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Mixed Technical Picture in the Market Indices

Mixed Technical Picture in the Market Indices

Dow Jones (DIA) sits alone under the 50-day moving average, while his friends, Russell 2000 (IWM), Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) and S&P 500 (SPY) cleared Friday's highs and remain above their 50-DMAs. Though only the DIA ended under the 50-day moving average, it still had an inside...   READ MORE 

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Gamestop (GME) "Short Stoppers" Move On to Silver

Gamestop (GME) "Short Stoppers" Move On to Silver

I have had many people (my children included) ask me about the GameStop phenomena. Carl called them "gamestoppers", but decided that "Short Stoppers" was a more apt name given they have moved on to other targets. There is something alluring about putting the "big guys&...   READ MORE 

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TECHNOLOGY LEADING MARKET HIGHER -- A LOOK AT THE BIGGEST TECHS -- SILVER SQUEEZE?

TECHNOLOGY LEADING MARKET HIGHER -- A LOOK AT THE BIGGEST TECHS -- SILVER SQUEEZE?

TECHNOLOGY STOCKS LEAD MARKET HIGHER ... Technology stocks are the strongest sector in a strong market day.   The Technology SPDR (XLK) is trading nearly 3% higher today.  The biggest tech stocks are also having a strong day.  Chart 1 shows Apple gaining nearly 2% while keeping its uptrend intact.  Chart 2...   READ MORE 

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Advance-Decline Lines Suggest Further Downside

Advance-Decline Lines Suggest Further Downside

I've spoken recently of the bearish divergences emerging from breadth indicators, including the anemic new 52-week highs list, as well as a breakdown in the percent of stocks trading above their 50-day moving averages. As we recorded Friday's episode of The Final Bar, it appeared that...   READ MORE 

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Reddit or Not, Short Sellers Get Squeezed

Reddit or Not, Short Sellers Get Squeezed

Richard D. Wyckoff was on a mission to discover the ‘Real Rules of the Game' for success on Wall Street. He understood that public investors and traders were not profitable in their speculative activities and, in fact, were being preyed upon by large stock market operators. Mr. Wyckoff devoted...   READ MORE 

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SOXX Follows Overbought Extreme with Outsized Decline

SOXX Follows Overbought Extreme with Outsized Decline

Last weekend's post showed the Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) with a 10 day overbought streak and several ETFs with even bigger overbought streaks. These streaks came to an end this week as SOXX fell 6.21%, its biggest weekly decline since mid March. As measured by Normalized ROC, this...   READ MORE 

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Let The VIX Mark The Bottom

Let The VIX Mark The Bottom

There are a number of sentiment indicators in the stock market, but I prefer those that indicate the panic taking place "at the moment", rather than those depicting "feelings".  So I've always used the Volatility Index ($VIX) and equity only put call ratio ($CPCE)...   READ MORE 

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Week Ahead: Markets Approaches Union Budget on a Relatively Lighter Note; Prefer These Sectors for a Better Risk-Reward Proposition

Week Ahead: Markets Approaches Union Budget on a Relatively Lighter Note; Prefer These Sectors for a Better Risk-Reward Proposition

In what remained one of the worst weekly and monthly performances in recent times, the Indian equity markets witnessed heavy profit-taking throughout the week. The markets had a phenomenal run over the previous months; however, over the past week, it had shown some signs of taking a breather. The past...   READ MORE 

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GameStop Mania May Be Contributing to Selling

GameStop Mania May Be Contributing to Selling

Stock indexes remain under pressure again today and are pressuring moving average lines. Chart 1 shows the Dow Industrials falling below its 50-day moving average for the first time since early November. It may be headed for a test of a potential support line drawn over its early September high....   READ MORE 

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Regardless Where the Markets Head, These Stocks are Poised to Trade Higher

Regardless Where the Markets Head, These Stocks are Poised to Trade Higher

This week's 3.2% decline in the S&P 500 has this Index closing at a very important area of support, as investor confidence has been shaken amid discouraging Fed comments and weak economic data. Throw in a mixed start to earnings season with cautious outlooks from...   READ MORE 

