Arthur Hill

Arthur Hill


Arthur is Chief Technical Strategist at TrendInvestorPro.com. Focused primarily on US equities and ETFs, his systematic approach of identifying trend, finding signals within and setting key price levels has made him an industry-leading technician. Learn More 

Archived News

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SPY Gaps for Fourth Time, QQQ Tests Support, USO Challenges Flag

SPY Gaps for Fourth Time, QQQ Tests Support, USO Challenges Flag

Stocks opened sharply lower, bounced a bit and then traded flat the rest of the day. The major index ETFs spent the entire day in negative territory and closed with modest losses. Dow futures are down around 100 points at 4:30AM ET on reports that Greece will not submit...   READ MORE 

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The Golden State Trade with Oracle and Under Armour

The Golden State Trade with Oracle and Under Armour

Two stocks associated with the Golden State Warriors are showing promise as Step Curry leads his team to a 3-2 lead in the series. The Warriors play in the Oracle Arena and Oracle (ORCL) is making waves with an ascending triangle. Admittedly, the pattern is a little long and the...   READ MORE 

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QQQ Triangulates, IWM Leads, USO Challenges Bull Flag

QQQ Triangulates, IWM Leads, USO Challenges Bull Flag

Stocks moved up at the beginning of the week and down towards the end of the week. The end result was mixed for the major index ETFs as QQQ fell around .50% and IWM gained .42%. The sectors were mixed with finance showing strength and energy showing weakness. Strength in...   READ MORE 

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SPY Stalls at Resistance - USO Hits Flag Trend Line

SPY Stalls at Resistance - USO Hits Flag Trend Line

Stocks were flat on Thursday as the market digested Wednesday's big gain. The major index ETFs closed slightly higher with IWM gaining .25% and MDY leading with a .60% advance. The sectors were mixed with modest gains in industrials, materials and healthcare. Energy weakened as the USO Oil...   READ MORE 

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A Breadth Up Thrust - IWM Leads - USO Challenges Flag Resistance

A Breadth Up Thrust - IWM Leads - USO Challenges Flag Resistance

Stocks surged with the major index ETFs opening strong and finishing strong. We did not see a pop and drop, and this is positive. The gains were relatively even with IWM gaining 1.25%, QQQ advancing 1.37% and SPY surging 1.20%. All sectors were up with technology and...   READ MORE 

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Only One of the Nine Sector SPDRs is up this Month

Only One of the Nine Sector SPDRs is up this Month

Eight of the nine sector SPDRs are down month-to-date and the S&P 500 SPDR (SPY) is also down (as of the 9-June close). One sector, however, is bucking the trend with a small gain. The Finance SPDR (XLF) is up around a half percent and easily outperforming the...   READ MORE 

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SPY Downtrend Gets Oversold - IWM Triangulates

SPY Downtrend Gets Oversold - IWM Triangulates

Trading was rather quiet on Tuesday as the S&P 500 dipped in early trading, rebounded into positive territory by noon and then traded flat. The major index ETFs finished flat with fractional losses in IWM (-.30%) and SPY (-.01%). The sectors were mixed with small gains...   READ MORE 

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Sector Balance Tilts to the Bears - IWM Holds Up

Sector Balance Tilts to the Bears - IWM Holds Up

Stocks opened weak and remained weak as the S&P 500 extended its two week slide. This slide started with the gap down on Tuesday, May 26th, the day after Memorial Day. Tech stocks led the way lower as QQQ lost around 1%. Small-caps held up relatively well as...   READ MORE 

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Time Warner and Eastman Chemical Lead SCTR Gainers

Time Warner and Eastman Chemical Lead SCTR Gainers

Chartists looking for the "relative strength" movers and shakers of the day can focus on the stocks and ETFs with the biggest changes in their StockCharts Technical Rank (SCTR). Small tables can be found in the bottom half of the home page and full listings can be found...   READ MORE 

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Market Remains Very Mixed - Small-Caps and Mid-Caps Lead Though

Market Remains Very Mixed - Small-Caps and Mid-Caps Lead Though

Stocks were mixed most of the week and the major index ETFs finished mixed. The S&P 500 SPDR (SPY) and Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) edged lower, while the Russell 2000 iShares (IWM), S&P MidCap SPDR (MDY) and S&P SmallCap iShares (IJR) closed modestly higher...   READ MORE 

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Should the Stock Market Worry about Rising Rates?

