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Short-Term Trend, Breadth and Intermarket Analysis
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
There it is again! Stocks started the day weak as the S&P 500 dropped to the 2104 level in the first hour. After choppy trading most of the day, the index surged in the final hour and closed a whisker below 2110. Selling pressure remains muted and buying...
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Gold Gets a DP Trend Model SELL Signal
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
It was bound to happen. Gold has been struggling with a correction that began when price failed to reach the August 2014 high. The intermediate-term DP Trend Model generated a SELL signal today when the 20-EMA crossed below the 50-EMA. Since the 50-EMA was below the 200-EMA, it created a...
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Bristol Myers Gets a Histogram Signal
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Bristol Myers (BMY) is making a bid to turn back up and bounce off support. On the price chart, the stock firmed above the December-January lows in February and moved to its highest level of the month today. The indicator window shows the MACD Histogram turning positive, which means MACD...
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Oil Bottom Looking Shaky
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
Crude oil has been trying hard to make a bottom, but it may take a little more work to get it done. After hitting an important low in January, U.S. Oil Fund (USO) bounced and has been consolidating for nearly a month. The consolidation may hold, but as of...
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-- A BREAK FOR THE TRANSPORT ETF, AIRLINES, TRUCKERS, RAILROADS, DELIVERY SERVICES, 3 AIRLINE STOCKS, 2 TRUCKING STOCKS, OIL WEIGHS, OIL SERVICES HITS RESISTANCE --
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
TRANSPORT ISHARES BREAKS CHANNEL LINE... Some transportation-related industry groups and stocks are at interesting junctures right now. First, the broader market is in an uptrend as the S&P 500 hit an all time high last week. Second, oil prices remain weak and this is beneficial to several transport-related...
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Short-Term Trend, Breadth and Intermarket Analysis
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Even though the major index ETFs are short-term overbought, stocks continue to exhibit bullish price action overall. For example, the S&P 500 fell over 10 points and dipped below 2087 in the first thirty minutes on Friday, but quickly found its footing and advanced the rest of the...
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Too Much Information Running Through My Brain
Hello Fellow ChartWatchers!
The markets all moved higher this week with the Dow setting a new all-time high on Friday and the Nasdaq moving to within spitting distance of 5000. Since the start of 2015, the Nasdaq has been on a tear, gaining over 4.6%. Here's a...
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Nasdaq Nears Test of 2000 High
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
The monthly bars in the chart below shows the Nasdaq Composite ending the week just 177 points (3.5%) from its March 2000 intra-day high at 5132. [It's only 93 points (1.9%) from its 2000 closing high at 5048]. There's little doubt that it will...
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Defensive Stocks Lagging Although One Group Poised For Rebound
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
We've seen a very nice rally in U.S. equities during February, erasing all of January's losses with most of our major indices now breaking out to all-time highs. The NASDAQ has been leading the charge and that indicates that we're in a "...
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DOW JOINS S&P 500 IN RECORD HIGH -- NASDAQ NEARS TEST OF ITS 2000 HIGH -- GERMAN DAX HITS NEW RECORD -- BRITAIN MAY BE NEXT -- JAPAN REACHES 15-YEAR HIGH -- DOLLAR INDEX TESTS 20-YEAR RESISTANCE LINE -- EAFE ISHARES BREAK OUT TO UPSIDE ON GOOD VOLUME
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
DOW JOINS REST OF THE MARKET IN NEW HIGHS. ... The chart picture for U.S. and global stocks brightened even further on Friday. [News that eurozone finance ministers offered Greece a four-month extension of its bailout package gave a late boost to global stocks]. All major U.S. stock hit...
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Adding a Systematic Touch with P&F Charts
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Chartists looking to filter small price movements and add a systematic touch to their analysis can turn to Point & Figure charts. Chart 1 shows a 60-minute P&F chart for the **S&P 500** and each box is five points. With a traditional 3-box reversal setting, this...
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Utilities Sector Failing
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
On Friday's DecisionPoint Alert Report, the Utilities SPDR (XLU) went on a Neutral signal. It's sister, the equal-weight Rydex version (RYU) remains on a BUY signal. It appears that it will flip next week to a Neutral signal as well.
We see that Intermediate-Term Trend Model...
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-- $SPX AND $NDX P&F CHARTS, AEROSPACE & DEFENSE ETF'S LEAD, 5 DEFENSE STOCKS, INTERNET ETF BREAKS OUT, 3 ISTOCKS CHALLENGING RESISTANCE, OIL STALLS, XLE GETS COLD FEET --
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
REST AFTER BIG SURGE... Link for today's video. After big gains the first two weeks of February, stocks took a breather this week and consolidated. A rest after a sharp advance is perfectly normal at this stage. Among the groups, the Energy SPDR (XLE) fell back along with...
