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Navigating Through the Market's Choppy Waters
Today the QQQs, SPY, and DIA, closed near the September 21st lows which we noted as possible support.
While we rallied intraday, we also sold off, giving back most of the days upward progress.
The VXX also failed to break through the 50-DMA to the upside, but It's...
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Chartwise Women: Get Ready for a Market Recovery
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
Draft your dream team of stocks! In this week's edition of Chartwise Women, Mary Ellen and Erin share their best practices to screen for stocks that are more likely to outperform the markets once the downward pressure is lifted. They also outline what signals will tell you when...
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Breaking Down the Dow Jones Composite Index
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq 100 are probably the most discussed charts/indexes. The Dow Jones Industrials is probably the most well known index. From an RRG point of view, the breakdown of the S&P 500 into its sectors is probably the most-watched RRG.
But,...
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Tesla (TSLA) Is Being Accumulated, Not Distributed - Check Out These 2 Indicators!
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
I think it's fair to say that most investors look at whether their stock is going up or down in determining whether a stock is being cumulatively bought or sold. That was a big, big mistake back in March as fear-mongering headlines created panic at the opening bell,...
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Junk Bonds Looking More Like Junk
Let's start with the 4 major indices, the SPY, QQQ, DIA and IWM. They all sold off today, breaking yesterday's lows. Besides IWM, they are still not below their recent low from September 21st. If the indices continue lower, we should keep an eye on those...
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The Anchored VWAP Reveals "Hidden Support" In The S&P 500, And The US Total Market Is Still King Of The World
by Grayson Roze,
Chief Strategist, StockCharts.com
What a week to be back hosting another episode of "Your Daily Five". As I'm sure you heard, we held a major LIVE event on StockCharts TV yesterday - "Introducing StockChartsACP: The Future of Technical Analysis". Chip, Dave and I sat down for an...
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STRONGER DOLLAR HURTS PRECIOUS METALS -- STOCK INDEXES BACK OFF FROM 50-DAY AVERAGES AND BROKEN SUPPORT
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
RISING DOLLAR PUSHES PRECIOUS METALS LOWER... With global stocks on the defensive over the last week, some money has flowed into the relative safety of the U.S. dollar. Chart 1 shows the Invesco Dollar Index (UUP) climbing to the highest level in two months. As usually happens when the...
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Should You Short Stocks?
by Dave Landry,
Founder, Sentive Trading, LLC
In this edition of Trading Simplified, Dave continues to show his methodology in action using actual trades. He goes on to discuss if you should short stocks and illustrates how his new ACP plugin can be used to identify and get aboard great trends.
This video was originally broadcast on...
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Running a Scan to Find a Potential Short Squeeze
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Short squeezes can result in explosive upside moves. We saw it at the end of 2019 with Tesla (TSLA). Once the stock broke 400, it absolutely flew to the upside. One reason why was that breakout triggered buying from short sellers, who realized that their losses were unlimited as TSLA...
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Sector Spotlight: Erratic Rotation Signals Uncertainty
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In this edition of Sector Spotlight, I spend the show talking about current market rotations. I begin with the overview of last week's rotations in asset classes and US sectors, then switch to weekly charts to step away from the erratic daily rotations; this way, I can get...
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How Long Will the Market Hold its Breath For?
Yesterday, Mish talked about watching junk bonds (JNK) to see if the Fed would continue supporting high risk companies.
Today, JNK had an inside day. This comes after a large red day where JNK gapped lower, breaking its 104.27-106 range. The break also happened to coincide with a major...
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Is The Bottom In On The NASDAQ?
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
I believe it could be.
In my Daily Market Report to EarningsBeats.com members, I pointed out a couple very positive short-term developments. First, the S&P 500 pulled back to 3229 yesterday, EXACTLY a 10% correction from its recent all-time high. Extremely bullish sentiment readings suggested that September...
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DP Show: Hammering Into a Selling Exhaustion?
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
In this episode of DecisionPoint, Carl and Erin talk extensively about the current conditions of the SPY and the climactic indicators that suggest a possible selling exhaustion. Erin discusses the "hammer" candlestick and the implications when considered alongside an exhaustion climax. Carl elaborates on his articleabout the "...
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Measured Moves in the Market
Coming into Monday, we wrote targets on the S&P 500 and NASDAQ 100. Based on the measured move from the all-time high and the ensuing gap lower (or topping pattern), we shared with you all that the SPY target was 322 and QQQs target was 260.
