Arthur Hill

Arthur Hill


Arthur is Chief Technical Strategist at TrendInvestorPro.com. Focused primarily on US equities and ETFs, his systematic approach of identifying trend, finding signals within and setting key price levels has made him an industry-leading technician. Learn More 

Archived News

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A September Surprise in Inter-market Correlations

A September Surprise in Inter-market Correlations

The PerfChart below shows six inter-market related ETFs. Notice that stocks are up with the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) leading the way (blue). Bonds are also up for the month and this is strange because stocks and bonds are usually negatively correlated. On the other side, notice that gold, oil...   READ MORE 

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A September Surprise in Inter-market Correlations (video)

A September Surprise in Inter-market Correlations (video)

The PerfChart below shows six inter-market related ETFs. Notice that stocks are up with the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) leading the way (blue). Bonds are also up for the month and this is strange because stocks and bonds are usually negatively correlated. On the other side, notice that gold, oil...   READ MORE 

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IWM Shows Relative Strength as SPY Tests Support

IWM Shows Relative Strength as SPY Tests Support

**This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities** Stocks edged lower with relatively mild selling pressure. The S&P 500 ETF (SPY) fell .26% and the Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) lost .34% on the...   READ MORE 

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Charts of Interest: AA, ATVI, IMMR, SCHL, SLW, SYMC

Charts of Interest: AA, ATVI, IMMR, SCHL, SLW, SYMC

AA gets a Throwback to Broken Resistance. ATVI Underperforms in September. Plus IMMR, SCHL, SLW, SYMC Video is at top. Individual charts are below. **This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities** Click here for...   READ MORE 

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Autozone Breaks Out of Bollinger Band Contraction (video)

Autozone Breaks Out of Bollinger Band Contraction (video)

Autozone (AZO) surged off support and broke above the upper Bollinger Band with big volume on Wednesday. I found this stock because it made the predefined scans list (intraday). This move affirms support and opens the door for a continuation of the bigger uptrend. Click this image for a live...   READ MORE 

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Surging Treasuries Could Weigh on Stocks

Surging Treasuries Could Weigh on Stocks

Stocks were mixed on Tuesday with the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) gaining ground, the Dow SPDR (DIA) loosing ground and the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) closing flat. Relative weakness in finance, technology and healthcare weighed on the market. Homebuilders offered a bright spot as the Home Construction iShares...   READ MORE 

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Netflix Hits New High, but Forms Bearish Reversal Pattern (video)

Netflix Hits New High, but Forms Bearish Reversal Pattern (video)

Netflix opened at a new on Monday, but selling pressure quickly took hold and drove prices below 203 by the close. This intraday reversal forged a bearish engulfing pattern just above first support. Follow through below last week's low would argue for a deeper correction towards the 260-270...   READ MORE 

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SPY Gives Up Wednesday's Gain as TLT Breaks Out

SPY Gives Up Wednesday's Gain as TLT Breaks Out

**This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities** Stocks were mostly lower on Monday with the finance sector weighing on the broader market. The Finance SPDR (XLF) fell 1.42% and the Regional Bank SPDR...   READ MORE 

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Charts of Interest: ARUN, CLF, DE, GLW, NFLX

Charts of Interest: ARUN, CLF, DE, GLW, NFLX

$ARUN Shows Relative Weakness with Support Break. $CLF Forms Trio of Bearish Candlestick Patterns. Plus $DE, $GLW, $NFLX Video is at top. Individual charts are below. **This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities** Click...   READ MORE 

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JP Morgan Traces out Bearish Reversal Pattern (video)

JP Morgan Traces out Bearish Reversal Pattern (video)

JP Morgan (JPM) broke short term support with a sharp decline on Monday. With a lower high taking shape, the stock is forming a larger head-and-shoulders reversal over the last few months. Also notice that JPM shows relative weakness and the Accumulation Distribution Line already broke the summer low. Click...   READ MORE 

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GLD, USO and UUP Weaken as TLT Bounces

GLD, USO and UUP Weaken as TLT Bounces

**This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities** The on-off-on taper talk is back on again. That didn't take long. The markets prepared for a Fed taper from April to August and the...   READ MORE 

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Metals & Mining SPDR Backs off Resistance with Sharp Decline

Metals & Mining SPDR Backs off Resistance with Sharp Decline

After bottoming in late June and advancing some 15%, the Metals & Mining SPDR (XME) hit resistance in the 39 area with a pop-and-drop this week. The chart below shows XME surging above 39 on the FOMC statement day and then giving most of it back with a decline below...   READ MORE 

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Two Year Yield Gets Hit Hard on Fed Taper Change

