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Signs of Top in Rates As Fed Says NO CHANGE
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Katie Stockton, CMT of Fairlead Strategies shares her weekly charts of the S&P 500, VIX, and XLK and identifies three areas of opportunity through year-end 2023. Dave breaks down this week's Fed meeting from a technical...
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Focus on Stocks: November 2023
by Larry Williams,
Veteran Investor and Author
The Million Dollar Stock Market Bet
Warren Buffett proved his point in 2016 when he bet $1,000,000 that the S&P 500 Stock Index would outperform hedge funds. His bet was that active investment management by professionals would under-perform the returns of people who were passively investing....
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Stock Market Hinges on the Ten Year Interest Rate
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Tony Dwyer of Canaccord Genuity breaks down four charts that speak to a potential tactical rally for the S&P 500, and explains why this market is still all about interest rates. Meanwhile, Dave charts the downtrend channel for...
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The Halftime Show: Harness The Strength of Power Gauge on ACP Platform
by Pete Carmasino,
Chief Market Strategist, Chaikin Analytics
On this week's edition of StockCharts TV'sHalftime, Pete starts the show with a review of the Chaikin Power Gauge and demonstrates how to access to the tool on the ACP platform. Pete then reviews a few names that are moving big today, like Amgen (AMGN) and...
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Sector Spotlight: Seasonality is Dropping Big Bomb on Real Estate Sector
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
On this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I address the seasonality patterns that are likely to affect stock market and sector performance in the coming month. November is one of the strongest months in the year based on seasonality, but the Real Estate Sector looks to be...
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Countertrend Rally in the Works for SPX? What the Charts Reveal
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave discusses implications for this week's earnings releases, the November Fed meeting, and geopolitical events. He answers live viewer questions on volume-based indicators, downside targets for the S&P 500 chart, possibilities for a countertrend rally for...
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DP Trading Room: Bad News for Buyers Weighing Hefty Mortgage Rates
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
In this week's edition of The DecisionPoint Trading Room, Carl opens the show with a look at a very bearish market BIAS Table. He examines how the latest mortgage rates are squeezing buyers and sellers alike by comparing today's mortgage payments versus payments at the lows;...
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MEM TV: Are the Magnificent Seven Ready to Rally?
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe MEM Edge, Mary Ellen reviews last week's negative price action in the markets while sharing key areas of possible support for the Nasdaq and S&P 500. She also highlights the relative strength in defensive areas of the market...
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My Downside Targets for the S&P 500
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* The S&P 500 has almost reached the minimum downside objective based on the head and shoulders topping pattern.
* SPX 3800 would mean represent a 38.2% retracement level of the March 2020 to January 2022 bull market phase.
If you've been fighting the mounting...
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29 MUST SEE Charts You Can Start Using Today!
by Grayson Roze,
Chief Strategist, StockCharts.com
On this week's edition of StockCharts TV'sStockCharts in Focus, Grayson gives viewers 29 of the most important charts straight out of his own personal account. He'll review his weekly "Market Evaluation" ChartList and discuss all of the advanced charts within. This entire...
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Where to Find Stock Opportunities in Bear Territory
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, host Dave wraps a bearish week with a discussion on downtrend conditions, trendline resistance, deteriorating breadth, and finding opportunities in a bearish landscape. He answers viewer questions on inverted yield curves, recessionary periods, and leading vs. lagging technical indicators.
This...
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GNG TV: Charts Flash Warning Signs of Further Risk to the Downside
by Alex Cole,
Co-founder, GoNoGo Charts®
In this edition of the GoNoGo Charts show, with US Equities delivering a streak of daily gains this week, Alex takes a top down approach to see what the GoNoGo Charts are saying about markets. With U.S. domestic equities in a "NoGo" trend, the charts warn that...
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Stock Market Indexes Shatter Critical Support Levels. Watch the March Lows.
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* The Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq Composite are trading below their 200-day moving averages
* US Treasury yields are taking a breather now but their near-term action could impact equities, especially big tech stocks
* Investors are anxiously awaiting to hear if Fed Chairman Jerome Powell will lean...
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Bonds Now Beating Stocks While NVDA Goes into Tailspin
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* The Stock/Bond ratio is changing course
* SPY:IEF complets top formation
* NVDA completes large H&S formation unlocking 20% downside risk
SPY:IEF completes top formation
One of the metrics I keep a close eye on is the ratio between stocks and bonds. Most of the...
