Arthur Hill

Arthur Hill


Arthur is Chief Technical Strategist at TrendInvestorPro.com. Focused primarily on US equities and ETFs, his systematic approach of identifying trend, finding signals within and setting key price levels has made him an industry-leading technician. Learn More 

Archived News

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SPY Follows Through with Breakout as IWM Leads Overall

SPY Follows Through with Breakout as IWM Leads Overall

Stocks extended their gains on Wednesday with the S&P 500 ETF taking the lead. The day's gain was relatively modest (+.86%), but it was enough to comfortably clear resistance extending back to June 6th. I was impressed with Wednesday's price action in the Finance...   READ MORE 

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Aussie Dollar Breaks Wedge Trendline

Aussie Dollar Breaks Wedge Trendline

With commodities on the rebound this week, the Australian Dollar Trust (FXA) surged over the last two days and broke the upper trendline of a falling wedge. The Aussie Dollar, Canadian Dollar, New Zealand Dollar and S. African Rand are considered commodity currencies because their economies are dependent on raw...   READ MORE 

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SPY Closes above mid June High and GLD Gets Oversold

SPY Closes above mid June High and GLD Gets Oversold

Small-caps and large-techs continue to lead the rebound off the March lows. The S&P 500 ETF (SPY) got into the action yesterday with a break above its mid June highs and the highest close since June 3rd. SPY is late to the breakout party, but better...   READ MORE 

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CIT Group Forms Bullish Engulfing Pattern

CIT Group Forms Bullish Engulfing Pattern

With a weak open and strong close in the stock market, quite a few stocks made the Bullish Engulfing and Piercing Pattern scans. In particular, CIT Group (CIT) formed a bullish engulfing within a triangle pattern. A follow through breakout would confirm this bullish candlestick reversal. Click this image for...   READ MORE 

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Chart of Interest: AMGN, ALTR, EMC, GILD, ISRG, NYT

Chart of Interest: AMGN, ALTR, EMC, GILD, ISRG, NYT

AMGN Forms Bullish Engulfing Pattern. EMC Bounces off Support with Good Volume. NYT Outperforms the S&P 500. Plus ALTR, GILD, ISRG This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking. This analysis is not a recommendation to buy, sell, hold or sell short any security (stock...   READ MORE 

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SPY Continues to Lag IWM and QQQ

SPY Continues to Lag IWM and QQQ

The Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) and Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) exceeded their mid June highs over the last few days, but the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) remains a clear laggard as it failed to exceed its corresponding high. On the 60-minute chart, SPY remains with the gap...   READ MORE 

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Intrepid Potash Traces out Volatile Triangle

Intrepid Potash Traces out Volatile Triangle

Intrepid Potash (IPI) formed a volatile triangle within a downtrend. The trendline extending down from the February high and the upper trendline of the triangle converge to mark resistance. There could very well be a failure here. Alternatively, watch this level for a breakout. Click this image for a live...   READ MORE 

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SPY Fails at Reistance as GLD Breaks Support

SPY Fails at Reistance as GLD Breaks Support

Trading was quite volatile last week as the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) failed to hold Tuesday's gap and finished the week with a small loss. SPY gapped up and closed above 129 on Tuesday, stalled on Wednesday and then gapped down on Thursday. Despite this sharp...   READ MORE 

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AD Volume Lines Rebound as Index ETFs Hold Support

AD Volume Lines Rebound as Index ETFs Hold Support

The major index ETFs are holding their March lows and there is no change in the indicator summary. The AD Volume Lines are also testing support from the March lows. In fact, both bounced sharply this week and are now back above their March lows. Even so, I will wait...   READ MORE 

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SPY Battles Support as TLT Breaks Resistance

SPY Battles Support as TLT Breaks Resistance

The battle for support from the March lows continues to rage. Stocks opened sharply lower on Thursday, remained weak and then mounted a strong afternoon rally. This rebound pushed QQQ and IWM into positive territory by the close and cut most of the losses in SPY. On the 60-minute...   READ MORE 

