Milan Vaishnav

Milan Vaishnav


Milan has 20+ years of professional experience in the capital markets, consulting on Portfolio and Funds Management. He writes for many publications around the world and is a regular news commentator. Learn More 

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NIFTY to Stay in a Defined Range; RRG Chart Points Towards this Sector Potentially Bottoming Out

NIFTY to Stay in a Defined Range; RRG Chart Points Towards this Sector Potentially Bottoming Out

With geopolitical tensions subsiding, the market had a quiet week as it continued to post a small amount of incremental gains. The trading range also remained capped due to the market oscillating in a capped range. While showing no volatility at all, the NIFTY made minor advancements on the higher...   READ MORE 

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Special Note: These 3 Charts Have a Story to Tell; RRG Chart Points Toward Higher Alpha Generation on a Relative Basis

Special Note: These 3 Charts Have a Story to Tell; RRG Chart Points Toward Higher Alpha Generation on a Relative Basis

The headline index NIFTY is presently trading near its lifetime-high levels, returning a stellar 15% over the past 12 months and 1.08% on a Year-to-Date basis. Having said this, the loss of momentum and few negative divergences on the leading indicators are quite evident on the charts. It will...   READ MORE 

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NIFTY May Remain Volatile in the Coming Week; RRG Charts Show Key Sectors Continuing to Lose Momentum

NIFTY May Remain Volatile in the Coming Week; RRG Charts Show Key Sectors Continuing to Lose Momentum

As the Indian markets traded on the anticipated lines, they continued to consolidate, but also saw tremendous volatility owing to the geopolitical tension in the West Asian region. The NIFTY traded in a wider-than-usual range and ended the week on a relatively flat note. The index witnessed close to 400...   READ MORE 

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Week Ahead: Likely to See Increase in Volatility; RRG Chart Shows Likely Resilience from These Sectors

Week Ahead: Likely to See Increase in Volatility; RRG Chart Shows Likely Resilience from These Sectors

The Indian markets witnessed consolidation again for the second week in a row. The markets saw a generally stable week, one that remained in a limited and defined range and ended mildly in the negative. In the previous weekly note, we had expected the consolidation to continue, and indeed the...   READ MORE 

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Special Note: Are We Looking At 2020 As A Year Of Capped Gains? These Charts Have A Story To Tell

Special Note: Are We Looking At 2020 As A Year Of Capped Gains? These Charts Have A Story To Tell

As 2019 ended, we saw the markets ending near the high point of the year. Despite the negative ending on the last trading day of the year, the front-line NIFTY50 has ended the year with strong gains of 11.53% on an annual note. However, that being said, the year...   READ MORE 

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Are We Looking At Some Moves Here?

Are We Looking At Some Moves Here?

JUBLFOOD.IN This stock has seen 2 months of sideways moves and, during this time of consolidation, the RS line, which compares the stock against the broader NIFTY 500 Index, is strongly moving higher. The Bollinger Bands have grown over 60% narrower than usual, which reflects a period of low...   READ MORE 

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Week Ahead: NIFTY at a Crucial Juncture Again; RRG Chart shows Steady Rotation of These Sectors

Week Ahead: NIFTY at a Crucial Juncture Again; RRG Chart shows Steady Rotation of These Sectors

With just two trading days left in the year, this week will usher us into 2020. The markets are set to end near their highs this year, but they are also leaving us at a critical juncture if we look at the market technical from the long-term point of view....   READ MORE 

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Week Ahead: Follow Trend Cautiously as Loss Of Momentum Seen; RRG Tells Us to Focus on These Sectors

Week Ahead: Follow Trend Cautiously as Loss Of Momentum Seen; RRG Tells Us to Focus on These Sectors

The risk-on global setup, which had begun a week before, continued throughout the past week as well. The resultant buoyant setup fueled the Indian markets higher as well, which ended at their high lifetime levels. Though the momentum continued to falter, the markets did not show any sign of retracement...   READ MORE 

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As The NIFTY is Marking New Highs...

As The NIFTY is Marking New Highs...

