Arthur Hill

Arthur Hill


Arthur is Chief Technical Strategist at TrendInvestorPro.com. Focused primarily on US equities and ETFs, his systematic approach of identifying trend, finding signals within and setting key price levels has made him an industry-leading technician. Learn More 

Archived News

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Sector Carpet Shows All Materials Stocks Gaining

Sector Carpet Shows All Materials Stocks Gaining

The Sector Market Carpet is a great way to find market leaders. Today, the Basic Materials SPDR (XLB) is the strongest sector with the average stock up around 1.9%. Drilling down into the sector shows all 30 components moving higher. Alcoa (AA) has the smallest gain (.91%) and Cliffs...   READ MORE 

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XLV and XLF Lead Oversold Bounce

XLV and XLF Lead Oversold Bounce

Stocks got an oversold bounce on Monday with the S&P MidCap 400 SPDR (MDY) leading the charge. Mid-caps occupy a certain sweet spot in the market because they are not too big and not too small. All nine sectors moved higher with the Healthcare SPDR (XLV) and Finance...   READ MORE 

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Charts of Interest: AAPL, GRMN, JBLU, PMTC, SRCL, TXN

Charts of Interest: AAPL, GRMN, JBLU, PMTC, SRCL, TXN

Careful out there. Earnings season is in full swing. AAPL Forms Second Hammer. TXN Gaps and Gains on High Volume. Plus GRMN, JBLU, PMTC, SRCL. This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking. This analysis is not a recommendation to buy, sell, hold or sell short any security (stock...   READ MORE 

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Spanish IBEX Hits Resistance in the Middle of Triangle

Spanish IBEX Hits Resistance in the Middle of Triangle

The Spain Bolsa de Madrid IBEX 35 Index ($IBEX) surged from mid July to mid September and turned back the last three weeks. Despite a 30% bounce off the lows, the index is still in a bigger downtrend and resistance is nigh. The center of the prior triangle marks a...   READ MORE 

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SPY Tests Support - USO Challenges Resistance

SPY Tests Support - USO Challenges Resistance

Stocks moved lower last week with the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) falling over 2%, which was the steepest decline since May. The Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) lost 3.33% as large techs really took it on the chin. The Consumer Discretionary SPDR (XLY) and Technology SPDR (XLK) led...   READ MORE 

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December Corn Makes a Break For It

December Corn Makes a Break For It

Corn surged during the summer drought news and then corrected as summer drew to a close. This correction appears to be ending as December Corn ($CZ12) broke channel resistance and the Percent Price Oscillator (PPO) turned up. This week's low now marks key support at 725. Click this...   READ MORE 

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Nasdaq and Techs Weigh on Indicator Summary

Nasdaq and Techs Weigh on Indicator Summary

The indicator summary remains positive overall, but there are clearly some bearish undercurrents at work. Namely, the Nasdaq and technology sector are underperforming and showing relative weakness. The $COMPQ:$NYA ratio broke down this past week and the Technology SPDR (XLK) is the weakest of the nine sectors over the...   READ MORE 

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XLF Breaks Flag Resistance - SPY Fails to Hold Early Gains

XLF Breaks Flag Resistance - SPY Fails to Hold Early Gains

Stocks started the day strong, but selling pressure took hold and the market finished mixed. Just how mixed? The Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) edged lower (-.31%), but the Nasdaq 100 Equal-Weight ETF (QQEW) edged higher (+.35%). The sectors were also mixed with six up and three down. The Technology...   READ MORE 

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Sector PerfChart Shows Why the S&P 500 is so Mixed Up

Sector PerfChart Shows Why the S&P 500 is so Mixed Up

The Sector PerfChart shows the Finance SPDR (XLF) leading the S&P 500 since September and the Technology SPDR (XLK) lagging the S&P 500. These two sectors are by far the biggest sectors in the index. Moreover, this performance split explains the trading range in the S&...   READ MORE 

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SPY Tests Support - USO Fails at Resistance