Two Year Yield Gets Hit Hard on Fed Taper Change

The Treasury market was thrown for a loop this week as the Fed unexpectedly decided not the taper. The chart below shows the 2-Year Treasury Yield ($UST2Y) bearing the brunt of this "adjustment". Notice how the yield advanced as tapering talk took hold from April to August. After...   READ MORE 

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Nasdaq Lags NY Composite, but Nasdaq Breadth is Strong

Nasdaq Lags NY Composite, but Nasdaq Breadth is Strong

The indicator summary got another upgrade this week as SPY momentum improved. All indicators are in bull mode and the majority have been bullish since early December, which is one long run for bullish technicals. The NYSE AD Line is the lone laggard because it has yet to clear its...   READ MORE 

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XLI, XLF, XLB and XLY Lead the Market Higher

XLI, XLF, XLB and XLY Lead the Market Higher

**This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities** After big moves on Wednesdays, the markets took a breather on Thursday and traded relatively flat. Stocks were flat, treasuries pulled back a little, gold stalled, the...   READ MORE 

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Regional Bank SPDR Breaks Flag Trend Line (video)

Regional Bank SPDR Breaks Flag Trend Line (video)

The Regional Bank SPDR (KRE) perked up with a bounce above 36 on Tuesday, but gave it back with a sharp decline on Wednesday-Thursday. Broken support and the late August gap ultimately held as resistance. The flag break signals a continuation lower. Also notice that KRE shows relative weakness as...   READ MORE 

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Fed Spurs Buying Binge in Stocks, Gold and the Euro

Fed Spurs Buying Binge in Stocks, Gold and the Euro

**This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities** It is amazing what a mere 10-15 billion Dollars can do. The Fed has been buying $85 billion worth of bonds for months now. With mere thoughts...   READ MORE 

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Charts of Interest: CY, FSLR, GIS, SCTY, WDC, WY

Charts of Interest: CY, FSLR, GIS, SCTY, WDC, WY

CY Bounces off Broken Support. FSLR Forms Small Inverse HS Pattern. Plus GIS, SCTY, WDC, WY Video is at top. Individual charts are below. **This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities** Click here for...   READ MORE 

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Falling Dollar Boosts Commodities

Falling Dollar Boosts Commodities

The Dollar fell sharply on Wednesday and this provided a big boost to precious metals, copper and oil. The screen shot below comes from the Intraday Market Summary Page. The Silver Trust (SLV) led precious metals with a 6.44% surge. The Copper ETF (JJC) advanced over 3% and the...   READ MORE 

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Region Banks Catch a Bid as IWM Exceeds August High

Region Banks Catch a Bid as IWM Exceeds August High

**This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities** Stocks continued to plow higher as the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) advanced around 1% and the Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) gained .67% on the day. Eight of...   READ MORE 

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Most Active Stocks Power the Nasdaq Higher

Most Active Stocks Power the Nasdaq Higher

The Nasdaq is moving higher with eight of the ten most active stocks advancing. DELL and QQQ are also up, but I am leaving them out of the top ten. Facebook (FB) is leading the charge with a 5+ percent gain, and Intel is up over 1.5% on the...   READ MORE 

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SPY Challenges August Highs as Gold Weakens

SPY Challenges August Highs as Gold Weakens

**This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities** It was pop and drop for the stock market on Monday. Stocks opened strong on news that Lawrence Summers withdrew his name from contention for the Fed...   READ MORE 

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Charts of Interest: ATVI, EBAY, DANG, PMCS

Charts of Interest: ATVI, EBAY, DANG, PMCS

ATVI Holds Channel Breakout. EBAY Shows Relative Weakness. Plus DANG and PMCS Video is at top. Individual charts are below. **This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities** Click here for iPad/iPhone Version This...   READ MORE 

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Six Sector SPDRs Record Multi-year Highs

The screenshot below comes from the Predefined Technical Alerts Summary. There is a lot of strength in the stock market with the Russell 2000 and Nasdaq hitting multi-year highs. Also note that six sector SPDRs also recorded multi-year highs....   READ MORE 

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QQQ Holds Breakout as Treasuries Remain Weak

QQQ Holds Breakout as Treasuries Remain Weak

**This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities** Stocks remain strong overall and look to get stronger because S&P 500 futures are trading around 1% higher in pre-market (4AM). Stocks and gold are...   READ MORE 

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Intel Breaks Out with Second Gap in Two Weeks

Intel is on the move with its second gap of the month. Intel started September strong with a small gap and surge above 22.50. After a small three day pullback this week, the stock continued higher again with a gap above 23. Relative strength is also improving as the...   READ MORE 

