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IWM Breaks Bearish Resistance Line on P&F Chart
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The P&F chart below shows the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) with 30-cent boxes to capture the medium-term trend. Notice that this chart extends back to January, which is marked by the red numeral 1 in the first column. The ETF broke the bullish support line in...
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Chart Setups: AMTD, BBRY, DSX, IACI, SPWR
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Today's charts feature five setups. First, we have a stockbroker testing a major support zone. Second, there is a cell phone maker gapping higher and holding the gap. Third, a shipper is showing signs of life with a big move. The fourth chart features an internet company with...
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CCI Breakout on IWM Chart Holds - TLT Breaks Support
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks edged higher on Wednesday with the major index ETFs posting modest gains. The economic reports continue to be positive with the ISM Services Index coming in well above 50 and the ADP report showing 179000 new private sector jobs. Also note that the Fed's beige book showed...
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Dow Hits New High without Big Blue
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The Dow Industrials hit another new high this week, but IBM did not help the cause and remains well below its mid April high. This means IBM shows relative weakness, which is confirmed by the StockCharts Technical Rank (SCTR). The SCTR (red line) is below 20 and has spent most...
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Stocks Start Outperforming Bonds as TLT Tests Support
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks put in a lackluster performance as the market awaits a data deluge in the coming days. We have the ADP Employment Report, Fed Beige Book and ISM Services today. Initial Claims and the European Central Bank (ECB) meeting are Thursday. And, of course, Friday is non-farm payrolls. Automakers...
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Dollar Tree Holds the Breakaway Gap
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The Dollar Tree chart shows two breakaway gaps in opposite directions. The first breakaway gap occurred in November and started a downtrend. The second breakaway gap occurred in late May and held for over a week. Like the November gap, this gap occurred on high volume and could signal the...
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KRE Challenges Resistance as TLT Plunges to Trend Line Support
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks put in a mixed performance on Monday with large-caps and mid-caps edging higher, and small-caps moving lower. The gains and losses were contained and not enough to affect the short-term trends. Five of the nine sector SPDRs were up, but the gains and losses were...
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Chart Setups: ATVI, ANF, LB, MOS, NYT
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Today's charts feature five setups. A video game maker is consolidating within an uptrend. A teen apparel retailer triggered a bear trap after a failed support break. A women's apparel retailer is consolidating after a gap-reversal. A fertilizer company formed a big bullish continuation pattern....
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Gannet Leads Large-caps SCTR Gainers with a Big Gap
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Looking for relative performance leaders? Look no further than the StockCharts home page and the top SCTR movers. The StockCharts Technical Rank (SCTR) tables can be found on the home page near the bottom. Click the "top up" tab to see the biggest gainers and "top down&...
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SPY and TLT Hit New Highs ahead of Big Economic Week
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The S&P 500 SPDR and 20+ YR T-Bond ETF extended their uptrends with new highs last week, but this positive correlation could get a big test with a full economic docket this week. The Dow Diamonds, Nasdaq 100 ETF, Equal-Weight S&P 500 ETF and...
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Regional Bank SPDR Continues to Track the Yield Spread
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
While falling yields translate into lower borrowing costs for the borrower, they are not always positive for the lender. In particular, the recent decline in the 10-Year Treasury Yield ($TNX) caused the spread between the 10-year yield and the 2-year yield to narrow (red dashed line). The...
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Chart Setups: COPPER, GME, NBL, $WTIC, XRT
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Today's charts feature five setups from across the board. A key industrial metal retraced 50-62% of its prior advance and may hit resistance soon. A game retailer with high short interest gapped up. An oil services company shows signs of firming in a key retracement zone. Oil...
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Small-Cap Financials are Still Underperforming
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Note that I will be taking a day off on Friday and Art's charts will not be updated until Monday. Stocks took a breather on Wednesday with small losses in the major index ETFs. The Russell 2000 ETF and Russell MicroCap iShares suffered the biggest losses, but the...
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Tech SPDR Makes a Relative Strength Breakout
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The chart below shows year-to-date relative performance for four sector SPDRs (XLK, XLF, XLI and XLY). Notice that the XLK:SPY ratio shot up over the last two weeks and moved to its highest level of the year (above the February peak). In fact, the XLK:SPY ratio...