Should the Stock Market Worry about Rising Rates?

There have been four big surges in the 10-year Treasury Yield since the bull market for the S&P 500 began in 2009. These big moves certainly sent shock waves through the bond market, but the stock market was not rattled because the S&P 500 produced double...   READ MORE 

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QQQ forms Cup with Handle - Oil Fails to Hold Breakout

QQQ forms Cup with Handle - Oil Fails to Hold Breakout

Stocks just couldn't bear the pressure any longer and sold off on Thursday. The S&P 500 opened weak and finished weak for a .86% decline on the day. Overall, the decline is not that big and the index is still less than 2% from an all...   READ MORE 

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Small-caps Lead as IWM Breaks Out - UUP Hits Moment of Truth

Small-caps Lead as IWM Breaks Out - UUP Hits Moment of Truth

Stocks chopped around again on Wednesday, but managed to hold their early gains and close positive. The S&P 500 surged to 2121 in the first hour, fell back to 2112 around lunchtime and then finished at 2114 for a small gain. The Russell 2000 iShares (IWM) and the...   READ MORE 

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Don't Look Now, but Small-cap SCTRs are Leading

Don't Look Now, but Small-cap SCTRs are Leading

May was a strong month for big tech stocks, small caps and mid caps. It was such a big month that the Russell 2000 iShares, S&P SmallCap iShares and S&P MidCap SPDR are in the top third of the SCTR table below. Notice that the Russell...   READ MORE 

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Oil Gets a Break, IWM Perks Up and Bonds Break Down

Oil Gets a Break, IWM Perks Up and Bonds Break Down

Stocks chopped around again on Tuesday with the S&P 500 falling to 2100 on the open, bouncing back to 2117 in the early afternoon and settling around 2110 by the close. Overall, the major index ETFs ended the day mixed. DIA and QQQ edged lower, while IWM and...   READ MORE 

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Three of Five Sectors in Short-term Downtrends - SPY Triangulates

Three of Five Sectors in Short-term Downtrends - SPY Triangulates

Stocks chopped around on Monday with the S&P 500 trading in an 18 point range the entire day. The major index ETFs finished with small gains led by the Russell MicroCap iShares (+.40%). The sectors were mixed with energy, materials and consumer staples showing some weakness. Healthcare, industrials...   READ MORE 

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Home Construction ETF Moves Into Leading RRG Quadrant

Home Construction ETF Moves Into Leading RRG Quadrant

The Home Construction iShares (ITB) is showing some improvement in relative performance with a move from the improving quadrant to the leading quadrant over the last few days. The image below shows a daily Relative Rotation Graph (RRG) with ten industry group ETFs and the Equal-Weight S&P 500...   READ MORE 

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Breadth Turns Bearish, IWM Contracts and USO Challenges Channel Line

Breadth Turns Bearish, IWM Contracts and USO Challenges Channel Line

Stocks were all over the place last week. The S&P 500 plunged on Tuesday, rebounded on Wednesday and fell back on Thursday-Friday. For the week, the major index ETFs ended lower by around 1%. All sectors were lower with energy and industrials leading the way down. The healthcare...   READ MORE 

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Range Narrows for IWM, Industrials Lag and Tech Leads

Range Narrows for IWM, Industrials Lag and Tech Leads

Stocks sank on the open, but quickly firmed and rebounded somewhat in the afternoon. For the day, the major index ETFs finished fractionally lower, but the S&P SmallCap iShares (IJR) bucked a little with a fractional gain. The sectors were mostly lower with energy and industrials leading the...   READ MORE 

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QQQ Leads Bounce, RYT Hits New High, USO Maintains Downtrend

