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SPY Holds Support for a Fifth Time - FXE Set to Surge
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks ended mixed on Thursday as sharp rallies in the final hour paired losses significantly. The Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) still lost over 1%, but the S&P Midcap SPDR (MDY) closed up .30% on the day. The nine sector SPDRs were mixed with four up and five down....
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XRT Underperforms - GLD Forms Bearish Pennant
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks extended their oversold bounce with modest gains on Wednesday. All major index ETFs were up with the Russell 2000 ETF leading the way (+1.63%). The Dow Industrials SPDR, S&P 500 ETF and Nasdaq 100 ETF were up less than 1%. Eight of the nine sectors were...
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Charts of Interest: AEO, AMZN, AAPL, DRI, HOTT, SBUX, URBN
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
AEO Fails at Resistance.
AAPL Stalls with Tablet War.
HOTT Does not Look so Hot.
Plus AMZN, DRI, SBUX, URBN
This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking. This analysis is not a recommendation to buy, sell, hold or sell short any security (stock ETF or otherwise). We all...
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Egyptian Stocks Surge after Election
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The Egypt Index ETF (EGPT) surged in the lead up to Hosni Mubarak's resignation and then declined as democratic elections were called. The decline ended when uncertainty became certainty and Mohammed Morsi was declared president on 24-June. With the correction holding above the December low, it looks like...
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SPY Gets Oversold Bounce - GLD Falls after Short Bounce
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks got an oversold bounce on Tuesday with the S&P MidCap 400 SPDR (MDY) leading the way. The gains, however, were quite modest with MDY up just .67% and the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) edging higher by .50%. Nothing to write home about for sure. Stocks...
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A Bollinger Band Squeeze for American Eagle
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) has been stuck in a consolidation since early May. Moreover, notice that this consolidation is narrowing as the Bollinger Bands contract. In the indicator window, Bollinger BandWidth is currently at its lowest level since February, which was scene of the last big contraction and breakout. Watch...
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SPX Sets Up Test of 200-day as GLD Recoups Support Break
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks moved sharply lower on Monday with an extremely weak opening. The major index ETFs gapped down on the open, drifted lower throughout the morning and then edged off their lows in the afternoon. Even though selling pressure abated in the afternoon, buying pressure was certainly uninspiring and the gaps...
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Charts of Interest: ABX, AFFX, CX, HD, MS, NVDA, UTHR
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
ABX Forms ABC Falling Wedge.
HD Struggles at Resistance.
NVDA Tests Gap Zone with Small Wedge.
Plus AFFX, CX, MS, UTHR
This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking. This analysis is not a recommendation to buy, sell, hold or sell short any security (stock ETF or otherwise). We...
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Finding Green in a Sea of Red
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks were down sharply on Monday, but there were a two pockets of strength. The image below was taken from the ETF market summary. Notice that the Commodity Index Fund (DBC) and the Gold Miners ETF (GDX) are positive for the day. Also of note, gold, silver and corn were...
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SPY Breaks Wedge Support as UUP Breaks Wedge Resistance
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
It is shaping up to be another big week on Wall Street and in Europe. On the news front, we have some key economic reports, another critical EU Summit and a potential ruling on healthcare reform. On the technical front, note that the major index ETFs failed at broken support...
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Alcoa Traces out Descending Triangle on Point & Figure Chart
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Alcoa (AA) is part of the Basic Materials SPDR (XLB) and in a clear downtrend. On the P&F chart (3 x .25), the stock broke to new lows in 2011 and then formed a descending triangle the last nine months. The red A marks October 2011 and the...
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Indicator Summary Improves, But Remains Bearish Overall
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks made a valiant run in June, but it was cut short with Thursday's sharp decline. Even though a few indicator groups were upgraded, the bulk of the evidence remains bearish. Strength within the NYSE, pushed the NYSE AD Line sharply higher and NYSE Net New Highs into...
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SPY Fails at Key Retracement - GLD Fails to Hold Breakout
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The market started the week in risk-on mode, but made a sharp u-turn on Thursday with a move to risk-off. The major index ETFs were down sharply with small-caps (IMW) and mid-caps (MDY) leading the way. Both lost over 2.5% on the day. All sectors were down with the...
