Arthur Hill

Arthur Hill


Arthur is Chief Technical Strategist at TrendInvestorPro.com. Focused primarily on US equities and ETFs, his systematic approach of identifying trend, finding signals within and setting key price levels has made him an industry-leading technician. Learn More 

Archived News

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HealthCare and Consumer Discretionary Sectors Duke it Out for Top Honors

HealthCare and Consumer Discretionary Sectors Duke it Out for Top Honors

The Consumer Discretionary SPDR (XLY) and the HealthCare SPDR (XLV) are the top performing sectors year-to-date. Both are up over 40% and easily outperforming the S&P 500 SPDR (SPY), which is up a mere 29%. The Industrials SPDR (XLI) will take third place and the Finance SPDR (XLF)...   READ MORE 

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Baker Hughes Breaks Key Line on Intraday P&F Chart

Baker Hughes Breaks Key Line on Intraday P&F Chart

Baker Hughes (BHI) perked up over the last few weeks by establishing support in the lows 50s and triggering three bullish P&F signals. First, notice that the stock forged a Triple Top Breakout at 53.7. Second, BHI triggered a bullish Catapult with a move above 54. Third,...   READ MORE 

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Nasdaq AD Line Confirms Underlying Strength

Nasdaq AD Line Confirms Underlying Strength

The Nasdaq AD Line extended its year long uptrend with a surge and new high in December. The chart below shows the AD Line with a series of rising peaks and rising troughs (higher highs and higher lows). Also note that this new high in the AD Line confirms the...   READ MORE 

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Could Copper Play Catch Up in 2014?

Could Copper Play Catch Up in 2014?

The Copper ETN (JJC) is poised to challenge resistance after a channel breakout this month. Notice that the ETF successfully tested the spring-summer lows with a 5+ percent bounce this month. A break above the spring-summer highs would forge a higher high and argue for the start of an uptrend....   READ MORE 

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Relative Weakness in Retail is Offset by Three Key Groups

Relative Weakness in Retail is Offset by Three Key Groups

The PerfChart below shows one-month performance for ten industry group ETFs. Even though I am concerned with relative weakness in the Retail SPDR (XRT), this concern is offset by relative strength in three other groups. It has been a good month for stocks with the Home Construction SPDR (ITB) and...   READ MORE 

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Pre-defined Technical Alerts Page Lights Up

Pre-defined Technical Alerts Page Lights Up

With a strong open on Monday, the pre-defined technical alerts page is showing lots of green for the stock market. Notice that five sector SPDRs hit new highs, three major indices hit new highs and the S&P 500 Bullish Percent Index surged above 80. The table below today&...   READ MORE 

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SPY Breaks to New High - IWM Starts to Lead

SPY Breaks to New High - IWM Starts to Lead

Programming Note: I will be taking time off between Christmas Eve and New Years. The next commentary for Art's Charts will be on Thursday, January 2nd. I wish everyone a very Merry Christmas season and a Happy New Year! Stocks finished the week on a strong note as...   READ MORE 

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Tech Stocks Take Charge as 2014 Approaches

Tech Stocks Take Charge as 2014 Approaches

Key industry group ETFs within the technology sector are leading the market. This shows a healthy appetite for risk and bodes well for the economy. The PerfChart below shows one-month performance for the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) and six tech-related ETFs. The Nasdaq 100 ETF and the Nasdaq...   READ MORE 

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Small-Caps Lag, but Bulk of Evidence Remains Bullish

Small-Caps Lag, but Bulk of Evidence Remains Bullish

After correcting the first two weeks of December, stocks caught a big bid after the FOMC policy statement and the major index ETFs recouped their prior losses. SPY fell from 182 to 178 and then surged to 182 on Wednesday. These moves were enough to propel the Nasdaq AD Line...   READ MORE 

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Intraday AD Lines Fail to Breakout - TLT Stalls at Support

