For consistency, here are the key go-tos during an uncertain time in the market: 1. The next direction of long bonds (TLT). 2. The next direction of the small caps and retail sectors (IWM, XRT). 3. The next direction of commodities, all of them, but particularly the agricultural ones, oil... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The accumulation phase is marked by higher highs and higher lows, as investors push the price onward and ever upward. * Stocks in the distribution phase are trending lower, with the price usually below two downward-sloping moving averages. * A symmetrical triangle or "coil" pattern is a telltale... READ MORE
In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe MEM Edge, Mary Ellen reviews the bullish bias that's shaping up in the markets as high-growth areas begin to turn positive. She also provides insights into what's driving this price action, as well as what to be on... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Strong September jobs report caused an initial shock but investors overcame it and the broader stock market indexes all closed higher * Volatility remained below 20 during the trading day * In addition to Technology and Communication Services, Financials may be showing bullish strength September's strong labor market—... READ MORE
The bond market is doing what the Federal Reserve hasn't -- raising rates. The fear is something is going to break. On this week's edition of StockCharts TV'sHalftime, Pete reviews the TLT chart again, talking over the US 2-year yield less the US 10-year... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Jesse Felder of The Felder Report shares his long-term charts comparing price and earnings, and reveals the two charts he's watching now to navigate a potential market bottom. Dave focuses on resilient strength in the semiconductor group and... READ MORE
On this week's edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe discusses the importance of the 18-month MA line for investing. He shows how it can provide a bias for a stock or market for years, and how it reveals when to play counter to the trend. Joe... READ MORE
S&P 500 earnings are in for 2023 Q2, and here is our valuation analysis. The following chart shows the normal value range of the S&P 500 Index, indicating where the S&P 500 would have to be in order to have an overvalued P/E... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave digs out his market correction playbook and shares what market breadth indicators tend to do leading into and out of market bottoms. He also reveals the charts that can serve investors well in corrective phases, using relative strength as... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Rising yields have wreaked havoc on equities but it's not necessarily a cause for worry * Growth stocks have performed well during high interest rate environments and are likely to do so again * The Bullish Percent Index can signal when a turnaround will occur The stock market... READ MORE
The Dollar Index I last wrote an article on the dollar in August, The Dollar Index Goes to Missouri. In it, I pointed out that the Index had reached crucial resistance, which, if surpassed, would signal a new primary bull market and a likely fourth up leg to the secular... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest Jeff Huge, CMT of JWH Investment Partners updates his Elliott Wave count for the S&P 500 and shares what the MOVE index can tell us about further upside potential for interest rates. Dave recaps the continued deterioration... READ MORE
The pockets of strength are shrinking as more stocks succumb to selling pressure. The Nasdaq 100 is the strongest of the major indexes, while the Finance sector is one of the weakest sectors. Today's report will highlight two leaders within the Nasdaq 100 and two laggards within the... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave shows how market breadth conditions have continued to deteriorate to the point where signs of a bottom may emerge. He answers viewer questions on historical Fed cycles, under-performance of defensive sectors like utilities, and how to use technical analysis... READ MORE
First & Foremost I want to personally thank you for subscribing to "Focus on Stocks". I will do all I can to earn the confidence you have placed in me. -- Larry Williams Is it a Different World? "I have to pay attention to the implications of... READ MORE
Although the market stayed flat on a week-to-week basis, the past five trading sessions highlighted the possibility of the market continuing with its corrective retracement. In the previous technical note, it was categorically mentioned that the INDIAVIX had closed at a precariously low level, which had left us vulnerable to... READ MORE
The S&P 500 posted its worst month so far this year, with a 4.9% decline that's pushed the year-to-date returns for this benchmark index almost in half. With elevated interest rates that may be with us for a while, investors have pushed stocks lower, in... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave answers viewer questions about Tesla's potential trajectory towards the 200-day moving average and ways to normalize relative strength graphs using volatility measures. He also dives into his past trades' technical setup, shares tips for setting up... READ MORE
In this edition of the GoNoGo Charts show, Tyler and Alex walk through a top-down approach to the markets and see that there are plenty of reasons why equities are struggling. Treasury rates and the Dollar are in strong "Go" moves and breaking out. The trend was strong... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Market volatility is low yet few stocks are trading above their 50-, 100-, and 200-day moving averages * Market indicators are showing lack of momentum in the stock market * Q4 earnings could be the catalyst that moves the market As Q3 and a dismal September end, some interesting dynamics... READ MORE
