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IWM and QQQ Break Short-Term Support
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks took it on the chin with broad-based selling pressure on Tuesday. The Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) and Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) led the way and broke short-term support levels. This means IWM and QQQ have joined SPY and DIA with downtrends. The Home Construction iShares (ITB) led the consumer...
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Utilities SPDR Battles Key Moving Average
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The Utilities SPDR (XLU) is battling the rising 200-day moving average for the third time in five months. Since surging above 38 in mid September, the ETF pulled back with a falling wedge. Buyers stepped in near the 200-day as the ETF moved above the wedge trend line early Tuesday....
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XLY Breaks Support and GLD Breaks Flag Resistance
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks opened weak, bounced and then closed weak. Small-caps led the way lower with the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) falling just over 1%. All sectors were down with the Consumer Discretionary SPDR (XLY), Finance SPDR (XLF), Basic Materials SPDR (XLB) and Healthcare SPDR (XLV) falling over 1%. Relative weakness in...
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Charts of Interest: AMT, ATML, COV, HD, JBLU
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
AMT Consolidates after Gap-Breakout.
ATML Fall on Expanding Volume.
Plus COV, HD, HON and JBLU
**This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not
be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities**
This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking. This analysis is...
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S&P 500 Volatility Index Surges above August High
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The volatility premium rose sharply as the VIX surged 50% and hit a three month high. The chart below shows the VIX rising from the 13 area to 19.41 in less than three weeks. While the VIX exceeded its August high, the S&P 500 has yet to...
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SPY Trends Lower as QQQ and IWM Consolidate
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
It remains a tale of two markets. The Dow Industrials SPDR and the S&P 500 ETF are weak and in short-term downtrends. The Russell 2000 ETF and Nasdaq 100 ETF are holding up and remain in consolidation patterns since September 18th. QQQ and IWM bounced off short-term support...
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Relative Strength in Small-caps Supports the Current Bull Market
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The Russell 2000 ($RUT) and the Nasdaq ($COMPQ) are leading the relative performance game and this is positive for the stock market. The Russell 2000 represents small-caps and the Nasdaq represents the technology sector. Together, these two represent risk appetite because their stocks have higher betas, which translates into higher...
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Elder Impulse Bar Turns Green for the Networking iShares
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The Networking iShares (IGN) declined sharply in late September, but managed to hold above its prior low and keep the rising channel in place. With a big surge on Friday, the Elder Impulse bar turned green to signal an upturn in momentum. Also notice that the StockCharts Technical Rank (SCTR)...
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New Highs in QQQ and IWM Counter Weakness in SPY
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The Dow Industrials SPDR and the S&P 500 ETF pulled back over the last two weeks, but the Nasdaq 100 ETF and Russell 2000 ETF held strong and hit new highs earlier this week. Relative strength in QQQ and IWM is more important than relative weakness in SPY...
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Momentum Weakens for IWM and QQQ - SPY Breaks Pennant
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks moved lower with broad-based selling pressure on Thursday. Stocks just don't seem to know what they want. It seems as if the shutdown, continuing resolution and debt ceiling are snowballing into a grand bargain of sorts, which would be positive for the markets, long-term at least. The...
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Banks Underperform on Industry Group PerfChart
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The PerfChart below shows the performance for John Murphy's key industry groups over the past month. Eight of the nine are up, but the Banking Index ($BKX) is up the least and seriously underperforming. The Gold & Silver Index ($XAU) is down sharply.
Click this image for a...
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TLT Forms Falling Flag as SPY Consolidates with Pennant
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks edged lower on Wednesday, but the losses were fairly muted. The Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) fell .41% and the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) declined just .09% on the day. The sectors were mixed with small gains and losses. The Regional Bank SPDR (KRE) showed relative weakness with...
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Charts of Interest: DF, FFIV, INFY, PFE, XRAY
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
DF Breaks Triangle Support to Continue Downtrend.
