MEMBERS ONLY
SPY Holds Flag Breakout, but USO Remains in Downtrend
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Chinese stocks got slammed on Wednesday and pervasive weakness could weigh on US stocks. The major index ETFs remain in uptrends, but are overbought after big moves on Monday and still quite vulnerable to both a short-term and medium-term correction. On the S&P 500 ETF (SPY)...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Metals & Mining ETF Leads Market Lower
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The Metals & Mining SPDR (XME) continues to show relative weakness as it tests its support zone stemming from the November-December lows. Also notice that the StockCharts Technical Rank (SCTR) confirms relative weakness by holding below 50 for over six months.
Click this image for a live chart...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Triple Top Breakdown for the Energy SPDR $XLE
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
On the Point & Figure chart below, the Energy SPDR (XLE) forged a Triple Bottom Breakdown when the most recent O-Column moved below the equal lows of the prior two O-Columns. This breakdown is bearish with a downside projection around 67.50, which coincides with the Bullish Support...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Dollar Extends Downtrend as Gold Surges above Resistance
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks moved sharply higher on Monday with small-caps leading the charge. Sector-wise, the technology, consumer discretionary, finance, industrials and healthcare sectors gained over 1.5% to show upside leadership. It was yet another a broad market surge within an uptrend that began way back on 19-Dec. On...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Charts of Interest: ALK, AMX, FCX, LUV, MCP, MON, XRX
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
AMX Surges above Resistance with Good Volume.
LUV Bounces off Support with High Volume.
MON Consolidates with Tight Triangle.
Plus ALK, FCX, MCP, XRX
This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking. This analysis is not a recommendation to buy, sell, hold or sell short any security...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
TechTarget Breaks Resistance on Low Volume
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
After consolidating since mid February, TechTarget (TTGT) finally made a break with a three-day surge above resistance. The move looks impressive price-wise, but volume is sorely lacking thus far. Even though Monday's trading has yet to close, volume on the three day advance did not validate...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
QQQ Forms Pennant/Wedge as UUP Breaks Flag Support
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks got an oversold bounce with small-caps, materials and energy leading the way on Friday. Despite this bounce, these three are lagging the broader market overall, which means this is a case of the worst hit groups getting the best bounce. Relative weakness in small-caps and the deterioration...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Finisar Consolidates at Key Retracement $FNSR
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Finisar (FNSR) plunged with a move from 23.50 to 18, but found support right at the 61.80% retracement line, which is based on a Fibonacci number. Even though the stock has yet to recover, it is consolidating with clear support and resistance levels to watch going forward.
Click...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Indicators Remains Positive Overall, but McClellans Weaken
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The indicator summary remains firmly positive with relative weakness in small-caps the only concern in the market right now. Well, I am also concerned with overbought conditions that could lead to a corrective period ahead. Nevertheless, we have yet to see any signs of significant selling pressure. The current...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
SPY Forms Potential Bull Flag as UUP Forms Bear Flag
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The second shoe dropped for the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) and Russell 2000 ETF (IWM), but the Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) held up rather well (surprise, surprise). I heard an interview with Barry Ritholtz talking about the four asset classes: stocks, commodities, bonds and Apple. While Apple sentiment...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Energy Sector Turns Red on Market Carpet
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The Sector Market Carpet shows the nine S&P sectors with the energy sector displaying the most red. The average stock is down 2.9% and three of the five biggest losers come from this sector. Defensive sectors held up the best on Thursday with consumer staples, healthcare and...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
SPY Forms Bear Pennant as UUP Bounces off Retracement
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Is the second shoe about to drop? Stocks fell sharply on the open Tuesday and then consolidated since this open. Short-term, and I do mean very short-term, the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) held the gap down and formed a pennant consolidation on the 60-minute chart....
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Charts of Interest: AMGN, CAT, HAL, KSS, OIH, MON, SWC
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
CAT Gaps Down on High Volume.
KSS Stalls after Gap Down.
MON Forms Triangle Consolidation.
Plus AMGN, HAL, OIH, SWC
This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking. This analysis is not a recommendation to buy, sell, hold or sell short any security (stock ETF or otherwise)...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Steel ETF Forges Island Reversal with Gap Down $SLX
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
With a gap up, two candlesticks and a gap down, the Steel ETF (SLX) formed an island reversal over the last five days. Notice that this reversal formed near the late February highs and the ETF broke the March trendline with further weakness on Wednesday.