We have introduced two new tables in the DecisionPoint ALERT to give an overview of trend and BIAS for the major market indexes, sectors, and industry groups that we track. The first is our Market Scoreboard, which shows the current Intermediate-Term and Long-Term Trend Model (ITTM and LTTM) signal status.... READ MORE
On this week's edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe explains how the creator of the MACD, Gerald Appel, used this indicator as an overbought/oversold oscillator. He shows how using the SPY on the daily chart as an example. He then explains what to do when... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * NVDA stock is holding on to the support of its 100-day moving average * NVDA has maintained a high StockCharts Technical Rank (SCTR) since early 2023 * NVDA's relative strength with respect to the S&P 500 is approaching 200% Nvidia's stock has maintained a... READ MORE
Chart 1 shows that the S&P Composite, like both A/D Lines, has completed and decisively broken down from a head-and-shoulders top. The two breadth indicators have also violated their bull market up trendlines. On the surface, things look pretty grim, with three seasonally weak September days left... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Rising Treasury yields have hurt growth stocks but buying opportunities could lie ahead * The stock market could bottom at the end of September and present buying opportunities * Watch Fibonacci levels, Equal Weighted S&P 500 Index, and market breadth for a reversal Last week wasn't... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * A convergence of fundamental and seasonality data predicts a potential decline in gold prices by the end of the year * Demand for gold has decreased by about 5% year-over-year in the first half of 2023, with central banks being the primary buyers * The Williams True Seasonal indicator aligns... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The WillTrend indicator helps identify stock trends and optimal entry and exit points * The WillTrend indicator provides clear signals in weekly and daily charts that help determine actionable trading scenarios * It's important to take each signal within the context of the stock's current technical... READ MORE
A few large-caps and large-cap techs are holding up, but other areas of the market are showing weakness. Namely, the Retail SPDR (XRT) and Regional Bank ETF (KRE) are two of the weakest groups right now. These two groups are under selling pressure and this could bode ill for the... READ MORE
The title of this article should really be more in the vein of two technical situations I am watching, because the long-term forces look as if they may be converging with short-term ones to form a kind of potential bullish reverse domino effect. Let's consider our first candidate,... READ MORE
How many of you have heard me say that commodities are inherently volatile? Clearly, from this chart, you can see that after the oil rally in the mid 1970s, the CPI went from nearly 9% in 1974 down to 2% in 1976. Sugar, my favorite barometer of inflation, ran to... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave conducts a deep dive into current market breadth indicators, including advance-decline data, the McClellan Oscillator, and the Bullish Percent Index. He reviews key support and resistance levels for AAPL, TSLA, NVDA, and other growth stocks as the market waits... READ MORE
On this week's edition of StockCharts TV'sStockCharts in Focus, Grayson demonstrates the importance of Chart Templates in StockCharts' ACP platform, then pulls back the covers on a new "quick access" feature that just launched in the platform. StockCharts users can now access any... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave drops a special all-mailbag episode, including viewer questions on using Average True Range for stop losses, stocks vs. bonds, India's test of all-time highs, and best practices for price volatility. This video originally premiered on September 15,... READ MORE
Larry's "Family Gathering" webinar is now available! Whether you missed it and need to catch up, or just want to review the information Larry presented, you can now see the full recording below. In this special presentation, Larry coaches viewers for success and explains his strategies... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Like a swiss army knife, the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo is a multi-purpose indicator that can be used to shape your trading setups and decisions * The Chikou Span, with its 26-day look-back, can be used to confirm market sentiment and identify potential trend reversals * Even as a retroactive feature,... READ MORE
The overall market has been rallying since registering its low last October. However, there is one sector which, in August, fell below its October low on a monthly closing basis. More serious is the fact that it recently violated a 23-year secular up trendline. Can you guess which sector I... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * XLK "Bearish Shifts" Move IT and LT Bias to BEARISH * XLK PMO Nearing Crossover SELL Signal In Monday's DecisionPoint Trading Room we discussed that Technology (XLK) was the last one standing on our Bias Scoreboard with a Bullish Bias in both the intermediate term... READ MORE
The S&P 500 SPDR bounced the last three weeks, but we did not see an improvement in breadth. Weak breadth is also reflected in performance for mid-caps and small-caps, which are lagging. Even so, SPY and QQQ are in short-term uptrends and I am watching the tech sector... READ MORE
Every week, I am invited on Business First AM with Angela Miles to discuss the market and give a stock pick. This week, I covered TEVA, a stock I have talked about a few times and one, full disclosure, we are positioned in. First, about the company: Teva Pharmaceuticals is... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Energy (XLE) Logs New All-Time High * XLE "Bearish Shift" on Silver Cross Index The Energy sector (XLE) has been enjoying a rally throughout the summer. Today. it logged a new all-time high on a small breakout. While the sector looks impervious, there are a few concerns... READ MORE