FFIV Bounces off Breakout Zone.
Plus INFY, PFE, XRAY
Video is at top. Individual charts are below.
Click here for iPad/iPhone Version
**This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not
be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or...
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Chuy's Makes the MACD Scan with a Bullish Cross
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Chuy's Holdings (CHUY) is showing some promise with a bounce off support and bullish MACD cross. Notice that broken resistance turned into support in the 34 area and held from June to September. With the move above 37 this week, MACD moved above its signal line and momentum...
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IWM and QQQ Break to New Highs
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Theshut down was not enough to derail the first trading day of the month phenomenon. There has been a bullish bias on the first trading day of the month for years now. Managers accumulate funds during the month and then deploy them at the beginning of the next month. With...
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Marking Momentum Support for the Russell 2000 ETF
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) surged to a new high with two long white candlesticks. Notice how the ETF opened weak on Monday and then moved higher and exceeded the September high. Also notice how StochRSI held support at .50 and moved back above .80 today. Chartists can now mark...
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IWM and QQQ Hold Support and Short-Term Uptrends
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
**This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not
be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities**
There is a lot of uncertainty in the market place right now and this means every little news bite could trigger a price swing. There will eventually...
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Charts of Interest: ATML, CREE, FLIR, LULU, VMC
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
ATML Tests Support with Bullish Candlestick.
Broken Resistance Turns Support for CREE.
Plus FLIR, LULU, VMC
Video is at top. Individual charts are below.
**This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not
be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities**
Click here for...
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Sector Carpet Reveals Pockets of Strength within Healthcare
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The image below comes from today's sector Market Carpet. Notice that four of the top five performers in the S&P 500 come from the healthcare sector (ISRG, STJ, REGN and THC). All sectors were down on Monday, but Healthcare was the best performing sector because it...
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Short-term Uptrends Challenged as Shutdown Looms
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
**This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not
be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities**
Stock futures are trading sharply lower as the first government shut down in 17 years looms on the horizon. This little shutdown charade is not the only...
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Top Up and Top Down SCTRs Highlight the Big Movers
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Looking for the relative movers and shakers in the market? Look no further than the StockCharts Technical Rank (SCTR) on the StockCharts home page. These tables can be found mid way down the home page. Today we can see Nasdaq OMX (NDAQ), Regions Financial (RF) and Microsoft (MSFT) showing relative...
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Small Caps and Nasdaq Lead the Market Higher
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
**This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not
be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities**
There is no change in the indicator table. All indicators remain in bull mode as the market remains strong. The Nasdaq AD Line and AD Volume Line...
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S&P 1500 AD Line Bounces to Establish Short-Term Support
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
**This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not
be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities**
The major index ETFs managed to eek out another gain with the Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) leading the way (+.78%). Yahoo! (YHOO), Ebay (EBAY) and Bed Bath...
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A September Surprise in Inter-market Correlations
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The PerfChart below shows six inter-market related ETFs. Notice that stocks are up with the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) leading the way (blue). Bonds are also up for the month and this is strange because stocks and bonds are usually negatively correlated. On the other side, notice that gold, oil...
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A September Surprise in Inter-market Correlations (video)
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The PerfChart below shows six inter-market related ETFs. Notice that stocks are up with the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) leading the way (blue). Bonds are also up for the month and this is strange because stocks and bonds are usually negatively correlated. On the other side, notice that gold, oil...
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IWM Shows Relative Strength as SPY Tests Support
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
**This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not
be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities**
Stocks edged lower with relatively mild selling pressure. The S&P 500 ETF (SPY) fell .26% and the Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) lost .34% on the...
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Charts of Interest: AA, ATVI, IMMR, SCHL, SLW, SYMC
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
AA gets a Throwback to Broken Resistance.
ATVI Underperforms in September.
Plus IMMR, SCHL, SLW, SYMC
Video is at top. Individual charts are below.