Intraday AD Lines Fail to Breakout - TLT Stalls at Support

After big gains on Wednesday, stocks corrected a bit to digest these gains on Thursday. The Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) and the S&P MidCap 400 ETF (MDY) fell back with losses around .75% on the day. DIA edged higher with a fractional gain, while SPY edged lower. Eight...   READ MORE 

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Sector Summary Reveals the Leading Steel Stocks

Sector Summary Reveals the Leading Steel Stocks

A top-down browse through the sector summary shows that steel stocks are up in a down market on Thursday. Starting with the sector overall, chartists can see which sectors are leading and which are lagging. After clicking "materials sector", chartists will be taken to the industry groups within...   READ MORE 

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SPY Surges to Consolidation Resistance - GLD Breaks Support

SPY Surges to Consolidation Resistance - GLD Breaks Support

The Fed finally decided to taper and the markets are reacted in a big way. Note that the Fed merely reduced its quantitative easing from $85 billion per month to $75 billion. It is, however, a start that marks a change in Fed policy. I think stocks were just waiting...   READ MORE 

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Charts of Interest: BAX, DHI, MXIM, NVDA, TIBX, XLNX

Charts of Interest: BAX, DHI, MXIM, NVDA, TIBX, XLNX

BAX Surges to Wedge Trend Line on Good Volume. DHI Affirms Support with Big Bounce. Plus MXIM, NVDA, TIBX, XLNX Individual charts are below video. Sorry but your browser doesn't support HTML5 video.   **This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not be construed as a...   READ MORE 

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Dow Surges Above Flag Resistance with Triple Digit Move

Dow Surges Above Flag Resistance with Triple Digit Move

The Dow is making a bold statement as it holds the resistance breakout from November and exceeds flag resistance. The Dow broke to new high with a move above 15700 in early November and the 15600-15700 area turns support. This level held on the throwback, which formed a falling flag....   READ MORE 

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Techs and Small-Caps Show Relative Strength

Techs and Small-Caps Show Relative Strength

Today looks like a big day. First, we get housing starts and building permits before the open. Second, we get the Fed policy statement at 2PM ET. This is also Chairman Bernanke's last Fed meeting and last press conference, which will be at 2:30PM. Trading is likely...   READ MORE 

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Hard Drive Makers Lead Tech Sector

Hard Drive Makers Lead Tech Sector

Reports of the death of the PC have been greatly exaggerated. Though not PC makers, the hard drive makers are strong with two hitting 52-week highs this week. Seagate (STX) and Western Digital (WDC) hit new highs and stand out on the predefined scans page. A search for STX shows...   READ MORE 

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ITB Consolidates ahead of Data - SPY Surges off Support

ITB Consolidates ahead of Data - SPY Surges off Support

Stocks got a bounce on Monday with the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) leading the way. The entire bounce, however, occurred in the first twenty minutes of trading. Even though there was no follow thru to the opening surge, the major index ETFs did hold their gains and finished the day...   READ MORE 

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Charts of Interest: CRM, CVC, CY, IBM, KSS, NNA

Charts of Interest: CRM, CVC, CY, IBM, KSS, NNA

CRM Stalls at Support Zone. CVC Forms Continuation Pattern after Breakout. Plus CY, IBM, KSS and NNA Individual charts are below video. Sorry but your browser doesn't support HTML5 video.   **This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy,...   READ MORE 

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Gold&Silver Index Shows Short-term Relative Strength

Gold&Silver Index Shows Short-term Relative Strength

The PHLX Gold & Silver Index ($XAU) is actually showing some strength with a small gain over the last six days. Perhaps this is because most other industry group indices are down and XAU is a contrarian play. The PerfChart below shows John Murphy's eight industry groups since...   READ MORE 

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Techs and Defensive Sectors Lead Market Lower

Techs and Defensive Sectors Lead Market Lower

Stocks extended their correction as the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) saw its biggest weekly decline since August. The Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) led the major index ETFs lower with a 2% decline last week. In an interesting twist, the defensive sectors showed the biggest losses. The Healthcare SPDR...   READ MORE 