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Big Techs Turn Green with Long White Candlestick

Big Techs Turn Green with Long White Candlestick

With a weak open and strong close, the Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) formed a long white candlestick that is just as long as Tuesday's candlestick. Volume surged to its highest level since mid March. The lows of these two candlesticks now mark an important short-term support level....   READ MORE 

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Stocks Start Backing and Filling for First Test

Stocks Start Backing and Filling for First Test

Stocks extended their gains early Wednesday, but selling pressure hit the market in the afternoon and the major index ETFs closed weak. Some backing and filling can be expected after a sharp surge, such as that seen on Tuesday. At this point, it is important that the first support zones...   READ MORE 

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Chart of Interest: BSX, CAKE, IPG, ITUB, KGC, PLCE

Chart of Interest: BSX, CAKE, IPG, ITUB, KGC, PLCE

CAKE Forms Triangle after Trendline Break. KGV Breaks Bull Flag Trendline. PLCE Forms Bear Flag within Downtrend. Plus BSX, IPG, ITUB. This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking. This analysis is not a recommendation to buy, sell, hold or sell short any security (stock ETF or...   READ MORE 

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Starbucks Breaks Channel Trendline with Big Surge

Starbucks Breaks Channel Trendline with Big Surge

Starbucks (SBUX) got a jolt over the last five days with a surge above the upper trendline of a falling channel. Maybe it has something to the grand opening in the Brussels train station! Taking a step back, this pattern looks like a massive flag and the breakout signals a...   READ MORE 

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SPY Breaks Resistance as TLT Forms Bull Flag

SPY Breaks Resistance as TLT Forms Bull Flag

Techs and small-caps led the market higher as the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) broke above short-term resistance with a big surge. Breadth was also big with the Net Advances Ratios and Net Advancing Volume Ratios exceeding .50 ($NYAD:$NYTOT,$NYUD:$NYTV,$NAAD:$NATOT,$NAUD:$NATV). I...   READ MORE 

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Most Active Techs Lead the Market Higher

Most Active Techs Lead the Market Higher

From the Free Charts page, we can see that the 10 most active Nasdaq and NYSE stocks are up in early trading on Tuesday. Gains are especially strong on the Nasdaq. The image below comes from the CandleGlance link just under the most active list. Microsoft has been moving higher...   READ MORE 

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IWM Gets Momentum Breakout as SPY Challenges Resistance

IWM Gets Momentum Breakout as SPY Challenges Resistance

On the daily chart, the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) is making a stand at support from the March low. After two spinning tops last week, the ETF opened weak and closed pretty strong. Market breadth was not that strong though. Net Advances and Net Advancing Volume did not...   READ MORE 

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Charts of Interest: A, BA, DELL, INTC, MMM, ORCL, SYMC

Charts of Interest: A, BA, DELL, INTC, MMM, ORCL, SYMC

A Shows Strong Upside Volume. DELL Shows Relative Strength in June. INTC Returns to the Monster Gap. Plus BA, MMM, ORCL, SYMC. This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking. This analysis is not a recommendation to buy, sell, hold or sell short any security (stock ETF...   READ MORE 

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Apple Forms Hammer After Support Break

Apple Forms Hammer After Support Break

After breaking support with rather high volume the last three days, Apple (AAPL) formed a hammer candlestick that dipped below 315 intraday. The stock still has a gap to contend with and needs to fill this gap to confirm the hammer. You can find more hammers on the predefined scan...   READ MORE 

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Greek Situation Continues to Drive Stocks, Bonds and Dollar

Greek Situation Continues to Drive Stocks, Bonds and Dollar

The Greek tragedy continues to drive the markets, and for good reason. EU leaders failed to come up with a definitive plan and the Greek parliament is set for a no confidence vote Tuesday. Should the Papandreou government survive this vote, another round of reforms will be pushed through and...   READ MORE 

