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Earnings Season Can Produce Real Sizzle
by John Hopkins,
President and Co-founder, EarningsBeats.com
As earnings season gets ready to kick off this week once JPM, PNC and WFC report their results on Friday, here's a reminder that those stocks that come up big on the top and bottom line could ultimately become high reward-to-risk trading candidates, possibly multiple times. There are...
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RSI Shifts from Bearish to Bullish for EEM
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) experienced a trend-momentum shift over the last few months as RSI moved from its bear range to its bull range. In addition, RSI came close to 70 (69.5) twice and EEM broke above its 200-day SMA. The downtrend reversed and I expect higher prices...
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DP WEEKLY WRAP: Overhead Resistance Near; VIX Overbought
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
An inverted VIX with Bollinger Bands is a pretty good overbought/oversold indicator, and it is overbought when the VIX hits the upper band as it almost did today. "Almost" might be good enough this time, or we may have to wait a few days for the real...
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Foreign Stocks are Now Rising
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
Editor's Note: This article was originally published in John Murphy's Market Message on Thursday, April 4th at 4:16pm ET.
Much of the concerns over the past year have centered around weakness in foreign stocks, and whether that would eventually pull U.S. stocks lower. The...
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Video Recap: My Favorite Investment Tools, Tricks and Tips on StockCharts
by Gatis Roze,
Author, "Tensile Trading"
As I announced last week, I had the pleasure of joining Tom and Erin on Wednesday morning for a special StockCharts TV guest appearance. It was a treat to be on the program, but most importantly, it was a unique joy to help celebrate StockCharts' 20th anniversary.
As a...
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Nonfarm Payrolls Hit A Sweet Spot This Morning
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Thursday, April 4, 2019
Our major indices rallied again on Thursday with the benchmark S&P 500 rising for a 6th consecutive session and closing at a 2019 high. The S&P 500's close of 2879 was just 61 points shy of the...
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FOREIGN STOCKS ARE NOW RISING -- CHINESE STOCKS HAVE RISEN TWICE AS FAST AS THE U.S. THIS YEAR -- THAT'S BOOSTING STOCKS IN ASIA AND AUSTRALIA -- ALONG WITH COPPER PRICES AND SEMICONDUCTORS -- EUROZONE STOCKS ARE ALSO LOOKING STRONGER
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
FOREIGN STOCKS ARE RISING ... Much of the concerns over the past year have centered around weakness in foreign stocks, and whether that would eventually pull U.S. stocks lower. The general feeling seemed to be that sooner or later the discrepancy between strong U.S. stocks and weak foreign stocks...
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Financials Are Not Looking Very Strong But In That Sector Regional Banks Should Really Be Watched
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
On the Relative Rotation Graph for US sectors, the Financials sector (XLF) is not in the best shape at the moment. It is positioned inside the lagging quadrant and heading lower on both axes. So, not much good there.
At the moment I am in New York City to attend...
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REITs Have Been Strong And This Group Loves April
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Wednesday, April 3
Stocks rallied again on Wednesday, primarily on the heels of materials (XLB, +1.31%) and technology (XLK, +0.81%). The former saw relative strength in both commodity chemicals ($DJUSCC, +1.77%) and specialty chemicals ($DJUSCX, +1.39%). The strength in the DJUSCC was very...
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DP Alert: ST PMO BUY Signals on All Four Scoreboard Indexes
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
Yesterday, the NDX started the PMO BUY signal party by adding the first Short-Term PMO BUY signal. Today, the other three indexes clicked ST PMO BUY signals as well. Below the Scoreboard are the charts of each signal. The Dow is struggling with overhead resistance. The NDX had a convincing...
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Yields Flatten
by Bruce Fraser,
Industry-leading "Wyckoffian"
The Yield Curve recently flipped negative (10 year compared to 3 month treasury yields). A negative Yield Curve is typically a ‘Tight Money’ indication which often leads to economic recession and weaker stock prices. The December 10, 2018 Wyckoff Power Charting blog was devoted to this subject. The conclusion was...
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MAJOR STOCK INDEXES NEAR TEST OF 2018 HIGHS -- TRANSPORTS CLEAR THEIR 200-DAY AVERAGE -- DELTA AIR LINES TURNS UP -- THE TRANSPORTS ARE STARTING TO GAIN GROUND ON THE DOW INDUSTRIALS AND UTILITIES -- S&P 400 MID CAP INDEX CLEARS ITS 200-DAY LINE
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
U.S. STOCK INDEXES HEADING TOWARD TEST OF LAST YEAR'S HIGH... Major stock indexes in the U.S. appear on track to test their all-time highs reached during the second half of 2018. Chart 1 shows the Nasdaq Composite Index trading today at the highest level since early...
