Arthur Hill

Arthur Hill


Arthur is Chief Technical Strategist at TrendInvestorPro.com. Focused primarily on US equities and ETFs, his systematic approach of identifying trend, finding signals within and setting key price levels has made him an industry-leading technician. Learn More 

Archived News

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Networking iShares Perks Up with Flag Breakout

Networking iShares Perks Up with Flag Breakout

The Networking iShares (IGN) is showing some buying pressure with a flag breakout over the last four days. The ETF broke the September trendline in early November, pulled back with a flag and then broke the flag trendline. Notice that the price relative (IGN:SPY ratio) broke its trendline in...   READ MORE 

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Silver ETF Forms Rising Wedge

Silver ETF Forms Rising Wedge

The Silver ETF moved sharply lower in October and then bounced with a rising wedge. The wedge is still rising, but broken support turns resistance in the 32.5 area. A wedge break would signal a continuation lower and target a move to next support in the 29 area. Click...   READ MORE 

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Consumer Staples SPDR Bounces off 200-day SMA

Consumer Staples SPDR Bounces off 200-day SMA

Stocks found a bid on Monday as the Consumer Staples SPDR (XLP) continued its bounce off the rising 200-day moving average. Notice that XLP hit this moving average on Wednesday, firmed on Thursday and bounced on Friday. Today's follow through confirms support in the 34 area. Click this...   READ MORE 

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SPY and QQQ Firm with Hammers in Oversold Territory

SPY and QQQ Firm with Hammers in Oversold Territory

Programming note: I will be taking some time off for Thanksgiving and the next commentary will appear on November 27th. Stocks managed to firm on Friday with a number of ETFs forming hammer-like candlesticks. Hammers form with small bodies near the top of the high-low range. The open and close...   READ MORE 

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Healthcare SPDR Hits Support Zone

Healthcare SPDR Hits Support Zone

All sectors are down over the last two months, but some are down less than others. Of the nine sector SPDRs, the Consumer Staples SPDR (XLP) and the Healthcare SPDR (XLV) are holding up the best. Relative strength in these two defensive sectors confirms that the market is currently in...   READ MORE 

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SCTR Line Surges for Take-Two $TTWO

SCTR Line Surges for Take-Two $TTWO

Take-Two Interactive ($TTWO) is showing relative strength with a triangle break earlier this week and break above its October highs today. Notice that the StockCharts Technical Rank (SCTR) broke out just before the triangle break and surged above 70 this week. TTWO is part of the S&P SmallCap...   READ MORE 

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Bulk of the Evidence Remains Decidedly Bearish

Bulk of the Evidence Remains Decidedly Bearish

The bulk of the evidence remains decidedly bearish. Even though stocks are oversold, the decline accelerated the last two weeks and we have yet to see any kind of selling climax or washout that would indicate a near-term bottom. We have also yet to see support in the major index...   READ MORE 

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GLD Breaks Short-Term Support - USO Extends Consolidation

GLD Breaks Short-Term Support - USO Extends Consolidation

Even though Thursday's losses were small, stocks just can't seem to shake that selling feeling. The major index ETFs edged lower the small-caps again leading the way. The sectors were mixed with three up and six down. Gains and losses were also small though. The Finance...   READ MORE 

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OBV Plunges as Home Construction iShares Breaks Support

OBV Plunges as Home Construction iShares Breaks Support

The Home Construction iShares (ITB) failed to hold its break above 21 and plunged over the last eight days. Volume expanded as the ETF broke the October lows. Notice that On Balance Volume (OBV) peaked a week ahead of the ETF and then moved to its lowest level since early...   READ MORE 

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IWM Leads the Way Lower - USO Breaks Flag Resistance

IWM Leads the Way Lower - USO Breaks Flag Resistance

Selling pressure continued on Wednesday as the major index ETFs fell over 1%. The S&P MidCap 400 SPDR (MDY) and Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) led the way with losses approaching 2%. All sectors were down with the Finance SPDR (XLF) and the Industrials SPDR (XLI) leading the way....   READ MORE 

