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Week Ahead: NIFTY May Have Limited Upsides In The Truncated Monthly Expiry Week; Watch These Key Levels
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
The markets wore a largely corrective undertone throughout the past five sessions; it oscillated within a similar range as the previous week and closed on a negative note. The volatility remained on the lower side; as the volatility has been low, the bands contracted as well. As compared to the...
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Complimentary Edition of the DecisionPoint "Weekly Wrap"
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Golden Cross BUY Signal for Gold
* Death Cross SELL Signal for NYSE Composite
* Death Cross SELL Signal for Materials (XLB)
Gold (GLD) has been strong this month and today its 50-day EMA crossed up through its 200-day EMA (Golden Cross), generating an LT Trend Model BUY Signal. You...
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The Kids: Semiconductors, Biotechnology, Regional Banks
Most of you know our Big Viewproduct since I often discuss our risk gauges.
I can report to you that our risk gauges show three out of the five with risk off.
Most interestingly, the SPY continues to outperform the long bonds, risk-on.
And junk bonds continue to outperform long...
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RRG is Sending a Clear Message And Finds Two Stocks With Good Upside Potential
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* RRG is sending a strong message to prefer Growth over Value
* Putting the growth stocks from IVW through a scan and some thorough RRG analyses finds a handful of interesting names
* Two unexpected stocks are showing up as having good upside potential
* Especially growth stocks from Defensive sectors...
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Market Has Stress Fractures but No Clear Breaks
Considering everything:
1. Yields and mortgage rates
2. War
3. Inflation and rising commodity prices
4. Bank stocks falling
5. Risk Gauges: 2 out of 6 now risk-off
To name a few, why, then is the S&P 500 so strong?
Here are a few reasons:
1. Fed members...
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An Award Announcement With a Dash of Market Commentary
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Small cap and retail stocks are rising and need to hold support to clear overhead resistance.
* iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF (IBB) should stay within the 120 to 125 range.
* Watch the range in regional banks, a potential uptrend in Bitcoin, and a bullish move in commodities.
With words...
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How Mega-Cap Names Dominate Through Market Cap
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave shares how growth over value is less about the types of companies and more about the market cap represented in the largest benchmark names. He breaks down today's pop-and-drop for Bitcoin and answers questions from the newly-added...
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DP Trading Room: Mortgage Rates Hit Multiyear High -- Who Goes Bankrupt First?
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
In this week's edition of The DecisionPoint Trading Room, Carl discusses the war's effect on the market and looks closer at the effects of high mortgage rates, which have hit multiyear highs. These are pinching not only buyers, but sellers and homebuilders. Afterwards, he goes deeper...
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Sector Spotlight: Sensitive Sectors Continue to Prop Up the S&P 500
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
On this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, after two weeks of absence, Julius de Kempenaer is back with an in-depth look at the current state of asset class rotation and sector rotation. By slicing sectors into Offensive, Defensive, and Sensitive groups, he paints a picture with an...
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Week Ahead: NIFTY Consolidates While Defending Key Levels; Vigilant Protection of Profits Advised
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
In the previous technical note, it was mentioned that the volatility gauge INDIAVIX had stayed at its lowest levels, and this setup was keeping the markets vulnerable to profit-taking bouts from the current levels.
Over the past five days, the markets showed some signs of profit-taking, but at the same...
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Stock Market Rally Fizzles – What to Do Now
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
The markets started the week on a strong note with a rally, which was boosted by the release of dovish remarks from the Federal Reserve's last meeting. A stronger-than-expected CPI report sparked an increase in interest rates, however, which pushed the markets lower. The selling picked up on...
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MEM TV: Markets Stall As Week Progresses - Here's Why
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe MEM Edge, Mary Ellen shares where the market stands, after last week's price action had select areas far outpacing the markets while others were weak. She also reviews the start of earnings season following reports from several high profile companies....
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Growth Sectors Tumble as Defensive Plays Post a Strong Finish
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave tracks the rapid decline in growth sectors including Technology and Communication Services as defensive plays like utilities and gold post a strong finish to the week. Dave answers questions from The Final Bar Mailbag on the McClellan Summation Index...