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Delta and SW Airlines Lead Industrials Sector

Delta and SW Airlines Lead Industrials Sector

The Sector MarketCarpet shows that Delta and Southwest, two airline stocks, are leading the industrials sector on Thursday. Airlines tend to move as a group and this means other airline stocks are likely strong as well. Note that both stock hit 52-week highs in late November and led the market...   READ MORE 

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NYSE Breadth Weakens, but Evidence Remains Bullish

NYSE Breadth Weakens, but Evidence Remains Bullish

The December pullback weakened a few indicators, but the bulk of the long-term evidence remains bullish. Most notably, the NYSE AD Line formed a small bearish divergence, as did the NYSE AD Volume Line. The Nasdaq AD Line and AD Volume Line, however, did not form divergences and techs remain...   READ MORE 

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Small-Caps Firm, but Techs Weaken as IGN Breaks Wedge

Small-Caps Firm, but Techs Weaken as IGN Breaks Wedge

Stocks put in a mixed performance on Thursday as the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) edged higher and the Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) edged lower. The sectors were also mixed with the Consumer Staples SPDR (XLP) taking the biggest hit (-1.38%). Techs were under pressure from the Networking iShares (IGN)...   READ MORE 

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Natural Gas ETF Leads as Metals ETFs Lag

Natural Gas ETF Leads as Metals ETFs Lag

The Natural Gas ETF (UNG) is on a tear with a 15+ percent gain since October 30th. The PerfChart below shows UNG with nine other commodity-related ETFs. The eight metal-related ETFs are down with the Gold SPDR (GLD) and Silver Trust (SLV) leading the way lower. The US Oil Fund...   READ MORE 

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Correction Extends with Small-Caps Leading the Way

Correction Extends with Small-Caps Leading the Way

Stocks extended their corrective ways as the major index ETFs fell over 1%. While most news outlets suggested that this was a taper tantrum, I am not so sure because stocks were up substantially in November, not to mention year-to-date. The prospects of a taper have been building for weeks...   READ MORE 

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Charts of Interest: DDD, DNDN, EBAY, SYSS, TSM, XONE

Charts of Interest: DDD, DNDN, EBAY, SYSS, TSM, XONE

DDD Forms Dark Cloud at Prior High. DNDN Edges Higher with Good Volume. Plus EBAY, SYSS, TSM and XONE Individual charts are below video. Sorry but your browser doesn't support HTML5 video.   **This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not be construed as a recommendation...   READ MORE 

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European Top 100 Index Breaks Channel and Underperforms

European Top 100 Index Breaks Channel and Underperforms

The European Top 100 Index ($EUR) broke below the lower trend line of a five month channel with a sharp decline this month. In addition, notice that the index broke below the mid November low and these breaks are holding. European stocks are also showing relative weakness as the price...   READ MORE 

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Small-Caps Turn Laggards as IWM Fills the Gap

Small-Caps Turn Laggards as IWM Fills the Gap

SPY and QQQ remain in short-term uptrends, but stocks are in a December funk of sorts. Small-caps are lagging as IWM filled its gap and failed to hold its breakout. As shown yesterday, the S&P 500 AD Line formed a bearish divergence and broke support. In Tuesday'...   READ MORE 

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An Array of Patterns Takes Shape for TEVA

An Array of Patterns Takes Shape for TEVA

Teva Pharmaceuticals (TEVA) has been all over the place since early October, but two bullish patterns are taking shape and the stock could be poised for a breakout. First, the stock formed a massive island reversal with the late October gap down and the late November gap up. Second, the...   READ MORE 

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Charts of Interest: BOOM, CVC, FLIR, K, LXK, SWC