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Sector Carpet Sees Red after the Fed
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The image below comes from the Sector Carpet. First, notice that all sectors are lower. Second, notice that the Basic Materials SPDR (XLB), Energy SPDR (XLE) and Technology SPDR (XLK) have the most red. The Consumer Discretionary SPDR (XLY) is not far behind. Third, notice that the defensive sectors (XLU,...
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XLV Forms Harami at Resistance as SCOTUS Looms
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks edged lower on Wednesday as the Fed failed to inspire a continuation of the current rally. Except for the Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ), which gained .08%, the major index ETFs closed fractionally lower. Seven of the nine sectors were down with the Industrials SPDR (XLI), Basic Materials SPDR (XLB)...
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Charts: AEO, BIDU, FFIV, FLEX, IDTI, LEN, OXY, STT, TOL
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
AEO Extends Consolidation with Tight Triangle.
BIDU Shows Relative Weakness.
JBLU Consolidates after High Volume Surge.
Plus FFIV, FLEX, IDTI, LEN, OXY, RIMM, STT, TOL
This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking. This analysis is not a recommendation to buy, sell, hold or sell short any security (stock...
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CAKE Fails at Resistance as MACD Turns Lower
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Cheesecake Factory (CAKE) moved sharply lower at the beginning of June and then rebounded with the market the last few weeks. This rebound, however, is running into resistance from the gap and prior high. Also notice that MACD turned down and is on the verge of breaking below its signal...
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SPY, QQQ and IWM Hit Key Retracements
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks moved higher again on Tuesday, but performance was lopsided again. The Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) led the market with a 1.73% gain, but the S&P 100 ETF (OEF) lagged with a .37% gain. Seven of the nine sectors were up. Money moved out of the Consumer...
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A Rough Three Months for Commodities
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The PerfChart below shows the three month performance for five commodity indices and the CRB Index ($CRB). All five are down and $CRB is down around 14%. Blame it on energy, which is down over 21%. Precious metals have held up relatively well with a decline less than 4%.
Click...
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SPY Maintains Rising Wedge Uptrend - USO Finds Support
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
It was a mixed day for stocks with the Dow Industrials SPDR (DIA) moving lower and the Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) moving higher. The market was weighed down by the Finance SPDR (XLF) and Energy SPDR (XLE), but lifted by the Technology SPDR (XLK) and the Consumer Discretionary SPDR (XLY)...
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Charts of Interest: GFI, FICO, ISIL, ISRG, MOS, NYT, THC, TSN
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
GFI Forms Pennant.
ISIL Surges on Big Volume.
MOS Breaks Inverse HS.
Plus FICO, ISRG, NYT, THC, TSN
This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking. This analysis is not a recommendation to buy, sell, hold or sell short any security (stock ETF or otherwise). We all need to...
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Sector Summary Shows Hardware, Internet and Semis Leading
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The image below, which stems from the sector summary at StockCharts.com, shows the key industry groups within technology sector. On Monday, computer hardware, internet and semiconductors were leading the way higher. Users can click on these names to see the individual stocks, which is a great way to identify...
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Bearish Wedge Takes Shape in SPY as TLT Holds Support
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
And the results are in! Pro-bailout party New Democracy won the Greek election with around 30% of the vote. They will now have three days to form a coalition with a parliamentary majority. Now comes the tough stuff. The new government will need to renegotiate the austerity package, pass this...
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IWM Battles Broken Support and Relative Weakness
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) got a bounce at the end of the week, but remains in a trading range since the June 6th gap. There are two dynamics at work on this chart. First, the medium-term trend is down after the ETF broke neckline support from a head-and-shoulders pattern....
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Stocks with Big Gains and Big Prices Lead the Dow Higher
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The Dow surged over 150 points on Thursday and broke above its May high. With only 30 stocks, chartists can use the CandleGlance feature at StockCharts.com to find which stocks led the move. The Dow is a price weighed average and the stocks with the highest price have the...
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AD Volume Lines Poised to Test Minor Resistance
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
After a rebound last week, stocks turned flat this week and treaded water ahead of the Greek elections. The AD Volume Lines established minor resistance levels with the late May highs and breakouts would be short-term bullish. However, this would not be enough to turn medium-term bullish again. Also note...
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XLP Hits New High and XLV Breaks Resistance
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks caught a bid on Thursday with the major index ETFs closing modestly higher. The Dow Industrials SPDR (DIA) led the way with a 1.19% advance. The Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) lagged with a .37% advance. All sectors were up with the Energy SPDR (XLE) and Healthcare SPDR (XLV)...
