In the final edition of Trading Simplified, Dave shows his methodology in action by sharing two positions that he continues to hold, even though they were "dead money" most of the time, and why he applied discretion to stick with a losing position to possibly avoid a loss.... READ MORE
As Pete has said several times on theHalftimeshow before, the Fed will likely cut rates when the unemployment rate ticks higher. Year-to-date the unemployment rate is up 14% from its lows in January and even Christopher Waller, an economist and member of the Fed Board of Governors, mentioned the possibility... READ MORE
A lot of the time, I write articles that focus on markets or technical situations that should be monitored for a potential turn. This one is no different, except to say that these markets are not close to breakout points, but right at them. In short, it's fish-or-cut-bait... READ MORE
On Monday, after the close, some warning signs from our risk gauges popped up. These are especially interesting given the number of bulls and the amount of money coming into the market. Technically, we still have the resistance that has not cleared in small caps, retail, or transportation. And this... READ MORE
It's the end of the month, which means it's time for me to take a look at the seasonal behavior for the S&P 500 and its sectors on this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight. Is there is any alignment between historical... READ MORE
Over the weekend, I covered small caps, retail, semiconductors and transportation. The conclusion was that "If you put these four charts all together, we get a reunion that is filled with the makings of a family breakdown. While Granny XRT and Sister Semiconductors SMH give us investors reasons to... READ MORE
In this week's edition of The DecisionPoint Trading Room, Erin flies solo today and gives everyone a refresher course on how to expertly time your entries and exits for trades, using the 5-minute candlestick chart. She covers the market in general, followed by analysis of sectors of interest... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave devotes the show to the Mailbag. He answers viewer questions about the impact of the US Dollar on the stock market, why he uses the S&P 500 ETF rather than the S&P Index for relative... READ MORE
A recent article on the Business Insider site reported a set of Death Cross/Golden Cross signals on the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($INDU). Specifically, on November 13, the 50-day moving average crossed down through the 200-day moving average, commonly called a Death Cross. Two days later, the 50-day moving... READ MORE
The equity markets consolidated throughout the week. Although they stayed within a narrow range and traded sideways for almost all days of the week, the Indices were devoid of any directional trend. Following strong weekly gains of over 1.58% in the week before, the NIFTY chose to remain in... READ MORE
The percentage of stocks in long-term uptrends rebounded sharply in November and returned to the highs from late August and early September. This rebound is impressive, but the absolute levels are still not that inspiring. We need to see participation breakouts and higher participation levels to get the broad bull... READ MORE
In this week's edition of Moxie Indicator Minutes, TG notes that the markets are deciding to hang on tight to their upper levels over the holiday week. He thinks we still need a pullback, but perhaps it will be more of a flag. Either way, initiating long trades... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * DJ Industrials closing in on overhead resistance * Weekly RRG showing some strong opposite rotations * Identifying two potential pair trading setups (MSFT-MRK & NKE-CAT) The Dow Jones Industrial Index ($INDU) is reaching overhead resistance between 35.5k and 35.7k, which means that upside potential is now limited. Even... READ MORE
In the 1995 film, Home for the Holidays, family reunions are explored using both drama and comedy. The film illustrates how we outsiders looking in never really know the love and the madness that goes on inside any one family's home during Thanksgiving. Happily, our Economic Modern Family... READ MORE
We spend a lot of time analyzing sector rotation, but there are also other relationships that can offer useful insights to internal market dynamics. One aspect of this is the relationship between market averages. NASDAQ vs. the DJIA As an example, Chart 1 plots the relationship between the NASDAQ Composite... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave reviews the latest market breadth indicators, some of which are indicating a likely pullback from resistance around the 4600 level for the S&P 500. He also focuses on stocks with actionable patterns including GOOGL, NFLX, SPOT, NVDA,... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Stock market breadth is widening which is an indication that market internals are strong * Falling treasury yields suggest that inflation expectations are declining * Investors are more complacent than in October which is bullish for equities Stocks are having a good November, which aligns with typical stock market behavior.... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest Mary Ann Bartels of Sanctuary Wealth describes how falling interest rates could pave the way for another leadership by mega-cap growth stocks, including semiconductors. Host David Keller, CMT breaks down two market breadth indicators to watch into December and... READ MORE
On this week's edition of StockCharts TV'sStockCharts in Focus, Grayson kicks off the BIGGEST week of the year here at StockCharts with two exciting announcements: our Black Friday Week sale and a fresh round of updates on the new SharpCharts Workbench. He'll show you... READ MORE
On this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I dive deep into rotations for asset classes and sectors. Bitcoin, as a proxy for crypto currencies as an asset class, is shooting off into the leading quadrant, while commodities are losing strength and stocks are back in the lead.... READ MORE