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Internet Stocks Looking Good In A Variety Of Relative Strength Ways
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for April 2, 2019
The NASDAQ was mostly higher and strengthening throughout the session on Tuesday as internet stocks ($DJUSNS, +1.41%) continued their recent advance to challenge 2019 highs. Facebook (FB, +3.26%) led internet stocks higher and broke out to close at its 2019 high on...
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Is there a Biotech Breakout in the Making?
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The Biotech SPDR (XBI) is trading at a make-or-break point as it consolidates near the 40-week SMA. Traders should watch for the resolution of this consolidation because it will dictate the next directional move.
The chart below shows XBI surging from the mid 60s to the lower 90s and then...
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Are US Equities About to Break Out Against The Rest of The World?
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
* S&P Relative Action Edging Through Resistance
* British Pound Going Wobbly Before Brexit?
* Mega Buy Signal Could be in Store for the Shanghai Composite
* Gold at a Momentum Downtrend Line as Well
S&P Relative Action Edging Through Resistance
We have all heard about the US economy being...
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Financials Benefiting From Rising Treasury Yields
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Monday, April 1, 2019
U.S. equities had a stunning first quarter and Monday was an encore to open up Q2. Keep in mind that we’ve entered the most bullish period within April historically as the NASDAQ has produced annualized returns of +21.45% from April...
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AT&T Makes a Break for It
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
AT&T (T) was one of the worst performing stocks in 2018 with a 20% decline and 52-week low in late December. 2019 is starting out much better with a double-digit gain and a break above the November-February highs, which also mark neckline resistance of an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern....
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Key Relative Strength Signs Pointing To Higher Equity Prices
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Friday, March 29, 2019
The U.S. stock market rallied on Friday, putting an exclamation point on its best calendar quarter in 10 years. Of course, this strength came on the heels of an incredibly dismal quarter to end 2018. Healthcare (XLV, +1.20%) and industrials (XLI,...
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Martin Pring's Monthly Market Roundup 2019-04-01
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
The monthly Market Roundup video for April is now available.
Good luck and good charting,
Martin J. Pring
The views expressed in this article are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the position or opinion of Pring Turner Capital Group of Walnut Creek or its affiliates....
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Some Insights From The NIFTY Premiums
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
As we know, a futures instrument derives its value from its respective underlying asset. For example, the NIFTY futures instrument derives its value from the NIFTY's spot price. Though the futures price and the price of its underlying move in the same direction, they do not maintain the...
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Week Ahead: Caution Advised for Momentum-Chasers; Stalling Of Up-Move Should Not Come As A Surprise
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
With the session that ended Friday, March 29, 2019, the markets ended a remarkable month which remained one of the best out of the past several quarters. NIFTY ended the month on a strong note, posting a monthly gain of 831.40 points (+7.70). After taking a breather in...
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DP WEEKLY/MONTHLY WRAP: Broad Market Divergences
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
This is a new chart I will be adding to my weekly commentary. My concentration has always been on the S&P 500 Index, but I realized that I needed to broaden my scope somewhat to include other segments of the the broad market, and this is my first...
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My Favorite Investment Tools On StockCharts.com
by Gatis Roze,
Author, "Tensile Trading"
Time truly flies, and boy oh boy do I realize it when I think back on the nearly 20 years that I’ve been using StockCharts.com to make money as an investor.
I was planning to write this week’s blog as a “homage" to all those years...
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When In Canada.. Do As The Canadians, And Avoid The Consumer Discretionary Sector..
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
Last night I arrived in Toronto for a weekend with my son and his family, before heading towards New York to attend the CMTA symposium next week.
So for this article, it only seems appropriate to have a look at the Canadian sector landscape from an RRG perspective.
The Relative...
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Dollar Cost Averaging
by Greg Morris,
Veteran Technical Analyst, Investor, and Author
Dollar cost averaging is simply the act of making like dollar investments on a periodic basis, say every month or every quarter. It is sold as a technique because they want you to believe that no one can outperform the market. There are many papers written on this subject and...
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STOCKS ARE ENDING WEEK AND QUARTER ON A FIRM NOTE -- ALL THREE MAJOR STOCK INDEXES HAVE KEPT THEIR 2019 UPTRENDS INTACT -- THE DOW TRANSPORTS MAY MAKE ANOTHER RUN AT THEIR 200-DAY LINE
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
MAJOR STOCK INDEXES MAINTAIN THEIR 2019 UPTRENDS ... Major U.S. stock indexes appear on track to end the week and quarter with their 2019 uptrends intact. Chart 1 shows the Dow Industrials in a sideways trading pattern over the last month. This week's pullback bounced off its (blue)...
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Weekly Market Review & Outlook - It is What it Is
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
* S&P 500 Stalls within Uptrend.
* Upswing Dominates Weekly SPX Chart.
* Index Breadth Table Remains Bullish.
* IJR: Failure at 200-day or Mere Correction?
* Sector Table - Staples Get a Lift.
* XLI Hits Make-or-break Zone.
* UTX Consolidates around the 200-day.