And wouldn&...
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S&P Performance Relative to the World Reaches a Crucial Juncture
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
For many years, the S&P Composite (SPY) has outperformed the MSCI World Stock ETF (ACWI). The benefit of the doubt continues to move in favor of the US, but this relationship has reached a crucial juncture point and needs to bounce; otherwise, some serious technical damage will transpire....
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GLOBAL STOCKS SELL OFF -- DOW AND S&P 500 APPEAR HEADED TOWARD THEIR 200-DAY MOVING AVERAGES
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
DOW AND S&P 500 HEADING TOWARD 200-DAY LINES... Stocks are selling off all over the world today. With 50-day moving averages having already been broken, 200-day averages are now in play. Chart 1 shows the Dow Industrials approaching their 200-day line (red arrow) which isn't that...
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Daily Rotations Look Erratic
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
The Relative Rotation Graph above shows the rotation for US sectors on a daily basis at the start of this new week (20.09.21).
The most important observation that we can make from this image is that the rotation currently is very erratic. The tails do not last very...
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A Massive Short Squeeze Has Sent This Stock Higher By 75% In 3 Weeks!
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Stocks that are heavily shorted are stocks that we should generally avoid. There are normally very good reasons, both technically and fundamentally, why a company has so many bets placed against it. Buying stocks that are not performing well simply because they're heavily shorted makes about as much...
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Week Ahead: Slippery Road Ahead for the NIFTY; RRG Charts Show No Major Shift on the Sectoral Front
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
The week remained largely uneventful for the markets, as they traded in a narrow range and consolidated over the past five days. The trading range also remained very narrow compared to the earlier weeks. The NIFTY witnessed a movement in the band of just 235-odd point while avoiding taking any...
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Nasdaq 100 Breaks Short-Term Support as 50-Day Averages Give Way
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
The daily bars in Chart 1 show the QQQ breaking last week's short-term support and falling further below its 50-day moving average today. The two upper boxes in Chart 1 also show its RSI and MACD lines continuing to decline. That suggests more selling to come. It now...
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My Pocket Pads Produce Profits: 12 Sample Insights
by Gatis Roze,
Author, "Tensile Trading"
I've written multiple blogs about my pocket pads and how incessantly I jot down great insights and sustaining concepts whenever and however they cross my path. It's been a daily and profitable habit for decades.
Below is a link to a more descriptive past blog about...
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Profiting on Stocks with High Short Interest
by John Hopkins,
President and Co-founder, EarningsBeats.com
At EarningsBeats.com, we provide our members with various ChartLists of stocks that we believe could give them an upper hand when trading. This includes our Short Squeeze ChartList, which currently has 79 companies that have short percentage of float above 20%. This means that many traders are betting against...
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Are Growth Stocks Finished?
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe MEM Edge, Mary Ellen reviews the state of growth stocks and what to be on the lookout for. She also shared top-yielding stocks with highly attractive charts, as well as the best way to screen for candidates in newer, emerging areas of...
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Time for the Newer Biotech Companies to Wake Up?
With companies like Pfizer (PFE) giving possible hope for an end-of-year vaccine and a recent gap up in IBB (the Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF), now could be a good time to keep an eye on newer issues in this sector.
Large amounts of buying came into IBB on Friday. The price...
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The Setup to Anticipate the Breakout - XME Example
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Chartists are often faced with a choice: wait for the breakout or anticipate using a mean-reversion setup. The Metals & Mining SPDR (XME) broke out of a bullish consolidation this week and the breakout signals a continuation of its long-term uptrend. Chartists keying off the mean-reversion setup could have anticipated...
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What's a "Pig's Ear" Chart Pattern? + DP "Diamond of the Week"
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
Last week, after presenting a "diamond in the rough" in Wednesday's Diamonds Report, Carl texted me and said that it looked like a "pig's ear" chart pattern. I had never heard him use this term (yes, Dad, never!) and decided to investigate...
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NASDAQ 100 BREAKS SHORT-TERM SUPPORT AS 50-DAY AVERAGES GIVE WAY -- S&P 500 ALSO TURNS DOWN
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
NASDAQ 100 TURNS DOWN... The daily bars in Chart 1 show the QQQ breaking last week's short-term support and falling further below its 50-day moving average today. The two upper boxes in Chart 1 also show its RSI and MACD lines continuing to decline. That suggests more selling...