Click this image for a...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
SPY Bounces After Gap as USO Fails to Hold Breakout
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks were hit with selling pressure on the open, but the major index ETFs worked their way higher the rest of the day. The S&P 500 ETF (SPY) opened around 140 and worked its way to the 140.60 area by the afternoon. On the 10-minute chart,...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Consumer Discretionary SPDR Hits 52-week High
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Want to gauge retail spending? Just take a look at the Consumer Discretionary SPDR (XLY), which hit a new 52-week high today. There are 80 stocks in this sector and most are dependant on consumer spending to drive revenues (think Disney, Macy's, Amazon, Starbucks, DR Horton). New...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
SPY Becomes More Overbought as USO Breaks Wedge Trendline
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The song remains the same (circa 1973). Stocks are overbought, but there are simply no signs of significant selling pressure. Maybe that will change with stock futures down in early trading on turnaround Tuesday. Over the last nine days, the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) is up 4.98%...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Charts: AMZN, BIDU, CHH, CHRW, D, QLGC, RDC, WIN
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
AMZN Underperforms with Triangle Consolidation.
CHH Stalls Below Late December high.
RDC Forms Harami Cross within Rising Wedge.
Plus BIDU, CHH, CHRW, D, QLGC and WIN
This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking. This analysis is not a recommendation to buy, sell, hold or sell short...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Crude Oil Volatility Index Plummets
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Volatility is falling everywhere these days. Notice that the CBOE Volatility Index ($VIX) and the Crude Oil Volatility Index ($OVX) both moved sharply lower in March. $OVX plunged the last two weeks as Spot Light Crude bounced off the 105 area for the second time this month.
Click this image...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
USO Challenges Trendline - RSI Hits Supprt Zone for UUP
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks are about as overbought as they have been in a long time. Even so, there are simply no signs of significant or sustained selling pressure. Declines, such as those seen in late January or early March, have been short affairs lasting just a few days. The subsequent rallies proved...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Materials SPDR Continues to Show Relative Weakness
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
While the S&P 500 and Dow moved to new highs last week, the Materials SPDR (XLB) fell short of its February highs and continues to underperform. Also note that the Technology SPDR (XLK) and Consumer Discretional SPDR moved to new 52-week highs last week. Along with the...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Gold SPDR Firms in Key Retracement Zone
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
It has been a tough March for gold, but the Gold SPDR (GLD) may be at support marked by the Fibonacci Retracements Tool. Notice that the decline to 159 retraced 50-61.80% of the prior advance and the ETF firmed just above 160 the last two days. Watch for...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Nasdaq and NYSE AD Volume Lines Hit New 52-week Highs
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
There is no change in the indicator summary. Nine indicators were bullish at the start of the week and nine remain bullish. The AD Volume Lines surged to new highs with a strong move the last seven days. Net New Highs also expanded on both the NYSE and Nasdaq as...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
SPY Exceeds Channel Trendline - USO Forms Falling Wedge
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
There is not much change overall. Stocks remain in strong uptrends with no signs of selling pressure. The S&P 500 ETF (SPY) surged above the upper trendline of a rising channel. There are two trends at work on this 60-minute chart. First, the rising channel defines an...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Dow Transports Play Catch Up with Big Move
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The Dow Transports has been lagging the Dow Industrials for several weeks now, but is making a catch up bid with a falling flag breakout the last few days. After a breakout on Monday, the Average fell back sharply on Tuesday with a close below 5200. This decline was wiped...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Treasuries and Gold Fall off a Cliff as Stocks Hold Gains
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Treasuries are falling off a cliff, commodities are softening, gold is plunging, the Dollar is strengthening and stocks remain the best game in town. The recent decline in treasuries suggests that the economy will continue to expand and the labor market will continue to improve. Money moving out of treasuries...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Charts of Interest: ALK, JOYG, LEAP, MOS, SNDK, TTWO
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
ALK Consolidates after Break Down.
MOS Forms Bear Flag on Low Volume.
SNDK Falls Back below Tuesday's Low.
Plus JOYG, LEAP, TTWO.
