KEY TAKEAWAYS * "Sell in May" is less about weakness in the spring and more about weakness in the autumn months. * Since the COVID low, the S&P 500 has usually been quite strong in May-June-July. * We're watching the SPX 5750 level along with other indicators... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * For the first time since early March, over 50% of S&P 500 members are above their 200-day moving average. * When this long-term breadth indicator has gone from below 25% to above 50%, forward 12-month returns have been positive. * Investors should keep a watchful eye on the... READ MORE
Bullish signal alert! Over 50% of S&P 500 stocks are now above their 200-day moving average. In this video, Dave explains this key market breadth indicator and what it means for stock market trends. He shows how moving average breadth has reached a bullish milestone, what this means... READ MORE
Last Friday, the S&P 500 finished the week just below 5700. The question going into this week was, "Will the S&P 500 get propelled above the 200-day?" And as I review the evidence after Friday's close, I'm noting that the... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * If our medium-term Market Trend Model turns bullish this Friday, that would mean the first bullish reversal since October 2023. * Less than 50% of S&P 500 members are above their 200-day moving average, and any reading above 50% could confirm bullish conditions. * Offensive sectors like Consumer... READ MORE
In this video, Dave reveals four key charts he's watching to determine whether the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 will be able to power through their 200-day moving averages en route to higher highs. Using the recently updated StockCharts Market Summary page, he covers moving average... READ MORE
With the major averages logging a strong up week across the board, and with the Nasdaq 100 finallyretesting its 200-day moving averagefrom below, it can feel like a challenging time to take a shot at winning charts. You may ask yourself, "Do I really want to be betting on... READ MORE
Discover the top 10 stock charts to watch this month with Grayson Roze and David Keller, CMT. They break down breakout strategies, moving average setups, and technical analysis strategies using relative strength, momentum, and trend-following indicators. This analysis covers key market trends that could impact your trading decisions. You don&... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * An absence of strong momentum tells us to be patient and wait for a better entry point on the chart. * Momentum indicators like RSI can help us define the trend phase and better identify when buyers are taking control. * A breakout above $290 could indicate a new accumulation... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * This week's rally pushed the S&P 500 above an important trendline formed by the major highs in 2025. * Improving market breadth indicators confirm a broad advance off the early April market low. * Using a "stoplight" technique, we can better assess risk and... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The AAII survey demonstrates a lack of bullish optimism after the recent bounce higher. * The NAAIM Exposure Index suggests that money managers remain skeptical of the recent advance. * While Rydex fund flows show a rotation to defensive positions, previous bearish cycles have seen much larger rotations. When I... READ MORE
In this video, market sentiment, investor psychology, and stock market trends take center stage as David Keller, CMT, shares three powerful sentiment indicators that he tracks every week. He explains how the values are derived, what the current readings say about the market environment in April 2025, and how these... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The Consumer Discretionary sector has underperformed the Consumer Staples sector since February, indicating defensive positioning for investors. * The Relative Rotation Graphs (RRG) show a clear rotation from "things you want" to "things you need" as investors fear weakening economic conditions. * We remain focused on... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The S&P 500 currently sits about 8% below its 200-day moving average, even with a strong upswing on last week's tariff news. * The newly updated Market Summary page on StockCharts.com allows investors to compare key market indexes to their 200-day moving averages. * Three... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The Bullish Percent Index for both the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 have made moves similar to previous swing lows. * A long-term review of these signals yields mixed results, especially during sustained bearish market regimes. One of my favorite market breadth indicators remained in an extreme... READ MORE
When the stock market slides significantly, it's natural to question if the market has bottomed and getting ready to bounce. In this video, David Keller, CMT highlights the Bullish Percent Index (BPI) as a key indicator to monitor during corrective moves. Learn more about how the BPI is... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Kroger remains in a primary uptrend of higher highs and higher lows, a rare feature for S&P 500 members in April 2025. * Keurig Dr Pepper has overcome gap resistance and now demonstrates strong technical characteristics. * The Utilities sector has show improving relative strength in 2025, outperforming... READ MORE
Finding stocks that show promising opportunities can be challenging in a market that goes up and down based on news headlines. But, it's possible. In this video, watch how Grayson Roze and David Keller, CMT use the tools available in StockCharts to find stocks that are breaking out,... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * A confirmed bear flag pattern would imply a minimum downside objective around $SPX 5200. Friday's overheated inflation data appears to have initiated a new downward leg for the major equity averages. This could mean a confirmed bear flag pattern for the S&P 500, and... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * META remains above an upward-sloping 200-day moving average. * If AMZN fails to hold its 200-day, this could mean bad things for AMZN and bad things for the markets. * TSLA has rallied up to its 200-day moving average, but so far has failed to gain a foothold above this... READ MORE