The Indian headline index NIFTY ($NIFTY) moved past its double top resistance level of 12103 on a closing basis, ending at a fresh life-time high at 12221.25. However, looking at the broader NIFTY500 Index ($CNX500) throws up some interesting insights. The above chart tells a story of a thousand...   READ MORE 

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Week Ahead: NIFTY Crucially Poised with Mixed Cues; RRGs Suggest These Groups Will Relatively Outperform

Week Ahead: NIFTY Crucially Poised with Mixed Cues; RRGs Suggest These Groups Will Relatively Outperform

The risk-on global setup towards the end of the week saved the Indian markets from ending on a net negative note. Following a weak initial performance, the Indian markets picked up in the second half of the week. The NIFTY pulled itself back after testing the lower end of the...   READ MORE 

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Week Ahead: NIFTY Crucially Poised; RRG Shows Loss of Momentum Among a Few Sectors

Week Ahead: NIFTY Crucially Poised; RRG Shows Loss of Momentum Among a Few Sectors

In contrast to the one that came before, this past week gave back all its gains while ending near the low point of the trading range. The markets were sitting on the verge of a breakout, but that did not amount to anything as the markets refused to break above...   READ MORE 

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Week Ahead: RRG Shows Private Banks & Financials Rolling Over; Coming Days Crucial for NIFTY

Week Ahead: RRG Shows Private Banks & Financials Rolling Over; Coming Days Crucial for NIFTY

After healthy consolidation around the 12000 level over the past couple of weeks, the NIFTY has attempted to break above a year-long secondary trend that it was in by ending the week with gains. Throughout the week, the markets pushed hard to breach the double-top resistance on the shorter-term charts...   READ MORE 

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Week Ahead: NIFTY May Find it Difficult to Deal with Stiff Overhead Resistance; Watch these Sectors

Week Ahead: NIFTY May Find it Difficult to Deal with Stiff Overhead Resistance; Watch these Sectors

As I complete this weekly technical note, I have just wound up the inaugural CMT India Summit at Mumbai yesterday. Insights shared by the Association's co-founder Ralph Acampora, Martin Pring and Julius de Kempenaer were the key takeaways of the event. Coming back to the markets, although they...   READ MORE 

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Week Ahead: NIFTY Healthy But Exhausted At Higher Levels; RRG Shows These Sectors To Outperform

Week Ahead: NIFTY Healthy But Exhausted At Higher Levels; RRG Shows These Sectors To Outperform

The week that went by continued to trade on the expected lines, while the 12000-12050 zone continued to pose resistance to the markets on the upside. The week was spent with the markets consolidating at higher levels while demonstrating weakness near the critical resistance zone. The NIFTY headed nowhere over...   READ MORE 

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Week Ahead: Higher Levels Sustainable Only If This Bearish Divergence Is Corrected; Caution Advised

Week Ahead: Higher Levels Sustainable Only If This Bearish Divergence Is Corrected; Caution Advised

The previous week played out very much on expected lines. In our last weekly note, we mentioned that NIFTY is facing stiff resistance in the 12000-12100 area and that the bearish divergences are not allowing a clean breakout on the charts. After staying buoyant for a significant part of the...   READ MORE 

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Bearish Divergences Hindering A Clean Breakout; Fingers Crossed For The Coming Week

Bearish Divergences Hindering A Clean Breakout; Fingers Crossed For The Coming Week

During a truncated week that began with a short Mahurut session, the markets ushered us into the new year on a buoyant note. In the previous weekly note, it was mentioned that the NIFTY's behavior against the price zone of 11700-11750 would be crucial to watch and that...   READ MORE 

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Special Note: What To Expect In Samvat 2076

Special Note: What To Expect In Samvat 2076

The year that ended today, with NIFTY closing at 11583.90, remained quite eventful for the Indian equity markets. We traditionally wish a "Happy and Prosperous New Year," and the current year remains prosperous in a literal sense. On the last trading day of the current Samvat on...   READ MORE 

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Coming Week Likely To See Limited Upsides; Overhead Levels Continue To Remain A Concern

Coming Week Likely To See Limited Upsides; Overhead Levels Continue To Remain A Concern

In the previous weekly note, we had mentioned the possibility of the NIFTY consolidating in a defined range while having a limited upside. Though it traded in line as anticipated, the NIFTY spent a significant part of the week resisting and consolidating near the 11700-level. While continuing to stay above...   READ MORE 

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Week Ahead: This Zone Crucial for NIFTY to Navigate; Rotation Evident in Certain Sectors

Week Ahead: This Zone Crucial for NIFTY to Navigate; Rotation Evident in Certain Sectors

The Indian equity markets had a strong week, making a steady upside move and ending the week with decent gains. In the week before this, the NIFTY had defended its crucial support levels of 200-DMA on the daily charts and the 50-Week MA on the weekly charts. After successfully defending...   READ MORE 

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Week Ahead: NIFTY May Take A While To Establish A Confident Directional Bias; Upsides To Stay Capped

Week Ahead: NIFTY May Take A While To Establish A Confident Directional Bias; Upsides To Stay Capped

While trading in a broad range, the NIFTY struggled to find some base and managed to end the week with modest gains. The trading range of the NIFTY remained just moderately broad, but it oscillated quite a lot, infusing intraday volatility during the trading sessions. While holding on to its...   READ MORE 

