KEY TAKEAWAYS * The stock market indexes end the week on a positive note after a scary Monday * Volatility steps back slightly after a brief spike over 65 * Next week's consumer and producer inflation data could help set direction A sigh of relief? The US stock market started the... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave presents a special all-mailbag episode, answering viewer questions on optimizing entry points for long ideas, best practices for point & figure charts, and the relationship between gold and interest rates. See Dave's chart showing Zweig Breadth Thrust... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Smoothing the signal thresholds help to reduce whipsaws. * A new uptrend signaled for TLT as the 5-day exceeded the 200-day by more than 3% * TLT also sports a classic breakout and continuation signal. The 20+ Yr Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) is turning the corner as a long-term trend... READ MORE
DecisionPoint tracks 26 market, sector, and industry group indexes, and we monitor moving average crossovers for those indexes to assess the bullish or bearish condition of those indexes. A Silver Cross BUY Signal is generated when the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) of a price index crosses up through the... READ MORE
In my last newsletter,I discussed cycle projections for the S&P 500, i.e., a rally and then down into a mid-September low. The recent price action in the stock market may have many of you wondering when to open long equity positions. My cycle work suggests we... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Fundamental, technical, and seasonality factors suggest an upside move in WTI crude oil. * Seasonality and other indicators suggest a swing trading opportunity in the United States Oil Fund (USO). * Supply and geopolitical factors can quickly change the conditions of the market and the trade. Oil prices are climbing... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Small-cap stocks look like they have lost momentum. * Market breadth in small-cap stocks appears to be weakening. * The Utilities sector seems to be gaining momentum. Just so we are on the same page, I looked up "Great Rotation" on Microsoft's Copilot and came away... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * QQQ has bounced off its 200-day moving average. * An optimal entry point for QQQ would be the 50% to 61.8% Fibonacci retracement range. * If QQQ drops below $350, it can mean further downside. Just Another Manic Monday? On Monday, the Nasdaq plunged over 3%. With the S&... READ MORE
As a long-term stock trader, one development in the stock market takes me and many others to our collective knees. It's a Volatility Index ($VIX) that rises past 20. There has never been a bear market that's unfolded with a VIX that remains below 20. FEAR,... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Carvana stock takes the lead in the large-cap stocks SCTR Report * CVNA stock has established an upside trend with higher lows and higher highs * Carvana's stock price is holding above its 21-day exponential moving average On a day when the S&P 500 ($SPX) drops... READ MORE
Good morning and welcome to this week's Flight Path. Equities could not hold onto "Go" colors any longer and we saw a strong purple "NoGo" bar as the trend changed on the last bar of the week. GoNoGo Trend painted strong blue "Go&... READ MORE
The market is dropping perilously right now and so it is time to review Bear Market Rules. Today Erin and Carl share their rules for trading during a bear market move. We aren't officially in a bear market and we may not get there, but there is likely... READ MORE
In the classroom we would have students alter their view of charts they were evaluating to gain fresh perspective and possibly enhance their analysis. Students often had Ah-Ha moments after freshening their interpretation of a chart they had previously laid eyes on many times. Stock chart analysis heavily emphasizes the... READ MORE
The previous week turned out quite volatile for the markets as they not only marked a fresh lifetime high but also faced corrective pressure as well towards the end of the week. The markets maintained an upward momentum all through the week. It scaled the psychologically important 25000 level as... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Weak manufacturing and jobs data sends investors into panic mode * All broader stock market indexes fall over 2% * Bond prices rise The dog days of summer are here. And the stock market gives us a brutal reminder of this. The first trading day of August began on a... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Some real damage for the markets * Equal weight sector rotation paints a more realistic picture * The BIG ROTATION into small caps has come to a halt And then ..... all of a sudden..... things are heating up. Lots of (downside) market action in the past week. Let's... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Most stocks follow their underlying index or group. * Oversold conditions in long-term uptrends are opportunities. * Stocks can remain oversold so wait for an upward catalyst. The broad market and the group are big drivers for stock performance. Recently, the Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) led the market lower with... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Small caps saw an impressive surge in July, outpacing the S&P 500 in that month alone. * IWM, a Russelll 2000 proxy, is only 8% away from its all-time highs, potentially signaling the start of a new bull market. * As IWM pulls back (along with the rest... READ MORE
This Fed has got to go. It's time. You've overstayed your welcome, Fed Chief Powell. I literally was just shaking my head after reading the changes to the Fed's policy statement. The changes were in the first two paragraphs, so let me jump right... READ MORE
