In this exclusive StockCharts TV video, Joe presents an introduction to the Average Directional Index (ADX), sharing how it is calculated and how to use it. He highlights some of the strengths, and weaknesses, of this powerful indicator. He then analyzes Bitcoin, NVDA, and AVGO, and finishes up the show... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Investors began piling into real estate stocks over the last three months. * XLRE is now just under 1% from its 52-week high, as indicated by the Distance From Highs indicator. * With a potential dip on the horizon in XLRE, watch these levels to spot zones of opportunity from... READ MORE
In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius assesses current rotations in asset classes and US sectors using Relative Rotation Graphs, finding a lot of contradictory behavior. Taking a step back, he focuses on the weekly timeframe to find some more meaningful trends and shy away from day-to-day noise. He then... READ MORE
The Dollar Index has been selling off sharply in the last few weeks and has now reached critical support in the form of the lower part of its recent trading range. The big question is whether it will break below the range or extend it in any way. Chart 1... READ MORE
In today's free DP Trading Room Carl reviews the charts of two new members to the SP500, Dell (DELL) and Palantir (PLTR). Are they poised to break out on this news? Carl also discussed the inflation on housing prices to open the show. Before going over the signal... READ MORE
Good morning and welcome to this week's Flight Path. Equities saw the "Go" trend remain strong with an uninterrupted week of strong blue "Go" bars. Treasury bond prices remained in the "Go" trend as well but we saw weaker aqua bars as... READ MORE
So the first Fed rate cut is behind us, and we are no longer in a "higher for longer" period, but in a new rate cut cycle which will most likely last well into 2025. So that's good news for stocks, right? Well, not necessarily. The... READ MORE
In this StockCharts TV video, Mary Ellen reviews the broader markets after last week's rate-cut induced rally. She also shares stocks that are breaking out of bases and poised to trade higher. The "nuclear renaissance" is also discussed, as well as stocks that will benefit the... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at a new all-time high. * Stock market indexes still have bullish momentum in spite of up and down movement. * Bond prices could stabilize after digesting the interest rate cut. The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut decision on Wednesdaywas like receiving... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Sector Rotation remains defensive * S&P chart showing resemblence to late 2021 * Negative divergences still in play First of all, I apologize for my absence this week. I caught something that looked like Covid, and felt like Covid, but it did not identify (pun intended) as Covid.... READ MORE
Sentiment indicators are contrarian, meaning that when the majority of investors are bullish on a market, it is bearish for that market. Most investors are aware of several sentiment indicators that relate to the stock market, but they may not be aware that there is a sentiment indicator for gold... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Carvana stock fell behind in its ranking during its August–September pullback, but it's now gaining momentum. * From a weekly perspective, the uptrend in Carvana looks solid. * Watch the Fibonacci retracement levels on the weekly chart to identify your entry and exit points. On August 5,... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Wells Fargo analysts issued a warning about the current rally. * Their last warning in November 2023 may have caused many investors to have missed out on a huge move. * Analysts can be right or wrong, so it's important to watch key technical levels. If you logged... READ MORE
Interest rates have been cut -- what now? Larry presents his thoughts in this edition of the Family Gathering video. In this month's Family Gathering video, Larry begins with what he calls the "Fed Cut Discount Rate" and what it means. What does history make of... READ MORE
Today, Larry Williams will be hosting a "Family Gathering" meeting at 2pm Eastern Daylight Time (11am Pacific). Sign-in in begins 5 minutes prior. The show, which will include both a presentation from Larry and a viewer Q&A session, will be recorded and posted online for those... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The Fed cut interest rates by 50 basis points and shifts focus to the economy. * Stock market rallied after the Fed's interest rate cut decision but closed lower. * Treasury yields rose while bond prices fell. The stock market received what it expected from the Federal Reserve—... READ MORE
In this exclusive StockCharts TV video, Joe shows how to use RSI in multiple timeframes to identify the next buying opportunity in the SPY. Joe thinks this rally is important; he uses the ADX to distinguish between the strength in different indices. Joe demonstrates how he moves quickly around ACP,... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * SHOP stock pulled back to a support level and is showing a strong signal for an up move. * SHOP's stock price has the potential to rise to $85. * This call vertical spread options strategy could potentially result in a 238% return on investment. Shopify (SHOP) continues... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Broader stock market indexes went above resistance levels, but retreated by the close. * Small-cap stocks took the lead in Tuesday's trading. * The Fed's decision on interest rates could make for a volatile trading day. The broader stock market indexes are still in a holding... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Gold prices are soaring and are at an all-time high. * Anticipated Fed rate cuts can send gold prices higher. * There are two tools you can use to project gold price action in bullish and bearish scenarios. As of Tuesday, the CME's FedWatch Tool gave a 67%... READ MORE
As part of Carl's review of Gold charts, he explained how we use the close-ended fund, Sprott Physical Gold Trust (PHYS) to measure sentiment for Gold. Depending on how PHYS trades, it trades at a discount or premium based on the physical Gold that it holds. These discounts... READ MORE