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Charts of Interest: ALTR, ARO, CAKE, CHKP, COST

Charts of Interest: ALTR, ARO, CAKE, CHKP, COST

ALTR Firms At Support. ARO Bucks the Selling Pressure. Plus CAKE, CHKP, COST This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking. This analysis is not a recommendation to buy, sell, hold or sell short any security (stock ETF or otherwise). We all need to think for ourselves when it...   READ MORE 

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Silver Miners ETF Breaks Key Support Level

Silver Miners ETF Breaks Key Support Level

The Silver Miners ETF (SIL) moved into a tight trading range in October and then broke support with a sharp decline the last four days. This move pushed prices below the lower Bollinger band as volatility expanded. Also notice that the ETF is now underperforming the Silver ETF (SLV). Click...   READ MORE 

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GLD and USO Form Small Flags

GLD and USO Form Small Flags

Stocks continued to struggle as buyers found little reason to bottom pick on Tuesday. Stocks opened lower, surged in morning trade and then moved lower in the afternoon. The major index ETFs finished with small losses on the day. Seven of the nine sectors were lower with the Finance SPDR...   READ MORE 

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Nasdaq Remains Below 200-day Moving Average

Nasdaq Remains Below 200-day Moving Average

The Nasdaq broke below the 200-day moving average with a gap down last week, and remains below this key level. This moving average and the small consolidation now turn into first resistance. Notice that RSI is almost at oversold levels (below 30). Click this image for a live chart...   READ MORE 

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IWM and QQQ Forms Pennants within Downtrend

IWM and QQQ Forms Pennants within Downtrend

Stocks struggled on Tuesday with the major index ETFs finishing mixed. The Dow Industrials SPDR (DIA) edged higher, but the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) and Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) edged lower. Apple surged above 550 on the open, but closed below 445 as selling pressure hit. The market is wounded...   READ MORE 

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Charts of Interest: CAT, LXK, MKC, MMM, RTN, SYK, WOR

Charts of Interest: CAT, LXK, MKC, MMM, RTN, SYK, WOR

CAT Forms Bear Flag after Breakdown. LXK Triangulates with Bearish Bias. Plus MKC, MMM, RTN, SYK, WOR This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking. This analysis is not a recommendation to buy, sell, hold or sell short any security (stock ETF or otherwise). We all need to think...   READ MORE 

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New Lows Expanding on the Predefined Scans Page

New Lows Expanding on the Predefined Scans Page

The number of new 52-week lows surged above 90 for the NYSE and Nasdaq (combined). This compares to fewer than 50 new 52-week highs. Selling pressure is taking its toll the last few weeks. Of note, semiconductor powerhouse Intel (INTC) graced the new low list today. Click this image for...   READ MORE 

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SPY, IWM and QQQ Hit Channel Trend Lines

SPY, IWM and QQQ Hit Channel Trend Lines

It was a rough week for the stock market. The S&P 500 lost 2.43% and all sectors moved lower, even the defensive sectors. The Consumer Discretionary SPDR (XLY) and Technology SPDR (XLK) lost around 2.5%, while the Finance SPDR (XLF) fell over 3% and the Utilities...   READ MORE 

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AMGN Forms Bullish Engulfing at Broken Resistance

AMGN Forms Bullish Engulfing at Broken Resistance

The intraday bullish engulfing scan was quite full around 12PM ET with over 200 stocks making the cut. Among them, Amgen (AMGN) formed a bullish engulfing near the mid October low and 38.2% retracement. The channel is still falling here with the upper trend line marking resistance at 87....   READ MORE 

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Indicator Summary Turns Negative for First Time Since June

Indicator Summary Turns Negative for First Time Since June

With three downgrades, the indicator summary turned negative for the first time since June. The summary was zero (neutral) the last two weeks. The sharp decline over the last two days was enough to tilt the balance towards the bears. Of note, the NYSE AD Volume Line broke support, the...   READ MORE 

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GLD Challenges Resistance as TLT Surges