QQQ Leads Bounce, RYT Hits New High, USO Maintains Downtrend

Stocks swooned on Tuesday and then recovered most of their losses on Wednesday. Techs led the way as the Technology SPDR (XLK) hit a new high and QQQ closed at a new closing high. Semiconductors led the rebound as the Semiconductor SPDR (XSD) surged over 3% and hit a new...   READ MORE 

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Palladium Holds Up Better than Gold

Palladium Holds Up Better than Gold

The Palladium ETF (PALL) caught my eye on Tuesday because it held up quite well when other metals were getting hit hard. Gold was down around 1.5%, while platinum and silver fell around 2%. PALL was down just .26% and the ETF is edging higher in early trading on...   READ MORE 

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IWM Breaks Support, TLT Breaks Resistance and GLD Plunges

IWM Breaks Support, TLT Breaks Resistance and GLD Plunges

Stocks fell with selling pressure across the board. The major index ETFs were all down around 1% and the declines were pretty even. All sector SPDRs and equal-weight sector ETFs were down. The Consumer Discretionary SPDR (-.71%) and the Utilities SPDR (-.63%) were down the least and held...   READ MORE 

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SPY Holds Uptrend, IWM Still Lags, UUP Breaks Out and Oil Trends Lower

SPY Holds Uptrend, IWM Still Lags, UUP Breaks Out and Oil Trends Lower

The S&P 500 finished the week with a gain, but was hit with selling pressure in the final hour on Friday. For the week, the index surged on Monday and then traded flat from Tuesday to Friday. Small-caps led Friday's pullback as the Russell 2000 iShares...   READ MORE 

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SPY Leads with New High, TLT Firms in Oversold Territory and UUP Holds Breakout

SPY Leads with New High, TLT Firms in Oversold Territory and UUP Holds Breakout

The S&P 500 edged higher on Thursday, but market action was mixed overall. QQQ and SPY closed slightly higher, while IWM closed slightly lower. Seven of the nine sector SPDRs were up with energy, industrials and technology leading the way. XLI got a nice bounce from GE, which...   READ MORE 

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IWM Starts to Lead, RYH Leads Sectors and UUP Holds Breakout

IWM Starts to Lead, RYH Leads Sectors and UUP Holds Breakout

Stocks did the old pop and drop as the S&P 500 surged to 2135 after the Fed minutes and then plunged back to its starting point (2125). The index ended the day unchanged and nothing has changed regarding the trend. Yesterday's pop and drop was just...   READ MORE 

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What Matters Most for the S&P 500?

What Matters Most for the S&P 500?

The S&P 500 is in the midst of one of the strongest and most consistent trends ever. The chart below shows the S&P 500 twice. The top window shows the index with a 7% Zigzag indicator in pink and the bottom window shows a 10% Zigzag....   READ MORE 

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TLT Becomes More Oversold, UUP Breaks Out, GLD Fails First Test

TLT Becomes More Oversold, UUP Breaks Out, GLD Fails First Test

Stocks meandered on Tuesday with the S&P 500 trading on either side of 2130 the entire day. The ETF fell below 2130 in the afternoon and closed at 2127 (-.06%). The sectors were mostly lower with energy leading the decline. The Finance SPDR (XLF) was the strongest...   READ MORE 

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Small-Caps Start to Lead as Dollar Bounces, SPY Hits New High, GLD Holds Breakout and USO Stalls

Small-Caps Start to Lead as Dollar Bounces, SPY Hits New High, GLD Holds Breakout and USO Stalls

Stocks continued higher with the S&P 500 and Dow Industrials recording new all time highs. They were not the leaders though. The Russell 2000 iShares (IWM) led and was the only major index ETF to gain over 1% on the day. Seven of the nine sector SPDRs finished...   READ MORE 

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Dow Joins S&P 500 with New High

Dow Joins S&P 500 with New High

The S&P 500 hit a new high last week and the Dow Industrials followed suit with a new high this week. Overall, the Dow broke triangle resistance with a surge on Thursday and this breakout signals a continuation of the current uptrend. Broken resistance turns first support to...   READ MORE 