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Techs Lead Market High - Gold Confirms Bearish Continuation Pattern
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks were higher again on Tuesday with small-caps leading the way. The Russell 2000 ETF and Russell MicroCap iShares gained 1.44% and 1.92%, respectively. Strength in small-caps triggered a breakout in IWM as it moved above its mid May high. The Finance SPDR and Technology SPDR...
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Intel Gets a Squeeze and a Breakout
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Intel (INTC) is leading the semiconductor group higher with a move above its upper Bollinger Band. Notice how the bands contracted as volatility narrowed over the last few weeks. The breakout signals what could be the start of a volatility expansion and continuation higher. Chartists can use the recent lows...
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Chart Setups: CY, GPS, LB, MRVL, USG
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Today's charts feature five setups in various groups. We start with a semiconductor stock making a breakout on high volume. Next, there are two retailers with bullish continuation patterns forming. Both broke out with gaps and are now consolidating. Fourth, we have another semiconductor stock bouncing off support...
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IWM Moves Back above Key Moving Average - SPY Hits New High
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Last week was a pretty good week for stocks. First, small-caps led the market as the Russell 2000 ETF gained over 2%. Second, the Consumer Discretionary SPDR led the sectors higher with a 2.09% gain. Third, Treasuries actually fell as the 20+ YR T-Bond ETF lost .74%...
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Uranium ETF Tests Support with Inside Week
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The Global Uranium ETF (URA) has had a tough eleven weeks with a decline from 19 to 14, but support may be at hand. The October-November lows marked support in the 14 area and the ETF firmed here with an inside week last week. Also notice that CCI is...
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IWM Keeps Bear Trap Alive - ITB Bounces within Downtrend
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks moved higher on Thursday with another lopsided advance. The Russell 2000 ETF gained around 1%, but the S&P 500 SPDR gained just .30%. Small-caps led and large-caps lagged. Eight of the nine sectors were higher with the consumer discretionary and finance sectors leading. Homebuilders contributed...
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Charts: ANF, AKAM, CYH, DDD, FB
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Today's charts feature five setups in various groups. We start with an internet stock that is firming in a gap zone and retracement area. There is a clothing retailer with a bearish wedge. Next up is a hospital stock that appears to be healing with a gap and...
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Media Stocks Lead XLY - Small-Cap Breadth Indicator Remains Bearish
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks rebounded on Wednesday with large-caps leading the way. The Dow Diamonds (DIA) and S&P 100 ETF (OEF) rose around 1%. All sectors were up with consumer discretionary and industrials leading. Note, however, that the Retail SPDR (XRT) and the Home Construction iShares (ITB) did not lead...
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Metals & Miners SPDR Breaks Support and Shows Relative Weakness
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
After stalling in March and April, the Metals & Miners SPDR (XME) turned lower in May and broke a key support zone. Notice how XME held the 41 area for two months and then broke this zone twice in May. The indicator window shows the price relative (XME:SPY ratio)...
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Retailers Weigh on Market, but SPY and QQQ Hold Up
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks came under selling pressure with retailers leading the way lower. The Russell 2000 ETF and Russell MicroCap iShares lost around 1.5% on Tuesday. The S&P 500 SPDR and Nasdaq 100 ETF led up relatively well with losses of .63% and .36%, respectively. Yes, the song remains...
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Charts: AMD, GLF, F, FAST, TWO
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Today's charts feature five setups in various groups. A little chip maker found support near its prior gap with a breakout the last two days. An offshore driller shows signs of buying pressure after a breakout. An auto maker bounces off support. An industrial supply stock firms near...
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Techs and Small-Caps Lead the Bounce
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks rallied on Monday with techs and small-caps leading the way. The Russell 2000 ETF gained over 1% and the Nasdaq 100 Equal-Weight ETF advanced .85% on the day. Seven of the nine sector SPDRs were higher with technology, finance and consumer discretionary leading. Their gains, however, were...