SPY Tests Support - USO Fails at Resistance

Stocks took it on the chin again with more selling pressure on Wednesday. The declines were modest with the Dow Industrials SPDR (DIA) falling around 1% and the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) falling just .16%. After a four day decline, stocks are getting short-term oversold and some of the major...   READ MORE 

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Charts of Interest: AAPL, AIV, AMT, BHP, CNL, LM, PEP

Charts of Interest: AAPL, AIV, AMT, BHP, CNL, LM, PEP

Be careful with stocks about to report earnings. AAPL Forms High Volume Hammer. AIV Surges off Support with Good Volume. Plus AMT, BHP, CNL, LM, PEP This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking. This analysis is not a recommendation to buy, sell, hold or sell short any security...   READ MORE 

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Finance Sector Shows Some Green on the Market Carpet

Finance Sector Shows Some Green on the Market Carpet

The Sector Market Carpet is mostly red on Wednesday, but there are some pockets of strength. Overall, the finance is holding up the best and the energy sector is faring the worst. The consumer discretionary and materials sectors also show red and relative weakness on Wednesday. Click this image for...   READ MORE 

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IWM Breaks Flag Support - USO Surges towards Resistance

IWM Breaks Flag Support - USO Surges towards Resistance

Stocks got smacked hard on Tuesday with the Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) again leading the way down. The Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) was also relatively weak with a 1.17% decline on the day. Eight of the nine sectors were lower with the Consumer Discretionary SPDR (XLY) falling the most....   READ MORE 

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Russell 2000 Tests 50-day SMA

Russell 2000 Tests 50-day SMA

The Russell 2000 ($RUT) is leading the market lower and closing in on its rising 50-day simple moving average. Broken resistance from the May-August highs also marks potential support in the 820-830 area. Small-caps ($RUT) are leading the market lower since mid September. Click this image for a live chart....   READ MORE 

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SPY Holds Breakout - QQQ Tests Support and Underperforms

SPY Holds Breakout - QQQ Tests Support and Underperforms

Stocks edged lower with the Apple-laden Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) leading the way (-.95%). The Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) was also relatively weak with a .63% decline on the day. Seven of the nine sectors were lower with the Technology SPDR (XLK) falling over 1%. The Energy SPDR (XLE)...   READ MORE 

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Charts: ADI, AKS, ANF, CLF, NUE, RHT, SO, VALE, YUM

Charts: ADI, AKS, ANF, CLF, NUE, RHT, SO, VALE, YUM

ADI Gaps Below Wedge Support. VALE Bounces off Key Retracement with Big Volume. Plus AKS, ANF, CLF, NUE, PMTC, RHT, SO, YUM This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking. This analysis is not a recommendation to buy, sell, hold or sell short any security (stock ETF or otherwise)...   READ MORE 

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FirstTrust Internet ETF Hits Resistance from Shooting Star

FirstTrust Internet ETF Hits Resistance from Shooting Star

The FirstTrust Internet ETF (FDN) peaked in mid September with a shooting star candlestick. After dipping below 37.50, the ETF bounced back to this peak and formed a bearish engulfing last week. These two affirm resistance at 39. A break below 38 would confirm the bearish engulfing pattern. Click...   READ MORE 

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XLK Underperforms as QQQ Forms Bear Flag

XLK Underperforms as QQQ Forms Bear Flag

It was a fairly good week for the bulls. The S&P 500 ETF (SPY) and Dow Industrials SPDR (DIA) gained around 1.5%. The Finance SPDR (XLF) led the way with a 3% gain. The Consumer Discretionary SPDR (XLY) and the Industrials SPDR (XLI) also performed well with...   READ MORE 

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Metals and Mining SPDR Battles Breakout

Metals and Mining SPDR Battles Breakout

The Metals & Mining SPDR (XME) is battling to hold its resistance breakout. XME broke resistance with a big surge in early September and broken resistance turns into first support in the 43 area. This is a classic tenet of technical analysis: broken resistance turns support. A spinning top formed...   READ MORE 

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QQQ Turns Into Underperformer