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Advance Decline Lines Flash Warning

Advance Decline Lines Flash Warning

I've spoken recently of the bearish divergences emerging from breadth indicators,including the anemic new 52-week highs list, as well as a breakdown in the percent of stocks trading above their 50-day moving averages. As we recorded Friday's episode of The Final Bar, it appeared that...   READ MORE 

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WallStreetBets Storms the Financial Bastille

WallStreetBets Storms the Financial Bastille

Out of the corner of my eye, a message pops up on my screen saying "Hold the line! Selling here means Wall Street wins!" This is one of thousands of posts found on big social media platforms, which spurred from a Reddit page known as r/WallStreetBets (WSB)...   READ MORE 

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Is the Market's Uptrend Over?

Is the Market's Uptrend Over?

In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe MEM Edge, Mary Ellen reviews the broader markets, as well as underlying sectors to reveal where the weakness is and what to be on the lookout for going forward. She also shares defensive stocks that are poised to trade higher, as well...   READ MORE 

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STOP Looking For Reasons to Exit The Best Bull Market of Our Lifetime

STOP Looking For Reasons to Exit The Best Bull Market of Our Lifetime

Just stop. Listen, the two key drivers to the long-term direction of the stock market are (1) earnings growth and (2) monetary policy. That's it. The rest is completely noise that you need to tune out. Most humans are innately pessimistic. It's how we're...   READ MORE 

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Finding Winners in a Pool of Mud

Finding Winners in a Pool of Mud

At the start of this week in my weekly StockCharts TV show Sector Spotlight, I discussed the re-emerging strength of Consumer Discretionary and Technology stocks. In the second half of the week, markets started to shift a bit and, as usual, the question is whether this down move, which we...   READ MORE 

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Nearly Every Stock Market Question Can Be Answered By The Tensile Trading ChartPack - Update #30 (Q4 / 2020)

Nearly Every Stock Market Question Can Be Answered By The Tensile Trading ChartPack - Update #30 (Q4 / 2020)

Willie Sutton, the notorious bank robber from the 1920s and 30s, was asked once by a reporter why he robbed banks. He famously replied, "Because that's where the money is." Similarly in my seminars, blogs and books, I've preached for years that achieving consistent...   READ MORE 

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WEEKLY SECTOR RANKING SHOWS MORE CAUTION

WEEKLY SECTOR RANKING SHOWS MORE CAUTION

STOCKS TURN MORE DEFENSIVE...With stocks under pressure this week, it makes sense to see its eleven market sectors taking a more defensive turn as well.   Chart 1 ranks the eleven market sectors from the strongest at the top to the weakest on the bottom.   The first thing to notice...   READ MORE 

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STOCKS REMAIN UNDER PRESSURE -- SOME MOVING AVERAGE LINES ARE BEING BROKEN -- GAMESTOP MANIA MAY BE CONTRIBUTING TO SELLING

STOCKS REMAIN UNDER PRESSURE -- SOME MOVING AVERAGE LINES ARE BEING BROKEN -- GAMESTOP MANIA MAY BE CONTRIBUTING TO SELLING

STOCKS TEST MOVING AVERAGE LINES... Stock indexes remain under pressure again today and are pressuring moving average lines.   Chart 1 shows the Dow Industrials falling below its 50-day moving average for the first time since early November.   It may be headed for a test of a potential support line drawn...   READ MORE 

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3 Small Semiconductor Stocks Looking To Report Blowout Earnings

3 Small Semiconductor Stocks Looking To Report Blowout Earnings

You can usually tell whether a strong earnings report is upcoming simply by the way a stock is trading prior to earnings.  Wall Street has one major advantage over the rest of us.  They contact management teams throughout the quarter and they have a fairly strong idea how business conditions...   READ MORE 

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Chartwise Women: Time to Play Defense in the Market

Chartwise Women: Time to Play Defense in the Market

In this week's edition of Chartwise Women, Erin and Mary Ellen bring in a football theme, as it is likely time to start playing defense in your portfolio. Erin reviews sector rotation and where the markets are currently. Both share their favorite "defensive plays" and discussed...   READ MORE 

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Has Transportation (IYT) Confirmed a Warning Signal?

