The legendary technician Edson Gould had a rule that, after three discount rate hikes, the stock market would be likely to stumble. That doesn't apply to emerging markets, but it did make a catchy headline. What is relevant to the iShares MSCI Emerging Market ETF (EEM) is that,... READ MORE
Residential housing is not important for its size relative to GDP, which, according to Copilot, is about 3-5%. Rather, due to its interest rate sensitivity, housing is significant because it is the first sector of the economy to turn at the end of a recession, and the first to turn... READ MORE
Historically, July has seen stock prices move higher almost 80% of the time, cementing this in our trader's notebook as a time to stay home and trade. Others can vacation this month! Chart 1 is my true seasonal pattern for the Dow for the last 124 years. It... READ MORE
The Transportation Sector has been one of the weaker brethren of late. That's important, as this market average forms part of the Dow Theory, which many observers believe is currently signaling a bear market. However, back in January, I wrote a piece on the Dow Theorythat came to... READ MORE
Chart 1 shows that the Dollar Index has been in a trading range since the start of 2023. Its sheer size indicates the ultimate breakout could be followed by a sizeable move in either direction. It is also likely to have important implications for many different markets and asset classes.... READ MORE
June is here! Will it be bloom or gloom for the stock market? In this month's Family Gathering video, Larry examines the current averages in the market and what the advance-decline line is telling us. He explains the Trading Day of the Month (TDOM) concept and how you... READ MORE
Today, Larry Williams will be hosting a "Family Gathering" meeting at 2pm Eastern Daylight Time (11am Pacific). Sign-in in begins 5 minutes prior. The show, which will include both a presentation from Larry and a viewer Q&A session, will be recorded and posted online for those... READ MORE
Larry is going LIVE! Don't miss the upcoming "Family Gathering" webinar with Larry Williams, airing live through Zoom on Tuesday, June 18 at 2:00pm Eastern Daylight Time. In this must-see event, Larry will be presenting his current opinions on a broad variety of current market... READ MORE
In most cycles, central banks around the world raise and lower short-term interest rates in a rough synchronization. Last week, the European and Canadian central banks began lowering their rates, and the British are expected to follow suit this week. Most observers of the US expect the Federal Reserve to... READ MORE
The Canadian and Aussie dollars have been confined between two converging trendlines since the beginning of the century, as we can see from Chart 1. The moment of truth appears to be close at hand, as both are approaching the apex of a giant potential symmetrical triangle. One usually consistent... READ MORE
A note to the Cassandras who are now out in full force... Led by "Rich Dad, Poor Dad" Robert Kiyosaki's warning of "Be careful, it's the biggest crash in world history," the bears have come out of their winter caves. "We... READ MORE
A couple of weeks ago, I wrote an upbeat article on the US stock market opining that the correction was over. I still think that's the case, but I do have to note that a bearish outside bar formed on both the S&P and NASDAQ on... READ MORE
It's rare when you see a multi-year breakout take place, but, when several materialize more or less at the same time, that should really get our attention. That's not simply because of the opportunities being presented, but also because several simultaneous breakouts indicate a broader participation... READ MORE
Certainty is needed for a trader's actions. Good judgment comes from experience, and experience is gained from poor judgment. The key to improving your trading is to really, truly study the losing trades. In this month's Family Gathering video, Larry presents PPI numbers for historical buy... READ MORE
Today, Larry Williams will be hosting a "Family Gathering" meeting at 2pm Eastern Daylight Time (11am Pacific). Sign-in in begins 5 minutes prior. The show, which will include both a presentation from Larry and a viewer Q&A session, will be recorded and posted online for those... READ MORE
Larry is going LIVE! Don't miss the upcoming "Family Gathering" webinar with Larry Williams, airing live through Zoom on Thursday, May 16 at 2:00pm Eastern Daylight Time. In this must-see event, Larry will be presenting his current opinions on a broad variety of current market... READ MORE
Last February, I wrote an article on emerging markets, using the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) as my benchmark. I pointed out that this sector was close, but had not quite broken out to the upside. Now it has, and the outlook is favorable for at least a 4-6-month... READ MORE
The magnitude and duration of corrections are largely determined by the direction of the prevailing primary trend. If it's bearish, they tend to be more severe and last longer. In a bull market, it's just the opposite, as they are generally short and sweet, if you... READ MORE
I last wrote about the dollar in December, where I came to the conclusion that a limited rally was a likely possibility in what was assumed to be a primary bull market. I am still of the view that the bull market is alive and well, but it's... READ MORE
All You Need to Know About Crude Oil and the Future Gold, black gold, is what Crude Oil has become. The entire world runs on energy. 98% of our cars and transportation, our lights, the device you are using to read this... virtually everything we can do is thanks to... READ MORE
