I’m going to let you in on a little secret. The bulk of my financial analysis, portfolio reviews, and trading decision making happens on Sundays. Sure, I have daily trading routines that are tremendously important, and of course, I'm constantly watching the market during the week. But... READ MORE
* Checking and Balancing the S&P 500. * Rodeo Range for the S&P 500. * Small and Mid Caps Range after Breakdown. * Confirmation and the Big Six Sectors. * Retail is Not Hot. * Credit Conditions Tightening. * Palladium Continues Strong. * Platinum Breaks Down. * Gold Fights Downtrend and Strong Dollar. * Notes from... READ MORE
Market Recap for Thursday, November 29, 2018 Before I discuss strength and weakness from the mixed action on Thursday, let me first say that the Volatility Index ($VIX) remains one of my biggest fears about the current state of the market. In the morning yesterday, the VIX touched its high... READ MORE
After finishing the previous article on plotting breadth indicators on Relative Rotation Graphs I have spent hours and hours on studying probably a couple of thousand different RRGs holding various groups of sectors in combination with their breadth equivalents. And although I did not find the perfect prediction tool or... READ MORE
This is just a quick summary of the new DecisionPoint signals that came in. Yesterday, the SPX logged a new ST PMO BUY Signal on the "relief rally." Despite declines on the remaining indexes, they all managed to trigger new ST PMO BUY signals. I'm not... READ MORE
Market Recap for Wednesday, November 28, 2018 Wall Street finally (!) had a day where the bulls could smile at 4pm EST. It was a trend day where the buying begins early and continues throughout the trading day. These days tend to be very bullish, although there is still plenty to... READ MORE
The recent rally of the S&P 500 index off the lows near 2600-2625 is nice but is it sustainable? The Relative Rotation Graph above shows the rotation of the 11 SPDR sector ETFs against SPY and the message is very clear! There is a clear split between the... READ MORE
* Setting Benchmark Lows and Highs. * Healthcare is the Clear Leader. * Ranking Sectors with CandleGlance Charts. * Other Performance Metrics for the 11 Sector SPDRs. * SPY Range and MDY Resistance. * XLF and XLI Break Out. * Forget Fed Speak and Watch the Action. * Stocks to Watch (ADI, COO, INTC, MDT, SYMC...). ... Setting Benchmark... READ MORE
In the midst of recording this morning's MarketWatchers LIVE show, the Fed Chairman Powell's remarks were released. They were dovish and the market rallied in relief. The rally was strong enough to pull the ST Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO) upward and trigger a new BUY signal.... READ MORE
Healthcare stocks are leading the market and many were featured in Tuesday's show, On Trend. See below for details. Today I am highlighting Varian Medical (VAR) because it seems to be in the early stages of an uptrend. Normally, I do not highlight stocks that trended lower for... READ MORE
DOW REGAINS 200-DAY AVERAGE ... U.S. stock indexes reacted positively to today's noon speech by Fed chief Jerome Powell that was perceived to be more dovish than comments made at the start of October. Stocks all over the world are rallying as a result. Chart 1 shows the... READ MORE
* Housing Starts are Rolling Over * The Trend of Margin Debt is Bearish The NYSE Margin and the housing sector do not have much in common beyond the fact that both gave sell signals in October. Neither development bodes well for the recovery of the stock market. Let’s take a... READ MORE
Market Recap for Tuesday, November 27, 2018 One highlight from Tuesday's action is that the U.S. Dollar ($USD, +0.31%) remains in favor as it nears yet another breakout. This is important on a number of fronts, especially with respect to gold ($GOLD, -0.74%). There'... READ MORE
The Dollar has been plugging along quietly in a gently rising trend channel, while the Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO) has moved right along with it. A little over a week ago, the PMO crossed below its signal line and logged a PMO SELL signal. Today's rally saw an... READ MORE
“We’re entering the seasonally strongest part of the year.” “The New Year tends to be very good for small caps.” “Year three of the Presidential Cycle tends to be good for stocks.” “The Friday after Thanksgiving is usually a bullish day on lighter volume.” How many of these quotes... READ MORE
Market Recap for Monday, November 26, 2018 Yesterday marked the first day in quite awhile where we saw all of our major indices higher, along with all of our sectors. All eleven sectors gained ground, even the defensive sectors - though they lagged badly on a relative basis. Leading the... READ MORE
While the S&P 500 toys with its October low, Hologic its flirting with its summer highs and showing strength over the last few months. The chart below shows Hologic (HOLX), which his part of the Medical Devices ETF (IHI), with its 50-day SMA above the 200-day SMA and... READ MORE
S&P 500 REBOUNDS OFF LATE OCTOBER LOW... Stocks are off to a good start to the post Thanksgiving trading week. And they have at least three things working in their favor. One is the proximity to their late October low. The other is a short-term oversold condition. The... READ MORE
As the broader and sector indexes continue to consolidate and remain in a broad range, it might be worthwhile to consider grabbing some opportunities outside the indexes. Scanning and looking for stock-specific opportunities is often very rewarding. Two stocks, both of which offer short term momentum and some possibilities of... READ MORE
Market Recap for Friday, November 23, 2018 Friday's action was disappointing on a couple of different levels. First, the Friday morning attempt at a rally failed midday and sellers emerged into the close. It was somewhat similar to the action on Wednesday when the early morning gap higher... READ MORE