Has Transportation (IYT) Confirmed a Warning Signal?

The GameStop (GME) saga continues as a Reddit page known as r/WallStreetBets and its members of small-time traders have pushed GME through another round of all time highs. Their influence and constant stream of messages throughout social media have reached even Elon Musk, who posted a tweet late Tuesday...   READ MORE 

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Long-Term Interest Rates Getting Close to an Upside Breakout

Long-Term Interest Rates Getting Close to an Upside Breakout

The Fed has pledged to keep short-term rates around zero for an extended period. That's certainly in their power, and Chart 1, which features the 3-month Libor, indicates no sign of life. There is also quite a distance between the latest plot and its 12-month MA. At this...   READ MORE 

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STOCKS UNDERGO SOME PROFIT-TAKING -- SOME MACD DIVERGENCES TO WATCH

STOCKS UNDERGO SOME PROFIT-TAKING -- SOME MACD DIVERGENCES TO WATCH

DAILY MACD LINES SHOW NEGATIVE DIVERGENCE... Stocks are undergoing some profit-taking today in a market that looks stretched on the upside.    One of the factors that concerns me is the relatively weak performance by daily MACD lines.    Chart 1 overlays the MACD lines on a daily chart of the S&...   READ MORE 

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A Simple Trick for Buying Short Squeezes Like BBBY and GME

A Simple Trick for Buying Short Squeezes Like BBBY and GME

Short squeezes and high-risk trades have been all the rage in the media, with stocks like GameStop (GME) and Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) flying up to unthinkable daily prices. But how can you profit from a short squeeze if you think a company is being targeted by a large...   READ MORE 

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Sector Spotlight: AMZN Ready to Lead Rotation

Sector Spotlight: AMZN Ready to Lead Rotation

In this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I look at current rotations in asset classes and sectors and highlight some changes in relative movements against the S&P 500 index. After the break, I bring up my 3-D visualization of (sector) seasonality and see if any...   READ MORE 

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(Big) Tech is Back on Track

(Big) Tech is Back on Track

The Relative Rotation Graph for US sectors shows an interesting clustering of sectors close to the benchmark at the start of this week. I have highlighted this cluster in the RRG above. The chart below zooms in on those three sectors that are more or less overlaid on each other...   READ MORE 

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DP TV: Homebuilders and Solar Sizzling

DP TV: Homebuilders and Solar Sizzling

In this episode of DecisionPoint, Carl covers the major market and gave his take on the current conditions for the "Big Four"--Dollar, Gold, Oil and Bonds. A new Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO) SELL Signal has appeared on Oil. Erin analyzes the hot Home Builder industry group and...   READ MORE 

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How to Time Your Market Entries and Avoid FOMO

How to Time Your Market Entries and Avoid FOMO

Monday was a roller coaster ride for traders, with a steep late morning selloff followed by a steady wave of buying until the closing bell. Highly volatile days can be great for making quick trades, but can also come with increased risk, as we saw. The fast-moving pace can easily...   READ MORE 

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Participation Mixed and Not Encouraging

Participation Mixed and Not Encouraging

We like to monitor broad market participation, asking how many stocks are actually taking part in a market advance. A good way to do this is to track the percentage of S&P 500 stocks that are above their 20EMA (short-term), 50EMA (medium-term), and 200EMA (long-term). On the chart...   READ MORE 

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The Bull Market Is Punishing Those Who Do Not Believe

The Bull Market Is Punishing Those Who Do Not Believe

I have written countless articles on the art of buying stocks in a short squeeze or on the verge of being in a short squeeze.  The results can be truly astounding.  I'm going to walk you through three recent short squeezes.  If you owned ANY of these three...   READ MORE 

