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Pullback or Pitfall? Let the 21-Day EMA Be Your Guide
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
Dave explains how the 21-day exponential moving average can help confirm trend phases, validate signals from other moving averages, and serve as an essential risk management tool for traders....
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Mapping the Road Ahead: Four Scenarios for the Nasdaq 100
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
While August and September are traditionally a weak period for stocks, the Nasdaq 100 has continued to drive higher. We lay out four potential scenarios for the QQQ over the next six weeks, from the very bullish to the super bearish....
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Two Volume Indicators Every Investor Should Know
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
Dave explains why volume indicators, including the Accumulation/Distribution Line and Chaikin Money Flow, still matter in today’s markets. Using NVDA’s earnings, the S&P 500, WMT, and EAT as examples, he shows how volume trends can reveal accumulation or distribution beneath the surface, even when price...
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New Stocks Breaking Out While Big Tech Falters!
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
Mega-cap growth stocks like META, MSFT, and AAPL are showing weakness, but breadth conditions remain strong as other areas of the market push higher. In this episode, David Keller, CMT explores leadership rotation in August 2025, highlighting failed breakouts, key breadth indicators, and how to use scans on StockCharts to...
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Three Key Macro Charts I’m Watching on Vacation
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
Here are the key levels to watch in the S&P 500 as well as META, MSFT, and AAPL. As long as the index and stocks hold above key support levels, the uptrend in stocks is in good shape. ...
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The Good, the Bad, and the Sideways
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
As U.S. equity indexes hit new highs, not all stocks are keeping pace. Explore these three stocks that are at key technical junctures with charts that highlight trend shifts, risk levels, and actionable signals....
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Top 10 Stock Charts for August 2025 You Need to Watch Now
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
Join Dave as he shares ten actionable stock charts for August 2025 that he’s watching closely. From breakout setups to key reversals, David highlights tickers like Tesla, Meta, Caterpillar, Motorola, and Newmont Mining that show compelling technical patterns. He also walks through how to manage the full trading process...
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3 Types of Breakouts To Upgrade Your Portfolio
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
Use this StockCharts scan to identify three categories of stocks and ETFs that are making new three-month highs....
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Catch Big Moves Early With This Breakout Scan!
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
Follow along as Dave shares the one stock scan he runs every week to uncover potential breakout candidates. He explains the three types of chart setups that frequently appear, each with their own trading implications, and walks through how he structures trades according to type. He also illustrates how to...
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Is META Breaking Out or Breaking Down?
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
The chart of Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) has completed a roundtrip from the February high around $740 to the April low at $480 – and all the way back again. Over the last couple weeks, META has pulled back from its retest of all-time highs, leaving investors to wonder what may...
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A Wild Ride For the History Books: 2025 Mid-Year Recap
by Grayson Roze,
Chief Strategist, StockCharts.com
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
Markets don't usually hit record highs, then risk falling into bearish territory, and spring back to new highs within six months. But that's what happened in 2025.
In this special mid-year recap, Grayson Roze sits down with David Keller, CMT, to show how disciplined routines, price-based...
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Three Bearish Candle Patterns Every Investor Should Know
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* The shooting star pattern indicates a short-term rotation from accumulation to distribution.
* The bearish engulfing pattern suggests sellers have taken control, suggesting further weakness.
* The evening star pattern is a three-candle formation that illustrates an exhaustion of buying power.
There is no denying that the broad markets remain...
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From Hammer to Harami: Using StockCharts to Crack the Candlestick Code
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
Join Dave as he reviews three common candle patterns traders can use to identify potential turning points. From bullish engulfing patterns to evening star patterns, Dave gives insights on how to leverage these powerful candle signals to anticipate market shifts. He also shows combining candle patterns with conventional technical analysis...
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What Happens Next for the S&P 500? Pick Your Path!