GLD Challenges Resistance as TLT Surges

Stocks remained under pressure on Thursday with the major index ETFs falling 1% or more. As has been the case for some time, the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) and the Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) led the way lower. All nine sectors were down with the Consumer Discretionary SPDR (XLY) and...   READ MORE 

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Defense Stocks Suffer as Fiscal Cliff Looms

Defense Stocks Suffer as Fiscal Cliff Looms

The Dow Jones Defense Index ($DJUSDN) plunged on Wednesday and broke support with further weakness on Thursday. This move reverses a five month uptrend. MACD also moved lower and is on the verge of turning negative for the first time since mid June. Click here to see a listing of...   READ MORE 

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SPY Fails at Resistance as TLT Breaks Out and USO Plunges

SPY Fails at Resistance as TLT Breaks Out and USO Plunges

The markets moved from pre-election risk to post-election fear. Stocks, oil, copper and the Euro moved lower. Treasuries, the Dollar and gold moved higher. Yes, it is rare, and potentially stock market bearish, to see both gold and the Dollar moving higher. The finance sector was hit on the prospects...   READ MORE 

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Charts of Interest: ABX, ERIC, KGC, SCHW, SWC, TGT

Charts of Interest: ABX, ERIC, KGC, SCHW, SWC, TGT

ABX Firms at Key Retracement. ERIC Bucks the Selling Pressure. Plus KGC, SCHW, SWC, TGT This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking. This analysis is not a recommendation to buy, sell, hold or sell short any security (stock ETF or otherwise). We all need to think for ourselves...   READ MORE 

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Not Much Green on the Sector Carpet

Not Much Green on the Sector Carpet

There are not many gainers today, but a few can be found on the Sector Market Carpet. The isolated green boxes show the stocks bucking the selling pressure. Tenet HealthCare and Hospira are up in the healthcare sector, while Best Buy and Time Warner are up in the consumer discretionary...   READ MORE 

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SPY and GLD Surge to Challenge Resistance

SPY and GLD Surge to Challenge Resistance

The markets embraced a little pre-election risk on Tuesday with the Dow Industrials SPDR (DIA) and S&P MidCap 400 SPDR (MDY) leading the way. The gains were modest, the election is over and investors can now turn to the next big issue (the fiscal cliff?). Energy, finance, materials...   READ MORE 

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QQQ hits Support on 50 Cent P&F Chart

QQQ hits Support on 50 Cent P&F Chart

Even though the 50-cent P&F chart for QQQ sport a double bottom breakdown, the overall trend is up because QQQ remains above the Bullish Support Line (blue). Also notice that the ETF is hitting support from broken resistance at 65. The moment-of-truth is here for QQQ. Click this...   READ MORE 

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QQQ Remains with Falling Channel

QQQ Remains with Falling Channel

Stocks managed to firm on Monday with small gains in the major index ETFs. The Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) and Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) led the way (up .66%). Six of the nine sectors were up with the Basic Materials SPDR (XLB) and Energy SPDR (XLE) leading the way. The...   READ MORE 

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Charts of Interest: AMAT, ARUN, DUK, HES, HUM, MCHP

Charts of Interest: AMAT, ARUN, DUK, HES, HUM, MCHP

AMAT Breaks Wedge Resistance. ARUM Forms at 50% Retracement. Plus DUK, HUM, MCHP This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking. This analysis is not a recommendation to buy, sell, hold or sell short any security (stock ETF or otherwise). We all need to think for ourselves when it...   READ MORE 

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Amazon Stalls with Four Inside Days

Amazon Stalls with Four Inside Days

Amazon.com surged with a long white candlestick last week and then stalled the next four days. Notice that these four candlesticks are all within the range of the long white candlestick. These inside days reflect a consolidation. Watch for a range break to trigger the next directional signal. Click...   READ MORE 

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Dollar Breakout Weighs on Stocks and Gold

