Tom Bowley

Tom Bowley


Tom is the Chief Market Strategist at EarningsBeats.com, a research and education platform for both financial professionals and individual investors. His comprehensive Daily Market Report provides insightful guidance to EB members every trading day. Learn More 

Archived News

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Volume Strengthens On Wednesday Rally

Volume Strengthens On Wednesday Rally

Market Recap for Wednesday, September 30, 2015 The month of September and the third quarter of 2015 came to a close on Wednesday and the bulls were able to reduce their losses for the month and quarter.  The S&P 500 finished September down 2.6% while the tumultuous...   READ MORE 

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Fear Remains High As U.S. Market Wobbles

Fear Remains High As U.S. Market Wobbles

Market Recap for Tuesday, September 29, 2015 We once again saw a bifurcated market - one in which both the Dow Jones and S&P 500 finished in positive territory while both the NASDAQ and Russell 2000 fell.  That relative weakness in our more aggressive indices is not a...   READ MORE 

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Russell 2000 First To Lose August Support

Russell 2000 First To Lose August Support

Market Recap for Monday, September 28, 2015 It was another case of the Monday blues.  Following the lead in Europe, the U.S. indices gapped lower and continued selling throughout the session with barely a pause.  It was a distribution day for sure and small caps (Russell 2000) were among...   READ MORE 

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September Going Out Like A Bear

September Going Out Like A Bear

Market Recap for Friday, September 25, 2015 Friday looked like two different markets.  The Dow Jones gained 113 points, the S&P 500 finished flat and the NASDAQ and Russell 2000 both fell more than 1%.  Talk about bifurcation.  Crazy.  But in the end, the problems remained across the...   READ MORE 

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Healthcare ETF (XLV) Seeking First Aid

Healthcare ETF (XLV) Seeking First Aid

Healthcare stocks led much of the market's rally off the 2009 lows - especially since early 2011.  That was then.  This is now.  Technical conditions have deteriorated immensely since the Spring of this year when warning signs emerged (see "Healthcare Stocks Are Vulnerable To Weakness Ahead"...   READ MORE 

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The Bulls Aren't Screamin, They're Yellen

The Bulls Aren't Screamin, They're Yellen

Market Recap for Thursday, September 24, 2015 It wasn't so much about what happened during the trading session on Thursday as it was about what happened after it.  U.S. equities were sharply lower in the first half of Thursday's session as the Germany drubbing continued,...   READ MORE 

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German DAX Dropping Bearish Bombs On The S&P 500

German DAX Dropping Bearish Bombs On The S&P 500

Market Recap for Wednesday, September 23, 2015 The S&P 500 keeps trying to regain its footing as it watched its German counterpart (DAX) lose August support two days ago and then fail to recapture that support level on Wednesday when it had the opportunity.  9648 was that August...   READ MORE 

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Comparing NKE vs. SKX Using The Seasonality Tool

Comparing NKE vs. SKX Using The Seasonality Tool

One cool feature at StockCharts.com is the ability to check the seasonal tendencies of stocks.  For instance, I can tell you that Amazon.com (AMZN) performs its best during the month of September, which is odd because September is the worst month of the year historically for the S&...   READ MORE 

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Afternoon Buying Encourages Money From Sidelines

Afternoon Buying Encourages Money From Sidelines

Market Recap for Tuesday, September 22, 2015 Simply put, it's ALWAYS better to see afternoon buying. Despite the late day strength, all 9 sectors finished lower on Tuesday, but most areas finished well off their intraday lows, a positive sign at least for the very near-term.  Healthcare (XLV)...   READ MORE 

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Market Skies Looking Quite Ominous

Market Skies Looking Quite Ominous

Market Recap for Monday, September 21, 2015 Impulsive selling has been the signature of the past month.  Beginning with the August free fall, when the selling has hit, it's hit in a hurry.  Monday was a perfect example of why we are not out of the woods just...   READ MORE 

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Money Rotates To Bonds, Not Good For Stocks

Money Rotates To Bonds, Not Good For Stocks

Market Recap for Friday, September 18, 2015 Traders were not thrilled by the Federal Reserve's decision to leave interest rates unchanged as they quickly turned their attention to defensive bonds.  The 10 year treasury yield ($TNX), after closing above 2.30% for the first time in two months...   READ MORE 

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The Best Of The NASDAQ 100 Awards

The Best Of The NASDAQ 100 Awards

As we approach the end of the third quarter in 2015, it's time to unveil a few "Best Of" awards as they pertain to the NASDAQ 100.  Let's get this party started: Best Buy & Hold Google (GOOGL).  The long-term chart speaks for itself....   READ MORE 

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Expedia Taking Road Less Traveled

Expedia Taking Road Less Traveled

U.S. equities have been very weak since mid-August with many sectors, industry groups and individual stocks broken down technically.  In recent days and weeks, many high profile stocks have struggled to clear falling 20 day EMAs.  So it's always nice to see industry groups or stocks bucking...   READ MORE 

