Stocks surged in the second half of August with several ETFs breaking out of corrective patterns, such as falling flags or falling wedges. Even though September is a seasonally weak month, these breakouts are bullish until proven otherwise. Today's commentary will analyze the breakout in the Technology SPDR... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave notes severe weakness in the small-cap space as the Russell 2000 forms a potential head-and-shoulders topping pattern. He answers viewer questions on index volume, Coppock curves and running oscillators on breadth indicators. This video originally premiered... READ MORE
This entire year, retail, as measured by the ETF XRT (a.k.a. the Granny of the Economic Modern Family), has underperformed the SPY and QQQs. Encumbered by higher interest rates, higher oil prices, higher inflation, higher insurance costs, and a burgeoning credit card debt, we have wondered many times... READ MORE
The business cycle has been with us for as long as reliable financial records have been available, and that's at least 200 years. It may seem to be a mysterious force, but it is nothing more than a set sequence of chronological events that just keeps repeating. The... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave and Grayson co-host a special presentation, wherein they unveil the top 10 charts that are poised to shape the landscape of September 2023. This video originally premiered on September 4, 2023. Watch on our dedicated Final Bar pageon... READ MORE
The month of August has come to an end, and that means a focus on long-term trends, using monthly Relative Rotation Graphs in combination with the finalized price (bar-)charts for August, on this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight. Julius de Kempenaer assesses the rotations of... READ MORE
Hello to all my StockCharts supporters! First of all, thank you for your readership of my Trading Places blog, which is now in its 8th year. Also, thanks to all of you that watch my Trading Places LIVE shows that air on Tuesdays, Wednesdays, and Thursdays at 9:00am ET.... READ MORE
The past five sessions of the week saw the Indian equities trading in a defined and narrower range. The first four sessions were seen leading the markets to a weekly loss, but the strong trading session on Friday saw NIFTY recouping its losses. The index oscillated in 234.90-point... READ MORE
I love the seasonality information that StockCharts.com provides. It's important to keep in mind that seasonal tendencies are secondary indicators. I don't buy and sell based on them, because the price/volume combination will always be my primary indicator. But if technical indications point to... READ MORE
There is some validity to the best six months strategy, but investors would probably be better off with a simple timing tool. According to the Stock Trader's Almanac, the best six-month period runs from November to April. The worst six-month period runs from May to October.... READ MORE
Last week, the broader markets regained their uptrend, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Indexes both closing above their key 50-day moving averages on Tuesday. In addition, the RSI and Stochastics turned positive as well. This price action indicates that the 3-week pullback which began in... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Momentum indicators like RSI can indicate overbought and oversold conditions, suggesting a short-term reversal. * A bearish divergence, with higher prices and a lower RSI, often occur at the end of a bullish phase. * By analyzing the range of the RSI, investors can confirm the overall trend phase... READ MORE
In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe MEM Edge, Mary Ellen reviews the new uptrend in the markets and shares where the current strength is, as well as the best ways for you to participate. She also highlights the move back into earnings winners from last month as the... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Overall, the stock market has managed to hold on to its upward rally even in spite of a pullback * Crude oil prices rose on news of production cuts * Treasury yields rose on the jobs report data The much-awaited August jobs report was released on Friday. While it... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave wraps the market week with a discussion of higher interest rates, their implication for growth stocks, and why charts like TSLA shouldn't get an "all clear" until they break above the 50-day moving average.... READ MORE
On this week's edition of StockCharts TV'sStockCharts in Focus, Grayson walks you through a "bottom-up" stock-picking approach that he uses daily on StockCharts, which helps him find the strongest stocks and best technical setups out there in the market. Learn how to... READ MORE
GoNoGo Charts help investors retain an objective evidence-based view on what is actually happening in the markets, and this week has shown the weight of the evidence on the side of the bulls. In this edition of the GoNoGo Charts show, Alex and Tyler examine the fade of US... READ MORE
Cycle Deep Dive At times, it seems there are as many cycles as there are traders. I have been focusing on the shorter-term ones, those ranging from 2 to 5 years. Recently, I pondered on the clear fact that cycle forecasts work far better to spot market bottoms than... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Contrarian investing wisdom suggests that opposing the general market sentiment can lead to viable market opportunities * The Williams Sentiment Index measures the prevailing opinions and sentiment of financial advisors and offers insights into potential market turns * The Williams Sentiment Index indicates when investor sentiment is exceedingly bullish or... READ MORE
