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Crude Oil: The Long-Term View And The Fed's Role

Crude Oil: The Long-Term View And The Fed's Role

Crude oil ($WTIC) was certainly in the news on Monday after a drone strike crippled Saudi Arabian oil production by roughly 50%.  The immediate reduction in global oil supply was felt via a 14.68% surge in price to $62.90 per barrel.  Obviously, that's a one-time type...   READ MORE 

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DecisionPoint Daily Diamonds - "Momentum Sleepers"

DecisionPoint Daily Diamonds - "Momentum Sleepers"

I've been running my "Momentum Sleepers" scan daily in the hopes of catching some stocks that are building momentum underneath the surface. These are mostly beat-down stocks, but volume and momentum are beginning to improve. I use a "speedy" Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO) and...   READ MORE 

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Three Charts That Could Signal A Significant Extension To The Equity Rally

Three Charts That Could Signal A Significant Extension To The Equity Rally

* High Velocity of Short-Term Indicators Indicate Higher Prices * Three Charts to Monitor for More Upside Potential High Velocity of Short-Term Indicators Indicate Higher Prices A couple of weeks ago, I cited some short-term indicators for the US stock market that struck me as being bullish. Several of these are now...   READ MORE 

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ATTACK ON SAUDI OIL FACILITIES PUSHES CRUDE OIL AND ENERGY SHARES SHARPLY HIGHER -- CAUSING MINOR PROFIT-TAKING IN STOCKS -- FUEL-SENSITIVE AIRLINES DROP -- SMALL CAPS GAIN MORE GROUND --...

ATTACK ON SAUDI OIL FACILITIES PUSHES CRUDE OIL AND ENERGY SHARES SHARPLY HIGHER -- CAUSING MINOR PROFIT-TAKING IN STOCKS -- FUEL-SENSITIVE AIRLINES DROP -- SMALL CAPS GAIN MORE GROUND -- BONDS AND GOLD REBOUND -- THE DJ US DEFENSE INDEX HITS A NEW RECORD

CRUDE OIL AND ENERGY SHARES JUMP...As expected, the weekend attack on Saudi Arabia's oil facilities pushed the price of oil sharply higher today and in very heavy trading.  Chart 1 shows the United States Oil Fund (USO) surging 12% to the highest level in four months.  Energy...   READ MORE 

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Is Now The Time For FedEx?

Is Now The Time For FedEx?

FedEx Corp (FDX) will be reporting its latest quarterly results tomorrow after the closing bell.  In late-August, FDX printed a bullish engulfing candle and it's been moving straight up ever since.  It's now running into both gap and price resistance, however, so it needs a catalyst....   READ MORE 

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Week Ahead: NIFTY Holds The Crucial 100-Week MA; May Stay Vulnerable Unless It Moves Past This Zone

Week Ahead: NIFTY Holds The Crucial 100-Week MA; May Stay Vulnerable Unless It Moves Past This Zone

The week remained positive for the Indian equities as the benchmark index closed with week with net gains. The markets witnessed up-moves over the past couple of days, but those were fueled mostly by short-covering, which was triggered from the lower levels. The NIFTY successfully defended the critical support levels...   READ MORE 

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Are Recent Rotations within the Stock Market Bullish or Bearish?

Are Recent Rotations within the Stock Market Bullish or Bearish?

There are still plenty of strong uptrends out there in ETF land, but we are seeing a bit of rotation in the stock market. The Utilities SPDR (XLU), Real Estate SPDR (XLRE) and Consumer Staples SPDR (XLP) remain in uptrends, but they corrected the last six days as some out...   READ MORE 

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SHARP REBOUND IN BOND YIELDS CONTRIBUTES TO ROTATION INTO VALUE STOCKS -- WITH SMALL CAP VALUE ISHARES IN THE LEAD -- STRONGER FINANCIALS AND INDUSTRIALS ARE MAIN REASONS WHY