On Monday the 20th, I gave 2 interviews. The first is the clip below is from Yahoo Finance where we focus on oil and agricultural commodities. The second interview is the Daily Briefing with Maggie Lake on Real Vision. This chart above is featured, along with: 1. Inflation thesis 2.... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave breaks down the technical setups on all of the Magnificent 7 stocks, addressing the balance between strong trends and overbought conditions. He answers viewer questions on investor sentiment, trailing stops, potential upside for TSLA, and the latest thinking on... READ MORE
In the previous episode, TG explained that we needed to wait for the right opportunities to buy pullbacks from when the market shot up. The mega-caps and the major indexes did one small day of pulling back, but underneath that, many individual stocks have pulled back and come into buyable... READ MORE
Sample Report Below is our latest Weekly Market Report (WMR), which is published on Sunday/Monday of every trading week. It's unlike our Daily Market Report (DMR) as the WMR focuses almost exclusively on the Big Picture and is more designed for those with longer-term investing/trading horizons.... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * We use a series of weekly exponential moving averages to define the trend on three time frames. * The medium-term model just turned bullish, suggesting a risk-on environment for stocks. * Our Market Trend Model had a similar setup in March 2022, before a downturn eliminated the bullish configuration. Am... READ MORE
Below is a reprint of an article written Thursday in the subscriber-only DecisionPoint Alert: One of the things we keep track of is the performance of the S&P 500 Index (SPY), which is cap-weighted, versus the S&P 500 Equal Weight Index (RSP). In a healthy bull... READ MORE
In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe MEM Edge, Mary Ellen reveals areas of the market that are reversing lengthy downtrends and the best way to participate. She also highlights where the strength is in the markets as the uptrend remains firmly in place. This video originally premiered November... READ MORE
Since we came back from vacation, I've written 3 Dailys. The first of these was on the Economic Modern Family and how it opened its loving arms to the bulls. I was particularly keen on small caps or the Russell 2000 (IWM). I wrote, "Beginning with Granddad... READ MORE
In this special edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest Adrien Zduńczyk, CMT, of The Birb Nest shares a groundbreaking seasonality study he created with Jeff Hirsch ofStock Trader's Almanac. Adrien and Dave explain how November and December tend to be seasonably strong for Bitcoin, why... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and Nasdaq Composite notched a three week winning streak. * Small-cap stocks are showing signs of rallying to the upside * Overall, the economy looks to be chugging along, investor sentiment is bullish, and we coudl see a year-end rally The... READ MORE
A weaker labor market, manufacturing production slowing, new home prices falling and crude oil inventories rising more than expected are all to blame for the big drop in oil prices. US also eased sanctions on Venezuelan oil. That's the nature of commodities; fresh news can supersede older headlines... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Craig Johnson, CFA CMT of Piper Sandler shares his long-term charts of the S&P 500 and 10-Year Treasury Yield and makes the case for small caps through year-end 2023. Dave shares one breadth indicator reaching a bearish extreme... READ MORE
On this week's edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe explains how to use multiple timeframes to trade a pullback. He shows the reasons why the setup looked attractive on the daily chart, then goes down to the hourly chart to evaluate the quality of the pullback... READ MORE
In this video, Larry begins with a followup on the October rally kickoff. He then covers stocks like CRWD, META, NVDA, LULU, and DKNG. Larry answers questions about seasonal and cyclical differences, his personal indicators, and what retailers rely most on for the Christmas season. He highlights some trades that... READ MORE
Today, Larry Williams will be hosting a "Family Gathering" meeting at 2pm Eastern Standard Time (11am Pacific). Sign-in in begins 5 minutes prior. The show will be recorded and posted online for those of you who cannot attend. Use the link below to join: Link to Join Webinar:... READ MORE
Brazil planted a record soybean crop only to see unusually dry and hot weather create concerns for the harvest. Furthermore, Argentina had an extreme shortfall of soybean meal crops. Meanwhile, the USDA numbers were bearish for corn and soybeans, as U.S. crops came in larger than expected. However, China... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest Dave Landry of DaveLandry.com reveals his three charts to define the market trend, limit losses, and stay on the right side of the market. Host David Keller, CMT targets names trading higher and testing key resistance, including TGT,... READ MORE
The Economic Modern Family has opened its loving arms to the bulls and to us after our 2 weeks away. Beginning with Granddad Russell 2000 (IWM), Monday began with a gap up over the 50-DMA (blue). We will watch for a phase change confirmation. Furthermore, the monthly chart shows IWM... READ MORE
Larry is going LIVE! Don't miss the upcoming "Family Gathering" webinar with Larry Williams, airing live through Zoom this Thursday, November 16 at 2:00pm EST. In this must-see event, Larry will be presenting his current opinions on a broad variety of current market topics, directly... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Cooling CPI data sends equities roaring higher * The 10-year Treasury yield fell below 4.5%, a critical support level * Small-cap stocks were clearly the biggest winners today October's unchanged headline US CPI and lower-than-expected core CPI were reasons for investors to celebrate. The broader stock market... READ MORE