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The Coming Week May Attempt A Technical Rebound, But Broader Setup Remains Weak; Watch These Sectors

The Coming Week May Attempt A Technical Rebound, But Broader Setup Remains Weak; Watch These Sectors

In the previous weekly note, we had pointed out that the signs of exhaustion in the markets are visible; this week may see some profit-taking from higher levels. The past couple of days worked out much on the anticipated lines, but the profit-taking remained more intense than expected. The NIFTY...   READ MORE 

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Coming Week May See Consolidation With A Corrective Bias; Upsides May Stay Capped At Higher Levels

Coming Week May See Consolidation With A Corrective Bias; Upsides May Stay Capped At Higher Levels

Following the announcement of fiscal stimulus on Friday, the market extended its gains in the following week, but, at the same time, also consolidated at higher levels. After some more follow-up up moves in the first half of the week, the second half was spent in some volatile consolidation and...   READ MORE 

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A Weekly Special Note: Cooling Off Likely; Remain Selective A Vertical Rise May Make Risk-Reward Skewed

A Weekly Special Note: Cooling Off Likely; Remain Selective A Vertical Rise May Make Risk-Reward Skewed

In a week that turned dramatic on the last day, the markets that were over 3% down through the week pulled into positive territory in one single session. On Friday, the headline index saw its highest-ever single-day gain, ending 5.32% higher. The pronounced shift in the trend came in...   READ MORE 

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Week Ahead: NIFTY Holds The Crucial 100-Week MA; May Stay Vulnerable Unless It Moves Past This Zone

Week Ahead: NIFTY Holds The Crucial 100-Week MA; May Stay Vulnerable Unless It Moves Past This Zone

The week remained positive for the Indian equities as the benchmark index closed with week with net gains. The markets witnessed up-moves over the past couple of days, but those were fueled mostly by short-covering, which was triggered from the lower levels. The NIFTY successfully defended the critical support levels...   READ MORE 

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Truncated Week Ahead: NIFTY Likely To Remain In A Broad Range; Watching These Levels Continues To Remain Important

Truncated Week Ahead: NIFTY Likely To Remain In A Broad Range; Watching These Levels Continues To Remain Important

In the week that went by, the Indian equity markets did not make any directional move on any side. The index oscillated back and forth in a defined range and ultimately ended the week on a flat note. The India Volatility Index (INDIAVIX) also remained flat, losing just 0.01...   READ MORE 

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Week Ahead: NIFTY Has A Treacherous Road Ahead; These Sectors To Relatively Out-Perform As Per RRG

Week Ahead: NIFTY Has A Treacherous Road Ahead; These Sectors To Relatively Out-Perform As Per RRG

Throughout the past week, the Indian equity market struggled to keep its head above crucial levels and ended the week with modest gains. Keeping on anticipated lines, the week remained very volatile as the markets oscillated in a 385-point range. The week that went by digested the reforms initiated by...   READ MORE 

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Week Ahead: Intermittent Pullbacks Likely; Broader Structure Continues To Remain Tentative

Week Ahead: Intermittent Pullbacks Likely; Broader Structure Continues To Remain Tentative

The past week generally went along the anticipated lines. The broader structure of the markets continued to be weak; it faced severe volatility during the past trading days and faced heavy selling pressure at higher levels. After a thoroughly volatile week, the headline index ended with a net loss of...   READ MORE 

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Week Ahead: With Nifty Vulnerable At Higher Levels, These Sectors May Act As Safe Havens

Week Ahead: With Nifty Vulnerable At Higher Levels, These Sectors May Act As Safe Havens

With a 3-day working week, the markets moved along expected lines and stayed within a limited range. As anticipated, the NIFTY did not make any directional move, remaining within the 50-Week MA and 100-Week MA (as mentioned in our previous weekly note). After flirting with the 50-Week MA, which stands...   READ MORE 

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Week Ahead: Range-Bound Move Expected In The Truncated Week; These Sectors May Relatively Outperform

Week Ahead: Range-Bound Move Expected In The Truncated Week; These Sectors May Relatively Outperform

After bouncing off its 100-Week MA in the previous week, the markets attempted to take a breather and stabilize during the past week. The NIFTY was able to bounce back once again from the 100-Week MA; this pullback was aided by the oversold nature of the markets on the short-term...   READ MORE 

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Week Ahead: Pullbacks May Occur, But These Signs Suggest Broader Technical Structure Damaged

Week Ahead: Pullbacks May Occur, But These Signs Suggest Broader Technical Structure Damaged