SHARP REBOUND IN BOND YIELDS CONTRIBUTES TO ROTATION INTO VALUE STOCKS -- WITH SMALL CAP VALUE ISHARES IN THE LEAD -- STRONGER FINANCIALS AND INDUSTRIALS ARE MAIN REASONS WHY

TEN-YEAR TREASURY YIELD BOUNCES OFF MAJOR CHART SUPPORT... My Wednesday message showed the 10-Year Treasury yield bouncing off major chart support at its 2012 and 2016 lows and in a very oversold condition.  That made a rebound in bond yields more likely.  The weekly bars in Chart 1 show the...   READ MORE 

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Drive Off In These Profitable Stocks That Are Poised To Trade Higher

Drive Off In These Profitable Stocks That Are Poised To Trade Higher

U.S. retail sales came in stronger than expected for the month of August and, while internet sales and home goods saw a pickup, the real boost in last month's retail numbers came from auto sales. The Auto Retail industry is experiencing considerable changes in its operating environments...   READ MORE 

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When Transports And Small Caps Talk, We MUST Listen

When Transports And Small Caps Talk, We MUST Listen

I've been adamant that we remain in a secular bull market, and I'm sticking to it. Yes, September scares me.  The Fed petrifies me. And no more tweets, please! Oh, and let's not forget about the inverted yield curve (which isn't inverted...   READ MORE 

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Daily Market Report - Friday, September 13, 2019

Daily Market Report - Friday, September 13, 2019

Special Note: On Monday, September 16th, I will officially begin writing full-time at EarningsBeats.com as its Chief Market Strategist, returning to a role that I left in March 2015 when I joined StockCharts.com as a Sr. Technical Analyst.  Below is a brief example of the type of information...   READ MORE 

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DP Daily Diamonds - Yummy Flowers

DP Daily Diamonds - Yummy Flowers

Today, I ran a variety of scans, but the results are mostly from my "Bullish EMA - Mid-Range SCTR" scan, which nearly always gives me a lot of results. Today was no exception. I had 82 results! My other scans just weren't returning the set-ups I...   READ MORE 

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Small Caps Surge and Reflect Rotation into Cheaper Parts of the Market

Small Caps Surge and Reflect Rotation into Cheaper Parts of the Market

Editor's Note: This article was originally published in John Murphy's Market Message on Wednesday, September 11th at 5:14pm ET. Smaller stocks were the stars of today's stock action. Previous messages have noted signs of improvement in the group which has lagged behind large...   READ MORE 

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DP WEEKLY WRAP: Golden Cross and Silver Cross Indexes Not Confirming SPY Record High

DP WEEKLY WRAP: Golden Cross and Silver Cross Indexes Not Confirming SPY Record High

On Thursday SPY hit an all-time intraday high, but it was not confirmed by some of our internal indicators. In particular I am referring to the *Golden Cross and **Silver Cross Indexes, both of which are well below their levels when the market made its last all-time high in July....   READ MORE 

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Sticking With Stocks Over Bonds

Sticking With Stocks Over Bonds

I've written before about RSI and the difference between "good" overbought and "bad" overbought. In the future, we may see the bond prices of these past few weeks used as examples of how to interpret extreme overbought conditions. A review of the stock-to-bond ratio...   READ MORE 

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The Financial Sector is Improving, Leadership Role for JPM

The Financial Sector is Improving, Leadership Role for JPM

On the weekly Relative Rotation Graph for US sectors, the Financial sector is positioned just inside the lagging quadrant, very close to the benchmark (center of the chart). It arrived here after a nearly vertical drop from the improving quadrant after failing to rotate into leading. During the last five...   READ MORE 

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Wall Street Rallies As We Near Record Highs Once Again

Wall Street Rallies As We Near Record Highs Once Again

Market Recap for Thursday, September 12, 2019 Apparently we're back in the "feel good" portion of the trade war as President Trump announced on Thursday that there would be a tariff delay, providing a "gesture of good will".  Accordingly, global markets have rallied and...   READ MORE 