This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking. This analysis is not a recommendation to buy, sell, hold or sell short any security...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Fifth Third Bancorp Joins the New High List with Big Volume
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Looking for a list of market leaders? Simply go to the pre-defined scans page for a list of stocks hitting new 52-week highs. Over 500 stocks made the list on Tuesday and over 400 made the list today. The chart below shows Fifth Third Bancorp (FITB) breaking consolidation...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
SPY Surges above Channel Trendline as TLT Breaks Down
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks caught a big bullish wind in the final hour and surged with financials leading the charge. Yesterday's surge certainly has the markings of a blow-off top, which is the opposite of a selling climax. However, picking a top in this environment is very dangerous. On the...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
CandleGlance Charts Show Strength in Home Construction Stocks
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Chartists can access CandleGlance charts for dozens of industry groups on the FreeCharts page. The screen shot below shows some charts from the Home Construction industry group on the left and the industry group drop-down menu from the Free Charts page. Talk about relative strength. Several stocks in this...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
SPY and QQQ Stall Near late February Highs
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks were mixed on Monday with the Dow edging higher and the Russell 2000 edging lower. Sector action was also mixed with technology gaining a fraction and the consumer discretionary sector finishing slightly lower. In an interesting twist, the consumer staples and utilities sectors were the biggest gainers. In fact,...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Charts of Interest: CTSH, CTXS, DANG, GOOG, WCRX, WFT
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
CTXS Challenges Resistance with 3-Day Surge.
GOOG Breaks Wedge Trendline with Gap.
WCRX Moves Above Channel Trendline.
Plus CTSH, DANG, WFT
This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking. This analysis is not a recommendation to buy, sell, hold or sell short any security (stock ETF...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
RIMM Tests its Low and Shows Relative Weakness
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Research in Motion (RIMM) remains down in the dumps as the Price Relative broke below its December low and remains in a downtrend. This RIMM:QQQ ratio falls when RIMM underperforms QQQ. On the price chart, RIMM is testing its December low, but the new low in the Price Relative...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Stocks Move from Oversold to Overbougt, Even as Dollar Surges
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
After a sharp setback on Tuesday, stocks moved from oversold to overbought in three days. The Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) surged from 78.5 to 81.5 (3.8%), the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) moved back to resistance at 138 and the Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) is challenging...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Falling Yen Pushes Nikkei Towards 10K
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Lifted by exporters, the Nikkei 225 ($NIKK) is one of the best performing markets over the last eight weeks. The chart below shows the index surging from ±8400 to ±9900 since mid January (+17.8%). With lots of exporters, the sharp drop in the Yen ETF (FXY) no doubt helped...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Small-Caps Underperforming, but Evidence Remains Largely Bullish
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The first selling pressure in some three months hit the stock market this week, but the short 1-3 day decline is a mere blip in the bigger uptrend. Stocks were overbought and some sort of corrective period is perfectly normal. The correction already started for the Russell 2000 ETF...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
QQQ Challenges its Highs as TLT Breaks Down
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
There is nothing like the first decent dip after a strong advance. Stocks advanced for some 11 weeks and then corrected hard with a sharp decline Friday-Monday-Tuesday. The S&P 500 ETF (SPY) was down around 2% over these three days. Those who missed the rally or...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Gold Bounces off Ichimoku Cloud
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Spot Gold ($GOLD) declined sharply and then found support right at the Ichimoku Cloud with a bounce the last two days. The bulls grabbed the edge with the cloud breakout in January and hold the edge as long as cloud support holds. Watch for a move above the Conversion Line...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
SPY Moves Back above Support Break at Dollar Hits Resistance
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
After sharp declines that created oversold conditions on Tuesday, stocks firmed and bounced on Wednesday. The S&P 500 ETF (SPY) broke support at 135 on Tuesday, but moved back above this level on Wednesday. Even though the short-term trend is considered down, the bigger trend is up...
READ MORE
MEMBERS ONLY
Charts of Interest: ADP, AMZN, ANF, BMY, CHKP, CNP, TBT
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
AMZN Consolidates with Triangle Pattern.
BMY Consolidates after Breakout.
CNP Forms Bull Flag at Trendline Resistance.
Plus ADP, ANF, CHKP, TBT.
This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking. This analysis is not a recommendation to buy, sell, hold or sell short any security (stock ETF or...
READ MORE