Dollar Breakout Weighs on Stocks and Gold

Markets move to risk-off mode in mid October. Since October 16th, the S&P 500 ETF is down 2.73%, the Euro Currency Trust (FXE) is down 1.7%, the US Oil Fund (USO) is down a whopping 8.16% and the Gold SPDR (GLD) is down 4.03%...   READ MORE 

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Russell 2000 Gets Cold Feet at Channel Resistance

Russell 2000 Gets Cold Feet at Channel Resistance

Stocks surged on Thursday and even followed through on Friday morning, but strength did not last long as selling pressure kicked in after the initial pop. Perhaps some pre-election jitters produced this classic pop and drop. Whatever the case, the Russell 2000 hit stiff resistance near its channel trend line...   READ MORE 

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Consumer Discretionary Stocks Show Biggest SCTR Gains

Consumer Discretionary Stocks Show Biggest SCTR Gains

The Consumer Discretionary SPDR (XLY) is getting a boost on Friday from several big moves within the sector. As the StockCharts Technical Rank (SCTR) table shows, the top four SCTR gains come from the consumer discretionary sector. You can read more about SCTR in our ChartSchool article. Click this image...   READ MORE 

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Small-cap Perforamance Perks Up, but Nasdaq Remains a Drag

Small-cap Perforamance Perks Up, but Nasdaq Remains a Drag

The indicator summary remains neutral. Weakness in the Nasdaq weighed on the Nasdaq AD Volume Line and the technology sector, both of which are bearish. Strength in the finance sector kept the NYSE AD Line strong and NYSE Net New Highs remain positive. I am also starting to see relative...   READ MORE 

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MDY Leads with Breakout - TLT Falls ahead of big Report

MDY Leads with Breakout - TLT Falls ahead of big Report

Better than expected data on the economy lifted stocks and punished treasuries. The ISM Manufacturing Index rose to 51.7 in October. Anything above 50 favors economic expansion. In a preview of today's non-farm payroll report, the ADP Employment report showed the biggest increase in private payrolls since...   READ MORE 

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S&P 500 Holds Bullish Support Line on P&F Chart

S&P 500 Holds Bullish Support Line on P&F Chart

The S&P 500 declined sharply in October, but caught a bid on November 1st and held above the Bullish Support Line. This line has held since October 2011 and represents a one year uptrend. A move below this trend line would signal a reversal. Click this image for...   READ MORE 

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SPY Consolidates below Support - TLT Surges above Resistance

SPY Consolidates below Support - TLT Surges above Resistance

Stocks are holding their breath ahead of an economic avalanche and presidential election. Today we can expect the ADP Employment Report, Challenger Job Report, Jobless Claims, ISM Manufacturing Index, Construction Spending, Consumer Confidence and Auto/Truck Sales. The Employment Report and Factory Orders will be on Friday. And, of course,...   READ MORE 

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Charts of Interest: ADP, AEE, BDX, BWA, DUK, ESRX, JCP, PAYX

Charts of Interest: ADP, AEE, BDX, BWA, DUK, ESRX, JCP, PAYX

ADP Breaks Pennant Support. AEE Bounces off Support with Good Volume. Plus BDX, BWA, DUK, ESRX, JCP, PAYX This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking. This analysis is not a recommendation to buy, sell, hold or sell short any security (stock ETF or otherwise). We all need to...   READ MORE 

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Building Materials, Industrial Suppliers and Construction Lead after Sandy

Building Materials, Industrial Suppliers and Construction Lead after Sandy

A look at the Dow Jones industry groups shows strength coming from the DJ US Building and Fixtures Index ($DJUSBD), the DJ US Industrial Suppliers Index ($DJUSDS) and the DJ US Heavy Construction Index ($DJUSHV). These three groups, which are in the industrials sector, are likely benefitting from the rebuilding...   READ MORE 

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Bombardier Triangulates with Expanding Volume

Bombardier Triangulates with Expanding Volume

Bombardier (BBD/B.TO) got a big surge in early September and then formed an extended triangle the last six weeks. Upside volume within the triangle is picking up as OBV moves higher in the indicator window. A triangle breakout would signal a continuation of the September surge. Click this...   READ MORE