Arthur Hill

Arthur Hill


Arthur is Chief Technical Strategist at TrendInvestorPro.com. Focused primarily on US equities and ETFs, his systematic approach of identifying trend, finding signals within and setting key price levels has made him an industry-leading technician. Learn More 

Archived News

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Direct TV Breaks Neckline Resistance

Direct TV Breaks Neckline Resistance

Direst TV (DVT) formed an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern from April to August and broke resistance with a strong surge the last three days. While the stock is short-term overbought, this breakout is bullish and broken resistance turns into the first support zone to watch on a pullback (~50). Click this...   READ MORE 

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Stocks are Short-Term Overbought - IWM and XRT Continue to Underperform

Stocks are Short-Term Overbought - IWM and XRT Continue to Underperform

Stocks continued higher last week and closed near their highs for the week. The Nasdaq 100 ETF broke resistance from its July highs and this breakout is holding. The Russell 2000 ETF broke falling channel resistance and this breakout is holding. The Dow Industrials is one of the strongest as...   READ MORE 

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Weekly Percent Price Oscillator Falls, but Remains Positive for SPY

Weekly Percent Price Oscillator Falls, but Remains Positive for SPY

The Percent Price Oscillator (PPO) is a momentum oscillator that fluctuates above/below the zero line. While traders use divergences and direction for signals, investors can simply abide by the positive and negative crosses. The bulls have a trend edge when PPO is positive, while the bears have an edge...   READ MORE 

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S&P 500 Tags and Walks up the Band

S&P 500 Tags and Walks up the Band

The S&P 500 surged to the upper Bollinger Band on Friday and walked further up the band this week. Notice how the index "tagged" the upper band in June, July and now August. Pullbacks also held above the lower band. This is the sign of a...   READ MORE 

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Indicator Summary Improves with Three Upgrades

Indicator Summary Improves with Three Upgrades

With last Friday's surge and continued strength this week, the indicator summary improved as three groups were upgraded. I upgraded the AD Lined because the NYSE AD Line hit a new high. The AD Volume Lines were upgraded because they broke their mid July highs. The offensive/defensive...   READ MORE 

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No Change in the Short-Term Trends - Charts Updated

No Change in the Short-Term Trends - Charts Updated

No commentary, just charts worth a 1000 words....   READ MORE 

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ITB Breaks Flag Resistance - SLX Surges off Support

ITB Breaks Flag Resistance - SLX Surges off Support

Stocks turned indecisive on Wednesday as the major index ETFs closed mixed. The Dow Industrials SPDR (DIA) edged .13% lower, while the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) edged .12% higher. The sectors were also mixed with the Consumer Discretionary SPDR (XLY) losing .49% and the Consumer Staples SPDR (XLP)...   READ MORE 

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Charts: ARUN, CPRT, DLTR, LEN, PLCE, SSP

Charts: ARUN, CPRT, DLTR, LEN, PLCE, SSP

ARUN Surges to Resistance. DLTR Breaks Falling Wedge Resistance. PLCE Consolidates after Big Move. Plus CPRT, LEN, SSP This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking. This analysis is not a recommendation to buy, sell, hold or sell short any security (stock ETF or otherwise). We all need to...   READ MORE 

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Commodity Index Fund Breaks Pennant Resistance

Commodity Index Fund Breaks Pennant Resistance

With the risk-on trade taking shape the last two weeks, the Commodity Index Fund ($DBC) broke above pennant resistance to continue its July advance. The upper trend line extends down to mark first support at 27.50. A move back below this level would question the breakout and call for...   READ MORE 

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Consumer Discretionary Stocks Feature in Top Ten for StockCharts Technical Rank (SCTR)

Consumer Discretionary Stocks Feature in Top Ten for StockCharts Technical Rank (SCTR)

The StockCharts Technical Rank (SCTR) calculates a numerical ranking for all stocks in the S&P 500. Four of the top ten stocks come from the consumer discretionary sector, which is the most economically sensitive sector. Two of the top ten come from the technology sector. StocksCharts also provides...   READ MORE 