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Fed Decision "No Change".....Now Quad Witching Day

Fed Decision "No Change".....Now Quad Witching Day

Market Recap for Thursday, September 17, 2015 Much ado about nothing.  That's my summation of the Fed policy statement.  Fed Chair Yellen decided to do nothing as apparently Fed policy is now contingent upon....just about everything.  Isn't the Federal Reserve THE central bank?  In stock...   READ MORE 

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Fed Holds Steady; Treasury Bulls Send Stocks Bad Signal

Fed Holds Steady; Treasury Bulls Send Stocks Bad Signal

Well, the Fed meeting and announcement has come and gone.  All the drama is over.  At the end of the day, Fed Chair Janet Yellen decided to leave interest rates unchanged for now, citing weakness abroad as one of the reasons for such delay.  It's not often that...   READ MORE 

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It's Federal Reserve Day - What To Look For

It's Federal Reserve Day - What To Look For

Market Recap for Wednesday, September 16, 2015 The bulls continued to piece back together technical conditions on Wednesday ahead of the Fed announcement later today.  All sectors finished higher, although it was the outsized gain in energy (XLE) that clearly "fueled" the rally.  Coal ($DJUSCL) gained 6% and...   READ MORE 

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Gravitating Towards Major Resistance Pre-Fed?

Gravitating Towards Major Resistance Pre-Fed?

Market Recap for Tuesday, September 15, 2015 Fairly light volume continued on Tuesday, but the bulls were in charge throughout the day with the Dow Jones, S&P 500 and Russell 2000 all joining the NASDAQ back above falling 20 day EMAs.  At least that part of the damaged...   READ MORE 

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Quiet Monday Session As Traders Await Fed

Quiet Monday Session As Traders Await Fed

Market Recap for Monday, September 14, 2015 It's hard to take too much away from Monday's action.  Volume was extremely light with the NASDAQ volume at 1.45 billion shares.  It was one of the lightest volume days of the year and the lightest since June...   READ MORE 

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What Will The Fed Do?

What Will The Fed Do?

Market Recap for Friday, September 11, 2015 Utilities and consumer stocks led the market rally on Friday.  All sectors finished fractionally higher, except energy and materials.  Their weak performance has been the number one factor for the weakness we've seen in our major indices in 2015.  Year-to-date, energy...   READ MORE 

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Correlation: Banks And Treasury Yields

Correlation: Banks And Treasury Yields

As we await the Fed's interest rate decision this week, it's a good time to review a key area of the market that is heavily swayed by the direction of interest rates - banks ($DJUSBK).  As the 10 year treasury yield ($TNX) rises and the yield...   READ MORE 

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Confused? The Market Sure Is!

Confused? The Market Sure Is!

Market Recap for Thursday, September 10, 2015 I wouldn't view Thursday's action to be bullish as few technical resistance levels were cleared, but the fact there was no follow through to the downside after Wednesday's bearish candlesticks at major resistance was a moral victory...   READ MORE 

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Diebold Bounces Off Support...Again

Diebold Bounces Off Support...Again

Computer hardware ($DJUSCR) led the technology sector to outsized gains on Thursday and Diebold (DBD) benefited by bouncing off price support.  The 29.50-30.00 area has served as excellent support in 2015.  Consider the trading range to be 29.50-32.50 in the near-term until either support or resistance...   READ MORE 

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Bears Regain Control, Look Out Below

Bears Regain Control, Look Out Below

Market Recap for Wednesday, September 9, 2015 Technical failure after technical failure.  Bearish engulfing candles.  Dark cloud cover candles.  Opens above 20 day EMAs and closes beneath.  You name the short-term failure and it probably occurred on a chart somewhere on Wednesday.  After two weeks of torment, global markets rallied...   READ MORE 

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Another Test of Critical Resistance

Another Test of Critical Resistance

Market Recap for Tuesday, September 8, 2015 As we've seen often of late, the U.S. equity markets surged at the open but failed to add to those opening gains until the final 90 minutes of trading.  At that point, buying resumed and all of our major indices...   READ MORE 

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Which Way Is The U.S. Stock Market Headed?

Which Way Is The U.S. Stock Market Headed?

Market Recap for Friday, September 4, 2015 Volatility remains the key for traders.  A Volatility Index (VIX) in the 20s and 30s suggests that we not only could wake up to anything, but that we also should expect to see wild swings both higher and lower during the trading day....   READ MORE 

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20 Day EMAs Are Huge Technical Weapons

20 Day EMAs Are Huge Technical Weapons

Moving averages are lagging overlays by definition as we use historical data to determine their position on a price chart.  But many traders use moving averages as support during periods of trending prices.  Personally, my favorite is the 20 period EMA.  Obviously, it can't guarantee us support in...   READ MORE 

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This Bearish Story Might Be Fiction

This Bearish Story Might Be Fiction

There are plenty of technical analysts calling for the beginning of a bear market after the past couple weeks of heavy volume selling.  I'm certainly open to that possibility as I always respect price support breakdowns with accelerating volume.  But the story behind the scenes isn't...   READ MORE 

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Will We See September 4th Fireworks?