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Keeping Your Mind on the Right Side of the Market
Yesterday, we were watching the VXX to gauge fear in the market. Today, it gapped higher and then continued to sell off while the indices gapped lower and began to rise.
Now the QQQs, DIA and SPY, while selling off from the highs, had some end-of-day buying comeback, which pushed...
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Chartwise Women: Finding Your Comfort Stocks
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
As the country has maneuvered through the pandemic, one thing we all can agree on is the need for comfort. In this week's edition of Chartwise Women, Erin and Mary Ellen explain why investing in stocks or products you know can give you investing insight. Walk with Mary...
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Some Sectors Starting to Rotate from their Post-March Pattern
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
From time to time, I like to review the various sectors to see which ones are in a positive or negative relative trend and which might be in a position to change. To do this, I use what I call my Nirvana Template or, in StockCharts-speak, Nirvana Chart Style. It...
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NASDAQ LEADS TODAY'S RETREAT -- LAST WEEK'S LOWS ARE BEING RETESTED -- SO ARE 50-DAY AVERAGES
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
MAJOR STOCK INDEXES RETEST LAST WEEK'S LOW... Stocks are under pressure and are retesting lows formed late last week. And are putting 50-day moving averages in jeopardy on daily charts. The tech-driven Nasdaq is leading today's retreat. The hourly bars in Chart 1 show the Invesco...
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Sentiment Issues Have Evolved Into Technical Issues - Be Careful!
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Note
This is a copy of today's DMR that I just sent to our members. I believe we're setting up for a HUGE rally in Q4 and the current weakness will provide tremendous opportunities. In the very short-term, however, we need to get through the next...
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Is the Technology Sector at Risk?
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
At yesterday's close XLK, the technology sector, rotated into the lagging quadrant. This happened a few times since the market started to rally out of the March low. On the daily chart to be exact.
On the weekly RRG, XLK remained far to the right inside the leading...
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Market Loves/Hates Fed Days
Last night we wondered, is the market correction was over? After all, both SPY and QQQs traded into resistance. For SPY, that number is 342; for the QQQs, it's 282. The DIA had to hold 28,000.
Today, SPY tried to clear 342, but wound up closing red...
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DOW TRANSPORTS NEAR NEW RECORD -- FEDEX IS THE DAY'S BIGGEST WINNER -- AIRLINES ARE STARTING TO HELP -- SOUTHWEST AIRLINES TESTING JUNE HIGH
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
DOW TRANSPORTS NEAR RECORD TERRITORY...The weekly bars in Chart 1 show the Dow Transports rising above their late 2019 peak and challenging their 2018 intra-day peak at 11623. A close above that level would put the Dow Transports in record territory. Their relative strength ratio in the upper box...
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"A Man's Got to Know His Limitations"
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
That's the line spoken by Dirty Harry in Magnum Force right after he blew away his crooked boss. I also personally use that line to curb any tendency toward hubris I might have. For example, if you put me and Greg Morris in the same room, there is...
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How Does this Really Work?
by Dave Landry,
Founder, Sentive Trading, LLC
Dave believes in the importance of his methodology in action - what he is really doing and what makes him do it, warts and all. It doesn't work all the time, but does over time. In this edition of Trading Simplified, Dave revisits mystery charts and, introduces some...
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Sector Spotlight: A Full Mailbag
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In this edition of Sector Spotlight, I present the usual look at the rotations for Asset Classes and US Sectors via Relative Rotation Graphs. In addition, the better part of the show is spent on answering questions from the mailbag. These questions range from slowing down animations on RRGs to...
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A Rally to Resistance
Is the market correction over?
Although a 10-15% correction is normal, the bigger question is whether the bounce we just saw from recent lows is a sell (rather than buy) opportunity. Both SPY and QQQs are trading into resistance. In SPY that number is 342; for the QQQs, we are...
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MATERIALS SPDR HITS NEW RECORD -- AVERY DENNISON AND WESTROCK ACHIEVE BULLISH BREAKOUTS -- DOW HOLDINGS HEADING TOWARD 2019 HIGH
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
MATERIALS SPDR HITS NEW RECORD... Stocks are trading higher today with ten of eleven sectors in the green. The only one to hit a new record is shown below. Chart 1 shows the Materials SPDR (XLB) trading at a new record high. Its relative strength line in the upper box...
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