The following was a special educational Daily Market Report that I sent to our EB.com members last week.... I always refer to EarningsBeats.com as a "Research, Guidance, and Education Platform", because that's truly what we strive to be. HERE IS WHAT WE ARE NOT... READ MORE
U.S. equities are wrapping up the first quarter in grand style. The QQQ, which tracks the NASDAQ 100, is zeroing in on a 20% gain for the quarter, as I write this. We saw a huge rally in January 2023 and strong Januarys usually suggest a strong year ahead.... READ MORE
Well, it might be a little early to anoint Intel (INTC) a leader, but there's no denying a significant breakout in the chip stock above key price resistance. On November 15, 2022, INTC opened at 30.72, and the stock hasn't seen an open or close... READ MORE
Ultimately, breaking out above the August 2022 high represents the key level to reverse the downtrend that began in early-January 2022. I like to use longer-term charts to determine whether we're currently trending higher or lower, and right now the downtrend is firmly in place: The numbers on... READ MORE
The end is at hand. Bears, just surrender now. Since the mid-June low (where I called the S&P 500 bottom), we've seen the fed funds rate jump from 1.00% to 4.75%. Of course, all we've heard since then is what? Don'... READ MORE
Semiconductors ($DJUSSC) opened 2023 with a BANG! They spent the entire month of February and the first two weeks of March consolidating in a bullish ascending triangle pattern, but today we're either going to get a confirmed breakout or a false breakout. It simply depends on where we... READ MORE
I remain extremely bullish stocks the balance of 2023 and into 204, but I've been a little short-term cautious the overall market since mid-February, but bullish signals are beginning to emerge once again. The most important sector, in my opinion, is technology (XLK). This sector reeks of aggressiveness... READ MORE
We are provided constant reminders that important company information is reflected in the absolute and relative performance of the company's stock price. That may go against common sense in a few instances, especially when it comes to earnings. After all, the company is supposed to be delivering fresh... READ MORE
Our research at EarningsBeats.com includes extensive seasonal studies, working off the seasonality tool here at StockCharts.com. We've recently ended the best historical period of the year, which runs from the close on October 27, 2022 through the close on January 18, 2023. But the bullishness doesn&... READ MORE
I have been preaching Wall Street manipulation for years. And Wall Street took manipulation to a completely new level in 2022, accumulating shares of panicked retail traders after the distribution period from January through May 2022 ended. Sure, we had two more price lows - one the very next month... READ MORE
Monthly options expiration creates a whole new set of headaches for retail traders. As if trading wasn't already hard enough, throw in the short-term financial incentive for market makers to "manipulate" prices and cash in big time at options expiration, and you have a recipe for... READ MORE
I'm a follower and believer of history when it comes to the stock market. After years of research, I understand that some aspects of U.S. equity performance are rather transparent and resulting technical signals generally can be relied upon. There were plenty of warning signals to open... READ MORE
2022 was a year that required a ton of patience, waiting out the cyclical bear market that unfolded, especially during the first five to six months of the year. But we saw significant strength in many areas during Q4, and growth stocks have powered the market forward in January 2023.... READ MORE
It was one week ago that I wrote about Wayfair's (W) big breakout in the Don't Ignore This Chart blog. It had just broken above key resistance and volume accelerated to its highest level EVER! And EVER is a very long time! 22 million shares traded... READ MORE
Say what you want, but January has proven to be a very reliable predictor of U.S. stock market action from February through December since 1950 and, with just a little more than a week left to go in January 2023, market action is suggesting that we're going... READ MORE
At EarningsBeats.com, we keep a Short Squeeze ChartList (SSCL). There are currently 42 stocks on it that have very high percentages in terms of short percentage of float. What these stocks have in common is a propensity for short sellers to panic and cover their short positions as price... READ MORE
Quarterly earnings is a time when management teams announce whether they've kept all their promises that were made over the prior 90 days. These quarterly earnings announcements shouldn't be shockers. Investors despise big surprises, especially when companies fall short of their consensus estimates. Wall Street firms... READ MORE
The past three months have been torture for the Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ), the ETF that tracks the NASDAQ 100. The large-cap stocks that dominate the QQQ performance have been breaking down one after another, and that has weighed much more heavily on the NASDAQ 100 than it has on... READ MORE
Late yesterday afternoon, I sent out a quick update to our EarningsBeats.com members, suggesting that we could see a sudden surge higher in equities. A bullish signal emerged in the Volatility Index ($VIX), one that doesn't appear very often. Typically, the S&P 500 and VIX... READ MORE
If you're looking for stocks that are momentum gainers, the best place to start is to find the leading industry groups. So which sectors were strong in 2022? The first step is to identify the strong and/or strengthening industry groups. I keep an industry group relative strength... READ MORE