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Energy SPDR Breaks Neckline Support

Energy SPDR Breaks Neckline Support

The Energy SPDR (XLE) has been one of the weakest sectors this month. In fact, the chart shows XLE breaking support from a large Head-and-Shoulders reversal pattern. The left shoulder peaked in March, the head peaked in April and the left shoulder peaked at the end of May....   READ MORE 

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Finance and Housing Moving Step-for-Step

Finance and Housing Moving Step-for-Step

The Home Construction iShares (ITB) and the Finance SPDR (XLF) have been moving together the entire year. The indicator window shows XLF in black and ITB in red. Not much difference between these two price patterns. In the main window, ITB is testing support from broken resistance and the 50-...   READ MORE 

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Indicator Summary Turns Negative as Breadth Weakens

Indicator Summary Turns Negative as Breadth Weakens

Believe it or not, there was only one downgrade to the indicator summary this week. The AD Volume Lines for the Nasdaq and NYSE broke below their March lows. Admittedly, these indicators barely broke their March lows with Wednesday's sharp decline. This could be an overshoot based on...   READ MORE 

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SPY and IWM Form with Spinning Tops as QQQ Hits March Lows

SPY and IWM Form with Spinning Tops as QQQ Hits March Lows

Stocks remain way oversold and ripe for a bounce in the coming days. On the daily charts, the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) and Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) formed spinning top candlesticks as both test support from the March lows. QQQ is also testing support here. Spinning tops signal...   READ MORE 

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Dell Shows Relative Strength and a Bear Flag

Dell Shows Relative Strength and a Bear Flag

While the stock market swooned over the last few weeks, Dell Inc (DELL) held its ground and did not break its late May lows. In fact, the stock has been edging higher the last three weeks. The indicator window shows the Price Relative rising to a new high for 2011....   READ MORE 

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SPY Fails to Hold Gap and Forges 13 week Low

SPY Fails to Hold Gap and Forges 13 week Low

The S&P 500 ETF (SPY) attempted to reverse course twice, but both surges quickly failed at 130 and the ETF moved sharply lower. Tuesday's surge was followed by a gap down on Wednesday and close below Monday's low. Blame is on Bad news (on...   READ MORE 

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Chart of Interest: AMZN, CHK, DAL, KGC, RL, UAL, UTX

Chart of Interest: AMZN, CHK, DAL, KGC, RL, UAL, UTX

AMZN Firms after Support Break. CHK Forms Harami with Two Inside Days. KGC Forms Bull Flag after Surge. Plus DAL, RL, UAL, UTX This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking. This analysis is not a recommendation to buy, sell, hold or sell short any security (stock...   READ MORE 

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Five Stocks Bucking the Bears on the Market Carpet

Five Stocks Bucking the Bears on the Market Carpet

Stocks were down rather sharply on Wednesday, but a few were bucking the trend with gains. These can be found by looking for a little green in the Sector Market Carpet. Boston Scientific (BSX), Novellus (NVLS) and Network Appliance (NTAP) are attracting buyers on a big down day.   Click this...   READ MORE 

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Stocks Surge on Big Breadth as Bonds Break Down

Stocks Surge on Big Breadth as Bonds Break Down

Stocks surged with a broad advance that lifted most boats. Net Advances and Net Advancing Volume on both the Nasdaq and NYSE surged as well. These breadth surges were comparable to the breadth surges seen at the mid March and mid April lows. Also note that SPY formed a Harami...   READ MORE 

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All Nasdaq Most Active Stocks are Moving Higher

All Nasdaq Most Active Stocks are Moving Higher

Stocks finally caught a bid with the Nasdaq leading the way higher. The image below comes from the Free Charts Page. All Nasdaq most actives are up. 8 of 10 NYSE most actives are up with Citigroup and Bank of America as the only decliners. Users can click the PerfChart...   READ MORE 

