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Key Market Relationships for the Next Big Move
First off, we are heading out of town to New York where I will be visiting in studio several media channels and hosts.
Then, we are off to Orlando for the MoneyShow.
On November 1st, Keith and I go on vacation until the middle of the month.
This is the...
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Google Stock Expectations In the Spotlight: Will Earnings Results Exceed Expectations?
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Google's Q3 earnings will have an impact on which way the stock moves
* GOOGL's daily stock chart shows the stock is trading very close to its 52-week high
* GOOGL stock is trading above its 21-day exponential moving average, it has a high SCTR rank,...
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It's All About Risk and the Long Bonds
Monday, after a lot of spooky headlines, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) touched its 23-month moving average (MA) or the two-year biz cycle breakout point right around 417.
Plus, the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)flashed green as didIWM,the small caps.
The big question...
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Should We Use Weakness To Accumulate NVDA Before Its Next Launch?
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Over the past six trading days, NVDA has fallen from a high of 476.09 to Friday's low of 410.78. That's a drop of 65.31, or nearly 14%, in just over one week. Would it make sense to take advantage of this selling? Well,...
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Odds Favor Further Selling This Week (Maybe a LOT of it)
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
I've been watching the Volatility Index ($VIX) for years and it provides us a number of very important signals. One of those signals is BE CAREFUL when the VIX moves from the teens and into the 20s. In my experience, moving from 13 to 15 isn't...
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Week Ahead: NIFTY May Have Limited Upsides In The Truncated Monthly Expiry Week; Watch These Key Levels
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
The markets wore a largely corrective undertone throughout the past five sessions; it oscillated within a similar range as the previous week and closed on a negative note. The volatility remained on the lower side; as the volatility has been low, the bands contracted as well. As compared to the...
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Larry's "Family Gathering" October 20, 2023 Recording
by Larry Williams,
Veteran Investor and Author
October is a significant month in the stock market, and in this pre-election year, there's a lot of uncertainty among investors, which makes the stock market more volatile. In this video, Larry discusses the October Seasonality and talks about stocks that generally perform well during the month. You&...
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Complimentary Edition of the DecisionPoint "Weekly Wrap"
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Golden Cross BUY Signal for Gold
* Death Cross SELL Signal for NYSE Composite
* Death Cross SELL Signal for Materials (XLB)
Gold (GLD) has been strong this month and today its 50-day EMA crossed up through its 200-day EMA (Golden Cross), generating an LT Trend Model BUY Signal. You...
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The Kids: Semiconductors, Biotechnology, Regional Banks
Most of you know our Big Viewproduct since I often discuss our risk gauges.
I can report to you that our risk gauges show three out of the five with risk off.
Most interestingly, the SPY continues to outperform the long bonds, risk-on.
And junk bonds continue to outperform long...
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S&P Breaks Below 200-Day Moving Average: It's Going to be a Big Volatile Ride
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* The S&P 500 index closed lower for the week and below its 200-day moving average
* Long-dated Treasury yields continue to move higher as investors digest the higher-for-longer narrative
* VIX has been trending higher which indicates a rise in investor uncertainty
Stock market action in the last...
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RRG is Sending a Clear Message And Finds Two Stocks With Good Upside Potential
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* RRG is sending a strong message to prefer Growth over Value
* Putting the growth stocks from IVW through a scan and some thorough RRG analyses finds a handful of interesting names
* Two unexpected stocks are showing up as having good upside potential
* Especially growth stocks from Defensive sectors...
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These 3 Stocks Keep Hitting New Highs and Can Still Surge: This Is the Time To Look for an Entry
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Scanning for stocks that are reaching all-time highs while the broader market is trending lower can result in ideal trading opportunities
* Look for stocks that are trending higher over the longer-term and pulling back
* FANG, PGR, and MUSA are showing signs of pullback and should be on your...
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"Family Gathering" Meeting Today At 2:00 PM Eastern
Today, we will be having a "Family Gathering" meeting at 11 AM Pacific/2:00 PM Eastern. The show will be recorded and posted online for those of you who cannot attend. Use the link below to join:
Link to join Webinar
https://stockcharts.zoom.us/j/85377769524...