As Wyckoffians we like to celebrate long holiday weekends by looking at Point and Figure charts. Allow me to contribute to your weekend chart stack with this case study on the semiconductor stocks (VanEck Vectors Semiconductors ETF will be our proxy). Semiconductor stocks have been important leadership during this long... READ MORE
In this short trading week, the equities ended the week on a negative note. In a week that saw the Markets moving in the 250-points range, the NIFTY ended the week near its lowest point. The benchmark Index lost 155.45 points (-1.46%) on weekly basis. It was for... READ MORE
This monthly chart doesn't become final until the end of this month (next Friday), but there is strong evidence here that we are in a bear market. The cyclical bull market rising trend line has been decisively broken, and the monthly PMO is below the signal line and... READ MORE
Market Recap for Wednesday, November 21, 2018 Wall Street was mostly higher on Wednesday, although, by just about any other measure, it was a disappointing session. The early morning gap higher was essentially where the bullishness ended and there was a slow drift lower throughout the balance of the day.... READ MORE
The Relative Rotation Graph for the technology stocks in XLK (Technology select sector SPDR) shows one big outlier that recently went through a big rotation. It crossed from improving to leading in June then pushed to a JdK RS-Ratio value over 140 before rolling over. Three weeks ago the rotation... READ MORE
S&P 500 IS RETESTING ITS OCTOBER LOW ... Since the nearly nearly three year uptrend that started in stocks in early 2016 appears to have peaked, an eventual retest of early 2018 lows appears likely. That would mean an eventual retest of February/April lows on the S&... READ MORE
Market Recap for Tuesday, November 20, 2018 It was another ugly day for U.S. equities as the February price support on our major indices draws closer and closer. Volatility shot higher as panicked, impulsive selling once again gripped Wall Street. Energy (XLE, -3.28%), consumer discretionary (XLY, -2.26%... READ MORE
United Parcel Service (UPS) is a global player in logistics and package delivery. The outlook for the global economy is surely dimming with the Shanghai Composite ($SSEC) falling all year, the German DAX Index ($DAX) and French CAC Index ($CAC) hitting new lows, and the S&P 500 turning... READ MORE
The Price Momentum Oscillators (PMOs) seem to have a few unusual characteristics in the period before bear markets. I believe that the current PMO set-up on the SPX is dangerously close to mimicking those bear market preludes. I decided to do a historical study when I noticed all four DP... READ MORE
In my contribution to last week's Chartwatchers newsletter, I mentioned my current experiment on using breadth indicators on a Relative Rotation Graph. In this article, I want to take a look at a few of these setups side by side and see if there is indeed a leading... READ MORE
Infatuation: in·fat·u·a·tion Noun: infatuation; plural noun: infatuations An intense but short-lived passion or admiration for someone or something. I cannot begin to tell you how often I am asked about morning futures fair value to tell me if I’m going to invest that day based... READ MORE
Market Recap for Monday, November 19, 2018 I'd like to say something good about yesterday's action on Wall Street, but I don't think there's anything to be said. Impulsive selling returned with little in the way of a bid on technology stocks... READ MORE
* Indexes on the Brink * Confidence Relationships Starting to Break Down * Watch the Stock/Bond Ratio Indexes on the Brink More than once a week, I make sure to check several ratios that tell me whether investors and traders are getting more or less confident. These relationships, which we will get... READ MORE
CORRECTION: ... My message from last Wednesday showed negative readings on weekly and monthly stock charts, and referred back to an earlier message on that same topic. However, I incorrectly gave a date of May 13. The correct date of that earlier article is October 13, 2018. I also mentioned that... READ MORE
Viacom (VIAB) is part of the broadcasting-entertainment industry group, which is part of the Communication Services SPDR (XLC). The stock acted more like a defensive share in the first half of the year by underperforming from January to May. VIAB bottomed in June and outperformed the broader market over the... READ MORE
Special Event Join me and John Hopkins, President of EarningsBeats.com, after the bell today for a 4:30pm EST webinar. I'll be discussing the stocks that I believe represent the best trading opportunities of Q4. These stocks all posted better-than-expected quarterly revenues and EPS and significant accumulation... READ MORE
* Defining the Current Market Environment. * Elliott Wave, Dow Theory and Counter-trend Moves. * Yearend Seasonality is Bullish. * Sentiment Reaches Bearish Extremes. * Focus on the Price Chart! ... Making Adjustments ... As traders and investors, it is important to understand the current market environment and adjust our strategy accordingly. Are we in a low... READ MORE
The previous week has been very volatile for the NIFTY as the benchmark index remains in the middle of the 150-point turbulent zone of 10600-10750. Two stocks, The Indian Hotels Company Ltd., and Hathway Cable & Datacom Ltd look interesting on the Charts. The Indian Hotels Company Ltd. (INDHOTEL.IN)... READ MORE
Trading is difficult, emotional and can be quite lonely. We have seen volatility ($VIX) shoot higher, rising from an 11.61 close on October 3rd to a high of 28.84 on October 11th. Since then, we've remained above the key 16-17 support level that typically holds during... READ MORE
DESPITE LATE REBOUND, STOCK INDEXES LOSE GROUND... Despite a rebound on Thursday and Friday, all major U.S. stock indexes lost ground this week. But very little changed on their respective chart patterns. Chart 1 shows an upside reversal on Thursday keeping the Dow Industrials above its 200-day average. But... READ MORE