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EW Industrials Leads Sector Surge - SPY Hits New High

EW Industrials Leads Sector Surge - SPY Hits New High

It was a pretty wild week for stocks. The S&P 500 started weak with a 25 point decline and dip below 2090. This dip did not last long as the index surged back above 2115 on Thursday and hit an all time high on Friday. Yes, an all...   READ MORE 

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Weakening Dollar Boosts Large-cap Stocks

Weakening Dollar Boosts Large-cap Stocks

The falling Dollar is boosting large-caps and they are outperforming small-caps. This makes sense because large-caps are typically multinational companies that derive a good portion of their revenue abroad. The Financial Times estimates that companies in the S&P 500 generate around 40% of their revenues abroad. These foreign...   READ MORE 

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SPY Leads, IWM Falls Short and GLD Gets Breakout

SPY Leads, IWM Falls Short and GLD Gets Breakout

The S&P 500 opened strong and finished strong, and Thursday's close above 2120 was a new closing high for the index. The index has yet to hit an intraday high, but the trends are up and new intraday highs should follow. The rally was pretty broad-based,...   READ MORE 

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Short-Term Trend Analysis 14-May-15

Short-Term Trend Analysis 14-May-15

The S&P 500 did just the opposite of Tuesday. The index opened weak on Tuesday, rebounded and then traded flat. On Wednesday, the index opened strong, immediately fell back and then traded flat. This is par for the course because it has been swinging above/below 2100 the...   READ MORE 

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Paccar Holds Big Breakout and Goes for Another

Paccar Holds Big Breakout and Goes for Another

Paccar (PCAR) sports a bullish looking chart with two breakouts in as many months. The stock surged from October to December and then corrected with a decline that retraced 62%. After three bounces off the 62% retracement area, the stock broke out with a surge in mid-April. This breakout ended...   READ MORE 

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Short-Term Trend Analysis 13-May-15

Short-Term Trend Analysis 13-May-15

You got to give the bulls credit on Tuesday. The S&P 500 opened weak with a 20 point decline and move below 2090. This decline wiped out Friday's gain and made the bulls look weak. Instead of continuing lower though, the index immediately firmed and bounced...   READ MORE 

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Short-Term Trend Analysis 12-May-15

Short-Term Trend Analysis 12-May-15

The S&P 500 surged on Friday morning, traded flat the rest of the day and then worked its way lower on Monday. The overall loss (.50%) was modest and this could be just a correction after the Friday surge. The sectors were mostly lower with energy leading the...   READ MORE 

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Energy SPDR Fails at Long-term Moving Average

Energy SPDR Fails at Long-term Moving Average

The Energy SPDR (XLE) is in a long-term downtrend and it looks like the short-term uptrend reversed over the last few days. The chart below shows XLE failing at the falling 200-day moving average with a bearish engulfing last week and breaking below short-term support at 81. The ETF bounced...   READ MORE 

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Stocks Surge with Uninspiring Breadth - GLD Forms Two Flags

Stocks Surge with Uninspiring Breadth - GLD Forms Two Flags

Stocks surged on Friday as the S&P 500 opened around 2113 and closed around 2116. Even though the index held the opening surge, there was not much movement after the surge (+3 points). The major index ETFs closed higher, but small-caps and mid-caps lagged. MDY and IWM were...   READ MORE 

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Short-Term Trend Analysis 08-May-15

Short-Term Trend Analysis 08-May-15

Stocks bounced and the major index ETFs closed modestly higher. Eight of the nine sector SPDRs were up. Energy fell because oil was down sharply. The decline in oil boosted the Airline ETF (JETS) and this helped the Transport iShares (IYT) to a 1.11% gain. Commodities were down pretty...   READ MORE 

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BroadCom Forms Bullish Continuation Pattern

BroadCom Forms Bullish Continuation Pattern

It has been a rough month for stocks overall, but Broadcom (BRCM) is bucking the selling pressure and challenging resistance. There are two bullish continuation patterns possible on this chart. First, an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern extends back to early March. Second, the right two-thirds of the pattern looks like a...   READ MORE