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Truncated Week Ahead: NIFTY to Continue Profit-Taking at Higher Levels; RRG Chart Shows Sectors Sharply Paring Relative Momentum

Truncated Week Ahead: NIFTY to Continue Profit-Taking at Higher Levels; RRG Chart Shows Sectors Sharply Paring Relative Momentum

In the previous week's note, it was mentioned that the markets have shown first signs of fatigue as they marked the high point of 14653. This was the point where profit-taking bouts emerged. Over the week that went by, the markets did make some incremental highs; however, they...   READ MORE 

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Only a Fool Tries to Call a Correction in a Bull Market, So Here Goes!

Only a Fool Tries to Call a Correction in a Bull Market, So Here Goes!

Last week, I recorded a 40-minute presentation with my friend Bruce Fraser on the 2021 outlook. It's currently being featured on StockCharts TVand calls for a significant extension to the bull market. We present a number of long-term charts featuring several indicators whose bullish signals have consistently been...   READ MORE 

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NFLX Knocks it Out of the Park - Who Will Be Next?

NFLX Knocks it Out of the Park - Who Will Be Next?

Earnings season is off to the races, with Netflix (NFLX) flexing its muscles last week as it beat expectations all the way around, rising 18% at its peak the day after its numbers were released. Netflix isn't the only company to report strong earnings. JP Morgan (JPM) and...   READ MORE 

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Rydex Ratio Hits Historically Low Reading - Danger...

Rydex Ratio Hits Historically Low Reading - Danger...

I believe it is time to revisit the Rydex Ratio sentiment chart. A few DecisionPoint.com subscribers have noticed how overbought it has become; I wrote about it in last week's DP Weekly Wrap for subscribers of the DP Alert. Thursday night (1/14), after the latest asset...   READ MORE 

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What's Pushing These Stocks Higher?

What's Pushing These Stocks Higher?

In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe MEM Edge, Mary Ellen shares what's pushing stocks much higher after they release their earnings reports and why. She also reviews last week's move away from cyclicals, as well as stocks that have just broken out of a...   READ MORE 

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Is the Negative Momentum Divergence in Transportation a Warning Sign?

Is the Negative Momentum Divergence in Transportation a Warning Sign?

Recently, our proprietary momentum indicator RealMotion, seen in the chart above, has shown a divergence in momentum and price for the transportation sector (IYT). While the price of IYT currently sits above the 50-day moving average, it has broken the 50-DMA on momentum. However, the warning only holds weight if...   READ MORE 

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SOXX and other ETFs with Extended Overbought Conditions

SOXX and other ETFs with Extended Overbought Conditions

The Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) and several other ETFs are on a serious roll in 2021. For the fourth time since 2009, 14-day RSI was above 70 for ten or more days. This is an exceptional streak, but SOXX is not alone and there are even longer streaks. The following list...   READ MORE 

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BITCOIN TESTS UNDERLYING SUPPORT LEVELS

BITCOIN TESTS UNDERLYING SUPPORT LEVELS

BITCOIN RETESTS JANUARY LOW... Bitcoin remains in a downside correction that started earlier in January.  And it's testing some important support levels.   The daily bars in Chart 1 show bitcoin testing a couple of support levels formed earlier in the month (horizontal lines).  It's also nearing...   READ MORE 

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Chartwise Women: New Year, New Leading Sectors

Chartwise Women: New Year, New Leading Sectors

In this week's edition of Chartwise Women, Mary Ellen and Erin examine what's driving the rotation into new sectors and how you can take advantage. They also delve into the top industries within these leading sectors, as well as individual stocks. This video was originally broadcast...   READ MORE 

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Breaking the Dow(n)... in Theory

Breaking the Dow(n)... in Theory

The most widely followed Dow Jones index is the Dow Jones Industrials Average. But, in reality, this is only one of three averages that make up the Dow Jones Composite average. The other two are the Dow Jones Transportation and the Dow Jones Utility averages. The RRG above shows the...   READ MORE