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IWM and MDY Breakout as Small and Mid Caps Perk Up

IWM and MDY Breakout as Small and Mid Caps Perk Up

Stocks extended their gains for the third day running. Since gapping up on Friday morning, the major index ETFs continued their advance with a slower zigzag. Even though this means less upside momentum, there is clearly more upside momentum than downside momentum. Small-caps took the lead on Tuesday with the...   READ MORE 

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DIA Forms Gravestone Doji - IWM Challenges Late July High

DIA Forms Gravestone Doji - IWM Challenges Late July High

Stocks continued higher on Monday, but late selling pressure hit in the final fifteen minutes. As a result of this late selling pressure, the Dow Industrials SPDR (DIA) formed a gravestone doji with a long upper shadow. Even though this shows a failed rally intraday, it is not enough to...   READ MORE 

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Charts of Interest: AKS, AMCC, CHKP, KBH, TEVA, VRTX

Charts of Interest: AKS, AMCC, CHKP, KBH, TEVA, VRTX

$AKS Bounces with Good Volume. $KBH Forms Falling Wedge. $TEVA Traces out Bullish Engulfing Pattern. This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking. This analysis is not a recommendation to buy, sell, hold or sell short any security (stock ETF or otherwise). We all need to think for ourselves...   READ MORE 

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QQQ Forms Spinning Top Candlestick with Breakout

QQQ Forms Spinning Top Candlestick with Breakout

The Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) broke above resistance from the July highs and remains in an uptrend, but a spinning top formed on Friday. These candlesticks show indecision and the prior two foreshadowed pullbacks within the uptrend. Click this image for a live chart....   READ MORE 

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QQQ Breaks Resistance, but IWM Remains in Falling Channel

QQQ Breaks Resistance, but IWM Remains in Falling Channel

There it is again. Stocks were pushed down early in the week, but positive news on employment and the ISM Services Index produced a very sharp rally on Friday. Small-caps led the surge as the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) gained over 2%. All sectors were higher with the finance, industrials...   READ MORE 

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IWM Bounces off 200-day and Tests Channel Resistance

IWM Bounces off 200-day and Tests Channel Resistance

Stocks turned a negative week into a positive week with a sharp advance on Friday. The S&P 500 ETF, Dow Industrials SPDR and Nasdaq 100 ETF recouped their early week losses and exceeded their July highs. The Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) and S&P MidCap 400 SPDR...   READ MORE 

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S&P MidCap 400 SPDR Battles Triangle Resistance

S&P MidCap 400 SPDR Battles Triangle Resistance

The S&P MidCap 400 SPDR (MDY) continues to underperforming the S&P 500 ETF (SPY), but the ETF is showing signs of life with a surge off back above the 200-day and a challenge to triangle resistance. A breakout would be bullish and target a move to...   READ MORE 

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BPIs, NYSE AD Line and Net New Highs Keep Summary Bullish

BPIs, NYSE AD Line and Net New Highs Keep Summary Bullish

There is no change in the indicator summary. On the positive side, the NYSE AD Line is trading near a 52-week high, NYSE Net New Highs are positive and eight of the nine sector Bullish Percent Indices are above 50%. On the negative side, the AD Volume Lines remain weak,...   READ MORE 

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TLT Channels Higher - GLD Hits Moment of Truth

TLT Channels Higher - GLD Hits Moment of Truth

Stocks moved sharply lower on Thursday's open when it became clear that European Central Bank (ECB) president Mario Draghi was not quite ready to act. Nevertheless, stocks firmed at midday and then edged off their lows in the afternoon. Perhaps the market is expecting an upside surprise to...   READ MORE 

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Fiserve Breaks Support after Island Reversal

Fiserve Breaks Support after Island Reversal

Fiserve (FISV) gapped up last week, but then gapped down this week to forge an island reversal. The stock followed through with a support break at 68 and this short-term trend reversal is turning into a medium-term trend reversal. Click this image for a live chart...   READ MORE 