It looks to me like it's time for the bond market to take a breather, if not have a pullback from now into late October. We can sum it up with the cycle projections from Chart 1. I have highlighted, in red, the down leg of the 450-day... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * SMH has completed 100% of a measured move from the bottom of a double-top reversal. * SMH has broken below several key levels based on various indicators. * There are actionable levels in the SMH chart that traders can take advantage of if they materialize. Nvidia (NVDA) was perhaps the... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Investor sentiment has turned more bearish with a continuation of a selloff in big tech stocks. * More earnings, an FOMC meeting, and jobs report are adding to investor uncertainty. * Keep an eye on bond prices as the data starts to unravel. Last week, there was a noticeable change... READ MORE
The S&P 500 index ($SPX) is a capitalization-weighted stock index. Many lesser capitalization blue-chip stocks that compose these 500 companies have been performance laggards. Though smaller companies in the index, these corporations are among the bluest of the blue-chip stocks. These prestigious corporations have been overshadowed by the... READ MORE
The bond market experienced a secular bear between 1981 and the spring of 2020. Chart 1 offers three reasons why it has since reversed and given way to a secular uptrend or possibly multi-year trading range. The first piece of evidence comes from violating the multi-decade trendline. Second, the price... READ MORE
This week we have four Magnificent Seven stocks reporting earnings. We also take a look at McDonalds (MCD) and Ford (F) going into earnings. How are the chart technicals setup on the precipice of earnings? Carl and Erin give you there thoughts. Carl reviews the DP Signal Tables to see... READ MORE
Good morning, and welcome to this week's Flight Path. Equities had another tough week last week, and we saw an amber "Go Fish" bar for the first time since this latest "Go" trend began. Encouragingly, GoNoGo Trend painted a weak aqua "Go"... READ MORE
This week saw the major equity averages continue a confirmed pullback phase, with some of the biggest gainers in the first half of 2024 logging some major losses. Is this one of the most buyable dips of the year? Or is this just the beginning of a protracted decline with... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * After two days of massive selloffs, Friday's recovery offers some hope. * Investors await earnings from mega-cap tech companies, economic data, and Fed meeting. * Small caps continue to trend higher. Major equity indexes rose on Friday after a selloff that hit the Technology sector especially hard. But... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Strong Sector Rotation Out Of Technology * Financials and Real Estate Lead * Stock/Bond Ratio Triggers Sell Signal Flying Financials In the recent sector rotation, basically OUT of technology and INTO anything else, Financials and Real-Estate led the relative move. On the RRG above, I have highlighted the (daily)... READ MORE
This will be one of the most interesting quarters in recent memory. The Fed has got to choose its poison. Do they stand pat once again next week, leaving rates "higher for longer" and awaiting more data? Or do they finally take the step that just about everyone... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The long-term trend provides perspective and sets the trading bias. * The bias is bullish during long-term uptrends. * Breaks below the 50-day SMA are viewed a opportunities, not threats. After a big run this year, Nvidia (NVDA) fell over 15% from its high and broke its 50-day simple moving... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * In June, Gilead Sciences saw a dramatic surge as positive results of a late-stage trial of its HIV drug had Wall Street buzzing. * GILD was a "sentiment trade" that spiked too quickly for most technical and fundamental indicators to make heads or tails of the move.... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Tech stocks took a dive on Wednesday but look like they are making up some of those losses prior to hitting the next support level. * Expect volatility in the stock market in the coming weeks since it's earnings season and there's a Fed meeting... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave previews earnings releases from TSLA and GOOGL, breaks down key levels to watch for SPOT, GE, and more, and analyzes the discrepancy between S&P 500 and Nasdaq breadth indicators. See Dave's MarketCarpet featuring the Vanilla... READ MORE
In this exclusive StockCharts TV video, Joe explains the 1-2-3 reversal pattern, its criteria, and what it will take for QQQ to complete the pattern. He also discusses how the pattern is not always as clean as we would like. Joe then shares a few Crypto markets which are starting... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave previews earnings releases from TSLA and GOOGL, breaks down key levels to watch for SPOT, GE, and more, and analyzes the discrepancy between S&P 500 and Nasdaq breadth indicators. This video originally premiered on July 23, 2024.... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Following the CrowdStrike debacle, the stock is as much a technical trade as it is a news-driven trade * Crowdstrike's stock price has entered a potential buying zone, but potential lawsuits may be a headwind * Crowdstrike could be a buying opportunity but watch momentum, buying levels, and... READ MORE
In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius takes a look at the markets through the lens of the "market factors" panel you can find on your StockCharts dashboard. Starting from the RRG, he then moves to the individual charts for these factors and notes a low correlation for... READ MORE
Tops and bottoms are so much fun to predict, but key signals are not always accurate. That's where a healthy dose of skepticism comes in. At EarningsBeats.com, we try to put as many signals together as possible, looking for corroboration. That helps to build confidence in the... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave breaks down today's upside recovery day for stocks, then shares the charts of TSLA, NVDA, and more. He also illustrates the conflicting messages from AAII and NAAIM sentiment surveys, and also highlights the VIX testing the key... READ MORE