There were times over the past few years that you probably wondered if Boeing (BA) would ever recover from its own miscues and the COVID-19 pandemic. Well, BA and its peer group, aerospace ($DJUSAS), were literally "flying" into the end of 2022. Check out the chart below. If... READ MORE
First of all, happy new year!!! I hope 2023 turns out to be a healthy and prosperous year for all! As we look back on 2022, it was anything but that. We started the year on a very sour note and things went downhill from there - at least from... READ MORE
I've been watching critical areas like semiconductors ($DJUSSC), software ($DJUSSW), and internet ($DJUSNS) underperform vs. the S&P 500 throughout 2022. But the good news is that, since June, money rotating out of the three aforementioned aggressive sectors is finding a home in other industry groups. That&... READ MORE
According to Fidelity.com, Apple, Inc. (AAPL) represents 12.95% and 6.51% of the QQQ and SPY, respectively. The QQQ and SPY are exchange-traded funds that track the NASDAQ 100 and S&P 500 Index respectively. That's a very large weighting, so it would seem to... READ MORE
Semiconductors hold the key to a major market advance, in my opinion, as they're a critical part of the NASDAQ 100 ($NDX). There are 16 semiconductor companies in the NDX, including NVIDIA (NVDA), Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Texas Instruments (TXN), Applied Materials (AMAT), QUALCOMM, Inc. (QCOM), and Intel... READ MORE
Since the S&P 500 Index ($SPX) broke out above price resistance that was established in 2000 and 2007, the secular bull market rally has been led by the Nasdaq 100's influence. If you compare relative performance (to the benchmark S&P 500 Index), small caps... READ MORE
I've written many articles and discussed several times that it's unwise to buy and hold leveraged exchange-traded funds (ETFs) unless you're at a major support level or you catch an uptrend. Buying and holding through volatile periods results in erosion. In other words, if... READ MORE
You've probably heard the adage, "Don't judge a book by its cover?" Well, it's tempting to say that when you look at the possible Fed-induced selloff in the stock market. While we're seeing a lot of negativity, let's... READ MORE
At our MarketVision 2022 event on Saturday, January 8, 2022, I said stock market bulls would need patience—a lot of it—because it was going to take some time for sentiment, which was ridiculously bullish, to reset. I also said at the time that we should expect a minimum... READ MORE
There's a great debate as to whether we've seen the market bottom. I'm firmly in the camp of "YES, we've seen it." I called a bottom in mid-June and, if it weren't for FedSpeak from Jackson Hole in... READ MORE
It's been a long 2022 for many in the stock market as we've seen all-time highs in early January morph into one of the worst bear markets since 1950. While we've seen a significant decline in equity prices, the market environment now is much... READ MORE
I'm seeing more and more industry groups that have either broken out above August highs or on the verge of doing so. Meanwhile, I believe it's important to focus on individual stocks within these improving groups for possible trading candidates. I prefer sticking with leading stocks... READ MORE
I always stress the importance of combining technical and fundamental analysis. I practiced in public accounting for more than 20 years, with most of that time spent at a large, regional CPA firm in the Washington DC area. While I believe technical analysis is an absolute necessity to observe price/... READ MORE
At EarningsBeats.com, we're one day away from the most exciting day of our quarter. I call it our Portfolio "Draft". I'll be announcing the 10 equal-weighted stocks that are included in each of our three portfolios - Model, Aggressive, and Income. We may... READ MORE
As the winter season approaches, I'm going to suggest that you consider buying into what might seem to be a warm weather industry—home construction ($DJUSHB). The "go away in May" theory applies very strongly to this cyclical group. Over the past 20 years, the average... READ MORE
Earnings season is quickly coming to a close, but it's just starting among the big retailers. On Tuesday, we'll get the latest earnings results from Walmart, Inc. (WMT), and that'll be followed by Target Corp's (TGT) quarterly earnings on Wednesday. Walmart and... READ MORE
The stock market has been like a volcano, simply waiting to erupt. The hawkish Fed and stubbornly-high inflation have wreaked havoc on stocks in 2022, but market participants have been awaiting good news on the interest rate front and I believe they got it on Thursday. The October CPI was... READ MORE
My two favorite sentiment indicators are (1) the 5-day moving average of the equity-only put-call ratio ($CPCE) and (2) the Volatility Index. On September 6th, I wrote about the elevated CPCE likely providing a short-term market bottom, and it did; the S&P 500 jumped 5% in a week.... READ MORE
Like all of you, I'm just waiting. The Fed concludes its two-day meeting this afternoon and its latest policy decision will be released at 2pm ET. It's widely expected that the Fed will raise the fed funds rate by 75 basis points. Anything other than that... READ MORE
If a huge recession is looming, someone forgot to tell the apparel retail group ($DJUSRA), because their absolute and relative strength is undeniable right now. The past three months have seen many stocks within this space SOAR. Here's the visual of the DJUSRA on both an absolute and... READ MORE