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
The S&P continues to push higher, with the equity benchmark almost reaching 6300 this week for the first time in history. With so many potential macro headwinds still surrounding us, how can the market continue to reflect so much optimism? On the other hand, when will bulls wake...
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How to Find Compelling Charts in Every Sector
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
Over a number of years working for a large money manager with a rich history of stock picking, I became more and more enamored with the benefits of scanning for constructive price charts regardless of the broad market conditions. Earlier in my career, as I was first learning technical analysis,...
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Breakout Watch: One Stock in Each Sector to Watch Now
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
When sector performance shifts gears from one day to the next, it's best to be prepared with a handful of stocks from the each of the sectors.
In this hands-on video, David Keller, CMT, highlights his criteria for picking the top stocks in 10 of the 11 S&...
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Fibonacci Retracements: The Key to Identifying True Breakouts
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
If you've looked at enough charts over time, you start to recognize classic patterns that often appear. From head-and-shoulders tops to cup-and-handle patterns, they almost jump off the page when you bring up the chart. I would definitely include Fibonacci Retracements on that list, because before I ever...
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How to Use Fibonacci Retracements to Spot Key Levels
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
Join Dave as he shares how he uses the power of Fibonacci retracements to anticipate potential turning points. He takes viewers through the process of determining what price levels to use to set up a Fibonacci framework, and, from there, explains what Fibonacci retracements are telling him about the charts...
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Bearish Divergence Suggests Caution For S&P 500
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
With Friday's pullback after a relatively strong week, the S&P 500 chart appears to be flashing a rare but powerful signal that is quite common at major market tops. The signal in question is a bearish momentum divergence, formed by a pattern of higher highs in...
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Is the S&P 500 Flashing a Bearish Divergence?
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
Unlock the power of divergence analysis! Join Dave as he breaks down what a bearish momentum divergence is and why it matters. Throughout this video, Dave illustrates how to confirm (or invalidate) the signal on the S&P500, Nasdaq100, equal‑weighted indexes, semiconductors, and even defensive names like AT&...
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Three Charts Showing Proper Moving Average Alignment
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
I'm a huge fan of using platforms like StockCharts to help make my investment process more efficient and more effective. The StockCharts Scan Enginehelps me identify stocks that are demonstrating constructive technical configuration based on the shape and relationship of multiple moving averages.
Today, I'll share...
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How I Find Up-trending Stocks Every Week (Step-by-Step Scan Tutorial)
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this video, Dave shares his weekly stock scan strategy used to identify bullish stock trends. He illustrates how to set up this powerful scan, reveals the tips and tricks he uses to identify the most constructive patterns, and explains the four winning chart setups that tend to come up...
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Breakouts, Momentum & Moving Averages: 10 Must-See Stock Charts Right Now
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
by Grayson Roze,
Chief Strategist, StockCharts.com
Discover the top 10 stock charts to watch this month with Grayson Roze and David Keller, CMT. From breakout strategies to moving average setups, the duo walk through technical analysis techniques using relative strength, momentum, and trend-following indicators.
In this video, viewers will also gain insight into key market trends...
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Leadership Rotation Could Confirm Corrective Phase
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
There's no denying that the equity markets have taken on a decisively different look and feel in recent weeks.
We've compared the charts of the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100, as well as leading growth stocks like Nvidia, to an airplane experiencing a "...
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What Happens When the S&P 500 Breaks Below Gap Support?
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
My main question going into this weekend was, "Will the S&P 500 finish the week above its 200-day moving average?" And while the S&P 500 did indeed finish the week above this long-term trend barometer, our main equity benchmark is now within the gap...
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Not All Price Gaps Are the Same! Here's How to Trade Them
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
Learn how to analyze stock price gaps with Dave! In this video, Dave discusses the different types of price gaps, why all price gaps are not the same, and how you can use the StockCharts platform to identify key levels and signals to follow on charts where price gaps occur....
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S&P 500 Now in Weakest Seasonal Period... Or Is It?