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Tesla Stock Has High Expectations: A Strong Pop or Plunge
by Karl Montevirgen,
The StockCharts Insider
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Tesla's stock formed a symmetrical triangle pattern leading up to Q3 earnings, indicating potential volatility amid indecision
* TSLA stock broke below the symmetrical triangle after missing earnings
* You can figure out the price target based on a measured move or average statistics
Sometimes, a stock'...
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TEN-YEAR YIELD NEARS 5% -- S&P 500 CONTINUES TO TEST MAJOR SUPPORT
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
NEARLY AT 5%... Previous messages have mentioned 5% as the next major upside target for the 10-Year Treasury yield. The TNX hit 4.99% today. Chart 1 shows the next potential target at 5.25% which was the closing high formed sixteen years ago. That previous peak may provide some...
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Market Has Stress Fractures but No Clear Breaks
Considering everything:
1. Yields and mortgage rates
2. War
3. Inflation and rising commodity prices
4. Bank stocks falling
5. Risk Gauges: 2 out of 6 now risk-off
To name a few, why, then is the S&P 500 so strong?
Here are a few reasons:
1. Fed members...
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Home Construction ETF Breaks and a Home Builder Sets up for Further Downside
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The Home Construction ETF (ITB) led the market the first seven months of the year, but fell on hard times the last two months and reversed its long-term uptrend. Today's report/video will look at the trend reversal in ITB using the RSI Trend Range indicator. We will...
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An Award Announcement With a Dash of Market Commentary
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Small cap and retail stocks are rising and need to hold support to clear overhead resistance.
* iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF (IBB) should stay within the 120 to 125 range.
* Watch the range in regional banks, a potential uptrend in Bitcoin, and a bullish move in commodities.
With words...
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How Mega-Cap Names Dominate Through Market Cap
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave shares how growth over value is less about the types of companies and more about the market cap represented in the largest benchmark names. He breaks down today's pop-and-drop for Bitcoin and answers questions from the newly-added...
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When News Moves So Fast, Stocks Can Stand Still
Waking up to a new week of geopolitical stress, fake news (Blackrock spot ETF), higher yields, softer dollar, equities rally, I thought to myself: As far as the market goes, it feels like time is standing still.
Why would I think that? After all, it may not last and certainly...
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GNG TV: Looking at a Relief Rally or a Return to Go Trends?
by Alex Cole,
Co-founder, GoNoGo Charts®
by Tyler Wood,
Co-founder, GoNoGo Charts®
In this edition of the GoNoGo Charts show, with US Equities delivering a streak of daily gains this week, Alex and Tyler examine the daily weak NoGo trend conditions against the weak Go trend conditions on the weekly timeframe. The model is calculated the exact same way, but longer timeframe...
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DP Trading Room: Mortgage Rates Hit Multiyear High -- Who Goes Bankrupt First?
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
In this week's edition of The DecisionPoint Trading Room, Carl discusses the war's effect on the market and looks closer at the effects of high mortgage rates, which have hit multiyear highs. These are pinching not only buyers, but sellers and homebuilders. Afterwards, he goes deeper...
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Sector Spotlight: Sensitive Sectors Continue to Prop Up the S&P 500
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
On this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, after two weeks of absence, Julius de Kempenaer is back with an in-depth look at the current state of asset class rotation and sector rotation. By slicing sectors into Offensive, Defensive, and Sensitive groups, he paints a picture with an...
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If War in the Middle East Won't Push this Market Down, What Will?
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
I must say, I was surprised that the outbreak of war in the Middle East and a 4% rise in oil sent the market higher, not lower by the close of business last Monday. Typically, a market that does not respond to bad news in a negative way is one...
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Larry's LIVE "Family Gathering" Webinar Airs THIS WEEK - Friday, October 20th at 2:00pm EDT!
by Larry Williams,
Veteran Investor and Author
Larry is going LIVE! Don't miss the upcoming "Family Gathering" webinar with Larry Williams, airing live through Zoom this Friday, October 20th at 2:00pm EDT.
In this must-see event, Larry will be presenting his current opinions on a broad variety of current market topics, directly...
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Equal-weight Semis Break Down - Is SOXX Next? - with video (Free)
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Today's report will compare charts and performance for the Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) and the Semiconductor SPDR (XSD). SOXX represents large-caps and is holding up. XSD represents the average semiconductor stock and it is not holding up. Broad weakness within the semiconductor group is likely to spread to large-cap...
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Striking While The Iron Is HOT!
