Arthur Hill

Arthur Hill


Arthur is Chief Technical Strategist at TrendInvestorPro.com. Focused primarily on US equities and ETFs, his systematic approach of identifying trend, finding signals within and setting key price levels has made him an industry-leading technician. Learn More 

Archived News

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Eight of Nine Sector SPDRs Hit New Highs

Eight of Nine Sector SPDRs Hit New Highs

The overall picture remains bullish for stocks and sector participation is broad. Six of the nine sector SPDRs hit new highs this week, and seven of the nine hit new highs this month. The Consumer Discretionary SPDR is the only one that has yet to hit a new high and...   READ MORE 

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Yields Move Higher Despite Dovish Fed - UUP Falls Back to Retracement

Yields Move Higher Despite Dovish Fed - UUP Falls Back to Retracement

Stocks did not do much, but it was a most interesting day elsewhere. The major index ETFs closed fractionally higher and the sectors were mixed. The consumer discretionary, technology and finance sectors were fractionally lower. The energy, consumer staples and utilities sectors were modestly higher. Gold and silver miners surged...   READ MORE 

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A Dark Cloud Forms Over Paychex

A Dark Cloud Forms Over Paychex

Paychex (PAYX) is having all kinds of problems breaking through resistance in the 41.7 area. A bearish engulfing is taking shape today and this is the third bearish candlestick reversal pattern in six weeks. The late May and early June lows mark support in the 40.2-40.4 area...   READ MORE 

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Dovish Fed Puts Bid into Stocks, Bonds and Gold

Dovish Fed Puts Bid into Stocks, Bonds and Gold

The Yellen Fed came out with a dovish statement on Wednesday. This put a bid into utilities, gold, bonds and stocks. The Dollar and Treasury yields moved lower. The gains in the major index ETFs were modest, but enough to extend the short-term uptrends. The Utilities SPDR surged over 2%...   READ MORE 

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Chart Setups: ARMH, CERN, JNPR, LSCC, TASR

Chart Setups: ARMH, CERN, JNPR, LSCC, TASR

There are five setups today. First, we start with a semiconductor stock forming an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern. Second, there is a healthcare stock with a bull flag taking shape. Third, we feature a networking stock with a Bollinger Band squeeze. The fourth stock also comes from the semiconductor group and...   READ MORE 

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Utility Stocks Show Big Relative Gains on SCTR Table

Utility Stocks Show Big Relative Gains on SCTR Table

The utilities sector is on fire Wednesday with several stocks sporting big gains in their StockCharts Technical Rank (SCTR). Northeast Utilities (NU), DTE Energy (DTE) and AES Corp (AES) have double digit gains in their SCTR. Notice that this table can be sorted by clicking the column heading. This makes...   READ MORE 

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UUP Bounces off Support as GLD Hits Resistance

UUP Bounces off Support as GLD Hits Resistance

It seems that there are higher yields in our future. The economy is plugging along, the labor market is improving and inflation is on target. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose .4% in May and this was the largest increase since February 2013. It also puts the CPI on target...   READ MORE 

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Finance Sector Lights up the MarketCarpet

Finance Sector Lights up the MarketCarpet

The Sector MarketCarpet shows the Finance SPDR (XLF) catching the strongest bid because it is the darkest green. The Utilities SPDR (XLU) is the weakest with an average loss of .36%. Hover over the carpet and right click to see formatting options. Click the arrow in the upper right to...   READ MORE 

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Chart Setups: DSX,GME,HMC,IMMR,NKE,UAL

Chart Setups: DSX,GME,HMC,IMMR,NKE,UAL

Today we have six setups. We start with a shipper that broke resistance and successfully tested this breakout with a high volume bounce. Next we have a video game retailer consolidating after a gap. Third up is a Japanese automaker with a bull flag. The fourth slot goes to a...   READ MORE 

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Finance Sector Corrects as Fed and Settlements Loom