Charts of Interest: BOOM, CVC, FLIR, K, LXK, SWC

BOOM Shows Relative Weakness. CVC Breaks Out with Good Volume. Plus FLIR, LXK, SWC Individual charts are below video. Sorry but your browser doesn't support HTML5 video.   Click here for iPad/iPhone Version **This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not be construed as a...   READ MORE 

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S&P 500 AD Line Forms Short-Term Divergence

S&P 500 AD Line Forms Short-Term Divergence

Stocks meandered on Monday with the Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) edging higher (.41%) and the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) closing fractionally lower (-.03%). Seven sectors were up and two were down (XLU and XLY). Despite weakness in the consumer discretionary sector, the Home Construction SPDR (ITB) and the Retail...   READ MORE 

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A Dark Cloud forms over Seagate

A Dark Cloud forms over Seagate

Seagate Technology (STX), which is a Nasdaq stock with a three letter symbol, opened strong and closed weak to make the dark cloud scan list. These are potentially bearish patterns that require confirmation. A move below 49.5 would break the three week trend line and produce a bull trap,...   READ MORE 

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The January Effect Gets Earlier and Earlier

The January Effect Gets Earlier and Earlier

The "January effect" refers to the propensity for stocks to outperform in January and for small-caps to outperform large-caps in January. According to this theory, stocks tend to rise more in January than most other months and small-caps tend to rise even more. Chartists looking to test these...   READ MORE 

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Yield Curve Steepens as 10-Year Surges

Yield Curve Steepens as 10-Year Surges

The yield curve is steepening as the 10-YR Treasury Yield ($TNX) surges more than the 2-YR Treasury Yield and the 3-Month Treasury Yield. A steepening yield curve confirms loose monetary policy and this could help banks, which make money by borrowing short and lending long. Click this image for a...   READ MORE 

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Breadth Indicators Hit New Highs and Small Caps Perk Up

Breadth Indicators Hit New Highs and Small Caps Perk Up

The bulk of the evidence remains bullish as stocks continue in strong uptrends. The Nasdaq AD Line and AD Volume Line hit new highs as techs led the market in November. The NYSE AD Line and AD Volume Line are lagging somewhat, but are nowhere close to breaking down and...   READ MORE 

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SPY Extends on Flag - $NATGAS Surges thru Resistance

SPY Extends on Flag - $NATGAS Surges thru Resistance

Stocks extended their corrective ways as the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) lost ground for the fifth consecutive day. Bespoke reports that 1996 was the last time the S&P 500 started December with a five day decline. Maybe so, but the index is down a mere 1....   READ MORE 

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Facebook Challenges Key Moving Average

Facebook Challenges Key Moving Average

Facebook (FB) got a bounce over the last seven days and broke above the wedge trend line. This is the first step to ending the correction that started in mid October. The 50-day moving average is the next hurdle. A follow thru break above this moving average on good volume...   READ MORE 

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IWM Hits Moment of Truth - TLT Falls Sharply

IWM Hits Moment of Truth - TLT Falls Sharply

Stocks extended their mixed correction with weakness for the third day running. The declines, however, remain very modest and selling pressure has been contained. The Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) lost .27% on the day, while the Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) edged higher with a .09% gain. Microsoft led QQQ higher...   READ MORE 

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Charts of Interest: ATVI, CHRW, EMC, FFIV, TIBX

Charts of Interest: ATVI, CHRW, EMC, FFIV, TIBX

ATVI Triangulates with Two Patterns. CHRW Tests Key Support Level. Plus EMC, FFIV and TIBX Individual charts are below video. Sorry but your browser doesn't support HTML5 video.   Click here for iPad/iPhone Version **This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not be construed as...   READ MORE 

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Lexmark Bounces off Support with Good Volume

Lexmark Bounces off Support with Good Volume

Lexmark (LXK) presents a conundrum for traders. On the bullish side, the stock bounced off support near 35 with a three day advance on pretty good volume. Relative to the market, the stock is also holding up pretty well the last three days. On the bearish side, the stock shows...   READ MORE