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SPY Forms Harami in Oversold Territory

SPY Forms Harami in Oversold Territory

The S&P 500 ETF (SPY) remains oversold, but unable to sustain a bounce. Last week's bounce attempts failed as the ETF moved to new lows on Friday. SPY did manage to firm on Monday with a spinning top. Also notice that the body of the spinning...   READ MORE 

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Charts of Interest: AAPL, DOW, GMO, LLL, STEC, WINN

Charts of Interest: AAPL, DOW, GMO, LLL, STEC, WINN

AAPL Returns to Support Zone. GMO Firms at Key Retracement. STEC Finds Support Near Large Gap. Plus DOW, LLL, WINN This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking. This analysis is not a recommendation to buy, sell, hold or sell short any security (stock ETF or otherwise)...   READ MORE 

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Commodity Index Fund Hits Price and Momentum Resistance

Commodity Index Fund Hits Price and Momentum Resistance

The Commodity Index Fund ($DBC) surged back above 30 in June, but is near resistance from broken support and the 62% retracement mark. Also notice that RSI is trading in its resistance zone (50-60) after becoming overbought. This is a make-or-break area for DBC.   Click this image...   READ MORE 

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Risk-Off Trade Remains in Force

Risk-Off Trade Remains in Force

There is no change in the stock market analysis as stocks became even more oversold on Friday. The S&P 500 ETF (SPY) opened weak with a gap down and closed weak. The ETF is now down around 5.5% in the last eight days, which compares to the...   READ MORE 

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Predefined Scans Page Shows Surge in Bearish Scan Hits

Predefined Scans Page Shows Surge in Bearish Scan Hits

The Predefined Scans page features color coded bars so users can see when scans are active. Red bars show a decrease in hits. Green bars show an increase in hits. Today's intraday scan shows a sharp increase in the number of stocks making the cut in bearish scans....   READ MORE 

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Indicator Summary Turns Flat as Decline Takes Toll

Indicator Summary Turns Flat as Decline Takes Toll

With a few more downgrades this week, the indicator summary moved to zero. The March decline was enough to turn the indicator summary negative, but this decline was a mere correction within the bigger uptrend. With the indicator summary on the verge of turning negative again, I must wonder if...   READ MORE 

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SPY Firms as Intermarket Picture Gets Interesting

SPY Firms as Intermarket Picture Gets Interesting

There is no change in the analysis of the S&P 500 ETF (SPY). The ETF broke its April low and is now trying to firm around 129-130. After a 4.8% decline in six days, the ETF bounced with a feeble move above 129 on Thursday. A...   READ MORE 

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Less Selling Pressure, But No Buying Pressure

Less Selling Pressure, But No Buying Pressure

Stocks tried to firm again on Wednesday, but buying pressure remains weak or non-existent. Most of this firmness stems from less selling pressure. SPY is down around 4.8% the last six days as it moved below its April low. This makes it short-term oversold. At this point,...   READ MORE 

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Charts: BRCM, CB, CHK, DELL, ISRG, MMC, MMM, NBR, TEVA

Charts: BRCM, CB, CHK, DELL, ISRG, MMC, MMM, NBR, TEVA

Downside Volume Increases for CB. MMM Firms at Key Retracement. TEVA Forms Bull Flag. Plus BRCM,CHK,DELL,ISRG,MMC,NBR This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking. This analysis is not a recommendation to buy, sell, hold or sell short any security (stock ETF or...   READ MORE 

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Internet ETF Forms Spinning Top Near Key Retracement

Internet ETF Forms Spinning Top Near Key Retracement

The FirstTrust Internet ETF (FDN) has been moving lower with the rest of the market, but firmed the last two days. A doji formed on Tuesday and a small spinning top on Wednesday. This firmness is also occurring near the 62% retracement mark and the ETF is short-term oversold....   READ MORE