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Index Breadth Model Improves as IWM Challenges Resistance

Index Breadth Model Improves as IWM Challenges Resistance

Stocks surged the last 12 days with small-caps leading the way higher. The Russell 2000 iShares (IWM) is up 6.8% and the S&P 500 SPDR (SPY) is up 4.6%. Even though small-caps are leading short-term, they are still lagging on the three and six month timeframes....   READ MORE 

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DecisionPoint Daily Diamonds - Might Need Some Pullbacks

DecisionPoint Daily Diamonds - Might Need Some Pullbacks

Today, I ran the WealthWise Women "Pink Line" scan, which uses the 50-SMA and a Chandelier Exit to determine entries and exits. Many times, these stocks will have "popped" on the day I get the results for this scan, so these all did have big moves...   READ MORE 

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The Three Time Frames of Technical Analysis

The Three Time Frames of Technical Analysis

I'm often asked about how technical indicators work across different time frames. The short answer is "Yes, they work." The longer answer, which explains how you need to use the toolkit differently depending on your time frame, follows. Many investors have a tendency to lock themselves...   READ MORE 

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LRCX is Breaking To New Highs While Relative Strength is Picking Up

LRCX is Breaking To New Highs While Relative Strength is Picking Up

On the Relative Rotation Graph for technology stocks, LRCX stands out, with its relatively long tail and its push into the leading quadrant at a strong RRG-Heading. Such a rotation is more than enough reason to open up a regular chart for further investigation. The chart above shows LRCX on...   READ MORE 

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Industrials Challenging Resistance Again; Airlines Poised Strong Q4?

Industrials Challenging Resistance Again; Airlines Poised Strong Q4?

Market Recap for Wednesday, September 11, 2019 On the 18th anniversary of 9/11, it was somewhat ironic that Boeing (BA, +3.51%) led the Dow Jones back above 27,000 and within 1% of its all-time high.  Apple (AAPL, +3.05%) also performed quite well, with both stocks breaking...   READ MORE 

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STOCK RALLY RESUMES AS MAJOR STOCK INDEXES DRAW CLOSER TO SUMMER HIGH -- BOEING, APPLE, AND CATERPILLAR LEAD DOW HIGHER -- THE INDUSTRIAL SPDR IS NEARING A MAJOR UPSIDE BREAKOUT TO RECORD...

STOCK RALLY RESUMES AS MAJOR STOCK INDEXES DRAW CLOSER TO SUMMER HIGH -- BOEING, APPLE, AND CATERPILLAR LEAD DOW HIGHER -- THE INDUSTRIAL SPDR IS NEARING A MAJOR UPSIDE BREAKOUT TO RECORD HIGHS -- SMALL CAPS WERE THE DAY'S BIGGEST GAINERS

STOCK INDEXES GAIN MORE GROUND... The stock upturn that started last week when major stock indexes cleared their August trading range and 50-day averages gained momentum today.  All three major indexes hit the highest level in more than a month.   Chart 1 shows the Dow Industrials gaining 227 points (+0....   READ MORE 

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Small Caps Break Above Resistance – 4 Turnaround Candidates To Consider

Small Caps Break Above Resistance – 4 Turnaround Candidates To Consider

This week's action in the markets is pointing to a shift in money flows out of high multiple Technology stocks and into recently down-and-out Small Caps, Financials and Cyclicals. While it's too early to determine if the shift will remain in place, in the near-term we...   READ MORE 

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TEN-YEAR TREASURY YIELD IS BOUNCING OFF MAJOR SUPPORT -- BOND/STOCK RATIO ALSO RUNS INTO RESISTANCE AND HAS STARTED TO WEAKEN -- THAT WOULD FAVOR STOCKS OVER BONDS -- RECENT SECTOR ROTATIO...