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What is it with Modern Finance?
by Greg Morris,
Veteran Technical Analyst, Investor, and Author
The title of this article might have you thinking it doesn't belong on StockCharts.com or anywhere in technical analysis. I disagree; I think every technician needs to understand this. If for no other reason than to offer ammunition for your defense of technical analysis. For the past...
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Former Wall Street CEO: Guest Blogger
by Gatis Roze,
Author, "Tensile Trading"
For over fifty years, Harvey Baraban has been an active stock market investor. For over twenty-five years, he has been my mentor, friend and trading buddy. Drawn together by a mutual shared passion for the markets, I am grateful to Harvey on many fronts, not the least being that he...
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Short-Term Trend, Breadth and Intermarket Analysis
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The S&P 500 has been flat as a pancake the last three days, but the Nasdaq 100 and Russell 2000 continued higher. Note that the S&P 500 is up .02% this week, the Nasdaq 100 is up .63% and the Russell 2000 is up .39%. The...
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Energy Sector Lights Up
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
Yesterday, we had a BUY signal light up on our DP Alert Daily Report for XLE, the cap-weighted Energy SPDR and today, a BUY signal was also generated on RYE, the equal-weighted Energy ETF. These were the only two sectors that had been sitting on Neutral signals on the entire...
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JAPAN AND EUROPE LEAD EAFE ISHARES HIGHER -- GERMANY, FRANCE, AND THE UK LEAD EUROPE -- HOW TO HEDGE GERMAN ISHARES AGAINST WEAK EURO -- JAPANESE STOCKS NEAR 15-YEAR HIGH -- HEDGING AGAINST THE FALLING YEN HAS BEEN A GOOD IDEA
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
EAFE ISHARES TURN UP ... Foreign stocks continue to show signs of strength. Chart 1 shows EAFE iShares (EFA) trading above its 200-day moving average after recently exceeding its late November peak. At the start of February, it also broke a declining resistance line drawn over June/September/November highs. That...
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US Equity Upside Breakout So Far So Good
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
* -NASDAQ Composite offers quality upside leadership.
* -Watch the 5-year yield for a clue as to future rate movements.
* -Gold starting to show bull market characteristics but can it confirm with some positive trend action?
In last week’s article I drew your attention to the fact that the technical picture...
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Short-Term Trend, Breadth and Intermarket Analysis
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks started the day with some mild selling pressure, firmed during the day and then rallied in the final two hours. The rally, however, was not that strong and the major index ETFs closed mixed on the day. QQQ was up a fraction and DIA was down a fraction. The...
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Pre-defined Technical Alerts Continue Green
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Chartists can regularly check the Pre-defined Technical Alerts page for clues on market trends. Green alerts dominate the last three days and these green alerts come from the stock market. Just today, the Russell 2000 hit an all time high and the Nasdaq hit a 4-year high. Multi-year highs occur...
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Asset Class rotation remains close to home
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
The rotation of relative trends close to "home" over the past 3-4 weeks. HOME in this context is VBINX (Vanguard Balanced Index Fund) which represents a balanced investment portfolio holding approximately 60% in Equities and 40% in bonds.
The Relative Rotation Graph below shows the relative trends for...
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Short-Term Trend, Breadth and Intermarket Analysis
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks opened strong, dipped in the afternoon and then finished strong. Once again, the price action during the day is bullish and buying pressure continues to assert itself. The major index ETFs closed with fractional gains. The sectors were mixed with small gains and losses. Consumer discretionary, utilities and consumer...
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DP Market Update: All-Time Highs...Again - February 17, 2015
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
The market hit all-time highs today in less than impressive fashion, but they are all-time highs nonetheless. The ultra-short-term rising bottoms line is still intact and hasn't been tested since its inception, but it appears it will be forced to tomorrow.
The purpose of the DecisionPoint Daily Update...
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-- THE KEY TO THE BREAKOUTS, MATERIAL SECTOR LEADERSHIP, SHORT-TERM BREADTH INDICATORS, UTILITIES ETFS HIT SUPPORT, TLT HITS FIBONACCI CLUSTER, OIL, GOLD, URANIUM AND LOTS OF STOCKS --
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
WEBINAR CHARTS AND LINK... Stocks are short-term overbought after big runs in February, but the breakouts are holding and these are bullish until proven otherwise. Today's Webinar will look at five stock indices, sector High-Low Percent, a short-term breadth indicator, the utilities sector, the long-term Treasury bond ETF,...
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Market Prescience - How Devine!
by Greg Morris,
Veteran Technical Analyst, Investor, and Author
I just completed two weeks of golf with my wife in Florida. Would anyone like to buy a set of golf clubs whose sweet spot is unused? I’m always trying to come up with new ideas for articles and don’t mind if I cross the line a little...
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Breadth Hits an Extreme - TLT Becomes Oversold
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks continued higher last week with the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 and Russell 2000 hitting new highs on Friday. Techs led the rally as xrt6QQQ gained 3.67% and XLK surged 3.77%. Utilities did not partake as Treasury yields rose again last week. The Home Construction iShares...
