KEY TAKEAWAYS * Top 5 sectors remain unchanged, with minor position shifts * Leading sectors showing signs of losing momentum * Daily RRG reveals top sectors in weakening quadrant * Communication services at risk of dropping out of top 5 Communication Services Drops to #5 The composition of the top five sectors remains largely... READ MORE
In this video, Julius analyzes current asset class rotation, revealing why stocks in the lagging quadrant may signal continued market weakness. By combining sector rotation trends—particularly strength in defensive sectors—with SPY seasonality, Julius builds a compelling case that downside risk in the S&P 500 may outweigh... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Defensive sectors maintain dominance in top 5, despite strong market performance. * Real Estate enters top 5, replacing Health Care; Consumer Staples, Utilities, and Financials remain stable in top 3 positions. * Defensive positioning has put a dent in portfolio performance after strong week. Real Estate and Healthcare Swapping Positions... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Consumer staples and utilities continue to lead sector rankings. * Defensive sectors are showing strength in both weekly and daily RRGs. * Health care struggling, but maintains position in top 5 * RRG portfolio slightly underperforming S&P 500 YTD, but gap narrowing. Top 5 Remains Unchanged The latest sector... READ MORE
Stocks vs. bonds? In this video, Julius breaks down the asset allocation outlook and why defensive sectors, large-cap value, and bonds may continue to outperform in this volatile market. He starts at the asset allocation level using Relative Rotation Graphs (RRGs) to analyze stocks vs bonds performance, then highlights the... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The entire top 5 has now changed positions. * All defensive sectors are now in the top 5, while Healthcare has reentered. * Portfolio is now lagging S&P 500. Healthcare Re-Enters the Top 5 After a wild week in the markets, the sector ranking got quite a shake-up.... READ MORE
Is the stock market volatility making you nervous? In this video, Grayson Roze and Julius de Kempenaer unpack the volatile market environment and discuss pain points, some of the "bright spots" they are seeing in the market, and the StockCharts tools they are using to identify shifts in... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Consumer Staples replaces Healthcare in top 5 * More defensive rotation underway * RRG portfolio remains in line with market performance This article was first posted on 4/4/2025 and contained only rankings and charts. Then updated with comments 4/7/2025 I am attending and speaking at the... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Financials jump to #1 spot in S&P 500 sector rankings. * Three sectors now in leading quadrant on weekly RRG * Only Tech and Consumer Discretionary showing negative RRG headings * RRG portfolio outperforming S&P 500 YTD by 10 basis points Financials take the lead. No changes... READ MORE
Sector rotation is shaping the S&P 500's next big move! In this exclusive StockCharts video,Julius analyzes SPY support levels, key sector trends, and the latest seasonal patterns—which indicate further downside for Technology stocks. He breaks down two critical support areas that could signal the... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Energy sector jumps to position #2 in top 5 * Consumer Staples drops out of portfolio * Communication Services remains at #1 spot * Modest pick up of relative momentum for XLK and XLY not enough yet Energy Jumps to #2 A big move for the energy sector last week as... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * At the moment, we're seeing a big shakeup in sector rankings. * Healthcare has entered the top five. * Technology is dropping to last position. * All defensive sectors are now in the top five. Big Moves in Sector Ranking The ranking of US sectors continues to shift. At... READ MORE
In this exclusive StockCharts video,Julius analyzes US sector rotation using Relative Rotation Graphs (RRG), starting with the 11 S&P sectors and breaking them into Offensive, Defensive, and Sensitive sectors to uncover unusual market rotations. He then dives into the Financials sector, identifying top stocks with potential for... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Communication Services (XLC) maintains top spot, Tech (XLK) plummets * Shift towards defensive sectors evident in rankings * Consumer Discretionary (XLY) showing signs of weakness * Portfolio slightly outperforming SPY benchmark Sector Shake-Up: Defensive Moves and Tech's Tumble Last week's market volatility stirred up the sector rankings,... READ MORE
In this exclusive StockCharts video,Julius analyzes sector rotation in US markets, assessing recent damage and potential downside risks. He examines the Equal Weight RSP vs. Cap-Weighted SPX ratio and the stocks vs. bonds relationship to identify key market trends. Don't miss this deep dive into market rotation... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Communication services maintains top spot in sector ranking. * Financials moves up to #2, pushing consumer discretionary down to #3. * Technology and utilities hold steady at #4 and #5 respectively. * Portfolio performance now on par with benchmark after recent outperformance. Sector Rotation: Financials Climb as Consumer Discretionary Slips While... READ MORE
In this exclusive StockCharts video,Julius analyzes seasonality for U.S. sectors and aligns it with current sector rotation. He explores how these trends impact the market (SPY) and shares insights on potential movements using RRG analysis. By combining seasonality with sector rotation, he provides a deeper look at market... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Utilities entering the top-5 * Industrials dropping out of top-5 portfolio * Real-Estate and Energy swapping positions in bottom half of the ranking * Perfomance now 0.3% below SPY since inception. Utilities enter top 5 Last week's trading, especially the sell-off on Friday, has caused the Utilities sector... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Large cap growth stocks regaining favor as market faces pressure * Cap-weighted sectors outperforming equal-weighted counterparts * S&P 500 struggling to break above 610, suggesting potential trading range * Exceptions in mega-cap dominated sectors (Communication Services, Technology, Consumer Discretionary) With the market selling off into the close today, it&... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Communication services (XLC) claims the top spot, pushing consumer discretionary (XLY) to second place * Technology (XLK) shows strength, moving up to fourth and displacing industrials (XLI) * Industrials displaying weakness, at risk of dropping out of the top five * RRG portfolio outperforming SPY benchmark by 69 basis points Shifting... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Top-5 remains unchanged * Healthcare and Staples jump to higher positions * Price and Relative trends remain strong for XLC and XLF No Changes In Top-5 At the end of the week ending 2/7, there were no changes in the top-5, but there have been some significant shifts in... READ MORE