Finance Sector Corrects as Fed and Settlements Loom

Stocks were mixed on Monday, but the major index ETFs managed to eek out small gains. Small-caps showed some relative strength as the Russell 2000 ETF gained .48% on the day. The sectors were mixed with weakness in finance, industrials and materials. Energy and utilities were strong. Strength in oil...   READ MORE 

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Chemtura Hits Rising Three Methods Scan

Chemtura Hits Rising Three Methods Scan

The Rising Three Methods candlestick pattern is a bullish continuation pattern with four candlesticks: a long white candlestick, three candlesticks with small bodies and a long white candlestick that signals a continuation higher. The three small candlesticks mark a short correction or pullback. The chart below shows Chemtura with this...   READ MORE 

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It Could be a Big Week for Housing Stocks and Treasuries

It Could be a Big Week for Housing Stocks and Treasuries

It could be a big week for housing-related stocks and Treasury bonds. The Home Construction iShares (ITB) is at a critical juncture because it is testing the early June breakout after last week's pullback. We will get new data points for housing starts and building permits on Tuesday....   READ MORE 

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Modest Selling Pressure Hits Stocks - GLD Surges to First Resistance

Modest Selling Pressure Hits Stocks - GLD Surges to First Resistance

Selling pressure extended on Thursday, but the losses in the major index ETFs were modest. The Russell 2000 ETF declined .61% and the S&P 500 SPDR fell .71%. This is moderate selling pressure. There were, of course, some pockets with more intense selling pressure. The consumer discretionary and...   READ MORE 

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Spot Light Crude Surges Through Resistance

Spot Light Crude Surges Through Resistance

Tensions in Iraq put a big bid into Spot Light Crude ($WTIC) as this key commodity broke above its March-May highs. Overall, crude formed an ascending triangle over the last few months and today's breakout signals a continuation of the January-February surge. The height of the pattern (105...   READ MORE 

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ITB Tests Breakout Zone - UUP Extends Higher

ITB Tests Breakout Zone - UUP Extends Higher

Stocks came under selling pressure on Wednesday with the Russell 2000 ETF losing around .50% and the S&P 500 SPDR falling .35%. Even though today's decline was insignificant for the broader market, there are some growing concerns that could lead to a pullback or corrective period...   READ MORE 

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Chart Setups: ARNA, EIGI, JIVE, MYL, UTHR

Chart Setups: ARNA, EIGI, JIVE, MYL, UTHR

Today's charts feature five setups. First, there is a small pharma company bouncing off support after a hammer. Second, we have a recent IPO getting a breakout with good volume. Third, there is a small software company with a double bottom taking shape. Fourth, a generic drug maker...   READ MORE 

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The Noose Tightens on NutriSystem

The Noose Tightens on NutriSystem

Nutrisystem (NTRI) broke out with a big gap-surge in early May and then consolidated with a triangle. The gap and breakout are largely holding as volatility contracts. Notice how the Bollinger Bands narrowed and volume dried up over the last few weeks. Chartists should watch the June range for the...   READ MORE 

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Stocks Turned Mixed, but Short-Term Uptrend Remains

Stocks Turned Mixed, but Short-Term Uptrend Remains

It was a mixed day on Wall Street as the Nasdaq 100 ETF edged higher (.17%) and the S&P 500 SPDR edged lower (.01%). The gains and losses in the major index ETFs were insignificant and Tuesday can be called a consolidation day. The sectors were also mixed...   READ MORE 

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New Highs Expand as Small-Caps Extend Rally

New Highs Expand as Small-Caps Extend Rally

Stocks continued higher in early trading and then succumbed to some selling pressure in the afternoon. The Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) closed slightly lower, the S&P 500 SPDR (SPY) edged higher and the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) gained .88% on the day. The sectors were mixed with five...   READ MORE 

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Chart Setups: ARMH, CERN, DWA, HTWR, WTW

Chart Setups: ARMH, CERN, DWA, HTWR, WTW

Today's charts feature five setups. First, we have a semiconductor stock with a bullish reversal pattern in the works. Second, we have a software company catering to the healthcare sector. Third, there is a movie producer scheduled to release a sequel this weekend. Fourth, there is a medical...   READ MORE 