* MMM Consolidates above 200-day.
* Palladium Takes a Tumble.
* ChartList Updates....
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Strong Earnings Lift Clothing Stocks
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Thursday, March 28, 2019
Lululemon Athletica (LULU, +14.13%), PVH Corp (PVH, +14.76%), and Movado Group (MOV, +22.77%) all surged after the clothing & accessories retailers all posted much better than expected quarterly earnings. The Dow Jones U.S. Clothing & Accessories Index ($DJUSCF, +5....
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Home Construction Is Loving This Treasury Yield Decline
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Wednesday, March 27, 2019
Wall Street rebounded from steep intraday losses, but still ended the session in negative territory. The NASDAQ was the weakest index, falling 0.63%. The S&P 500, Russell 2000 and Dow Jones dropped 0.46%, 0.39%, and 0.13%, respectively....
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Triple whammy for UNH suggests more weakness ahead!
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
The weekly chart for UnitedHealth (UNH) shows a steady uptrend in both price and relative (vs $INDU) since the start of 2016.
That three-year move just came to an end.
The uptrend in relative strength emerged out of the low that was set in late 2015. Since then, UNH is...
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DP Alert: Short-Term Shake Up on Scoreboards - Bearish Wedge Nearly Executes
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
The OEX and Dow lost short-term BUY signals on Monday and the NDX followed today, having switched out of a ST PMO BUY signal. I thought it was time to do a review of the Scoreboard indexes, so their charts are below. Additionally, you'll find my regular mid-week...
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DROP IN BOND YIELDS HERE AND IN GERMANY WEIGH ON STOCKS -- MAJOR STOCK INDEXES MAY RETEST THEIR 200-DAY AVERAGES -- THE BOND/STOCK RATIO IS RISING AGAIN WHICH SUGGESTS THAT INVESTORS ARE HEDGING THEIR BETS ON A STRONGER ECONOMY
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
TREASURY YIELDS FOLLOW BUNDS LOWER ... German 10-year bunds were sold below zero at today's auction which is keeping downside pressure on Treasury yields. The daily bars in Chart 1 show the 10-Year Treasury yield falling today to the lowest level since the end of 2017. That's...
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Crude Oil, Energy Lead Wall Street Higher
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Tuesday, March 26, 2019
Strength in global markets seemed to influence the U.S. market at the open as equities surged higher. But sellers dominated most of the balance of the day as gains evaporated. A final 30 minute surge just before the close restored some of...
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Bull, Bear or Neither? - Plus ChartList Update
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
* S&P 500 Holds as Russell Rolls Over.
* Plenty of New Highs in $SPX.
* ChartList Updates - 3 Additions.
Are we in a bull market, a bear market or neither? At this point, the evidence is still more bullish than bearish, but there are clearly some pockets of weakness...
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Derivative Expiry: Options Data Point Towards This Level Being An Inflection Point For The Markets
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
The NIFTY50 ($NIFTY) saw an unexpected surge in trading on Tuesday, ultimately ending the session with decent gains. The expiry of the current derivative series is to come up on Thursday, March 28; the Options data on NIFTY throws up some useful insights.
Let's examine the 10 ATM...
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Seasonality And Price Support Suggest TSLA Is A Buy
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Monday, March 25, 2019
U.S. stocks finished in bifurcated fashion on Monday as the S&P 500 and NASDAQ lost 0.08% and 0.07%, respectively, while the Dow Jones tacked on 0.06%. The small cap Russell 2000 was a relative outperformer, gaining 0....
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TJX Bucks the Selling Pressure
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
TJX Companies (TJX) is part of the S&P 500 and the Consumer Discretionary SPDR (XLY). It is also part of two growth ETFs (PWB and PXLG). Even though TJX is part of an economically sensitive sector, I would put them in a different category because they are known...
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The VIX And S&P 500 Positive Correlation Predicted Friday's Drop
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Friday, March 22, 2019
Investors were worried on Friday and it was reflected in the Volatility Index ($VIX), which rose more than 20%, and sharply lower U.S. equity prices. The small cap Russell 2000 was hit hardest, dropping 3.62%. The weakness, however, was felt just...
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RSI Bear Ranges for S&P 500 and Russell 2000 - ChartList Update
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
* RSI Holds Bear Range for S&P 500
* A Classical Reversal Area for Russell 2000
* Small-cap Breadth Indicators Flip
* Selling Pressure in Key Groups
* ChartList Updates
RSI Holds Bear Range for S&P 500
The S&P 500 remains above its slightly rising 40-week SMA, but this...
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US Stocks Looking Vulnerable Again
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
* Long-Term Picture Remains Finely Balanced
* Short-Term Indicators Still Showing Weakness
* Confidence is Starting to Erode Again
* Financials Break Down from a Broadening Wedge
Earlier in the month, I wrote about the Ides of March and the fact that the market looked overstretched, apparently in need of some mean reversal corrective...
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