QQQ Turns Into Underperformer

The Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) is up since late August, but the price relative is down. The price relative is the QQQ:SPY ratio, which measures relative performance. This ratio peaked in late August and moved sharply lower the last 5-6 weeks. This means QQQ is underperforming the broader market....   READ MORE 

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Breadth Remains Bullish, But Small-Caps Show Weakness

Breadth Remains Bullish, But Small-Caps Show Weakness

The bulk of the evidence remains bullish, but there were two downgrades based on relative weakness in the technology sector. The offensive sectors are split with the consumer discretionary and finance sectors showing relative strength, but the technology and industrials sectors showing relative weakness. By extension, Nasdaq performance has been...   READ MORE 

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MDY Breaks Resistance - UUP Breaks Channel Support

MDY Breaks Resistance - UUP Breaks Channel Support

The markets moved to risk-on mode on Thursday as stocks edged higher, treasuries fell, oil surged around 5%, the Dollar fell and the Euro rose. And now for the employment report. The major index ETFs moved modestly higher with the S&P MidCap 400 SPDR (MDY) leading the way...   READ MORE 

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Finance and Energy Sectors See Green on Market Carpet

Finance and Energy Sectors See Green on Market Carpet

The Sector Market Carpet shows the Energy SPDR (XLE) and the Finance SPDR (XLF) with the most green. The average energy stock is up 1.6% and the average finance stock is up 1.1%. XLE is getting an oversold bounce after Wednesday's decline. XLF is poised for...   READ MORE 

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The Moment-of-Truth for SPY - XRT Forms Harami

The Moment-of-Truth for SPY - XRT Forms Harami

I get the feeling that this market does not want to go down. As with late August, the major index ETFs underwent a mild correction the last three weeks. There was a sharp decline last week, but selling pressure dried up and stocks firmed the last three days. Chartists should...   READ MORE 

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Charts of Interest: AKAM, HAS, ISRG, SNDK, SYMC

Charts of Interest: AKAM, HAS, ISRG, SNDK, SYMC

AKAM Forms Bullish Flag. SYMC Falls to Support on High Volume. Plus HAS, ISRG, SNDK This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking. This analysis is not a recommendation to buy, sell, hold or sell short any security (stock ETF or otherwise). We all need to think for ourselves...   READ MORE 

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Apple Forms Doji at 50-day SMA

Apple Forms Doji at 50-day SMA

After hitting a new high above 700 in mid September, Apple (AAPL) gapped down and declined to around 660. Three items mark support in this area. The early September low, the 38.2% retracement and the rising 50-day moving average. With a doji signaling indecision and the Stochastic Oscillator turning...   READ MORE 

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Airlines Get a Lift - SPY Remains with Bear Flag

Airlines Get a Lift - SPY Remains with Bear Flag

Strange, and indecisive days, continued as the Dow Industrials SPDR (DIA) edged lower and the S&P MidCap 400 SPDR (MDY) edged higher. Stocks were about as mixed as can be on Tuesday. Six of the nine sectors were up, but the biggest gain was just .52% from the...   READ MORE 

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Semis Continue to Lag - IWM Forms Rising Wedge

Semis Continue to Lag - IWM Forms Rising Wedge

Monday was a strange day indeed. Stocks were truly mixed with the Dow Industrials SPDR (DIA) advancing around 1/2% and the S&P MidCap 400 SPDR (MDY) declining the same amount. It is definitely a strange day when two relatively broad indices move in opposite directions. There were...   READ MORE 

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Charts: BIDU, CHKP, FAST, LXK, MAT, PCP, SWY

Charts: BIDU, CHKP, FAST, LXK, MAT, PCP, SWY

BIDU Forms Bearish Wedge. CHKP Shows Relative Weakness as Downside Volume Increases. Plus FAST, LXK, MAT, PCP, SWY This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking. This analysis is not a recommendation to buy, sell, hold or sell short any security (stock ETF or otherwise). We all need to...   READ MORE 

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Agribusiness ETF Surges and Breaks Flag Resistance

