* Bearish Patterns in Big EW Sectors. * Internal Weakness Hits Consumer Staples. * Semiconductor ETFs Bounce after Breakdowns. * Intel Fails at 200-day as Broadcom Breaks Out. * Four more Wedge Breaks. * On Trend on Youtube. ... Bearish Patterns in Big EW Sectors ... While the sector SPDRs capture what is happening with large-cap stocks, the... READ MORE
Market Recap for Tuesday, December 11, 2018 Volatile action on Tuesday resulted in a bifurcated market. The NASDAQ managed to cling to gains at the close, while the Dow Jones, S&P 500 and Russell 2000 saw early morning gains turn into losses by the close. Leadership came mostly... READ MORE
Market Recap for Monday, December 10, 2018 Yesterday was significant for one very important technical development. The February 2018 low close of 2582 was within a whisker on Monday as the S&P 500 hit an intraday low of 2583 before rallying strongly. Technology (XLK, +1.38%) led the... READ MORE
The recent weakness in the stock market was partially attributed to the flattening of the ‘Yield Curve’. When bond yields (typically U.S. Treasuries) are plotted in order of their time to maturity, a Yield Curve is the result. Typically, the shortest maturity instruments (T-Bills) have the lowest yield and... READ MORE
I've always thought the moniker "death cross" was terribly dramatic (and I still do). However, this time around, it does seem ominous. The SPX lost its Long-Term Trend Model BUY signal, a signal that had been in place since early 2016. These signals don't... READ MORE
* Pinocchio Lies * Oversold Sentiment Indicators * Oversold Oscillators Pinocchio Lies Monday’s action was what I call “scary bullish.” First, we saw prices sell-off sharply, only to then rebound as if nothing had happened. Well, something did happen - the formation of a bullish Pinocchio bar on several Indexes. Chart 1... READ MORE
This is the final part of an interview with Takehiro Hikita; see the first part here. Mr. Takehiro Hikita has graciously provided me with a large amount of insight into the candle pattern philosophy. I have never met anyone so devoted to the detailed study of a concept as he.... READ MORE
Southwest Airlines (LUV) is in a long-term downtrend and the recent failure near the death cross points to further downside. First and foremost, the long-term trend is down because LUV hit a new 52-week low in late October and price is below the 200-day SMA. In addition, the 50-day SMA... READ MORE
* Setting the Stage. * Defining the Death Cross. * 9 of the Last 2 Bear Markets. * Comparing Different Crossover Signals. * SMAs versus EMAs. * SPY with Dividends vs $SPX Without. * The Moving Average Sweet Spot. * Conclusions (Adjusting Exposure). ... Setting the Stage ... The financial media is awash with reports on the "death cross&... READ MORE
Market Recap for Friday, December 7, 2018 Friday marked the end of a rough day and a rough week for U.S. equities. Strength was found in utilities (XLU, +0.37%), the only sector to end in positive territory to close out the week. Gold miners ($DJUSPM, +2.36%) and... READ MORE
It wasn't smooth sailing for the equity markets as the previous week remained quite volatile, with the markets oscillating both ways to finally end the week in the red. The benchmark index NIFTY50 had moved past its 50-Week MA earlier, but it has failed to sustain that level.... READ MORE
There will probably be a lot of people mentioning that today there was a "Death Cross" on the S&P 500 chart, and this is important because a Death Cross means that the price index has entered a bear market. Specifically, on the $SPX chart (not shown)... READ MORE
* A Bull Market in Noise. * New Lows Expand. * Another Week and Another Big Swing.. * NDX Holds Up Better. * Stocks Holding the 200-day. * SKYY, HACK and IGV Trace Out Wedges. * Healthcare Remains the Leader. * REM, IHI and IHF Hold Up. * Notes from the Art's Charts ChartList. ... A Bull Market... READ MORE
LARGER THAN EXPECTED OPEC CUTS BOOST CRUDE OIL ... OPEC and Russia finally agreed to a larger-than-expected production cut of 1.2 million barrels a day of crude oil which is lifting the price of that commodity today. It remains to be seen, however, if that's enough to reverse... READ MORE
Market Recap for Thursday, December 6, 2018 The Dow Jones and S&P 500 were both on a crash course for key February price support until buyers re-emerged just past 11am EST. At the low yesterday, the Dow Jones was down nearly 800 points and it had tumbled more... READ MORE
Market Recap for Wednesday, December 5, 2018 The U.S. stock market was closed. Pre-Market Action U.S. futures look set to continue Tuesday's rout. The 10 year treasury yield ($TNX) is lower by 3 basis points to 2.89% as money seeks out safety in the defensive... READ MORE
The yield curve has become a popular subject recently. Also, a few commentators on the site have mentioned the yield curve and its recent movements in their blogs recently. Read articles by Chief John, Greg Schnell, and Arthur Hill. In my DITC contribution of 18 October, I showed how Relative... READ MORE
Kohinoor Foods and Godrej Agrovet have under-performed the broader markets for quite some time. Presently, both of them are set to end their downward trajectory and look for some upward revision in prices over the coming days. Kohinoor Foods Ltd (KOHINOOR.IN) After hitting a high of 95.75 in... READ MORE
The S&P 500 is below its 200-day moving average and most country indexes are also below their 200-day moving averages. Two emerging countries, however, stand out in this crowd: Indonesia and the Philippines. The first chart shows the Indonesia iShares (EIDO) and the DJ Indonesia Index ($IDDOW) with... READ MORE
WHY WE LOOK AT CHARTS ... I've written several messages since the start of October about why the sharp stock market drop that month was most likely the start of a major topping process. Previous messages used Elliott Waves, the unusually old age of the current bull market (and... READ MORE
