Last week, in my Weekly Market Report to EarningsBeats.com members, I pointed out the upcoming bullish history of the small cap Russell 2000 Index (IWM tracks this index). Most probably have no clue why small caps outperformed by such a wide margin this week. But history saw it coming... READ MORE
We can use sentiment indicators for a lot of purposes. I routinely follow the 5-day SMA of the equity only put call ratio ($CPCE) to help spot short- to intermediate-term bottoms. It's not quite so effective at calling market tops, but it does work in that regard many... READ MORE
I know we're in the midst of a powerful rally that began EXACTLY when seasonality suggested it would - at the close on October 27th. I discussed the very bearish seasonality leading up to that October 27th close in my article, "Odds Favor Further Selling This Week... READ MORE
Sample Report Below is our latest Weekly Market Report (WMR), which is published on Sunday/Monday of every trading week. It's unlike our Daily Market Report (DMR) as the WMR focuses almost exclusively on the Big Picture and is more designed for those with longer-term investing/trading horizons.... READ MORE
After crushing its revenue and earnings expectations on November 2nd, Expedia (EXPE) has been on a roll. Here are the quarterly numbers that the internet travel giant posted a little over two weeks ago: * Revenues: $3.93 billion (actual) vs. $3.87 billion (estimate) * EPS: $5.41 (actual) vs. $5.... READ MORE
The 10-year treasury yield ($TNX), and its recent decline, is certainly aiding, at least in part, the recent surge in U.S. equities. After hitting 5.0% on October 23rd, the TNX has been in a steady decline. As I see it, we've got further downside in the... READ MORE
It was another very solid day on Friday, this time with the S&P 500 powering above 4400 and the NASDAQ 100 busting back above 15500, both clearing key price resistance levels that effectively end the series of lower highs and lower lows from the July high. The best... READ MORE
I've already pointed out that I believe the July through October correction is over. I'm sticking to my earlier convictions that we'll experience a very strong finish in 2023, breaking out to all-time highs later in Q4 or sometime in Q1 2024. Growth continues... READ MORE
Trading isn't easy. It requires knowledge, experience, patience, discipline, risk management, preparation, research, and sometimes just old-fashioned good luck! After recognizing several cautious signals back in July, EarningsBeats.com suggested exercising patience to get us through whatever lied ahead. Well, hindsight now tells us that it was a... READ MORE
Since the 2020 pandemic, we've seen many relative leaders come and go. I've found the most difficult part of trading/investing these past few years to be trusting the relative strength we see. Rotation is normal as we move through various economic cycles, but trying to... READ MORE
Over the past six trading days, NVDA has fallen from a high of 476.09 to Friday's low of 410.78. That's a drop of 65.31, or nearly 14%, in just over one week. Would it make sense to take advantage of this selling? Well,... READ MORE
I've been watching the Volatility Index ($VIX) for years and it provides us a number of very important signals. One of those signals is BE CAREFUL when the VIX moves from the teens and into the 20s. In my experience, moving from 13 to 15 isn't... READ MORE
Few individual stocks are truly worthy of a long-term investment. The truth of the matter is that most stocks have solid quarters, but rarely sustain that strength and growth over years and decades. In fact, many industry groups suffer from the same problem and it's one reason why... READ MORE
One thing I repeatedly talk about is ignoring the talking heads and following the charts. If I had to provide a chart as the "poster child" for this, I might start with the following RRG chart: We're downtrending, right? We're heading back to the... READ MORE
From a bullish perspective, I was hoping to see the "goldilocks" jobs report, one which still showed job growth, but came in below consensus estimates. The thought there is that the Fed would see that its rate-hiking campaign was working and the economy was slowing. Instead, we saw... READ MORE
It's almost impossible to call market tops and market bottoms using basic technical analysis tools like price and volume. Don't get me wrong, that combination is my favorite during trend-following periods. But trying to spot bearish reversals is difficult when price action keeps riding higher and... READ MORE
Hello to all my StockCharts supporters! First of all, thank you for your readership of my Trading Places blog, which is now in its 8th year. Also, thanks to all of you that watch my Trading Places LIVE shows that air on Tuesdays, Wednesdays, and Thursdays at 9:00am ET.... READ MORE
I love the seasonality information that StockCharts.com provides. It's important to keep in mind that seasonal tendencies are secondary indicators. I don't buy and sell based on them, because the price/volume combination will always be my primary indicator. But if technical indications point to... READ MORE
It was one month ago that I discussed the serious (short-term) warning signs that the stock market faced. I summed it up pretty well on a Your Daily Five recording that aired on July 19th. Calling weakness after it hits is easy, but discussing objectively the warning signs BEFORE the... READ MORE