In this exclusive StockCharts video,Julius shares a new approach to seasonality by using a more granular, data-set constructed UDI (User Defined Index) for every sector. Using the UDI functionality on StockCharts.com allows Julius to plot the seasonal patterns for each sector forward to the end of 2025 and... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Technology (XLK) re-enters top 5 sectors, displacing Energy (XLE) * Consumer Discretionary (XLY) maintains #1 position * Weekly and daily RRGs show supportive trends for leading sectors XLY and XLC * Top-5 portfolio outperforms S&P 500 by nearly 50 basis points Technology Moves Back into Top-5 As we wrap... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * No changes in top-5 sectors * XLC showing strong break from consolidation flag * XLE remains just barely above XLK as a result of strong daily RRG No changes in the top-5 At the end of this week, there were no changes in the ranking of the top-5 sectors. 1.... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Short term strength drags enery sector up * Long term strength keeps consumer discretionary on top * Massive upside potential ready to get unlocked in EOG I have been traveling in the US since 1/15 and attended the CMTA Mid-Winter retreat in Tampa, FL 1/16-1/17 and then... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Energy replaces Technology in top-5 * Financials rise to #2 position pushing XLC down to #3 * Top-5 portfolio out-performs SPY 0.52% * A closer look at the (equal) weighting scheme Energy Replaces Technology At the end of this week, 1/17/2024, the Technology sector dropped out of the... READ MORE
In this exclusive StockCharts video,Julius takes a look at asset class rotation on Relative Rotation Graphs. He then addresses the 6 sectors that are NOT in the "best five sectors" for this week. To conclude, he dives into the Technology sector to find some of the best... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The best five sectors remain unchanged. * XLC and XLF are both starting to show weakness. * XLI is holding above support, while XLK remains within rising channel. The composition of the top five sectors remains unchanged this week, despite an interrupted trading week. This stability comes against a backdrop... READ MORE
In this exclusive StockCharts video,Julius takes a look at what he recently called "The Best Five Sectors" on a relative rotation graph side-by-side with their price charts. He then takes an in-depth at Consumer Discretionary, and shares some interesting stocks within, including AMZN, ULTA, and more. This... READ MORE
HAPPY NEW YEAR!!! Ever since the introduction of RRG back in 2011, many people have asked me questions like: "What is the track record for RRG" or "What are the trading rules for RRG"? My answers have always been, and will continue to be, "There... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Track the Yield curve moving back to normal on RRG * USD showing massive strength against all currencies * Stock market drop not affecting sector rotation (yet) The Yield Curve The RRG above shows the rotations of the various maturities on the US-Yield Curve. What we see at the moment... READ MORE
In this exclusive StockCharts video,Julius gives a quick update on sector rotation, then examines the strength uncovered in Consumer Discretionary. He analyzes names like TSLA, AMZN, and LULU; some are in full swing uptrends, but there are also a few names that are on the verge of turning around... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Growth stocks are regaining leadership over value. * Small and mid-cap growth sectors are leading the charge. * Large-cap value is currently the weakest market segment. Growth vs. Value Rotation: The Pendulum Swings Again Relative Rotation Graphs (RRG) are not just good tools to use in analyzing sector rotation; they&... READ MORE
In this exclusive video,Julius analyzes the completed monthly charts for November and assesses the long-term trends for all sectors. What we can expect for the coming month of December based on seasonality? With the technology sector under pressure, an interesting opportunity appears to be arising in Financials. This video... READ MORE
In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius takes a deep dive into US sector rotation, breaking it down into offensive, defensive and cyclical sectors. He first looks at the relative rotations that are shaping up inside the group, assessing each sector's price chart in combination with the rotation... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Despite a lot of turmoil, SPY continues to show strong rotations on both weekly and daily RRGs. * Rising yields have not damaged the stock rally yet. * Stock/Bond ratio remains strongly in favor of stocks. After the election, things have hardly settled in the world. New developments in... READ MORE
In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius pulls the curtain back on the updated Relative Rotation Graphs that are now available on the StockCharts website. He demonstrates a myriad of new features, including alignment of the intraday time frames with SharpCharts/ACP, zoom and position control with your mouse, and... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The market came out of defensive mode after the election. * Old resistance at 585 is now support for SPY. * XLC, XLY, and XLF are all showing strength. First of all, for those of you looking for a new video this week, I have intentionally skipped it because I... READ MORE
In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius begins by looking back at the completed monthly bars for October to assess the long term trends in the 11 S&P sectors. He follows that up with an updated view for SPY in coming weeks. After that, Julius looks forward using... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Large-cap stocks are pushing the market higher. * Large-cap growth is the only segment driving the market. * AAPL, TSLA, NVDA, and AMD are having trouble pushing higher. Following the recent market fluctuations, with a sharp decline and a subsequent rally, it's crucial to examine these movements'... READ MORE