The daily bars in Chart 1 show the QQQ breaking last week's short-term support and falling further below its 50-day moving average today. The two upper boxes in Chart 1 also show its RSI and MACD lines continuing to decline. That suggests more selling to come. It now... READ MORE
NASDAQ 100 TURNS DOWN... The daily bars in Chart 1 show the QQQ breaking last week's short-term support and falling further below its 50-day moving average today. The two upper boxes in Chart 1 also show its RSI and MACD lines continuing to decline. That suggests more selling... READ MORE
MAJOR STOCK INDEXES RETEST LAST WEEK'S LOW... Stocks are under pressure and are retesting lows formed late last week. And are putting 50-day moving averages in jeopardy on daily charts. The tech-driven Nasdaq is leading today's retreat. The hourly bars in Chart 1 show the Invesco... READ MORE
DOW TRANSPORTS NEAR RECORD TERRITORY...The weekly bars in Chart 1 show the Dow Transports rising above their late 2019 peak and challenging their 2018 intra-day peak at 11623. A close above that level would put the Dow Transports in record territory. Their relative strength ratio in the upper box... READ MORE
MATERIALS SPDR HITS NEW RECORD... Stocks are trading higher today with ten of eleven sectors in the green. The only one to hit a new record is shown below. Chart 1 shows the Materials SPDR (XLB) trading at a new record high. Its relative strength line in the upper box... READ MORE
S&P 500 GROWTH ISHARES HOLD 50-DAY LINE... A lot has been written about the relationship between growth and value shares. During last week's pullback in technology shares, cheaper value stocks held up better which raised questions about whether a rotation was starting from growth into value... READ MORE
TECHNICAL DIVERGENCES WARN OF MORE VOLATILITY... We're all focused on the meaning and severity of the recent selloff in stocks and trying to determine if this is a short-term pullback or something more serious. A number of technical divergences that have appeared on price charts suggest that the... READ MORE
HOURLY CHART SHOWS OVERHEAD RESISTANCE... The hourly price bars in Chart 1 show the Invesco QQQ Trust which measures the Nasdaq 100 Index trying to build on yesterday's bounce off its 50-day moving average. The big question is whether a bottom has been seen, or whether more testing... READ MORE
NASDAQ COMPOSITE IS TESTING ITS 50-DAY AVERAGE.. The tech-driven Nasdaq market continues to lead the market lower. Chart 1 shows the Nasdaq Composite Index in the process of testing its 50-day average. That's an important test for it and the rest of the market. Chart 2 shows the... READ MORE
This morning's strong jobs report saw a bigger than expected jump in nonfarm payrolls during August and a bigger than expected drop in the unemployment report to 8.4%. That strong combination helped contribute to today's rebound in bond yields. Chart 1 shows the 10-Year Treasury... READ MORE
STRONG JOBS REPORT BOOSTS BOND YIELDS...This morning's strong jobs report saw a bigger than expected jump in nonfarm payrolls during August and a bigger than expected drop in the unemployment report to 8.4%. That strong combination helped contribute to today's rebound in bond yields.... READ MORE
NASDAQ 100 LEADS MARKET LOWER... The tech-dominated Nasdaq is leading the market lower today for the worst drop since June 11. Today's negative combination of falling prices and rising volume suggests that there's more selling to come. The Candlevolume bars in Chart 1 show the Invesco... READ MORE
NASDAQ PULLS BACK FROM OVERBOUGHT TERRITORY... It shouldn't come as surprise to read that the Nasdaq has been in overbought territory. So is the technology sector. And both are leading the market lower today. The top box in Chart 1 shows the 14-day RSI line for the Technology... READ MORE
TWITTER CLEARS RESISTANCE... My August 26 message showed our first chart today with the caption that Twitter might be breaking out. Today's action suggests that upside breakout may finally be taking place. Chart 1 shows Twitter (TWTR) climbing more than 2% and trading at the highest level in... READ MORE
MATERIALS LEAD MARKET HIGHER... On a strong market day, six sectors are in the black with materials in the lead. Chart 1 shows the Materials Sector SPDR (XLB) gaining 2% today to hit a new record. Its relative strength line in the upper box is bouncing as well after declining... READ MORE
COMMODITY RALLY CONTINUES... Previous messages have pointed out that a two-year low in the U.S. Dollar Index was helping to lift commodity prices. And that's still the case. Chart 1 shows the Invesco Commodity Index (DBC) moving further above its 200-day moving average. Most of those messages,... READ MORE
GOLD SPDR HOLDS SUPPORT... My Wednesday message showed precious metals and their miners pulling back to underlying support levels within major uptrends. That's still the case. My message from yesterday described profit-taking in those same precious metals following an upside spike in bond yields after the head of... READ MORE
TEN-YEAR TREASURY YIELD REACHES TWO-MONTH HIGH...Bond yields are climbing today. That may be a reaction to Mr. Powell's speech suggesting that the Fed was relaxing its attitude toward the possibility of rising inflation. Treasury bonds are being sold as a result which is boosting bond yields. The... READ MORE
GOLD ETF AND ITS MINERS TEST UNDERLYING SUPPORT... Precious metals have spend most of August pulling back from their recent strong advances which has enabled them to work off some short-term overbought conditions. And they're testing underlying support levels. Chart 1 shows the Gold SPDR (GLD) testing a... READ MORE
COMMUNICATION SERVICES LEAD MARKET HIGHER... Chart 1 shows the Communication Services SPDR (XLC) climbing nearly 2% today to a new record. It's relative strength line in the upper box is breaking out as well. It's two biggest percentage gainers are Netflix and Facebook. Chart 2 shows... READ MORE
