Editor's Note: This article was originally published in John Murphy's Market Message on Friday, May 17th at 4:49pm ET. The table in Chart 1 plots the relative performance of the eleven market sectors for the week. And they show a generally defensive market. That can... READ MORE
Last week I asserted that the market was in the process of forming a major double top. This week, in spite of some price action attempting to refute that assertion, the double top is still evolving. So far the rally attempt appears to have failed, and the thin volume says... READ MORE
WEEKLY SECTOR RANKINGS SHOW DEFENSIVE MARKET ... The table in Chart 1 plots the relative performance of the eleven market sectors for the week. And they show a generally defensive market. That can be seen by the fact that REITs, utilities, and consumer staples are the three top sectors for the... READ MORE
The bearish failure swing is a bearish RSI signal from Welles Wilder, creator of RSI. Note that this signal is NOT the same as a bearish divergence, even though a bearish divergence is also possible at the same time. A bearish failure swing has four parts: RSI moves above 70... READ MORE
Every trader dreams of owning a stock that doubles. If it can happen in just six months, even better. This has been the case for Twilio (TWLO), a stock featured during our Top 10 Stock Picks webinar in November of 2018 that has doubled in price since the November 20... READ MORE
* Defensive Sectors Have Strongest Charts. * Offensive Sectors Have Yet to Break Down. * S&P 500 Gets a Bounce. * A Bearish Failure Swing for the Russell 2000. * Large-caps Lead New High List. * Discretionary and Communication Sectors Take Hits. * Housing versus Retail. * Software versus Semis. * Treasury Bonds Extend on Breakouts. * Measuring... READ MORE
Market Recap for Thursday, May 16, 2019 Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO, +6.66%) reported its latest quarterly results after the bell on Wednesday, beating both revenue and EPS estimates, and provided a solid outlook. It was just what the telecom equipment group ($DJUSCT, +4.53%) needed after trending lower for... READ MORE
I’ve written before about heuristics and cognitive biases in my Know Thyself series from a couple of years ago. Here I put together a list of them with short definitions and explanations. That space between your ears is generally a horrible investment decision maker. Anchoring Bias – Too often investors... READ MORE
Browsing some Relative Rotation Graphs, the relationship between Stocks and Bonds once again drew my attention. When I shifted to their respective charts, I decided that the current price action of IEF, as shown in the graph above, deserves our (or, at least, my) attention. This ETF, which tracks the... READ MORE
CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY SPDR REGAINS 50-DAY LINE... Stocks are having another strong day today with all eleven market sectors in the red. Cyclical stocks are helping lead it higher. Chart 1 shows the Consumer Discretionary SPDR (XLY) trading back over its 50-day average (blue line). Two of its biggest gainers are... READ MORE
Market Recap for Wednesday, May 15, 2019 Falling treasury yields put a lid on many industries within financials (XLF, -0.37%), while renewed strength in the U.S. Dollar Index ($USD) kept pressure on materials (XLB, -0.26%). Other than those two sectors, it was primarily a very bullish day.... READ MORE
Short-term signals on the DecisionPoint Scoreboards below certainly reflect the market's weakness this month. It would seem that we are bouncing at a critical juncture. The Materials SPDR (XLB) collected an Intermediate-Term Trend Model Neutral signal, which you'll see on the DP Sector Scoreboard. The DecisionPoint... READ MORE
SEMICONDUCTOR ISHARES BOUNCE OFF CHART SUPPORT... Technology stocks are helping lead today's stock rebound. With help from semiconductors. Chart 1 shows the PHLX Semiconductor iShares (SOXX) bouncing off potential chart support along its August/September highs near 190. Its 9-day RSI line (upper box) is also bouncing from... READ MORE
The Dow Jones Industrial Average ($INDU) is the granddaddy of stock indexes. Charles Dow created the predecessor of this index in 1880s. The publication and distribution of this index was the forerunner of the Wall Street Journal. Eleven important leadership stocks composed this original stock index. The calculation was made... READ MORE
Market Recap for Tuesday, May 14, 2019 We've seen little economic or earnings news of late and that's beginning to show in the randomness of the huge S&P 500 moves based on President Trump's tweets regarding US-China trade. Sometimes it's... READ MORE
General Electric (GE) is one of the worst performing stocks over the last two years, but the stock is perking up in 2019 and outperforming in May. The S&P 500 is down 3.8% so far this month and GE is up 1.5% after a big surge... READ MORE
At present, it appears that the DecisionPoint climactic indicator chart could be suggesting a possible buying initiation. This is tricky. With volatility so high right now, often what appears to be an initiation isn't always the case. Climactic readings can persist, as we've seen with the... READ MORE
After a struggle with resistance around its previous high of 2940, the S&P 500 index failed to break and started to come down off of its highs. A lot of political and fundamental issues and news are influencing the behavior of market participants at the moment; this uncertainty... READ MORE
Market Recap for Monday, May 13, 2019 It was a very rough day on Wall Street yesterday. Mondays are historically the worst day of the week, but I doubt too many market participants were expecting the blood bath that we saw. Aggressive areas of the market were hit hardest, including... READ MORE
* Triple 90% Down Volume Day. * Breadth Table Update. * Four Steps Up and One Step Back. * SPY Hits Support and Becomes Oversold. * Interest in Tariffs and Fed. Triple 90% Down Volume Day Stocks were hit with strong selling pressure again on Monday with the S&P 500 SPDR falling 2.... READ MORE