Will We See September 4th Fireworks?

Market Recap for Thursday, September 3, 2015 First, if you're available, be sure to join me at noon EST today for my Trading Places LIVE webinar.  It's free and you can register HERE.  Also, you can "subscribe" to my blog and have this morning...   READ MORE 

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Has Carl Icahn Timed His FCX Investment Correctly?

Has Carl Icahn Timed His FCX Investment Correctly?

One week ago activist investor Carl Icahn disclosed that a group he belongs to owns nearly an 8.5% stake in Freeport-McMoran (FCX).  Rumors suggest Icahn may seek representation on FCX's board of directors and is calling for changes in some of the Company's business practices....   READ MORE 

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Final 30 Minute Rally Sets Up Thursday Test

Final 30 Minute Rally Sets Up Thursday Test

Market Recap for Wednesday, September 2, 2015 The bulls did not crumble on Wednesday.  After a big gap down on Tuesday with the market closing at or near its lows of the day, there was the opportunity for the bears of another serious gap lower and rout on Wednesday, but...   READ MORE 

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Island Cluster Reversal Confirmed By Tuesday's Action

Island Cluster Reversal Confirmed By Tuesday's Action

Market Recap for Tuesday, September 1, 2015 Off of the significant rally last week, a topping island cluster reversal pattern printed and was confirmed on Tuesday's open.  This pattern, by itself, is simply a short-term reversing pattern and does not suggest a bear market is at hand.  Now...   READ MORE 

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Energy Strong But Resistance Prevails On Major Indices

Energy Strong But Resistance Prevails On Major Indices

Market Recap for Monday, August 31, 2015 Technical sellers returned on Monday as our major indices approached key resistance areas.  The NASDAQ, in particular, had penetrated into its 4800-4900 resistance area and the bulls were initially rebuffed there.  Eight of the nine sectors fell on Monday with energy the only...   READ MORE 

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Bulls Rebound Last Week With A Vengeance

Bulls Rebound Last Week With A Vengeance

Monday, August 31, 2015 Market Recap for Friday, August 28, 2015 Global markets were mixed on Friday, although most of the action here in the U.S. was positive, albeit on lighter Friday volume.  Commodities were particularly strong, especially crude oil ($WTIC) and gold ($GOLD), but both have been long-term...   READ MORE 

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Facebook (FB) One To Watch This Week

Facebook (FB) One To Watch This Week

Facebook (FB), like so many internet stocks, performs its best during the month of September.  There's not much of a sample size with FB since it went public just a little more than 3 years ago.  However, during its last 3 Septembers, FB has averaged gaining 15.7%...   READ MORE 

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Bulls' First Test: FAIL

Bulls' First Test: FAIL

While we cannot rule out the possibility of a sustained advance to clear technical hurdles, the first attempt today was an epic fail at or just below a critical short-term resistance zone.  Given the high volume selling over the past 7-10 days and loss of key price support levels and...   READ MORE 

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Volatility Explodes, Major Tests Ahead

Volatility Explodes, Major Tests Ahead

Welcome to August.  Don't look now, but September is right around the corner.  Given the recent short-term price support breakdowns and explosion in the Volatility Index ($VIX), we have to be very careful as we make our way through the next month as historically the market has shown...   READ MORE 

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Can Apple (AAPL) Save Computer Hardware?

Can Apple (AAPL) Save Computer Hardware?

The Dow Jones U.S. Computer Hardware Index ($DJUSCR) is testing significant price support created by the breakout in the fourth quarter of 2014 and the subsequent retracement back to that level just three months later.  Recent weakness in Apple (AAPL) shares, along with other computer hardware stocks, has this...   READ MORE 

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Are Energy Stocks Re-fueling?

Are Energy Stocks Re-fueling?

I have been ignoring much of the energy sector for months as their technical indications suggested weakness would continue.  The energy ETF (XLE) is down over 13% in just the past six months and with crude oil unable to gain a bid, it's difficult to spend too much...   READ MORE 

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Small Caps Bounce At Two Key Support Levels

Small Caps Bounce At Two Key Support Levels

Bears are awaiting price breakdowns in key areas of the market, but thus far they remain highly disappointed.  Last week they had their chance to take down the small cap universe on two fronts and both failed.  This isn't meant to say that the bulls are out of...   READ MORE 

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Priceline.com (PCLN) Fills Gap, Confirms Bullish Pattern

Priceline.com (PCLN) Fills Gap, Confirms Bullish Pattern

After its latest quarterly earnings report, traders rushed into priceline.com (PCLN) as it surged nearly 100 dollars from 1283.99 to 1382.61 on a post-earnings gap.  Patient traders, however, have seen PCLN return to its pre-earnings level as it closed on Friday at 1283.80 just seven trading...   READ MORE