GAP AND GENERAL MOTORS HELP LEAD CYCLICALS HIGHER... My weekend message showed the Consumer Discretionary SPDR (XLY) setting new records. It's hitting another one today led higher by cruise lines, clothing, travel & tourism, gambling, and apparel retailers. Two stocks in particular show up on today's... READ MORE
S&P 500 HITS NEW RECORD ON FRIDAY... The S&P 500 hit a record close on Tuesday and on Friday exceeded its February intra-day peak at 3393 to confirm a new all-time high as shown by the weekly bars in Chart 1. The Nasdaq hit another record... READ MORE
Last Friday's message applied Bollinger bands to the S&P 500 and cautioned that the market looked a bit stretched over the short-run. Prices have since backed off slightly from the upper band, but remain well above the dashed 20-day average (green arrow) which means that the... READ MORE
S&P 500 STILL HASN'T CLEARED FEBRUARY INTRA-DAY HIGH... The news media has been quick to declare a new record high in the S&P 500. However, we may not be there just yet. The SPX did hit a new closing high. The February intra-day high,... READ MORE
DOLLAR INDEX HITS ANOTHER LOW... The greenback continues its decline to the lowest level in nearly two years. Chart 1 shows the Invesco US Dollar Bullish Fund (UUP) falling to another multi-year low today. And it's falling against all of its major trading partners. As is normally the... READ MORE
S&P 500 IS TESTING ITS FEBRUARY HIGH... The most important test going on at the moment is the S&P 500 challenging its February high. Its highest intra-day value shown in Chart 1 is 3393.52. The SPX closing high for February was 3386.15. Although the... READ MORE
EMERGING MARKET ETFS ALSO BENEFIT FROM WEAKER DOLLAR... My earlier message today made the point that a weaker dollar is benefiting foreign stock ETFs that are quoted in dollars. The message showed the rising euro benefiting eurozone ETFs with Germany on the verge of a bullish breakout. The same principle... READ MORE
EAFE ISHARES REACH SIX-MONTH HIGH... I wrote a message three weeks ago on Wednesday, July 22 to the effect that a weaker U.S. dollar was boosting foreign stocks ETFs that are quoted in dollars. When American investors buy foreign stocks, they're also indirectly buying local currencies. So... READ MORE
GLOBAL YIELDS REBOUND... Bond yields are rebounding today. That may be partially due to an uptick in producer price inflation. Or the fact that global stocks are also rebounding which is driving some money out of bonds and into stocks. Global yields are rebounding along with stocks. Chart 1 shows... READ MORE
DOW EXCEEDS JUNE HIGH... The Dow Industrials continue to gain ground on the rest of the stock market. And is the strongest of the three major stock indexes today. Chart 1 shows the Dow Industrials trading above their June intra-day peak at 27,600. The Dow is the last of... READ MORE
ALCOA CLEARS 200-DAY LINE...CENTURY ALUMINUM LEADS... Material stocks continue to act as market leaders. Strong gold miners are a big part of that. So are copper miners. Last Wednesday' message showed the Dow Jones Nonferrous Metals Index scoring a bullish breakout along with Freeport McMoran (FCX); and Southern... READ MORE
Big tech has been the main story in the market since the start of the pandemic with most of the rest of the market largely left behind. Over the past couple of weeks, however, we've started to see some money moving into weaker parts of the stock market... READ MORE
MODEST ROTATION TAKES PLACE... Big tech has been the main story in the market since the start of the pandemic with most of the rest of the market largely left behind. Over the past couple of weeks, however, we've started to see some money moving into weaker parts... READ MORE
RUSSELL 2000 ISHARES AND DOW TRANSPORTS PASS JUNE HIGH...DOW GAINS...The rally in stocks continues to broaden out. Market groups that had lagged behind the stock recovery are starting to catch up. Small caps and transports are two examples. Chart 1 shows the Russell 2000 iShares (IWM) trading above... READ MORE
COPPER MINERS LEAD MATERIALS HIGHER... A falling dollar has been one of the big factors pushing commodity prices higher and stocks tied to them. Today's drop in the greenback to another two-year low is continuing the flow of money into commodity assets. Several messages over the last month... READ MORE
TECHS AND NASDAQ CONTINUE TO LEAD THE WAY... Big techology stocks are leading the market higher today again. Chart 1 show the Nasdaq Composite Index reaching a new high as did the Technology SPDR (XLK). Its biggest percentage gainers were Microsoft and a number of chip stocks. Chart 2 shows... READ MORE
THREE BIG TECHS LEAD FRIDAY REBOUND... Going into Thursday evening, most of the TV stock market commentary centered around the big tech stocks that were announcing quarterly earnings after the close. The consensus seemed to be that the big tech stocks had already seen huge gains for the year, and... READ MORE
POINT & FIGURE CHARTS SHOW TRANSPORTATION BREAKOUTS...My morning message wrote about four transportation stocks that were achieving bullish breakouts. A glitch in the system, however, prevented me from showing their usual bar charts. So I've improvised a bit to bring their point & figure versions. Unlike bar... READ MORE
DOW TRANSPORTS MOVE FURTHER ABOVE 200-DAY LINE... Transportation stocks are one of today's strongest groups. Chart 1 shows the Dow Transports gaining 2% this morning and moving further above their 200-day moving average which is now acting as a line of support (see red arrow). My message on... READ MORE
REBOUND IN NASDAQ 100 STEADIES MARKET... Stocks are opening the week on a firmer note. A rebound in tech stocks is one of the reasons why. Last Thursday's high-volume selloff in tech stocks caused some nervous profit-taking as the week ended. Chart 1 shows the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)... READ MORE