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Key Industry Group ETFs Lead Market Higher

Key Industry Group ETFs Lead Market Higher

Stocks caught a decent bid last week with small-caps, mid-caps and micro-caps leading the way. This shows strength at the high-beta end of the market and shows an increased appetite for risk. All sectors were up with finance, industrials and consumer discretionary leading the way. Relative strength in finance and...   READ MORE 

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Key Breadth Indicators Confirm New Highs in the Stock Market

Key Breadth Indicators Confirm New Highs in the Stock Market

The AD Line and AD Volume Line are aggregate measures of participation. The AD Line favors small and mid-caps because an advance equals +1 and a decline equals -1, regardless of market cap. This means an advance in Apple ($556 billion market cap) counts the same as an advance in...   READ MORE 

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Small-Caps and Regional Banks Lead Market Higher

Small-Caps and Regional Banks Lead Market Higher

Stocks caught a bid with the Russell 2000 ETF and Russell MicroCap iShares leading the charge. Both gained over 2% and easily outperformed the S&P 500 SPDR, which gained just .60% on the day. All sectors were up with industrials and finance leading. Among the key industry group...   READ MORE 

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IWM Breaks Bearish Resistance Line on P&F Chart

IWM Breaks Bearish Resistance Line on P&F Chart

The P&F chart below shows the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) with 30-cent boxes to capture the medium-term trend. Notice that this chart extends back to January, which is marked by the red numeral 1 in the first column. The ETF broke the bullish support line in April and...   READ MORE 

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Chart Setups: AMTD, BBRY, DSX, IACI, SPWR

Chart Setups: AMTD, BBRY, DSX, IACI, SPWR

Today's charts feature five setups. First, we have a stockbroker testing a major support zone. Second, there is a cell phone maker gapping higher and holding the gap. Third, a shipper is showing signs of life with a big move. The fourth chart features an internet company with...   READ MORE 

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CCI Breakout on IWM Chart Holds - TLT Breaks Support

CCI Breakout on IWM Chart Holds - TLT Breaks Support

Stocks edged higher on Wednesday with the major index ETFs posting modest gains. The economic reports continue to be positive with the ISM Services Index coming in well above 50 and the ADP report showing 179000 new private sector jobs. Also note that the Fed's beige book showed...   READ MORE 

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Dow Hits New High without Big Blue

Dow Hits New High without Big Blue

The Dow Industrials hit another new high this week, but IBM did not help the cause and remains well below its mid April high. This means IBM shows relative weakness, which is confirmed by the StockCharts Technical Rank (SCTR). The SCTR (red line) is below 20 and has spent most...   READ MORE 

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Stocks Start Outperforming Bonds as TLT Tests Support

Stocks Start Outperforming Bonds as TLT Tests Support

Stocks put in a lackluster performance as the market awaits a data deluge in the coming days. We have the ADP Employment Report, Fed Beige Book and ISM Services today. Initial Claims and the European Central Bank (ECB) meeting are Thursday. And, of course, Friday is non-farm payrolls. Automakers reported...   READ MORE 

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Dollar Tree Holds the Breakaway Gap

Dollar Tree Holds the Breakaway Gap

The Dollar Tree chart shows two breakaway gaps in opposite directions. The first breakaway gap occurred in November and started a downtrend. The second breakaway gap occurred in late May and held for over a week. Like the November gap, this gap occurred on high volume and could signal the...   READ MORE 

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KRE Challenges Resistance as TLT Plunges to Trend Line Support

KRE Challenges Resistance as TLT Plunges to Trend Line Support

Stocks put in a mixed performance on Monday with large-caps and mid-caps edging higher, and small-caps moving lower. The gains and losses were contained and not enough to affect the short-term trends. Five of the nine sector SPDRs were up, but the gains and losses were inconsequential. Of note, the...   READ MORE 