**This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not
be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities**
Click here for...
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Autozone Breaks Out of Bollinger Band Contraction (video)
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Autozone (AZO) surged off support and broke above the upper Bollinger Band with big volume on Wednesday. I found this stock because it made the predefined scans list (intraday). This move affirms support and opens the door for a continuation of the bigger uptrend.
Click this image for a live...
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Surging Treasuries Could Weigh on Stocks
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks were mixed on Tuesday with the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) gaining ground, the Dow SPDR (DIA) loosing ground and the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) closing flat. Relative weakness in finance, technology and healthcare weighed on the market. Homebuilders offered a bright spot as the Home Construction iShares...
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Netflix Hits New High, but Forms Bearish Reversal Pattern (video)
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Netflix opened at a new on Monday, but selling pressure quickly took hold and drove prices below 203 by the close. This intraday reversal forged a bearish engulfing pattern just above first support. Follow through below last week's low would argue for a deeper correction towards the 260-270...
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SPY Gives Up Wednesday's Gain as TLT Breaks Out
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
**This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not
be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities**
Stocks were mostly lower on Monday with the finance sector weighing on the broader market. The Finance SPDR (XLF) fell 1.42% and the Regional Bank SPDR...
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Charts of Interest: ARUN, CLF, DE, GLW, NFLX
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
$ARUN Shows Relative Weakness with Support Break.
$CLF Forms Trio of Bearish Candlestick Patterns.
Plus $DE, $GLW, $NFLX
Video is at top. Individual charts are below.
**This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not
be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities**
Click...
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JP Morgan Traces out Bearish Reversal Pattern (video)
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
JP Morgan (JPM) broke short term support with a sharp decline on Monday. With a lower high taking shape, the stock is forming a larger head-and-shoulders reversal over the last few months. Also notice that JPM shows relative weakness and the Accumulation Distribution Line already broke the summer low.
Click...
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GLD, USO and UUP Weaken as TLT Bounces
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
**This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not
be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities**
The on-off-on taper talk is back on again. That didn't take long. The markets prepared for a Fed taper from April to August and the...
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Metals & Mining SPDR Backs off Resistance with Sharp Decline
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
After bottoming in late June and advancing some 15%, the Metals & Mining SPDR (XME) hit resistance in the 39 area with a pop-and-drop this week. The chart below shows XME surging above 39 on the FOMC statement day and then giving most of it back with a decline below...
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Two Year Yield Gets Hit Hard on Fed Taper Change
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The Treasury market was thrown for a loop this week as the Fed unexpectedly decided not the taper. The chart below shows the 2-Year Treasury Yield ($UST2Y) bearing the brunt of this "adjustment". Notice how the yield advanced as tapering talk took hold from April to August. After...
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Nasdaq Lags NY Composite, but Nasdaq Breadth is Strong
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The indicator summary got another upgrade this week as SPY momentum improved. All indicators are in bull mode and the majority have been bullish since early December, which is one long run for bullish technicals. The NYSE AD Line is the lone laggard because it has yet to clear its...
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XLI, XLF, XLB and XLY Lead the Market Higher
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
**This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not
be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities**
After big moves on Wednesdays, the markets took a breather on Thursday and traded relatively flat. Stocks were flat, treasuries pulled back a little, gold stalled, the...
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Regional Bank SPDR Breaks Flag Trend Line (video)
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The Regional Bank SPDR (KRE) perked up with a bounce above 36 on Tuesday, but gave it back with a sharp decline on Wednesday-Thursday. Broken support and the late August gap ultimately held as resistance. The flag break signals a continuation lower. Also notice that KRE shows relative weakness as...
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Fed Spurs Buying Binge in Stocks, Gold and the Euro
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
**This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not
be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities**
It is amazing what a mere 10-15 billion Dollars can do. The Fed has been buying $85 billion worth of bonds for months now. With mere thoughts...
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