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* "Sell in May" is less about weakness in the spring and more about weakness in the autumn months.
* Since the COVID low, the S&P 500 has usually been quite strong in May-June-July.
* We're watching the SPX 5750 level along with other indicators...
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Bullish Breadth Improvement Suggests Further Upside for Stocks
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* For the first time since early March, over 50% of S&P 500 members are above their 200-day moving average.
* When this long-term breadth indicator has gone from below 25% to above 50%, forward 12-month returns have been positive.
* Investors should keep a watchful eye on the...
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50% of S&P 500 Stocks Just Turned Bullish – What Happens Next?
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
Bullish signal alert! Over 50% of S&P 500 stocks are now above their 200-day moving average.
In this video, Dave explains this key market breadth indicator and what it means for stock market trends. He shows how moving average breadth has reached a bullish milestone, what this means...
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Which Will Hit First: SPX 6100 or SPX 5100?
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
Last Friday, the S&P 500 finished the week just below 5700. The question going into this week was, "Will the S&P 500 get propelled above the 200-day?" And as I review the evidence after Friday's close, I'm noting that the...
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Three Charts to Watch for an "All Clear" Signal
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* If our medium-term Market Trend Model turns bullish this Friday, that would mean the first bullish reversal since October 2023.
* Less than 50% of S&P 500 members are above their 200-day moving average, and any reading above 50% could confirm bullish conditions.
* Offensive sectors like Consumer...
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Four Charts to Track a Potential Market Top
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this video, Dave reveals four key charts he's watching to determine whether the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 will be able to power through their 200-day moving averages en route to higher highs. Using the recently updated StockCharts Market Summary page, he covers moving average...
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Three Stocks With Post-Earnings Upside Potential
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
With the major averages logging a strong up week across the board, and with the Nasdaq 100 finallyretesting its 200-day moving averagefrom below, it can feel like a challenging time to take a shot at winning charts. You may ask yourself, "Do I really want to be betting on...
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Top 10 Stock Charts For May 2025: Breakouts, Trends & Big Moves!
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
by Grayson Roze,
Chief Strategist, StockCharts.com
Discover the top 10 stock charts to watch this month with Grayson Roze and David Keller, CMT. They break down breakout strategies, moving average setups, and technical analysis strategies using relative strength, momentum, and trend-following indicators. This analysis covers key market trends that could impact your trading decisions. You don&...
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Tesla: The Breakout to Bolster the Bulls
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* An absence of strong momentum tells us to be patient and wait for a better entry point on the chart.
* Momentum indicators like RSI can help us define the trend phase and better identify when buyers are taking control.
* A breakout above $290 could indicate a new accumulation...
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S&P 500 Rises from Bearish to Neutral, But Will It Last?
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* This week's rally pushed the S&P 500 above an important trendline formed by the major highs in 2025.
* Improving market breadth indicators confirm a broad advance off the early April market low.
* Using a "stoplight" technique, we can better assess risk and...
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Sentiment Signals Suggest Skepticism
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* The AAII survey demonstrates a lack of bullish optimism after the recent bounce higher.
* The NAAIM Exposure Index suggests that money managers remain skeptical of the recent advance.
* While Rydex fund flows show a rotation to defensive positions, previous bearish cycles have seen much larger rotations.
When I...
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Bearish Warning: 3 Market Sentiment Indicators You Can't Ignore
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this video, market sentiment, investor psychology, and stock market trends take center stage as David Keller, CMT, shares three powerful sentiment indicators that he tracks every week. He explains how the values are derived, what the current readings say about the market environment in April 2025, and how these...
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When in Doubt, Follow the Leadership
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* The Consumer Discretionary sector has underperformed the Consumer Staples sector since February, indicating defensive positioning for investors.
* The Relative Rotation Graphs (RRG) show a clear rotation from "things you want" to "things you need" as investors fear weakening economic conditions.
* We remain focused on...
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