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The Halftime Show: Watch the Unemployment Rate - It Could Change Everything!
by Pete Carmasino,
Chief Market Strategist, Chaikin Analytics
On this week's edition of StockCharts TV'sHalftime, Pete explains how his TLT call from 10/10 was spot-on! But that could all change based on the unemployment rate. Pete believes that rates will fallifthe unemployment rate spikes higher, likely to the 4.25-4.5% level. Until...
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Is the Bear Back?
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
The S&P 500 (SPY) has fallen about 10 percent from the July top, and the last two weeks has been pretty rough, so should we be looking for the Bear to take charge again?
First, looking at a weekly chart, it is not clear that the Bear actually...
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Late-Hour Selloff Confirms Downtrend Phase!
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest Tom Bowley of EarningsBeats shares his chart of key ratios illustrating how growth still has held its ground relative to value stocks. Host David Keller, CMT focuses in on distribution in the last hour of trading and highlights one...
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Market's At RISK in The Mega Cap Bloodbath!
by TG Watkins,
Director of Stocks, Simpler Trading
In this week's edition of Moxie Indicator Minutes, TG discusses how breadth continues to be abysmal, and now that some of the mega caps are reporting earnings, they are getting whacked hard. If they can't hold up, most of the market is at risk of moving...
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This Powerful MACD/ADX Screener Generates Valuable Ideas
by Joe Rabil,
President, Rabil Stock Research
On this week's edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe shows an intraday trade setup in the SPY that took place this week. He uses the MACD and ADX in multiple timeframes to explain in detail how they can help with our entry and timing. He discusses...
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Two Defensive Sectors are Outperforming - What Does This Mean?
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
The only two sectors to close higher on Wednesday were in the defensive category, Consumer Staples (XLP) and Utilities (XLU).
We were already watching XLP as it established a short-term rising trend. What we aren't seeing is healthy participation...yet. We are seeing some expansion in stocks above...
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Some Gold Indicators Approach Critical Chart Points
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
When Anwar Sadat, President of Egypt was assassinated in 1981, gold rallied sharply over the near-term, but the advance soon petered out. The reason was that gold was in a primary bear market, so the advance merely represented a counter-cyclical move. Gold has rallied sharply since the Middle East crisis...
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NASDAQ NOSEDIVES, Down Over 2% At The Close!
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest Mary Ellen McGonagle of MEM Investment Research shares three stocks showing promise during a period of severe market distribution. Dave focuses in on the S&P 500 testing Fibonacci support and breaks down earnings for Microsoft, Alphabet, Spotify,...
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Key Market Relationships for the Next Big Move
First off, we are heading out of town to New York where I will be visiting in studio several media channels and hosts.
Then, we are off to Orlando for the MoneyShow.
On November 1st, Keith and I go on vacation until the middle of the month.
This is the...
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It's All About Risk and the Long Bonds
Monday, after a lot of spooky headlines, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) touched its 23-month moving average (MA) or the two-year biz cycle breakout point right around 417.
Plus, the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)flashed green as didIWM,the small caps.
The big question...
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Week Ahead: NIFTY May Have Limited Upsides In The Truncated Monthly Expiry Week; Watch These Key Levels
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
The markets wore a largely corrective undertone throughout the past five sessions; it oscillated within a similar range as the previous week and closed on a negative note. The volatility remained on the lower side; as the volatility has been low, the bands contracted as well. As compared to the...
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Larry's "Family Gathering" October 20, 2023 Recording
by Larry Williams,
Veteran Investor and Author
October is a significant month in the stock market, and in this pre-election year, there's a lot of uncertainty among investors, which makes the stock market more volatile. In this video, Larry discusses the October Seasonality and talks about stocks that generally perform well during the month. You&...
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Complimentary Edition of the DecisionPoint "Weekly Wrap"
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Golden Cross BUY Signal for Gold
* Death Cross SELL Signal for NYSE Composite
* Death Cross SELL Signal for Materials (XLB)
Gold (GLD) has been strong this month and today its 50-day EMA crossed up through its 200-day EMA (Golden Cross), generating an LT Trend Model BUY Signal. You...
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The Kids: Semiconductors, Biotechnology, Regional Banks
Most of you know our Big Viewproduct since I often discuss our risk gauges.