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Don't Put Gentex in your Rearview Mirror
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
I did one of my favorite scans today and it produced a little known company (among others) called Gentex Corp (GNTX). I actually had to look up what their business was about. Interestingly, they manufacture auto-dimming rearview mirrors. I wanted you to see this chart regardless of its obscurity because...
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-- SURGE AND FOLLOW THROUGH, GROWTH VERSUS VALUE, BREAKING DOWN XLY AND XLF, WATER ETF GETS INTERESTING, FIVE STOCKS IN STRONG GROUPS, NEW HIGH PARADE --
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
SURGE AND FOLLOW THROUGH BODES WELL... The major stock indices surged off support levels last week and followed through with breakouts this week. Chart 1 shows five major index ETFs on one chart for easy reference. The top chart shows the S&P 1500 hitting new highs in November-December,...
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The Birth of a New Investor
by Gatis Roze,
Author, "Tensile Trading"
General George Patton once said, “A good plan implemented today is better than a perfect plan implemented tomorrow.”
I just had a front row seat for the birth of a new investor, and the experience was not at all what I expected. Few births probably are. Before I lose you...
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QQQ Hits New High for 2015 - TLT Hits Key Retracement
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks put in another positive day with bullish price action. The S&P 500 opened strong with a surge above 2080 and then worked its way higher to close at 2088. Once again, we are seeing the ability to start strong and finish strong. Stock market strength was broad...
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Initiation Impulse Confirms Triple Bottom Breakout
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
I've been skeptical but cautiously optimistic that the market was forming a triple-bottom within the trading range it has been bounded by since the beginning of January. Today, the market broke out of its doldrums and made a significant breakout, though not yet "decisive" which would...
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InterActive Corp Shows Signs of Accumulation
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Interactive Corp (IACI) has turned rather volatile this year with a choppy trading range between 59 and 64. The stock gapped down to range support last week, but immediately firmed and surged off support with good volume. IACI is now in the process of filling the gap and a break...
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GLOBAL STOCK RALLY IS STARTING TO BROADEN OUT -- GERMANY AND FRANCE LEAD EUROPE HIGHER -- GREEK STOCKS ARE BOUNCING FROM SUPPORT -- THE HEDJ IS THE BEST WAY TO HEDGE NEGATIVE IMPACT OF FALLING EURO -- SMALLER STOCKS LEAD S&P 500 HIGHER
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
DOW JONES GLOBAL INDEX HITS THREE-MONTH HIGH ... One of the major concerns in the new year has been fear that foreign markets would start to weigh on U.S. stocks. Although U.S. stocks have been the strongest in the world, they need some help from foreign markets. They'...
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Large-caps Lead - UUP Breaks Out - GLD Extends Downtrend
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
It was a choppy day on Wall Street with QQQ edging higher and IWM edging lower. The sectors were mixed with techs and consumer staples producing small gains. Utilities took another hit as the Utilities SPDR (XLU) fell over 2%. Within the tech sector, the Networking iShares (IGN), Semiconductor SPDR...
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Forthcoming Big Move in Equities is Likely. The Question is Which Way will it Be?
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
* The NYA starts to break down against the S&P again.
* Emerging markets ETF triggers some short-term sell signals.
* The EEM is resting above key long-term support.
US Equities
The market continues to frustrate both bull and bear alike as the major averages steadfastly refuse to break out from...
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Home run for HD?
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
The Relative Rotation Graph of the 30 Dow stocks shows nicely balanced rotations. All 30 names are more or less evenly spread around on the RRG chart. This is often seen on Relative Rotation Graphs holding a closed universe of securities without one or two mega-caps distorting the picture.
I...
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QQQ Takes the Lead and UUP Stalls
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks put in another good performance on Tuesday. The S&P 500 opened strong and worked its way higher the rest of the day. As with last week, this is the kind of price action the bulls want to see. The consumer discretionary, healthcare and technology sectors led the...
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DP Market Update: Small Breakout - February 10, 2015
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
Today saw a breakout from the bullish descending wedge pattern that had formed over the past two trading days. In the last 20 minutes of the trading day, price hit overhead resistance at the 2/6 high and was turned back.
** Don't forget to sign up for tomorrow&...
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INDEX OVERVIEW, RISK ON OR OFF?, XLF-XLK-XLY, HIGH-LOW INDICATORS, SECTOR RANKINGS, FOCUS ON UTILITIES, TWENTY STOCKS AND Q&A -- S&P 500 AND S&P MIDCAP 400 STALL AFTER BREAKOUTS -- IS RISK REALLY BACK ON? -- INDEX HIGH-LOW PERCENT
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
WEBINAR CHARTS AND COMMENTARY... The market remains a mixed up beast over the last few months, but the bigger trend is still up and the bulk of the evidence is still bullish. Choppy trading over the last few months just means we had a consolidation within an uptrend. Major topping...
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