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Few individual stocks are truly worthy of a long-term investment. The truth of the matter is that most stocks have solid quarters, but rarely sustain that strength and growth over years and decades. In fact, many industry groups suffer from the same problem and it's one reason why...
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Week Ahead: NIFTY Consolidates While Defending Key Levels; Vigilant Protection of Profits Advised
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
In the previous technical note, it was mentioned that the volatility gauge INDIAVIX had stayed at its lowest levels, and this setup was keeping the markets vulnerable to profit-taking bouts from the current levels.
Over the past five days, the markets showed some signs of profit-taking, but at the same...
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Stock Market Rally Fizzles – What to Do Now
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
The markets started the week on a strong note with a rally, which was boosted by the release of dovish remarks from the Federal Reserve's last meeting. A stronger-than-expected CPI report sparked an increase in interest rates, however, which pushed the markets lower. The selling picked up on...
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Lagging Indicators Confirm Bearish Phase For Growth
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Leading indicators help anticipate price reversals, while lagging indicators validate trend changes you've already observed.
* RSI combines the qualities of leading and lagging indicators, helping investors to prepare for and react to trend reversals.
* AAPL recently showed a bullish momentum divergence, meaning the leading indicator has...
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MEM TV: Markets Stall As Week Progresses - Here's Why
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe MEM Edge, Mary Ellen shares where the market stands, after last week's price action had select areas far outpacing the markets while others were weak. She also reviews the start of earnings season following reports from several high profile companies....
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Gain GREATER CLARITY on The Market's Latest Moves With Seasonality Charts!
by Grayson Roze,
Chief Strategist, StockCharts.com
On this week's edition of StockCharts TV'sStockCharts in Focus, Grayson explores the Seasonality tool and shares how these unique charts can help you gain a deeper, more data-driven perspective on the market's latest moves. By charting historical price moves for each month of the...
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Growth Sectors Tumble as Defensive Plays Post a Strong Finish
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave tracks the rapid decline in growth sectors including Technology and Communication Services as defensive plays like utilities and gold post a strong finish to the week. Dave answers questions from The Final Bar Mailbag on the McClellan Summation Index...
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Looking At a Perfect Pullback Opportunity
by TG Watkins,
Director of Stocks, Simpler Trading
The market followed the Moxie rules perfectly this week. The setup was there for our traders, and so we took advantage of the choppy down move over the last three days which were spurred on by some economic reports and worldly events. In this week's edition of Moxie...
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Stock Market Weekly Update: 3 Valuable Points You Need To Know About the Selloff
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Broader stock market indices are still holding support despite the selloff
* The VIX closed higher but it's still tame relative to past readings
* Gold futures closed above $1900 per ounce indicating that investors may have fled to gold in case geopolitical tensions escalated over the weekend...
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Will Bitcoin Go the Way of a Commodity or an Equity?
I went back to my Outlook 2023 written in December 2022, where I begin with:
You Can't Run with the Hare and Hunt with the Hounds.
This expression will ultimately summarize the upcoming year.
As the Year of the Tiger loses its roar, the Year of the Rabbit...
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Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), Communication Services (XLC), and Transports (IYT) New Bullish Bias in IT
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Silver Cross Index Has Bullish "Shift" Above Signal Line for QQQ, XLC and IYT
* QQQ Should Continue Higher
* XLC Struggles Today, But Has Bullish Outlook
* IYT Neutral Outlook Based on Relative Strength
The Silver Cross Index is another way for us to measure participation within an...
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Comfort in the Stock Charts (Video Interview)
Some notes this week:
Growth stocks are acting as a defense move again, especially given that the Fed remains on the fence about interest rate. Small caps and retail though, could still act as an anchor. For now, they both held a key area -- 6-7-year business cycle lows --...
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Stocks Continue Feeling The Pressure From Higher Rates
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest Chris Verrone of Strategas Research Partners discusses how small-caps may emerge from the quagmire, along with why it's important to focus on relative strength. Host David Keller, CMT points out the continued strength of offense over defense...
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2 Clear Strategies When Using the ADX
by Joe Rabil,
President, Rabil Stock Research
On this week's edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe discusses keys to using the ADX indicator. He focuses on the 2 clear strategies for ADX and how to handle them. In addition, he describes the slope of this line and how that affects the strategy. Joe...
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