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Stocks Continue Feeling The Pressure From Higher Rates
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest Chris Verrone of Strategas Research Partners discusses how small-caps may emerge from the quagmire, along with why it's important to focus on relative strength. Host David Keller, CMT points out the continued strength of offense over defense...
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REITS Getting Ready to Rally, But What Happens After That?
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
Several short-term charts suggest the SPDR Real Estate ETF (XLRE) is getting ready to rock and roll, thereby indicating an extension to this week's rebound is in the cards. It's possible that the expected rally could result in shifting some of the longer-term indicators towards a...
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The Most Important Chart to Watch During Earnings Season
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest Adam Turnquist, CMT of LPL Financial shares his chart of the Ten Year Treasury Yield and explains why the US Dollar may be the most important chart to watch as earnings season begins. Dave highlights stocks making new swing...
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DP Trading Room: Exponential vs. Simple -- This is the Moving Average We Use
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
In this week's edition of The DecisionPoint Trading Room, Carl opens the show with a discussion of the yield curve, followed by his coverage of the Magnificent 7+ and the market in general. Erin looks at the effect of war on the Energy sector, as well as a...
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Week Ahead: NIFTY May Stay Vulnerable At Higher Levels; This Sectors Rolls Inside The Leading Quadrant
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
Despite the volatile moves during the four sessions of this week's shortened frame, we ended on a very flat note for the second time in a row. The trading range remained slightly wider compared to the previous week. Compared to the 274.55-point range in the week before,...
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MEM TV: Here's What To Do With Base Breakouts and Other Bullish Signals
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe MEM Edge, Mary Ellen reviews the bullish bias that's shaping up in the markets as high-growth areas begin to turn positive. She also provides insights into what's driving this price action, as well as what to be on...
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10 Crucial Charts Shaping The Markets in October 2023
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this special edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave breaks down the crucial charts shaping October 2023's financial landscape.
This video originally premiered on October 6, 2023. Watch on our dedicated Final Bar pageon StockCharts TV, or clickthis linkto watch on YouTube.
New episodes of...
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Stock Market Ends Week on Positive Note; Market Internals May Be Turning Bullish
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Strong September jobs report caused an initial shock but investors overcame it and the broader stock market indexes all closed higher
* Volatility remained below 20 during the trading day
* In addition to Technology and Communication Services, Financials may be showing bullish strength
September's strong labor market—...
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GNG TV: Where You Can Find The "Health" in the Market!
by Alex Cole,
Co-founder, GoNoGo Charts®
by Tyler Wood,
Co-founder, GoNoGo Charts®
In this edition of the GoNoGo Charts show, Alex and Tyler take a familiar approach to the markets, starting at the top and working their way down. Going into the sectors, it is healthcare that is starting to outperform, and within that sector, healthcare providers are taking the lead. Single...
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The Top Three Indicators Pressuring Earnings Right Now
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Jesse Felder of The Felder Report shares his long-term charts comparing price and earnings, and reveals the two charts he's watching now to navigate a potential market bottom. Dave focuses on resilient strength in the semiconductor group and...
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The Most Important Moving Average to Boost Your Investing Success
by Joe Rabil,
President, Rabil Stock Research
On this week's edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe discusses the importance of the 18-month MA line for investing. He shows how it can provide a bias for a stock or market for years, and how it reveals when to play counter to the trend. Joe...
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10-Year Yield Spike Doesn't Mean Stock Market Will Plummet; You Need to See This Powerful Chart
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Rising yields have wreaked havoc on equities but it's not necessarily a cause for worry
* Growth stocks have performed well during high interest rate environments and are likely to do so again
* The Bullish Percent Index can signal when a turnaround will occur
The stock market...
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Time to Talk 6-7 Year Market Business Cycles
We began the year examining the 23-month moving averages in all the indices and major market sectors. It was pretty simple, really: buy anything that cleared the blue line (2-year business cycle), which we explained was a good reflection of a cycle within a cycle (6-7 year cycles are typical)...
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Two Holding Up and Two Breaking Down
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The pockets of strength are shrinking as more stocks succumb to selling pressure. The Nasdaq 100 is the strongest of the major indexes, while the Finance sector is one of the weakest sectors. Today's report will highlight two leaders within the Nasdaq 100 and two laggards within the...