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MidCap AD Line Breaks First Support
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks remain mixed overall, but selling pressure is quietly spreading. The S&P 500 SPDR and Nasdaq 100 ETF continue to hold up well, but the Russell 2000 ETF and small-caps remain relatively weak. The market as a whole remains vulnerable as long as small-caps under perform....
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Another Wedge worth Watching
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
As noted in ChartWatchers two weeks ago, rising wedges are appearing on some key charts and chartists should watch these closely for directional clues. Even though the rising wedge can be a bearish continuation pattern, keep in mind that the immediate trend is up as long as the wedge rises....
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Test Looms for SPY as TLT Surges to Highest Level of 2014
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks took it on the chin Thursday with the major index ETFs falling across the board. Reading the financial media, one would have expected 2+ percent declines and blood in the street. The losses, however, where relatively modest and the Russell 2000 did not lead the way lower. The Dow...
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The New Neutral is Well Underway
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Pimco's Bill Gross called his new secular investment theme "the new neutral". Gross expects slow economic growth and low real interest rates over the next five years, and this will fuel the hunt for yield. We can already see the hunt for yield playing out in...
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IWM Traces out Bearish Continuation Pattern
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Small-caps once again led the market lower with the Russell 2000 ETF and Russell MicroCap iShares losing over 1.5% on the day. The Dow Diamonds and S&P 500 SPDR held up relatively well and lost around .5% on Wednesday. The offensive sectors led lower with the...
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Chart Setups: FB, FLIR, POOL, PTC, Z
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Today's charts feature five setups in various groups. Facebook, the king of social networking, has a big reversal pattern taking shape. Flir Systems fell sharply and then formed a bearish continuation pattern. SCP Pool is suffering long with housing stocks and formed rising flag the last few weeks....
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XSD Triangulates - UUP Breaks Free - TLT Bounces within Uptrend
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks were mixed on Tuesday with the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) falling around 1% and the S&P 500 SPDR (SPY) advancing .1% on the day. Eight of the nine sector SPDRs were up, and just one down. The gains were small with the Energy SPDR (XLE) leading the...
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SPY Challenges Prior High - GLD Remains with Bearish Pattern
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks surged with a broad-based rally led by small-caps. The Russell 2000 ETF and the Russell MicroCap iShares gained over 2%, while the Dow Diamonds and S&P 500 SPDR gained less than 1%. It was a lopsided rally, but a little relative strength in small-caps...
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Charts: ARG, BBT, IMMR, JBP, UAL
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Today's charts feature five setups in various groups. Air Gas recovered from a support break and broke flag resistance. BB&T, a regional bank, held above its February low and bounced on good volume the last two days. Immersion continues to toy with support as it gapped...
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Bed Bath & Beyond Follows Bullish Candle with Gap
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY), which is part of the important retail group, is showing strength with a gap and surge. Notice that this gap-surge came after the stock formed a doji and then a bullish engulfing. The doji signals indecision and the bullish engulfing is a bullish candlestick...
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SPY Maintains Upward Bias - UUP Triggers a Bear Trap
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Not much happened in the stock market last week. The Dow Diamonds advanced .59%, the Nasdaq 100 ETF fell .79%, the S&P 500 SPDR decline just .05% and the Russell 2000 ETF lost 1.79%. The nine sector SPDRs were split with four up and five down. The...
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Symantec Goes for a Breakout With Multiple Scan Signals
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Symantec is popping after reporting earnings on Thursday. The chart below shows the stock with a selling climax in mid March, a recovery into early April and a consolidation the last few weeks. With today's gap, the stock is on the verge of a consolidation breakout. The left...
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QQQ Holds Wedge Break - Consumer Discretionary Weighs on Market
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The bulls tried to rally the market in early trading, but the early gains failed to hold as stocks moved lower in the afternoon. Once again, the Russell 2000 ETF and Russell MicroCap iShares led the way lower. The Nasdaq 100 ETF, Dow Diamonds and S&P 500 SPDR...
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Russell MicroCap iShares Underperforms Russell 2000 ETF
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Small-caps are underperforming large-caps and microcaps are underperforming small-caps. Microcaps are similar to the momentum names in that they represent the high beta end of the stock market. The chart below shows the Russell MicroCap iShares (IWC) breaking below its February low with a 14% decline. The...
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