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AD Volume Lines Falter as IWM Leads Lower

AD Volume Lines Falter as IWM Leads Lower

The S&P 500 ETF (-.36%) and Dow Industrials SPDR (-.19%) edged lower on Wednesday, but the Russell 2000 ETF (-1.65%) and S&P MidCap 400 SPDR (1.05%) moved decisively lower. Again, relative weakness in small-caps and mid-caps remains a major concern in the...   READ MORE 

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Charts of Interest: ARO, ASEI, BBBY, FISV, HRB, LIFE

Charts of Interest: ARO, ASEI, BBBY, FISV, HRB, LIFE

ARO Stalls at 61.80% Retracement. FISV Forms Island Reversal. HRB Breaks Flag Support with High Volume. Plus ASEI, BBBY, LIFE This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking. This analysis is not a recommendation to buy, sell, hold or sell short any security (stock ETF or otherwise). We...   READ MORE 

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OBV Falls to New Lows for Dow Transports

OBV Falls to New Lows for Dow Transports

On Balance Volume (OBV) is a simple indicator that measures buying and selling pressure. Volume is added on up days and subtracted on down days. Even though the Dow Transports is holding above its June low, OBV sank to new lows and shows selling pressure. Click this image for a...   READ MORE 

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SPY Forms Falling Flag as USO Starts to Underperform

SPY Forms Falling Flag as USO Starts to Underperform

Stocks continued to edge lower on Tuesday with small-caps and mid-caps leading the way. The Russell 2000 ETF lost .70% and the S&P MidCap 400 SPDR declined just over 1%. Eight of the nine sectors were down with the Technology SPDR bucking the trend. However, XLK gained just...   READ MORE 

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IWM and SPY Go Separate Ways

IWM and SPY Go Separate Ways

The Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) and the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) parted ways over the last few weeks. IWM peaked in early July and zigzagged lower. SPY, in contrast, zigzagged higher with a move above the mid July high. This divergence means small-caps are showing relative weakness. Click...   READ MORE 

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SPY Stalls with Indecisive Candlestick

SPY Stalls with Indecisive Candlestick

Stocks edged lower on Monday in listless trading. The Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) led the way down with a .64% loss, while the Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) held most of its ground with a fractional .11% loss. Sector action was mixed with technology, energy, consumer staples and utilities slightly higher....   READ MORE 

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Charts: ANF, CVS, DDR, DHI, KGC, MCHP, UTX, XL

Charts: ANF, CVS, DDR, DHI, KGC, MCHP, UTX, XL

DHI Stalls above Resistance Break. KGC Breaks Wedge Resistance. MCHP Breaks Triangle Resistance. Plus ANF, CVS, DDR, UTX, XL This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking. This analysis is not a recommendation to buy, sell, hold or sell short any security (stock ETF or otherwise). We all need...   READ MORE 

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Technology Stocks Lead Market Lower on Sector Carpet

Technology Stocks Lead Market Lower on Sector Carpet

Stocks were weak on Monday with the Technology Sector (XLK) leading the market down. The average loss for a technology stock was .70 percent. Citrix (CTXS) was the big loser with a decline of 6.09%. The Consumer Discretionary SPDR (XLY) was also showing weakness. Click this image for a...   READ MORE 

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NYSE Breadth Remains Strong, but Nasdaq Breadth is Weak

NYSE Breadth Remains Strong, but Nasdaq Breadth is Weak

There was one downgrade, but the indicator summary remains net positive. Net New Highs were downgraded to neutral because Nasdaq Net New Highs are showing weakness as the cumulative line moved below its 10-day EMA. NYSE breadth remains strong overall as the AD Line trades near a 52-week high and...   READ MORE 

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SPY Surges to Channel Trend Line - GLD Breaks Triangle