TEN-YEAR TREASURY YIELD IS BOUNCING OFF MAJOR SUPPORT -- BOND/STOCK RATIO ALSO RUNS INTO RESISTANCE AND HAS STARTED TO WEAKEN -- THAT WOULD FAVOR STOCKS OVER BONDS -- RECENT SECTOR ROTATIONS SHOW A SHIFT TO MORE ECONOMICALLY-SENSITIVE STOCK GROUPS

TEN-YEAR TREASURY YIELD IS TESTING MAJOR SUPPORT...Bond yields have been falling all over the world since the end of last year.  Several foreign government bond yields have fallen deeply into negative territory and have helped pull Treasury yields lower.  The 30-Year Treasury Yield recently fell to a new record...   READ MORE 

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Energy And Transports Benefit From Rotating Market

Energy And Transports Benefit From Rotating Market

Market Recap for Tuesday, September 10, 2019 We once again finished in bifurcated fashion on Tuesday with the small cap Russell 2000 ($RUT, +1.28%) and the Dow Jones ($INDU, +0.28%) leading the action, while the S&P 500 ($SPX, +0.03%) and the NASDAQ ($COMPQ, -0.04%...   READ MORE 

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DecisionPoint Daily Diamonds - Industrials and Healthcare

DecisionPoint Daily Diamonds - Industrials and Healthcare

Today I used my general Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO) scan to find my "diamonds in the rough." As it turned out, there were only ten results, which tells me that it may not be the best time to take on new longs. However, these stocks are showing some...   READ MORE 

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TRANSPORTATION STOCKS MOVE INTO HIGHER GEAR -- DOW TRANSPORTS NEAR TEST OF MAJOR RESISTANCE LINE -- CH ROBINSON AND JB HUNT ARE TRUCK LEADERS -- KIRBY CORP IS MARINE TRANSPORTATION LEADER...

TRANSPORTATION STOCKS MOVE INTO HIGHER GEAR -- DOW TRANSPORTS NEAR TEST OF MAJOR RESISTANCE LINE -- CH ROBINSON AND JB HUNT ARE TRUCK LEADERS -- KIRBY CORP IS MARINE TRANSPORTATION LEADER -- UTILITIES AND REITS LOSE GROUND ON RISING BOND YIELDS

DOW TRANSPORTS NEAR TEST OF OVERHEAD RESISTANCE...After lagging behind the rest of the market for most of the past year, transportation stocks are starting to show new life.   Chart 1 shows the Dow Jones Transportation Average surging more than 1% today to the highest level in more than a...   READ MORE 

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Bifurcated Action Draws Sellers In Leading Industries

Bifurcated Action Draws Sellers In Leading Industries

Market Recap for Monday, September 9, 2019 Monday's action was odd, mixed and bifurcated.  The small cap Russell 2000 ($RUT) had a very strong day, rising 1.27%, while the NASDAQ, another aggressive index, fell 0.19%.  The Dow Jones finished with a slight gain, but the S&...   READ MORE 

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DecisionPoint Daily Diamonds - "Carl's Scan"

DecisionPoint Daily Diamonds - "Carl's Scan"

Welcome to the "DecisionPoint Daily Diamonds", a newsletter in which we highlight five "diamonds in the rough," taken from the results of one of my DecisionPoint scans. Remember, these are not recommendations to buy or sell, but stocks that I found interesting. The objective is to...   READ MORE 

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ENERGY AND FINANCIALS JUMP ON FLAT MARKET DAY -- RISING OIL PRICE LIFTS OIL SERVICE STOCKS -- HIGHER BOND YIELDS PUSH BANK STOCKS SHARPLY HIGHER -- STRONGER FINANCIAL STOCKS HELP BOOST SMA...