In this video, Dave breaks down the upside bounce in the Magnificent 7 stocks — AAPL, AMZN, NVDA, and more — highlighting key levels, 200-day moving averages, and top trading strategies using the StockCharts platform. Find out whether these leading growth stocks are set for a bullish reversal or more downside. Will... READ MORE
After reaching an all-time around $540 in mid-February, the Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) dropped almost 14% to make a new swing low around $467. With the S&P 500 and Nasdaq bouncing nicely this week, investors are struggling to differentiate between a bearish dead-cat bounce and a bullish full... READ MORE
Can the Nasdaq 100 rally to all-time highs or break down below key support? In this video, Dave uses probabilistic analysis to explore 4 possible scenarios for the QQQ over the next 6 weeks — from a super bullish surge to a bearish breakdown below the August 2024 low. Discover the... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Gold has dramatically outperformed the S&P 500 and Nasdaq in 2025. * Gold prices remain in a primary uptrend, with our Market Trend Model reading bullish on all time frames. * Gold stocks are outperforming physical gold, and could represent a "catch up" trade going into... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * There's strength in the financial sector, but it's not the banks. * Auto parts remains a strong group in a struggling sector. * Three-month highs often signal renewed strength. Where can investors find a safe haven during a period of market uncertainty? Personally, I think it&... READ MORE
In this video, Dave analyzes the bearish rotation in his Market Trend Model, highlighting the S&P 500 breakdown below the 200-day moving average and its downside potential. He also identifies five strong stocks with bullish technical setups despite market weakness. Watch now for key technical analysis insights to... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Once our "line in the sand" of SPX 5850 was broken, that confirmed a likely bear phase for stocks. * We can use Fibonacci Retracements to identify a potential downside objective based on the strength of the previous bull trend. * A confirmed sell signal from the Newer... READ MORE
In this video, Dave analyzes market conditions, bearish divergences, and leadership rotation in recent weeks. He examines the S&P 500 daily chart, highlighting how this week's selloff may confirm a bearish rotation and set downside price targets using moving averages and Fibonacci retracements. To validate a... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * ICE pushed to a new all-time high this week, completing a bullish rotation after finding Fibonacci support. * V has experienced a series of bullish breakouts after completing a cup-and-handle pattern in 2024. * JPM has pulled back to an ascending 50-day moving average, suggesting a potential short-term low during... READ MORE
In this video, Dave breaks down bearish macro signals and risk management using the "line in the sand" technique! Learn how to spot key support levels, set alerts on StockCharts, and protect your portfolio! This video originally premiered on February 26, 2025. Watch on StockCharts' dedicated David... READ MORE
In the later stages of a bull market cycle, we will often observe a proliferation of bearish momentum divergences. As prices continue higher, the momentum underneath the advance begins to wane, representing an exhaustion of buyers. We've identified a series of bearish momentum divergences in the early days... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Bearish momentum divergences suggest potential exhaustion of the bulls and limited upside. * Market breadth indicators have not confirmed recent highs, reflecting a lack of support outside the leading performers. * Dow Theory non-confirmation, a pattern first identified by Charles Dow, shows that market indexes are not confirming one another.... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * We can use the slope of moving averages, as well as a simple crossover technique, to define trends and identify trend changes. * Our Market Trend Model uses exponential moving averages, as they are more sensitive to changes in market direction. * Based on our Market Trend Model, the S&... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * META and NFLX remain in strong uptrend phases, with limited drawdowns in 2025. * Four of the Mag7 names can be classified as "broken charts", with recent breakdowns representing an important change of character. * AMZN and GOOGL offer perhaps the most concerning short-term patterns, with bearish momentum... READ MORE
In this video, Dave breaks down the formerly high-flying Mag 7 stocks into three distinct buckets. These include long & strong (META, NFLX & AMZN), broken down (TSLA, AAPL, MSFT & NVDA), and questionable (GOOGL). He also shows how GOOGL is not the only leading name featuring a bearish momentum... READ MORE
Have you ever held on too long to a winning position? You watch as that former top performer in your portfolio slows down, and then rotates lower, and then really begins to deteriorate, and you just watch it all happen without taking action? If the answer is "yes"... READ MORE
While the major equity averages are certainly up year-to-date, we're detecting a growing number of signs of leadership rotation. As the Magnificent 7 stocks have begun to falter, with charts like Apple Inc. (AAPL) taking on a less-than-magnificent luster in February, we've identified ten key stocks... READ MORE
In this video, Dave reveals three common behavioral biases, shows how they can negatively impact your portfolio returns, and describes how to use the StockCharts platform to minimize these biases in your investment process. He also shares specific examples, from gold to Pfizer to the S&P 500, and... READ MORE
In this video, Dave reviews the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) from a technical analysis perspective. He focuses on the recent failure at price gap resistance, the breakdown below price and moving average support, and the frequent appearance of bearish engulfing patterns which have often indicated major highs over the last... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF (SMH) broke out of a six-month base this week, suggesting further upside potential. * While the breakout in SMH appears bullish, the ETF still has yet to eclipse a key price gap from July 2025. * A bearish engulfing pattern to end the week indicates... READ MORE