SPY Surges to Channel Trend Line - GLD Breaks Triangle

Mario Draghi said the magic words and stocks answered with a powerful surge higher. The rally started on Thursday and extended on Friday. The Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) and Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) led the charge with 2+ percent gains. All sectors were higher the Technology SPDR (XLK), Industrials SPDR...   READ MORE 

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Taking a Day off - Back on Monday

I am taking Friday off. Art's Charts will return on Monday with the Indicator Summary and normal commentary. Have a great weekend!...   READ MORE 

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S&P 500 Bounces off Bullish Support Line on P&F Chart

S&P 500 Bounces off Bullish Support Line on P&F Chart

With a big surge above 1350 today, the S&P 500 reversed its falling O-Column and started a rising X-Column on the P&F chart. This reversal creates support from the prior two O-Columns and the rising Bullish Support Line (blue). A move below 1320 would break these...   READ MORE 

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ITB Breaks Short-Term Support - GLD Surges

ITB Breaks Short-Term Support - GLD Surges

Stocks were mixed on Wednesday. The Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) and S&P 100 ETF (OEF) moving lower, but the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) and S&P MidCap 400 SPDR (MDY) edging higher. The sectors were also moved with the Consumer Discretionary SPDR (XLY) and Technology SPDR (XLK)...   READ MORE 

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Charts: AMZN, BBBY, CTXS, DRI, IDCC, JWN, NUE, SKUL

Charts: AMZN, BBBY, CTXS, DRI, IDCC, JWN, NUE, SKUL

AMZN Tests Triangle ahead of Earnings. CTXS Gaps Down. JWN Hits Key Retracement. Plus BBBY, DRI, IDCC, NUE, SKUL This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking. This analysis is not a recommendation to buy, sell, hold or sell short any security (stock ETF or otherwise). We all need...   READ MORE 

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Hindenburg Omen Almost Triggers as New Lows Surge

Hindenburg Omen Almost Triggers as New Lows Surge

This blog entry has been updated to reflect new information. The Hindenburg omen almost triggered on July 23rd. First, notice that new highs and news lows as a percentage of total issues surged above 2.8%. Second, notice that new highs were less twice the number of new lows. The...   READ MORE 

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IWM Tests 200-day - GLD Firms within Falling Wedge

IWM Tests 200-day - GLD Firms within Falling Wedge

Stocks were under selling pressure again on Tuesday with the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) and S&P MidCap 400 SPDR (MDY) leading the way lower. Small and mid-caps are less diversified than large-caps and they have less overseas exposure. In other words, they are more domestically oriented. Relative weakness...   READ MORE 

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New Lows Expand on the Technical Indicator Scan

New Lows Expand on the Technical Indicator Scan

The image below comes from the predefined scans page. New highs were outpacking new lows earlier this month, but the tide is shifting as new lows expand on the NYSE and Nasdaq. Click this image for a live version....   READ MORE 

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SPY Gaps Down Again - XLY Continues to Underperform

SPY Gaps Down Again - XLY Continues to Underperform

The major index ETFs were hit with strong selling pressure on the open, but managed to bounce after gapping down. Nevertheless, the major index ETFs finished with losses and the gaps held. Small-caps led the way lower as the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) lost 1.60%. All nine sectors were...   READ MORE 

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Charts of Interest: CCE, ECA, FCX, FDX, JPM, NVDA, WU

Charts of Interest: CCE, ECA, FCX, FDX, JPM, NVDA, WU

CCE Advances on Good Volume. FDX Reverses at Key Retracement. JPM Forms Falling Flag. Plus ECA, FCX, NVDA, WU This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking. This analysis is not a recommendation to buy, sell, hold or sell short any security (stock ETF or otherwise). We all need...   READ MORE 

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Rising Yen Weighs on Japanese Stocks

Rising Yen Weighs on Japanese Stocks

With the market shifting to risk-off mode the last few days, the Yen ETF (FXY) broke above trend line resistance. The Yen has been moving higher since early July and the Nikkei 225 ($NIKK) has been moving lower. In fact, notice that this seesaw relationship has been quite strong in...   READ MORE