ENERGY AND FINANCIALS JUMP ON FLAT MARKET DAY -- RISING OIL PRICE LIFTS OIL SERVICE STOCKS -- HIGHER BOND YIELDS PUSH BANK STOCKS SHARPLY HIGHER -- STRONGER FINANCIAL STOCKS HELP BOOST SMALL CAPS -- RUSSELL 2000 INDEX CLOSES ABOVE ITS 200-DAY LINE

RISING OIL PRICE BOOSTS ENERGY STOCKS...A jump in crude oil helped make energy the strongest sector on a generally flat market day.  Chart 1 shows the Energy SPDR (XLE) climbing 2% to the highest level in a month (on rising volume), and showing upside leadership for the the first...   READ MORE 

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Commodities May Be Down, But Are They Out?

Commodities May Be Down, But Are They Out?

* Long-Term Commodity Technicals are Finely Balanced * Gold Leads Commodities * Commodities Rise and Fall with Confidence * Short-Term Technicals are Encouraging * Platinum Breaking Out Commodities have been losing ground recently, but the latest data suggest that they may be in the process of turning around. If so, that could be important for...   READ MORE 

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Using Scan and RRG for Bottom Fishing

Using Scan and RRG for Bottom Fishing

One of the most frequently asked questions I receive, with regard to Relative Rotation Graphs on StockCharts.com, is if and how the scan engine can be used to scan for certain events on an RRG. Well, the answer is you can NOT - not yet, anyway. It's...   READ MORE 

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My Monday Trade Setup Features A Leader In Software

My Monday Trade Setup Features A Leader In Software

Special Event Today! This is probably the most excited that I've been for an event ever.  I honestly believe that the lineup of products and services that we've put together at EarningsBeats.com will benefit thousands of followers/subscribers across the globe.  After spending 20 years...   READ MORE 

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Scanning For Stocks With Strong Technicals AND Strong Fundamentals

Scanning For Stocks With Strong Technicals AND Strong Fundamentals

I maintain a "Strong Earnings ChartList", where I organize those companies who (1) beat Wall Street consensus estimates as to both revenues and earnings per share (EPS), (2) have adequate liquidity (generally trade more than 200,000 shares daily), and (3) have shown solid technical price action.  The...   READ MORE 

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Earnings Season Never Ends; These 2 Companies Prove It

Earnings Season Never Ends; These 2 Companies Prove It

The beauty of being both a fundamentalist and a technician is that the fun never stops.  Many of you may view earnings season to last from the middle of the first month of each calendar quarter (when Dow Jones component stocks and the biggest money center banks begin reporting) to...   READ MORE 

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Big Changes in the Index and Sector Breath Models

Big Changes in the Index and Sector Breath Models

It was a big week for stocks and the breadth indicators backed up the bullish price action. The S&P 500 SPDR (SPY) broke out of its August range to signal a continuation of the bigger uptrend. Even though the Index Breadth Model turned bearish in mid August, the...   READ MORE 

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Truncated Week Ahead: NIFTY Likely To Remain In A Broad Range; Watching These Levels Continues To Remain Important

Truncated Week Ahead: NIFTY Likely To Remain In A Broad Range; Watching These Levels Continues To Remain Important

In the week that went by, the Indian equity markets did not make any directional move on any side. The index oscillated back and forth in a defined range and ultimately ended the week on a flat note. The India Volatility Index (INDIAVIX) also remained flat, losing just 0.01...   READ MORE 

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DecisionPoint Scan Gems

DecisionPoint Scan Gems

Very soon, I will be launching a daily newsletter for DecisionPoint that will give you some stocks that have presented themselves in one of my many DecisionPoint scans. I do the analysis so you don't have to. I don't make trading recommendations, and certainly no promises...   READ MORE 

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Examples of Exit Disciplines Are All Around Us: Pay Attention!

Examples of Exit Disciplines Are All Around Us: Pay Attention!

You board any airplane today and before it takes off, the flight attendants review all the exits with you. Cruise ships do life boat drills before departure. Exits on trains and buses are also clearly marked and labeled for emergencies. Clearly, the point is that you need to know how...   READ MORE