Agribusiness ETF Surges and Breaks Flag Resistance

The Agribusiness ETF (MOO) surged over the last three days and broke falling flag resistance. The flag breakout is bullish as long as it holds. Broken resistance and the June trend line mark support at 50.50. The corn and wheat funds are shown in the indicator window for reference....   READ MORE 

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Strength in Dollar and Treasuries Weighs on Stocks

Strength in Dollar and Treasuries Weighs on Stocks

Strength in the Dollar and US Treasuries remains a negative for the stock market. Even though these uptrends are still relatively short, continued strength in the Dollar and Treasuries would weigh further on stocks. The chart below shows five intermarket securities with a black dotted line on 14-Sep. This date...   READ MORE 

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Mind the Gap on Cisco

Mind the Gap on Cisco

After a corrective decline the last few weeks, Cisco (CSCO) firmed on Wednesday with a small hammer and then surged above the wedge trend line with a gap on Friday. The gap-breakout is bullish until proven otherwise with a decline back below 18.25 Click this image for a live...   READ MORE 

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Evidence Remains Positive after Pullback in Stock Market

Evidence Remains Positive after Pullback in Stock Market

There is no change in the indicator summary, but the market is looking a bit tired and perhaps ripe for a correction or consolidation period. The Nasdaq AD Volume Line did not come close to its spring high and the NYSE AD Volume Line hit resistance from its spring high....   READ MORE 

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SPY Bounces off Short-Term Support - GLD Surges

SPY Bounces off Short-Term Support - GLD Surges

Stocks rebounded across the board with the hardest hit groups getting the biggest pops. The Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) led the way with a 1.38% bounce. Eight of nine sectors were up with energy leading the way on the heels of a big oversold bounce in crude. The utilities...   READ MORE 

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PC Related Stocks are Having a Tough Time on the PerfChart

PC Related Stocks are Having a Tough Time on the PerfChart

The PerfChart below shows three month performance for two chip makers (Intel and AMD), two PC-related companies (Dell and Hewlett Packard) and mister softy (Microsoft). Only Microsoft is up during this period, and just barely. The others are having a really difficult time, even with the S&P 500...   READ MORE 

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SPY Tests Short-Term Support as IWM Breaks Support

SPY Tests Short-Term Support as IWM Breaks Support

Stocks continued lower with modest losses in the major index ETFs. The Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) led the way lower with a .81% decline. Eight of nine sectors moved lower with energy and technology leading the way. The defensive sectors held up the best with the utilities sector providing the...   READ MORE 

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Charts of Interest: AA, AMX, DLTR, MMM, MSFT, NVDA

Charts of Interest: AA, AMX, DLTR, MMM, MSFT, NVDA

AA Returns to Breakout for Big Test. AMX Firms with Good Upside Volume. Plus DLTR, MMM, MSFT, NVDA This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking. This analysis is not a recommendation to buy, sell, hold or sell short any security (stock ETF or otherwise). We all need to...   READ MORE 

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Metals & Mining SPDR Forms Spinning Top At Broken Resistance

Metals & Mining SPDR Forms Spinning Top At Broken Resistance

The battle for the breakout is on as the Metals & Mining SPDR (XME) declined to broken resistance and formed a big spinning top. These candlesticks show serious indecision. XME broke resistance in early September and is now trying to decide if this breakout is worth holding or not. Watch...   READ MORE 

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IWM and QQQ Start to Lead Lower - TLT Extends Uptrend

IWM and QQQ Start to Lead Lower - TLT Extends Uptrend

Stocks ended their meandering ways with some downside direction on Tuesday. The Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) and Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) led the way lower with losses around 1.4%. All nine sectors were lower with the Technology SPDR (XLK) and Finance SPDR (XLF) leading the way. The defensive sectors...   READ MORE 

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Gold Miners Junior forms Gap-Doji-Gap Reversal

Gold Miners Junior forms Gap-Doji-Gap Reversal

After a big run from late July to mid September, the Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ) formed a bearish candlestick reversal over the last 4-5 days. First, there was the gap and doji. This signaled sudden indecision after a big jump. Second, selling pressure followed this indecision as the ETF...   READ MORE