Market Recap for Tuesday, December 4, 2018 Don't be swayed by market commentary that discusses lack of volume yesterday as a positive. First of all, the Dow Jones fell 800 points. 800!!! And that's somehow a positive? We lost 20 hour EMA support on the intraday... READ MORE
TEN-YEAR TREASURY YIELD PLUNGES BELOW ITS 200-DAY AVERAGE ... Chart 1 shows the 10-Year Treasury yield plunging to the lowest level in three months and falling below its 200-day average for the first time in more than a year. That means that investors are putting a lot of money into Treasury... READ MORE
The Relative Rotation Graphs shows the rotation of various asset classes around a balance benchmark portfolio (VBINX). The message could not be more clear. Stocks (SPY) just crossed over from weakening into the lagging quadrant while ALL other asset classes are inside the leading quadrant. This is a pretty clear... READ MORE
* The Secular Bear Market in Yields * Near-Term Indications of a Decline in Bond Yields * Watch That Stock/Bond Relationship for an Important Signal The Secular Bear Market in Yields Please note that the comments in this article relate to bond yields with maturities of 3-years or longer. They do not... READ MORE
* Three Gaps in the Same Place for SPY. * What's Up with Bonds and Utes? * Strange Happenings on the Yield Curve. * Finance and Industrials are Still Laggards. * On Trend on Youtube. ... Internal Strength on Big Bounces ... Monday's surge was impressive when looking at the change from Friday&... READ MORE
The Market Roundup Video For December is now available. Good luck and good charting, Martin J. Pring The views expressed in this article are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the position or opinion ofPring Turner Capital Groupof Walnut Creek or its affiliates.... READ MORE
Market Recap for Monday, December 3, 2018 Global stocks were buoyed on Monday by the United States and China agreeing to delay further tariffs for 90 days to provide the two countries an opportunity to work through its trade differences. Obviously, nothing has been resolved and it simply pushes back... READ MORE
This is a lengthy interview, so this article will be the first half, followed next week by the second part. Mr. Takehiro Hikita has graciously provided me with a large amount of insight into the candle pattern philosophy. I have never met anyone so devoted to the detailed study of... READ MORE
Market Recap for Friday, November 30, 2018 Friday's strength capped off a very solid week for the bulls, one in which the Dow Jones gained more than 1250 points. Strength was found everywhere although healthcare (XLV, +2.03%) and utilities (XLU, +1.48%) were the big winners to... READ MORE
Relative strength, an uptrend and a bullish continuation pattern point to higher prices for Cisco (CSCO). First and foremost, Cisco is in a long-term uptrend. The stock recorded a 52-week high in early October, the 50-day SMA is above the 200-day SMA and price is above the 200-day. Second, Cisco... READ MORE
Rolling into the New Year can often bring seismic shifts in financial markets. In January of 2018 stock indexes climaxed and reversed. This set the tone of market action for the year. International markets were among the hardest hit during the year. The iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) declined... READ MORE
Everybody wants the secret formula. You know, the one where you never lose money. Well, I haven't found THAT one yet, but trading companies that have recently beaten Wall Street revenue and EPS estimates is a fairly solid runner-up strategy. A company that produces results in excess of... READ MORE
In my Thursday article in the DecisionPoint blog, I discussed the new PMO BUY signals on the DP Scoreboards, finishing off the article with a chart of the Healthcare Sector ETF (XLV) after I received a new Intermediate-Term Trend Model BUY signal (a positive 20/50-EMA crossover on the daily... READ MORE
The S&P 500 is the most widely used benchmark for U.S. stocks and the 200-day SMA is the most widely used moving average. Together, chartists can use the S&P 500 and the 200-day SMA to determine the broad trend for the stock market. The S&... READ MORE
The previous week remained much better than expected for the markets, as the benchmark Index NIFTY50 ended the week on a strong note. The week proved to be even more technically important as the NIFTY was able to move past its 50-Week MA, after having resisted that level for seven... READ MORE
I usually spend my days at my desk noodling on the computer, reading, and casually watching business television with the sound off. (My idea of retirement.) With no sound to distract/annoy me, the most dangerous part of the TV watching is the endless stream of headline banners that announce... READ MORE
SHORT-TERM TREND IS IMPROVING ... There are lots of ways to determine the trend of the stock market. The placement of moving average lines is one of them. Bollinger bands (invented by John Bollinger) are another. Chart 1 applies both techniques to a daily chart of the S&P 500.... READ MORE
The market finally found its legs last week after the Fed signaled they might slow down their interest rate-raising campaign. In fact, after being technically wounded for some time, all of the major indexes closed back above their respective 20-day moving averages, with the Dow clearing its 200 day as... READ MORE
Editor's Note: This article was originally published in John Murphy's Market Message on Friday, November 30th at 2:36pm ET. There are lots of way to determine the trend of the stock market. The placement of moving average lines is one of them. Bollinger bands (invented... READ MORE
I’m going to let you in on a little secret. The bulk of my financial analysis, portfolio reviews, and trading decision making happens on Sundays. Sure, I have daily trading routines that are tremendously important, and of course, I'm constantly watching the market during the week. But... READ MORE