Good morning and welcome to this week's Flight Path. Equities saw the "Go" trend return after a triplet of uncertain "Go Fish" bars. We saw blue "Go" bars from Wednesday on. Treasury bond prices remained in a strong "Go" trend... READ MORE
That's a great question, because we saw some very nice gains and we're now approaching all-time highs, especially on the Dow Jones ($INDU) and S&P 500 ($SPX). The more growth-oriented NASDAQ 100 ($NDX) has much more work to do. How much more strength is... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Whipsaws and losing trades are part of the process for trend-following strategies. * These strategies are profitable because average profits far exceed average losses. * Chartists can reduce whipsaws by adding signal thresholds to the 5/200 day SMA cross. Whipsaws and losing trades are part of the process for... READ MORE
In this StockCharts TV video, Mary Ellen reviews the broader markets and highlights pockets of strength that are starting to trend higher. She also shares add-on plays to the move into home construction stocks, and shows key characteristics needed to confirm a downtrend reversal in select stocks. This video originally... READ MORE
While the S&P 500 finished the week once again testing new all-time highs around 5650, the Nasdaq 100 remains rangebound in a symmetrical triangle or "coil" pattern. While this pattern does not necessarily suggest a potential next move for the QQQ, it did lead me to... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Stocks make a strong recovery after last week's selloff. * Large-, mid-, and small-cap stocks closed higher, with small caps the clear leader. * Gold and silver prices surged on interest rate cut expectations. This week's stock market action may have caught many investors by surprise.... READ MORE
Larry is going LIVE! Don't miss the upcoming "Family Gathering" webinar with Larry Williams, airing live through Zoom on Thursday, September 19 at 2:00pm Eastern Daylight Time. In this must-see event, Larry will be presenting his current opinions on a broad variety of current market... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Tech bounce is judged as recovery within downtrend. * XLP, XLF, and XLV are positioned for outperformance in coming weeks. * The XLP chart is showing interesting characteristics which we have seen before Tech Rallies, But Remains Inside the Lagging Quadrant A quick look at the Relative Rotation Graph for... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Insmed (INSM) has been near the top of the StockCharts SCTR report for weeks. * Insmed's stock price has pulled back, but maintained its high SCTR score. * Insmed could be posed for an upside move. Numerous companies are making strides within their respective sectors, but, unless you... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Stocks rebounded on Wednesday with wide trading ranges. * Investors are rotating back into large-cap growth and momentum stocks. * The Financial sector was hit hard by negative news from banks but made some recovery. It was a massive turnaround day in the market on Wednesday—stocks sold off after... READ MORE
In this exclusive StockCharts TV video, Joe discusses why he is a bottom-up technical analyst. He explains the difference between top-down and bottom-up analysis and uses this to show the strongest sectors rotating to the upside right now; this approach will help give advance notice of which areas to focus... READ MORE
In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius takes a look at rotations in an asset allocation RRG. He compares fixed-income-related asset classes, commodities, the US dollar, Bitcoin and stocks to a balanced portfolio of 60% stocks/40% bonds. The long-lasting outperformance of stocks seems to be coming to an end.... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The real estate sector gains ground as interest rate cuts loom. * Technology stocks are showing slight gains, but not enough to shift momentum. * Energy prices slide lower on weakened demand. The Real Estate sector took the lead in Tuesday's trading, probably because interest rate cuts are... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * With Fed rate cuts now widely anticipated, investors are looking to the biotech industry for potential investment opportunities. * Biotech, a highly-speculative industry, has declined sharply since 2020 as inflation, along with higher interest rates, set in. * You can spot green shoots of capital flowing into biotech; watch the... READ MORE
The recent decline last week revealed that the artificial intelligence bubble is deflating. Magnificent Seven stocks are unwinding in response to investors losing confidence in the AI trade in general. Carl gives us a complete picture of the Magnificent Seven in the short and intermediate terms. It doesn't... READ MORE
Good morning and welcome to this week's Flight Path. Equities flashed an uncertain "Go Fish" bar at the end of the week as the markets became even more unsettled. Treasury bond prices remained in a "Go" trend and saw that trend was strong for... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Chartists need a market timing mechanism to assess risk * Risk is above average during bear markets (preserve capital) * Risk levels are acceptable during bull markets (invest capital) Any strategy that trades stocks needs some sort of market timing mechanism to identify bull and bear markets. Typically, stock strategies... READ MORE
Much like the southeastern portion of the U.S. frets over the potential of devastating hurricanes, stock traders and investors brace for their own financial hurricane this time of year. Last week, we saw the NASDAQ 100 ($NDX) tumble, dropping nearly 6% during a holiday-shortened trading week. This isn'... READ MORE
Most of the primary trend indicators I follow are in a bullish mode and show few signs of flagging. That said, some intermarket relationships, which help to indicate whether the environment is risk-off or risk-on, have started to move in a risk-off direction. That's usually a bearish omen... READ MORE