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S&P MidCap 400 SPDR Forms Falling Flag ahead of Big Weekend
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
There is a real gut check underway in the stock market. The S&P MidCap 400 SPDR (MDY) surged last week and then corrected the last 5-6 days with a falling flag/wedge. This could be a bullish continuation pattern, but one must wonder if the bulls have the...
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IWM Forms Falling Flag - XLY Shows Relative Weakness
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks moved higher in the first half of the day and then lower in the second half. With the afternoon decline outpacing the morning advance, the major index ETFs closed modestly lower. Mid-caps led the decline with the S&P MidCap 400 SPDR (MDY) losing 1.34%. Small-caps were...
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Charts of Interest: AES, APC, COV, LTD, MMM, SBUX
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
LTD Forms Flat Flag after Sharp Decline.
MMM Forms Harami at Key Retracement.
SBUX Breaks Descending Triangle Support.
Plus AES, APC, COV
This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking. This analysis is not a recommendation to buy, sell, hold or sell short any security (stock ETF or otherwise)...
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Energy SDDR Forms Pennant after Gap Higher
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The Energy SPDR (XLE) remains in a downtrend overall, but signs of life are appearing as the ETF gapped higher last week and formed a pennant over the last five days. A break above this short-term consolidation could signal a continuation of the early June bounce and target further strength...
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IWM Forms Inverse HS Pattern - GLD Bounces off Support
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks rebounded after Monday's bearish reversal day with the major index ETFs gaining over 1%. The Dow Industrials SPDR (DIA) led the way with a 1.61% gain, while the S&P MidCap 400 SPDR (MDY) lagged with a 1.01% gain. Eight of nine sectors were...
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SPY is Stuck Between a Rock and a Hard Place
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
No wonder the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) cannot make up its mind on direction. The ETF broke key support in mid May and the 50-day moving average turned lower. Combined with Monday's high, these no mark the rock or resistance zone. The support zone, or hard...
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SPY Fails at Resistance with Bearish Engulfing
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks surged on the open with the S&P 500 exceeding 1335 in the first 5 minutes of trading. Selling pressure hit after five minutes of euphoria and the index closed below 1308. $SPX swung 2% from high to low and closed down over 1% on the day. Overall,...
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Charts of Interest: AEO, BXP, DRI, F, HAS, HES, TE, TOL, VLO
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
AEO Forms Triangle as Retail Sales Report Looms.
HAS Shows Weakness with Pennant Break.
TE Breaks Falling Wedge Resistance with Good Volume.
Plus BXP, DRI, F, HES, TOL, VLO
This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking. This analysis is not a recommendation to buy, sell, hold or sell...
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Bearish Engulfings and Dark Clouds Litter the Pre-defined Scan Page
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
With a strong open and weak close on Monday, hundreds of stocks and ETFs formed either dark cloud patterns or bearish engulfing patterns. The chart below shows Home Depot (HD) forming a dark cloud near resistance and with the Stochastic Oscillator overbought. A move below 80 in the Stochastic Oscillator...
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SPY Poised to Break Late May High as GLD Holds Breakout
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks opened weak on Friday, but rallied throughout the day and closed strong. Rumors of a Spanish bailout fueled los toros (the bulls). Small-caps led the way higher with the Russell 2000 ($RUT) gaining over 1% on the day. All nine sectors were up with the Finance SPDR (XLF) and...
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German DAX Index Continues to Show Relative Weakness
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The German DAX Index peaked around 7200 in mid March and moved below 6000 in early June. That's over 15% in less than three months. Despite looking oversold, there are no signs of a reversl as the index remains below its late May high. In the indicator window,...
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Oversold Bounce Not Enough to Influence Indicator Summary
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks bounced this week, but the bounce was clearly not enough to rattle the indicator summary, which remains firmly negative. The AD Volume Lines surged, but remain well below their May support breaks and in downtrend. The major index ETFs also surged, but have yet to negate the May support...
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SPY Fails at Late May High - TLT Bounces off Broken Resistance
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks asked for stimulus and failed to get what they wanted. The EU has yet to come forth with a concrete plan for EU banks, Bernanke did not offer hints of quantitative easing and the ECB stands ready to act. Allez, act already! Bernanke said the Fed would ease if...
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