In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest host Tom Bowley discusses how, though sector rotation is displaying a slight shift towards bullish sentiments, things have still been rough. Acknowledging the recent rough patch in the market, Tom believes that market manipulation through options expiration might be... READ MORE
I always refer to monthly options expiration week as "Opposite George" week. It's a reference to the Seinfeld episode where George Costanza is, as always, down on his luck. Jerry and Elaine suggest that if everything he does in his life is wrong, then why not... READ MORE
Everyone's a stock picker. And to be quite honest, everyone gets hot and everyone gets cold. Every trader has to find strategies that work for him/her and then hit the "rinse and repeat" button. Personally, I've found three keys that have helped me... READ MORE
Every quarterly earnings season, we hear the same thing on CNBC and other media outlets. "Earnings are going to be rough this quarter." Blah, blah, blah. After decades of technical, fundamental, and historical research, I've concluded that the games on Wall Street are designed to thoroughly... READ MORE
The first thing I always look at are the technical conditions. For me, that's a very simple analysis of price/volume. Here's what that looks like right now on the S&P 500 and NASDAQ 100: S&P 500 ($SPX): During any uptrend, I... READ MORE
We're about a week away from the start of Q2 earnings season, so now's the time to start doing your pre-earnings season homework. I'm not sure what that means to everyone else, but for me, it's all about evaluating relative strength. Which... READ MORE
Have you noticed how every roadblock the bears use against the bulls just quietly goes away over time? I just chuckle. There have been SO many bullish signals over the past year, but pessimists/bears don't give in easily and that's actually good for the stock... READ MORE
I've always been impressed by the strong correlation between the U.S. and German stock markets. Sometimes the strength in one of these markets can help to influence the direction of the other. Let me show you a long-term chart of the S&P 500 ($SPX) and... READ MORE
Wow, things have changed. I looked at some charts that I had produced a year ago and looked at those same charts today. You'd never know it was the same stock market. Let's start with the S&P 500 and NASDAQ 100 (SPY and QQQ,... READ MORE
I remain steadfastly bullish, but I do recognize reasons to be short-term cautious when I see them. I suppose the first question is, "what does it mean to be cautious." Well, I can only tell you what it means to me. While I still believe it makes sense... READ MORE
I wasn't expecting a huge 4% move in small caps on Friday, but I was looking for this group to start flexing its muscles. I've been telling our EarningsBeats.com members that small caps were poised for a big move to the upside. We've... READ MORE
Sentiment was a HUGE problem for the bulls to start 2022 and now it's become a similarly big issue for the bears now. If you haven't noticed, most bulls don't begin to turn bearish until after all or most of the selling is complete.... READ MORE
There are many who have given up on the small cap community, but I'm not one of them. The long-term 15-year chart remains in a solid uptrend. Yes, the group has been underperforming the S&P 500 for quite awhile, but that's been the standard... READ MORE
It was the culmination of many months of accumulation by Wall Street firms. I've discussed this accumulation, or manipulation, over and over and over and indicated that it was the likely precursor to a big stock market advance. I've updated a chart of the QQQ (ETF... READ MORE
Price Action Clearly, the most important aspect of the stock market is price action. That's where it all begins. Currently, I like the daily and weekly charts, but we do still have one very important price resistance level to clear: S&P 500 - Weekly: There are... READ MORE
Growth-oriented stocks tend to have their best relative showing vs. value-oriented stocks beginning in May and running through August. Check out the relative seasonal performance of the XLK (vs. the SPY) over the next four months: If you add the bottom numbers of each calendar month (represents average monthly outperformance... READ MORE
I remain quite bullish the overall market. I call what I see and what I saw in 2022 were stock market participants that turned incredibly bearish. I said at the beginning of 2022 that we needed a bear market brutal enough to send the masses to the sidelines and never... READ MORE
The normal relationship between the Volatility Index ($VIX) and the S&P 500 is an inverse one. The easiest way to illustrate this is to pull up a chart showing both and their correlation coefficient: The red arrows mark bottoms in the S&P 500 and they generally... READ MORE
There are plenty of reversing patterns in technical analysis, but my personal favorite is the combination of a weekly positive divergence and a bottoming head & shoulders pattern. The positive divergence captures the slowing downside momentum and the head & shoulders provides confirmation that prices are indeed turning up. Keep... READ MORE
Cintas Corp (CTAS) is just 1 of 83 companies that have qualified to be on our most powerful ChartList, our Bullish Trifecta ChartList. In order to make it, it must be on our (1) Strong Earnings ChartList (SECL - tracks companies that beat quarterly revenue and EPS estimates), (2) Strong... READ MORE
Okay, first when I say "it's easy", I'm not saying it's easy to call tops and bottoms. Instead, I'm say that answering that rhetorical question is easy. If you can call a top, you can exit equities with your capital... READ MORE