* Gold Breaks Out against Stocks * Gold Itself is about to Test Mega-Resistance * When Gold Beats Stocks, that’s usually Bullish for Gold - and Bearish for Stocks * Gold Leads Commodities Gold Breaks Out against Stocks Monday saw the gold/stock ratio break decisively above its 2019 downtrend line. The line... READ MORE
STOCK SELLING CONTINUES ... Stock prices fell sharply again today and are continuing the trade-inspired selling that started last week. Retaliatory tariffs announced by China appear to be the main catalyst pushing global stocks lower. As a result, markets with the most exposure to trade tensions and Chinese tariffs are falling... READ MORE
Market Recap for Friday, May 10, 2019 After another morning of very weak action in U.S. stocks, we saw another afternoon recovery on Friday as all of our major indices finished in positive territory. It certainly felt good, but the truth of the matter is that nothing has been... READ MORE
The S&P 500 was down 2% last week and the Nasdaq fell 3%. Stocks that gained on the week showed relative and absolute strength. Stocks that fell less than 2% showed relative strength. The average semiconductor stock within the S&P 1500 was down 5% last week... READ MORE
CHINESE STOCKS LEAD WEEKLY RETREAT ... An escalation in trade tensions between the U.S. and China pushed global stocks lower this past week. The S&P 500 lost -2.2% which was its biggest weekly drop this year. Canadian and U.S. stocks are meeting resistance at their 2018... READ MORE
After having failed to give any sustainable breakout above the 11760 levels, as well as having resisted to the lower trend line of the upward rising channel (which was breached on the downside in October 2018), the NIFTY finally gave up and ended the week with a cut. The Indian... READ MORE
It was a brutal week, especially given the surging U.S. equity prices throughout 2019 thus far. The benchmark S&P 500 fell 2.18%, but intraweek losses were far steeper. There was a significant reversal on Friday as the Volatility Index ($VIX) appeared to confirm a near-term top... READ MORE
A few weeks ago, when the market began challenging the 2018 price highs, I pointed out that there was a potential for a double top. Since then, a second top has clearly formed, and the potential for more downside must be considered. The double top confirmation line is drawn across... READ MORE
“The world is a book, and those who do not travel read only a page.” - Saint Augustine I recently returned home after a 10-day trip to Scotland with my family for Spring Break. We rented a car in Glasgow, made our way up into the Highlands and took a... READ MORE
The number of IPOs listed in the U.S. has picked up this year. While some high-profile companies have already come public, there are more highly anticipated companies that are due to list shortly, such as the ride-share company Uber and workplace messaging app Slack. Some of these recently public... READ MORE
Editor's Note: This article was originally published in Martin Pring's Market Roundup on Wednesday, May 8th at 6:37pm ET. One area I monitor daily is the technical picture of bond spreads and other market relationships that reflect confidence. That’s because changes in their direction... READ MORE
Relative Rotation Graphs can be a great asset in getting a high-level overview of what is going on in the markets and keeping an eye on the big picture. Beyond that, though, they can also help you to drill down to find new individual investment possibilities and trading ideas. For... READ MORE
HEALTHCARE SECTOR DOESN'T LOOK VERY DEFENSIVE... During a guest appearance yesterday on StockChartsTV with Erin Swenlin and Tom Bowley, one of our viewers asked if healthcare was considered a defensive sector, and was it a good sector to hold in the current environment. My response was that some... READ MORE
* Small-caps and 3 Sectors Weigh. * Everywhere and Nowhere. * Immediate Trend is Still Up. * Another Possible Support Zone. * Index Breadth Table Survives 90% Down Days. * Yield Spread Remains Positive for Stocks. * Mean-Reversion Setup Brewing. * Art's Charts ChartList Update. ... Small-caps and 3 Sectors Weigh Stocks came under broad pressure in... READ MORE
Market Recap for Thursday, May 9, 2019 Here's my takeaway from yesterday's action. We had a solid recovery off of earlier intraday lows, but the downtrend remains firmly in place and we need to respect that. Volatility ($VIX) is important to watch because spikes in this... READ MORE
Just a short note to alert readers to the two new Short-Term Trend Model Neutral signals on the NDX and OEX. These signals are triggered when the 5-EMA crosses below the 20-EMA while ABOVE the 50-EMA. If the crossover occurs BELOW the 50-EMA, then you have a STTM SELL signal.... READ MORE
Market Recap for Wednesday, May 8, 2019 It was a much quieter day on Wall Street and it showed across our major indices and sectors. We finished with bifurcated action as the Dow Jones managed to finish with a minor 2 point gain. The other major indices ended with losses,... READ MORE
Watching the Relative Rotation Graph for the DJ-Industrials universe, you can see a few stocks, like AAPL, BA and WBA, that stand out immediately. Despite the current setback in the market, there are still some stocks that are worth approaching from a buyer's perspective. Inside The Leading Quadrant... READ MORE
The Dow Industrials generated a ST Trend Model Neutral signal yesterday. Now, the SPX joins in with its own STTM Neutral signal. XLE triggered a new IT Trend Model SELL signal, the first to appear on the DecisionPoint Sector Scoreboard in some time. Gold may be forming a bullish declining... READ MORE
* Long-Term Divergences * Some Short-Term Technical Sell Signals Triggered in the Last Few Days * Prices May Be Falling, But Bond Spreads (Confidence) are Holding in There Long-Term Divergences My first reaction to this week’s stock market tantrum (in response to the China trade talks) was to brush it off as... READ MORE