLE's RRG tail is continuing to pick up steam
* The exploration & production industry is leading inside the energy sector
Strong Rotation on the Weekly RRG
For a few weeks now, the improvement in the energy sector (XLE)...
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Silver's Surge: Can It Reach $50 an Ounce This Year?
by Karl Montevirgen,
The StockCharts Insider
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Several analysts have grown exceedingly bullish on silver which has been undervalued for some time
* Price targets are now at the range of $35 to $50 an ounce
* The technical outlook presents a mixed picture, but there are a few key levels to watch if you're...
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Spot Big Reversals Using the ADX Indicator
by Joe Rabil,
President, Rabil Stock Research
On this week's edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe demonstrates how to use the "Big Green Bar" candlestick pattern. This candlestick provides great confirmation on certain types of entry points, and can also be helpful for exits. Joe finishes up the show covering the...
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Should You be Concerned About These Four Stocks?
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave and guest Julius de Kempenaer of RRG Research talk sector rotation, growth vs. value, offense vs. defense, and an outlook for the US equity markets as we begin Q2 2024. Dave also charts the strong breadth readings and low...
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