With the Federal Government piling on debt at a record rate, many investors are looking to gold as a way to protect against all the bad things that could happen as a result of the reckless spending. Part of the process would be deciding how much of a portfolio should... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, TG Watkins of Simpler Trading shows how breadth conditions are very similar to previous bull market pullbacks. Dave focuses in on constructive setups in gold and crude oil, then highlights one semiconductor stock featuring a symmetrical triangle pattern. This video... READ MORE
On this week's edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe explains the importance of the DI lines when looking at the ADX indicator. He discusses how we can determine who is in control and when to be on the lookout for a reversal. Joe then analyses the... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Adrien Zduńczyk of TheBirbNest charts Bitcoin's bounce off support at $25K and relates bullish Bitcoin trends to a broader risk appetite for investors. Host David Keller, CMT highlights the McClellan Oscillator breaking back above the crucial zero level... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Comparing risky asskets with more conservative ones can reflect investor confidence * Negative divergences offer subtle indications of a deterioration of a stock market rally * An upward trend indicates that investor confidence is positive Traders and investors pay a lot of attention to surveys to assess swings in sentiment,... READ MORE
In this week's edition of Trading Simplified, Dave shows his methodology in action with a short side setup that recently triggered. He also touches upon a simple way to stay on the right side on the market - so far, so good! After that, he resumes expounding on the... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Get a macro view of the market by analyzing the broader indexes * Identify stocks which show a divergence between price and the Williams Insider Accumulation Index * If accumulation is increasing and the stock price starts moving higher, it could be an ideal entry point Whether you're... READ MORE
ADVANCE-DECLINE LINE BOUNCING... A glance at various measures of market breadth offers good and bad news. All of them are lagging behind the S&P 500 which is a caution sign. The good news is that they're bouncing off potential support lines. Chart 1 compares the... READ MORE
Conference Board Economic Forecast: Looking into 2024, we expect the volatility that dominated the US economy over the pandemic period to diminish. In the second half of 2024, we forecast that overall growth will return to more stable pre-pandemic rates, inflation will drift closer to 2 percent, and the... READ MORE
In this special edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Danielle Shay of Simpler Trading breaks down the current short-covering rally and walks through her current setups for QQQ, NVDA, MSFT, and TSLA. Host Dave tracks the recent drop in interest rates and shows how Bitcoin has bounced... READ MORE
In this week's edition of StockCharts TV'sHalftime, Pete reexamines the chart he posted before the Jackson Hole meeting; Chairman Powell validated his thinking that the Fed Policy will remain tight until the unemployment rate increases. He then gives a quick review of the SPX and the... READ MORE
What if you had access to a forecasting tool capable of predicting the most likely path prices may take roughly in the next three months? The caveat here is that it can't accurately pinpoint the peaks and troughs, but it can approximate them with relative accuracy. This is... READ MORE
In August's last regular episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I address the seasonal patterns in sector rotation and looks to find alignment with the current rotations as they are playing out on the Relative Rotation Graph. September is not the strongest month in terms of... READ MORE
In this special edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest host Mish Schneider (MarketGauge) steps in for Dave. Mish puts her own spin on the Market Recap, starting with the indices and exploring sectors using her "Economic Modern Family" analysis. Mish then sits down with Keith... READ MORE
Bonds have had one of the worst years in modern times and one of the fastest rates of interest rate rises. The good news is the market has absorbed the bond's performance. A better risk-on environment is when the SPY outperforms the long bonds. The same is... READ MORE
In this week's edition of The DecisionPoint Trading Room, Carl introduces viewers to the new Market Bias table now included in the DecisionPoint Alert. This table covers all the major indexes, sectors, and select industry groups. He goes over how we determine the bias in the intermediate and... READ MORE
In a week that has gone by, Indian equities continued to heavily consolidate. They defended key levels for most of the week; it was in the last two trading sessions that the markets came off from their high point while giving up all their weekly gains. The trading range got... READ MORE
I felt it only right to publicly acknowledge and thank William J. O'Neil for the lifestyle I enjoy today. He passed away in May at the age of 90, and I wanted to wait until now to explain how he changed my life. William O'Neil was... READ MORE
In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe MEM Edge, Mary Ellen reviews the strength in Tech-heavy Nasdaq and highlights what to be on the lookout for to signal a new uptrend. She also reviews positive high yield stocks for those more cautious on the markets. This video originally... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * $INDU chart resting at double support and likely to bounce higher * Outperform the index by avoiding four stocks The Relative Rotation Graph above, which shows the rotations inside the DJ Industrials index, exhibits an evenly-spread-out universe of stocks. This is primarily the result of $INDU being... READ MORE
Small caps, as measured by IWM, are key for the fall and heading into 2024. You can also look at the S&P 600 (SML). IWM could be forming an inverted head-and-shoulders bottom, going back from the start of 2023. (See the rectangle area of the IWM... READ MORE