With the Magnificent 7 stocks struggling to hold up through a tumultuous earnings season, what sort of opportunities are emerging on the charts going into November? Today, we'll break down some of the names we've included in our Top Ten Charts to Watch for November 2024.... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * A negative McClellan Oscillator suggests short-term weakness in breadth conditions. * About 30% of the S&P 500 members have already broken down below their 50-day moving average. * The Bullish Percent Index has broken a key bearish threshold, indicating that many stocks have already begun bearish trends. As... READ MORE
In this video, Dave digs into five market breadth indicators every investor should track as we navigate a volatile period including Q3 earnings, the US elections, and the November Fed meeting. He breaks down key insights on each of the five charts, talks about why breadth indicators are equal-weighted, and... READ MORE
When I was growing up, I loved Choose Your Own Adventure books. I see the world in shades of gray instead of black-and-white, so I was immediately drawn to the seemingly endless scenarios that the main characters could experience as I made different choices for them. As investors, we often... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The S&P 500 is nearing trendline support, which could provide a crucial signal of downside rotation. * Market breadth indicators are beginning to diverge from the index, trending lower in the month of October. * The MarketCarpet visualization shows a concerning drop in the mega-cap growth names which... READ MORE
How do you track movements of all the S&P 500 stocks on any given trading day? In this video, Dave will show you how he uses the StockCharts MarketCarpet to evaluate broad equity market conditions, assess the changes in the mega-cap stocks which dominate the benchmarks, and identify... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The MACD and PPO indicators are trend-following devices designed to confirm a trend reversal has occurred. * The histogram shows when the MACD indicator is showing signs of a potential reversal, providing more of a leading indicator. * Investors can use other indicators, such as the Chandelier Exit system, on... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The put/call ratio measures volumes in the options market to compare bullish vs. bearish positioning. * The AAII Survey is close to the 50% bullish level, which often coincides with major market tops. * The NAAIM Exposure Index, currently just above 90%, tells us that money managers are not... READ MORE
Which market sentiment indicators should we follow to validate the current bull market phase and anticipate a potential market top? David Keller, CMT breaks down three sentiment indicators he's watching in October 2024, explains their calculations and methodology, reviews their signals during previous bull market cycles, and describes... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * While the daily volume reading can give us limited insight on the balance of buyers and sellers, Chaikin Money Flow gives a much clearer picture of trends in volume. * Major tops in the last 12-18 months have been marked with a particular pattern in the S&P... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Watch the S&P 500's "line in the sand" for a signs of a breakdown in the major averages. * Market breadth indicators could provide an early warning of a potential breakdown for the benchmarks. * By being thoughtful about your position sizing for each... READ MORE
Will we see a major market top during the month of October? Dave breaks down three market breadth indicators and compares their current configuration to what we observed at the 2007 market top. He then goes through the charts and reviews market topping conditions from a breadth perspective using the... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * There have been less new 52-week highs since mid-September, suggesting leaders are falling off. * The percent of S&P 500 members above their 50-day moving average is below 75%, which often serves as a threshold for a downturn. * The S&P 500 Bullish Percent Index remains... READ MORE
As we near the end of what has been a fairly solid Q3 for the equity markets, we are left with the eternal question for investors: "What's next?" We now have the Fed's first rate cut in the rearview mirror, with multiple rate cuts... READ MORE
So the first Fed rate cut is behind us, and we are no longer in a "higher for longer" period, but in a new rate cut cycle which will most likely last well into 2025. So that's good news for stocks, right? Well, not necessarily. The... READ MORE
While the S&P 500 finished the week once again testing new all-time highs around 5650, the Nasdaq 100 remains rangebound in a symmetrical triangle or "coil" pattern. While this pattern does not necessarily suggest a potential next move for the QQQ, it did lead me to... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Weaker price momentum suggests an exhaustion of buyers. * The VIX pushed back above 20 this week, indicating a higher likelihood of a price correction. * The equal-weighted S&P 500 made a new all-time high in August, but that was not echoed with a new high from the... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * A head-and-shoulders top pattern has to complete three phases before it can be considered valid. * Even if semiconductors would complete this bearish price pattern, strength in other sectors suggests limited impact on the broader equity space. After Nvidia (NVDA) dropped after earnings this week, investors are once again... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave breaks down key sector leadership themes and why growth stocks like Nvidia continue to take a back seat to value-oriented sectors. He speaks to the inverted yield curve, performance of the equal-weighted S&P 500 vs. the Magnificent... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave recaps a brutal day for retailers as ANF, FL, and BBWI drop on earnings misses. He also highlights the bullish primary trend for hold, shares two breakout names in the consumer staples sector, and breaks down key names in... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave focuses in on three key charts to watch in the technology sector as investors anxiously await NVDA earnings and Friday's inflation data. He also shares two important charts for tracking improving market breadth conditions and highlights the... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave completes a five-part series covering ten charts to watch in August 2024, breaking down to stocks in established downtrends. What would we need to see to confirm a rotation from a distribution phase to an accumulation phase, and where... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave continues a five-part series covering ten charts to watch in August 2024, honing in on two Health Care stocks showing renewed signs of strength. He also breaks down how earnings releases relate to price trends, and how investors should... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave continues a five-part series covering ten charts to watch in August 2024, with a focus today on Utilities and Real Estate. Why do low-beta, high-income stocks do so well in bearish market phases, and do we still see signs... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave continues a five-part series covering ten charts to watch in August 2024, focusing on potential ideas in the Consumer Staples sector. Are dividend-paying defensive names the way to ride out a period of market uncertainty? This video originally premiered... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave kicks off a five-part series covering ten charts to watch in August 2024, starting with two mega-cap growth stocks testing key resistance levels. Will they power up to new all-time highs into September? This video originally premiered on August... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave recaps another strong up day for growth leadership names, with ULTA and NVDA powering higher after retail sales numbers pushed aside inflation fears. He notes the cautious positioning in the NAAIM Exposure Index, Bitcoin's failed attempt to... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave shows how breadth conditions have evolved so far in August, highlights the renewed strength in the financial sector with a focus on insurance stocks, and describes how the action so far in Q3 could be forming a potential head-and-shoulders... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave recaps an epic rally in mega cap growth stocks, with NVDA up over 6% and META threatening a new 52-week high. Dave highlights how gold and bond prices continue to rise in the face of stronger stocks, and breaks... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave recaps a choppy Monday for the equity markets, as gold tests new all-time highs and interest rates continue to plummet. He highlights the stock to bond ratio, revisits the classic 60:40 ratio favored by investors, and breaks down... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The VIX reaching 65 signals extreme volatility and elevated risk of market downside * The AAII Survey is close to showing more bears than bulls, which would line up with previous corrections * The NAAIM Exposure Index indicates that money managers were rotating to defensive positioning in early July While... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave presents a special all-mailbag episode, answering viewer questions on optimizing entry points for long ideas, best practices for point & figure charts, and the relationship between gold and interest rates. See Dave's chart showing Zweig Breadth Thrust... READ MORE
This week saw the major equity averages continue a confirmed pullback phase, with some of the biggest gainers in the first half of 2024 logging some major losses. Is this one of the most buyable dips of the year? Or is this just the beginning of a protracted decline with... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave previews earnings releases from TSLA and GOOGL, breaks down key levels to watch for SPOT, GE, and more, and analyzes the discrepancy between S&P 500 and Nasdaq breadth indicators. See Dave's MarketCarpet featuring the Vanilla... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave previews earnings releases from TSLA and GOOGL, breaks down key levels to watch for SPOT, GE, and more, and analyzes the discrepancy between S&P 500 and Nasdaq breadth indicators. This video originally premiered on July 23, 2024.... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave breaks down today's upside recovery day for stocks, then shares the charts of TSLA, NVDA, and more. He also illustrates the conflicting messages from AAII and NAAIM sentiment surveys, and also highlights the VIX testing the key... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave answers viewer questions on the best time frames for viewing charts, insights on using Vanguard ETFs for sector rotation, the duration and effect of the Hindenburg Omen indicator, how stocks are indexed in Dow Jones Groups on StockCharts, and... READ MORE
The S&P 500 remains in a primary uptrend, as confirmed by a fairly consistent pattern of higher highs and higher lows. But what would confirm that a top is in place for our major equity benchmarks? To answer that, it may be helpful to review other charts that... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave shares a market update including key levels to watch for the S&P 500 index, what a VIX above 15 means for a possible market correction, the improvement in value-oriented sectors, and why DPZ may be the world&... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave comments on the Newer Dow Theory signal, improving market breadth conditions, impact of lower interest rates, and key levels to watch for GLD, UNH, CAT, and BAC. He also breaks down today's rally driven by small caps... READ MORE