Back in early February, I wrote an article entitled "Only a Fool Would Try to Call a Correction in a Bull Market, So Here Goes". In it, I was trying to point out that counter-cyclical corrections are notably difficult to identify, as they often terminate just at the... READ MORE
Right now, there's lots of room for a downside in the market. Do we really want a rate cut? In this video, Larry talks about past interest rate cuts from the Fed, and what happens to stock prices as a result. Historically, we've seen these cuts... READ MORE
Today, Larry Williams will be hosting a "Family Gathering" meeting at 2pm Eastern Daylight Time (11am Pacific). Sign-in in begins 5 minutes prior. The show will be recorded and posted online for those of you who cannot attend. Use the link below to join: Link to Join Webinar:... READ MORE
Larry is going LIVE! Don't miss the upcoming "Family Gathering" webinar with Larry Williams, airing live through Zoom on Thursday, April 18 at 2:00pm Eastern Daylight Time. In this must-see event, Larry will be presenting his current opinions on a broad variety of current market... READ MORE
In the last couple of weeks, I have been reading stories about shoppers picking up gold bars in, of all places, Costco. According to Gemini, the AI branch of Google, "Reports indicate they may be selling up to $200 million worth of gold bars every month." Normally, thin... READ MORE
Wednesday brought an unexpected firming up of the inflation figures, causing analysts and commentators to trim the number of times they expect interest rates to be cut this year. Whenever it is that the questions turn away from whether to when and by how much, as was the case until... READ MORE
This may seem like a contradiction, but it is possible for two different things to be true at the same time. What I am referring to is the fact that the health care sector (XLV) recently broke out from a consolidation reverse head-and-shoulders pattern, as we can see from the... READ MORE
Sometimes, simple indicators like bar or candlesticks operate just as the textbooks tell us they should. I don't normally follow individual stocks, but the hype surrounding last week's listing of Trump Media piqued my interest to see if the technical position squared with what the many... READ MORE
Here comes the answer to a very old question, "Do stocks lead the economy, does the economy lead the stock market, or is there something else?" My work has shown numerous times that GDP is not a good predictor of the Dow Jones. Also, business inventories and a... READ MORE
To paraphrase the late great contrarian Humphrey Neil: When everyone thinks alike, it's usually time to look for a turn in the market. It seems to me, after reviewing an unscientific survey of the financial media, that everyone and his dog (no disrespect to our canine friends) is... READ MORE
By now it's common knowledge that the Chinese property sector is in crisis, foreign investment has slowed, and youth unemployment is at record levels. Should be time to sell Chinese equities, right? After all, we don't know when the other shoe is going to drop. They... READ MORE
It's March Madness in the stock market! In this video, Larry begins by presenting his Trading Days of the Month (TDOM) for the rest of March, as well as the days to hold back on trading. He also presents what he dubs his "Machu Picchu" trade.... READ MORE
Today, Larry Williams will be hosting a "Family Gathering" meeting at 2pm Eastern Daylight Time (11am Pacific). Sign-in in begins 5 minutes prior. The show will be recorded and posted online for those of you who cannot attend. Use the link below to join: Link to Join Webinar:... READ MORE
Larry is going LIVE! Don't miss the upcoming "Family Gathering" webinar with Larry Williams, airing live through Zoom on Tuesday, March 19 at 2:00pm Eastern Daylight Time. In this must-see event, Larry will be presenting his current opinions on a broad variety of current market... READ MORE
Last week, I pointed out the inflationary consequences of the recent gold breakout, as gold market participants initially expect prices to firm up in the commodity pits and later the CPI itself. This week, we will take those thoughts a step further by relating swings in industrial commodity prices to... READ MORE
The title of this article may be exaggerated, but, last Friday, the probabilities for an upward reversal in the rate of inflation later this year went substantially higher. That's because the gold price, an inflationary bellwether, broke out from a 4-year trading range to a new all-time high.... READ MORE
Absorbing the information gleaned from monthly charts for various asset classes or sectors can help gain some perspective. However, I find that an examination of the relationships between them can be equally rewarding, if not moreso. That's because they point out the nature of the current investment environment,... READ MORE
Let's begin this month with a look at... The False Flag of Fed Rate Cuts Day after day, we hear how the Fed will embark on a series of rate cuts this year "because inflation has peaked" and is heading lower. The drop in inflation is... READ MORE
Last November I asked the question "Are emerging markets about to emerge?"Using the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) as our benchmark, I concluded that more strength was needed in order to push the indicators into a bullish mode. In the intervening period, things have improved, but... READ MORE
In this video, Larry begins by presenting two trade recommendations, then digs into AI stocks, Bitcoin, and what you should be doing right now. Is it time to go long? Go short? Or wait for a decline? He explains the difference between FOMO and actually losing money, and how pain... READ MORE