The end of the previous week saw the NIFTY taking support at its 50-Week MA but making a downward breach on the downside from the secondary channel, which was formed after the NIFTY breached the primary uptrend in October 2018. The week that went by saw the index extending its...   READ MORE 

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Week Ahead: NIFTY Critically Poised; Breaks Weekly Pattern Support, but Oversold on Short-Term Charts

Week Ahead: NIFTY Critically Poised; Breaks Weekly Pattern Support, but Oversold on Short-Term Charts

In the week before this past week, the NIFTY rested itself and took support on the lower rising trend line of the nine-month-long secondary channel that had been formed. This secondary channel was formed after the index breached its three-year-long upward rising channel in October 2018. In the previous weekly...   READ MORE 

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Crucial Week Ahead For Markets; Need To Defend These Levels To Avoid More Weakness

Crucial Week Ahead For Markets; Need To Defend These Levels To Avoid More Weakness

In the previous weekly note, we had raised concerns as the NIFTY had slipped below its 20-Week MA and the volatility index, VIX, traded at a multi-month low. It was expected that the volatility was likely to increase while there are chances of markets drifting lower. The week that went...   READ MORE 

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Week Ahead: Mild Pullbacks Likely; NIFTY Continues To Remain Vulnerable To Sell-Offs At Higher Level

Week Ahead: Mild Pullbacks Likely; NIFTY Continues To Remain Vulnerable To Sell-Offs At Higher Level

After meeting resistance around 11800-11840 for seven weeks, the markets loosened up a bit over the past week while ending with losses. NIFTY spent the previous couple of weeks in a defined range as it remained indecisive and did not make any convincing directional call. This week, the NIFTY witnessed...   READ MORE 

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Week Ahead: Markets Have A Difficult Terrain To Negotiate; Will Continue To Resist At Higher Levels

Week Ahead: Markets Have A Difficult Terrain To Negotiate; Will Continue To Resist At Higher Levels

The markets were range-bound over the course of the week, but remained volatile on anticipated lines while digesting the Union Budget on Friday. As expected, the event failed to infuse any cheer in the markets, with the NIFTY remaining within a defined range and oscillating in a limited band. The...   READ MORE 

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Investors' Expectations: Knee-Jerk Reactions And Volatile Oscillations Aside, Budget May Remain A Non-Event

After claiming an absolute majority again in the 2019 General Election, the Narendra Modi Government is slated to come up with their first budget of the second term on Friday, the 4th of July, 2019. Many expectations have been building up around this event, which has always been one of...   READ MORE 

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Bullish Setup On This Stock

Bullish Setup On This Stock

DREDGING CORP. OF INDIA LTD -- DREDGECORP.IN Following a prolonged down move and some subsequent bottom-finding, DREDGECORP is set to confirm its reversal. The stock is currently breaking out of a falling trend line resistance, which begins from 479 and joins the subsequent lower tops. In the process, the...   READ MORE 

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Week Ahead: Larger Technical Setup Remains Challenging; Reaction To Budget May Increase Volatility

Week Ahead: Larger Technical Setup Remains Challenging; Reaction To Budget May Increase Volatility

In the previous week, the markets were expected to remain mostly volatile and to remain under range-bound oscillation without making any significant headway. In line with this analysis, the NIFTY headed nowhere, had a lackluster week and ended with mild gains on a weekly note. While the NIFTY continued to...   READ MORE 

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Week Ahead: Mild Pullbacks Likely But Broader Technical Setup Remains Weak; Volatility May Increase

Week Ahead: Mild Pullbacks Likely But Broader Technical Setup Remains Weak; Volatility May Increase

In our previous weekly note, we had mentioned the possibility of the markets not giving any runaway moves on the higher side. The week that went by remained on expected lines as the headline index resisted to one of its significant double top resistance areas, which lies in the 11840-11880...   READ MORE 

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Week Ahead: No Runaway Surge Expected; Markets May Continue Exhibiting Negative Bias

Week Ahead: No Runaway Surge Expected; Markets May Continue Exhibiting Negative Bias

In yet another wide-ranging week, the NIFTY oscillated in a 400-point range, ending the week with a modest cut. In our previous weekly note, we had raised concerns about the NIFTY failing to confirm the attempted breakout. In line with the our analysis, the index did not show any intention...   READ MORE 

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Week Ahead: With Breakout Not Getting Confirmed, Chasing Technical Pullbacks Should Be Avoided

Week Ahead: With Breakout Not Getting Confirmed, Chasing Technical Pullbacks Should Be Avoided

Throughout the previous week, the Indian equity markets remained less volatile than expected, but, at the same time, marked some important technical events. After trading in a 350-point range, the index hit its key resistance zones, retraced and ended the week with a modest loss. The RBI Credit Policy largely...   READ MORE