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NYSE Breadth and SPY Momentum Improve

NYSE Breadth and SPY Momentum Improve

The indicator summary got a few upgrades this week. In particular, we saw an improvement in NYSE breadth. The NYSE AD Line held above its June low and surged over the last two weeks. With this advance, Net New Highs improved and the Cumulative Net New Highs line moved above...   READ MORE 

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Gold and Treasuries Lag in September, Stocks Lead

Gold and Treasuries Lag in September, Stocks Lead

**This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities** Stocks took a breather on Thursday with the major index ETFs edging lower. The Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) led the way with a .73% decline. Seven of...   READ MORE 

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XLY, XLF and XLI Lead the Sectors in September

It has been a good month for eight of the nine sectors. Eight of the nine are up month-to-date with the Consumer Discretionary SPDR (XLY), Industrials SPDR (XLI) and Finance SPDR (XLF) among the leaders. It is positive to see three of the four offensive sectors leading during a broad...   READ MORE 

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September Starts with Bang as XLY, XLI and XLF Lead

September Starts with Bang as XLY, XLI and XLF Lead

**This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities** Stocks were mostly higher on Wednesday, but the gains were small and there were pockets of weakness in the market. The Dow Industrials SPDR (DIA) led the...   READ MORE 

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Charts of Interest: PCQ, PFE, PEP, SSP

Charts of Interest: PCQ, PFE, PEP, SSP

CQP Firms above Prior Low. PFE Bounces off Key Retracement. Plus PEP and SSP Video is at top. Individual charts are below. **This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities** Click here for iPad/iPhone...   READ MORE 

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S&P 1500 AD Line Breaks Short-Term Resistance

The video and chart below shows the AD Line for the S&P 1500 breaking above its mid August highs with a surge the last few days. This move appears to have ended the short-term downtrend that began in early August. Click here for a live chart...   READ MORE 

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AD Line and AD Volume Line Break Short-Term Resistance

AD Line and AD Volume Line Break Short-Term Resistance

**This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities** Stocks put in another solid performance with the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) and the S&P MidCap 400 SPDR (MDY) gaining around 1%. All nine sectors...   READ MORE 

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Finance SPDR Breaks Key Trend Line

Finance SPDR Breaks Key Trend Line

The Finance SPDR (XLF) is starting to perform with a nice surge over the last two weeks. Notice how the ETF broke the August trend line and filled the late August gap to signal an end to the current correction. The Vortex Indicators confirmed as +VI moved above -VI. Click...   READ MORE 

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QQQ Leads with New High - ITB Challenges Support Break

QQQ Leads with New High - ITB Challenges Support Break

**This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities** The bulls got into gear on Monday and pushed stocks higher across the board. The Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) led the major index ETFs with a 1....   READ MORE 

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Charts of Interest: ALK, AZO, GE, MHK, SXT

Charts of Interest: ALK, AZO, GE, MHK, SXT

ALK Corrects with Falling Wedge. AZO Lags the Market with Flat Flag. Plus GE, MHK, SXT. Video is at top. Individual charts are below. **This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities** Click here for...   READ MORE 

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In Honor of Joe Granville; Volume May Lead Price for BAC

In Honor of Joe Granville; Volume May Lead Price for BAC

Bank of America (BAC) hit a 52-week high in late July and then corrected with a falling flag or channel the last five weeks. Despite this correction, the indicator window shows On Balance Volume (OBV) remaining strong and hitting a new high last week. This suggests that BAC is still...   READ MORE 

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SPY and IWM Extend Bounces and Near Resistance

SPY and IWM Extend Bounces and Near Resistance

**This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities** Stocks started September with strength as the Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) and the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) advance around 2% in a shortened week. All sectors were...   READ MORE 

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Home Construction iShares Bounces, but Remains Short of Breakout

Home Construction iShares Bounces, but Remains Short of Breakout

Treasury yields fell after Friday's jobs report and interest rate sensitive stocks got a bounce as utilities, REITs and homebuilders moved higher. My focus is on the Home Construction iShares (ITB) because this group is important to the consumer discretionary sector and housing is key to the overall...   READ MORE 

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Walgreen Forms Inverse Head-and-shoulders Pattern

Walgreen Forms Inverse Head-and-shoulders Pattern

After a big surge from November to May, Walgreen (WAG) consolidated with an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern. This version of the head-and-shoulders is a bullish continuation pattern. Also notice that the pattern from mid June to September looks like a cup-with-handle. A breakout at 51 would confirm and signal a continuation...   READ MORE