I can report to you that our risk gauges show three out of the five with risk off.
Most interestingly, the SPY continues to outperform the long bonds, risk-on.
And junk bonds continue to outperform long...
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S&P Breaks Below 200-Day Moving Average: It's Going to be a Big Volatile Ride
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* The S&P 500 index closed lower for the week and below its 200-day moving average
* Long-dated Treasury yields continue to move higher as investors digest the higher-for-longer narrative
* VIX has been trending higher which indicates a rise in investor uncertainty
Stock market action in the last...
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RRG is Sending a Clear Message And Finds Two Stocks With Good Upside Potential
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* RRG is sending a strong message to prefer Growth over Value
* Putting the growth stocks from IVW through a scan and some thorough RRG analyses finds a handful of interesting names
* Two unexpected stocks are showing up as having good upside potential
* Especially growth stocks from Defensive sectors...
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Market Has Stress Fractures but No Clear Breaks
Considering everything:
1. Yields and mortgage rates
2. War
3. Inflation and rising commodity prices
4. Bank stocks falling
5. Risk Gauges: 2 out of 6 now risk-off
To name a few, why, then is the S&P 500 so strong?
Here are a few reasons:
1. Fed members...
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An Award Announcement With a Dash of Market Commentary
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Small cap and retail stocks are rising and need to hold support to clear overhead resistance.
* iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF (IBB) should stay within the 120 to 125 range.
* Watch the range in regional banks, a potential uptrend in Bitcoin, and a bullish move in commodities.
With words...
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How Mega-Cap Names Dominate Through Market Cap
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave shares how growth over value is less about the types of companies and more about the market cap represented in the largest benchmark names. He breaks down today's pop-and-drop for Bitcoin and answers questions from the newly-added...
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When News Moves So Fast, Stocks Can Stand Still
Waking up to a new week of geopolitical stress, fake news (Blackrock spot ETF), higher yields, softer dollar, equities rally, I thought to myself: As far as the market goes, it feels like time is standing still.
Why would I think that? After all, it may not last and certainly...
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GNG TV: Looking at a Relief Rally or a Return to Go Trends?
by Alex Cole,
Co-founder, GoNoGo Charts®
by Tyler Wood,
Co-founder, GoNoGo Charts®
In this edition of the GoNoGo Charts show, with US Equities delivering a streak of daily gains this week, Alex and Tyler examine the daily weak NoGo trend conditions against the weak Go trend conditions on the weekly timeframe. The model is calculated the exact same way, but longer timeframe...
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DP Trading Room: Mortgage Rates Hit Multiyear High -- Who Goes Bankrupt First?
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
In this week's edition of The DecisionPoint Trading Room, Carl discusses the war's effect on the market and looks closer at the effects of high mortgage rates, which have hit multiyear highs. These are pinching not only buyers, but sellers and homebuilders. Afterwards, he goes deeper...
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Sector Spotlight: Sensitive Sectors Continue to Prop Up the S&P 500
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
On this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, after two weeks of absence, Julius de Kempenaer is back with an in-depth look at the current state of asset class rotation and sector rotation. By slicing sectors into Offensive, Defensive, and Sensitive groups, he paints a picture with an...
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If War in the Middle East Won't Push this Market Down, What Will?
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
I must say, I was surprised that the outbreak of war in the Middle East and a 4% rise in oil sent the market higher, not lower by the close of business last Monday. Typically, a market that does not respond to bad news in a negative way is one...
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Larry's LIVE "Family Gathering" Webinar Airs THIS WEEK - Friday, October 20th at 2:00pm EDT!
by Larry Williams,
Veteran Investor and Author
Larry is going LIVE! Don't miss the upcoming "Family Gathering" webinar with Larry Williams, airing live through Zoom this Friday, October 20th at 2:00pm EDT.
In this must-see event, Larry will be presenting his current opinions on a broad variety of current market topics, directly...
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Week Ahead: NIFTY Consolidates While Defending Key Levels; Vigilant Protection of Profits Advised
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
In the previous technical note, it was mentioned that the volatility gauge INDIAVIX had stayed at its lowest levels, and this setup was keeping the markets vulnerable to profit-taking bouts from the current levels.
Over the past five days, the markets showed some signs of profit-taking, but at the same...
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