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Chart Setups: ATVI, ANF, LB, MOS, NYT

Chart Setups: ATVI, ANF, LB, MOS, NYT

Today's charts feature five setups. A video game maker is consolidating within an uptrend. A teen apparel retailer triggered a bear trap after a failed support break. A women's apparel retailer is consolidating after a gap-reversal. A fertilizer company formed a big bullish continuation pattern. And,...   READ MORE 

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Gannet Leads Large-caps SCTR Gainers with a Big Gap

Gannet Leads Large-caps SCTR Gainers with a Big Gap

Looking for relative performance leaders? Look no further than the StockCharts home page and the top SCTR movers. The StockCharts Technical Rank (SCTR) tables can be found on the home page near the bottom. Click the "top up" tab to see the biggest gainers and "top down&...   READ MORE 

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SPY and TLT Hit New Highs ahead of Big Economic Week

SPY and TLT Hit New Highs ahead of Big Economic Week

The S&P 500 SPDR and 20+ YR T-Bond ETF extended their uptrends with new highs last week, but this positive correlation could get a big test with a full economic docket this week.  The Dow Diamonds, Nasdaq 100 ETF, Equal-Weight S&P 500 ETF and S&...   READ MORE 

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Regional Bank SPDR Continues to Track the Yield Spread

Regional Bank SPDR Continues to Track the Yield Spread

While falling yields translate into lower borrowing costs for the borrower, they are not always positive for the lender. In particular, the recent decline in the 10-Year Treasury Yield ($TNX) caused the spread between the 10-year yield and the 2-year yield to narrow (red dashed line). The chart below shows...   READ MORE 

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Chart Setups: COPPER, GME, NBL, $WTIC, XRT

Chart Setups: COPPER, GME, NBL, $WTIC, XRT

Today's charts feature five setups from across the board. A key industrial metal retraced 50-62% of its prior advance and may hit resistance soon. A game retailer with high short interest gapped up. An oil services company shows signs of firming in a key retracement zone. Oil hit...   READ MORE 

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Small-Cap Financials are Still Underperforming

Small-Cap Financials are Still Underperforming

Note that I will be taking a day off on Friday and Art's charts will not be updated until Monday. Stocks took a breather on Wednesday with small losses in the major index ETFs. The Russell 2000 ETF and Russell MicroCap iShares suffered the biggest losses, but the...   READ MORE 

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Tech SPDR Makes a Relative Strength Breakout

Tech SPDR Makes a Relative Strength Breakout

The chart below shows year-to-date relative performance for four sector SPDRs (XLK, XLF, XLI and XLY). Notice that the XLK:SPY ratio shot up over the last two weeks and moved to its highest level of the year (above the February peak). In fact, the XLK:SPY ratio is the...   READ MORE 

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Techs Lead Market High - Gold Confirms Bearish Continuation Pattern

Techs Lead Market High - Gold Confirms Bearish Continuation Pattern

Stocks were higher again on Tuesday with small-caps leading the way. The Russell 2000 ETF and Russell MicroCap iShares gained 1.44% and 1.92%, respectively. Strength in small-caps triggered a breakout in IWM as it moved above its mid May high. The Finance SPDR and Technology SPDR led the...   READ MORE 

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Intel Gets a Squeeze and a Breakout

Intel Gets a Squeeze and a Breakout

Intel (INTC) is leading the semiconductor group higher with a move above its upper Bollinger Band. Notice how the bands contracted as volatility narrowed over the last few weeks. The breakout signals what could be the start of a volatility expansion and continuation higher. Chartists can use the recent lows...   READ MORE 

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Chart Setups: CY, GPS, LB, MRVL, USG

Chart Setups: CY, GPS, LB, MRVL, USG

Today's charts feature five setups in various groups. We start with a semiconductor stock making a breakout on high volume. Next, there are two retailers with bullish continuation patterns forming. Both broke out with gaps and are now consolidating. Fourth, we have another semiconductor stock bouncing off support...   READ MORE