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Sector Rotation Makes Technology Line Up With Strong Seasonality Pattern
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Market is entering strongest period of the year
* Positive seasonal expectations for Technology and Financials
* Weaker outlook for Healthcare and Energy
* Current rotations for Tech and Healthcare are in line with seasonality
We are already in October .... How did that happen?
Also, I am writing this article while...
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3 Key Relationships to Help Assess Market Direction
If you are finding yourself fluctuating between bullishness and bearishness, then congratulations! Hopefully, that also means you are waiting for certain signals to help you commit to one way or another.
Here are the signals we are waiting for before overly committing to a bias:
1. As we wrote over...
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Watch for These Signs of a Bottom As Market Breadth Conditions Crumble
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave shows how market breadth conditions have continued to deteriorate to the point where signs of a bottom may emerge. He answers viewer questions on historical Fed cycles, under-performance of defensive sectors like utilities, and how to use technical analysis...
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DP Trading Room: This is the ONLY Sector Showing STRENGTH Right Now
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
In this week's edition of The DecisionPoint Trading Room, Carl, after a walkthrough of the Magnificent 7+ stocks, examines how, while it was clear that there's some strength to be had in the Nasdaq, one look at the Ultrashort for Dow 30 (SDOW) and an internal...
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Week Ahead: NIFTY Violates Important Levels; Stay Cautious and Selective in Approach
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
Although the market stayed flat on a week-to-week basis, the past five trading sessions highlighted the possibility of the market continuing with its corrective retracement. In the previous technical note, it was categorically mentioned that the INDIAVIX had closed at a precariously low level, which had left us vulnerable to...
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MEM TV: Here's Why the Nasdaq OUTPERFORMED Last Week
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe MEM Edge, Mary Ellen reviews areas of the market that are bucking the downtrend pressure elsewhere, as those often go on to provide leadership once the markets turn. She also shares how to use ETFs to uncover rotation taking place beneath the...
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GNG TV: We're in BIG TROUBLE If Large Tech Stocks Rollover
by Alex Cole,
Co-founder, GoNoGo Charts®
by Tyler Wood,
Co-founder, GoNoGo Charts®
In this edition of the GoNoGo Charts show, Tyler and Alex walk through a top-down approach to the markets and see that there are plenty of reasons why equities are struggling. Treasury rates and the Dollar are in strong "Go" moves and breaking out. The trend was strong...
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Is it Possible for the S&P 500 to Hold the 4300 Level?
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Samantha LaDuc of LaDuc Capital breaks down the implications of higher interest rates and why semiconductors remain a crucial space to watch. Host David Keller, CMT tracks the recent rally in Bitcoin and identifies two key names testing moving average...
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Looking at Recent Market PULLBACK in a Long-Term Context & More!
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Joe Rabil of Rabil Stock Research walks through his monthly, weekly, and daily S&P 500 charts to put the recent market pullback into proper long-term context. Host David Keller, CMT digs into breadth indicators that have turned quite...
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Boyz to Men -- Step Back to Small Caps & Growth Stocks
We started this year looking at the monthly charts and the 2 moving averages that depict business cycles.
Back in February, we wrote:
All in all, the key sectors (retail, transportation) have more to prove, especially by clearing the 23-month moving average or 2-year business cycle. This is a significant...
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Sector Spotlight: Sector Rotation Sends Mixed Signals
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
On this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, after two weeks of non-regular market updates, I'm back with a regular episode. Here, I dive deep into the current state of rotation in asset classes, highlighting the strength of commodities and the opposing rotations for stocks and...
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The Halftime Show: Fixed Income Continues To Fall, Can't Say I Didn't WARN You!
by Pete Carmasino,
Chief Market Strategist, Chaikin Analytics
Pete has been monitoring and calling out the downfall of TLT for nearly 20 months. In this week's edition of StockCharts TV'sHalftime, Pete explains why the ETF broke below $90 and how the US 10-year is over 4.5% on the same day. He dives into...
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MEM TV: How to Tell When It's Safe to Get Back Into the Markets
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe MEM Edge, Mary Ellen reviews what drove the previous week's sharp pullback and what we'll need to see before the markets can turn positive again. She also highlights recession-proof stocks that are currently attractive as well as high...
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