The President and the Fed Chair have been in a battle over lower rates for some time. One has been pressuring for easy money to boost the economy, the other prefers to hold off for a while to see what effects the tariffs and other factors might have on inflation.... READ MORE
Last month, the Dollar Index triggered a number of sell signals confirming that it is in a bear market. Chart 1, for instance, shows that the red up trendline emanating in 2011 has been decisively ruptured, thereby pushing the Index further below its moving average. The Coppock Curve, seen in... READ MORE
This week, Julius shows how the Technology sector is edging toward leadership, alongside Industrials and soon-to-follow Communication Services. He highlights breakout lines for SPY, XLK, and XLC, noting that conviction climbs when daily and weekly RRG tails align to point northeast together. Bitcoin is sprinting into the leading quadrant next... READ MORE
A lot has happened in the stock market since Liberation Day, keeping us on our toes. Volatility has declined significantly, stocks have bounced back from their April 7 low, and the economy has remained resilient. If you're still feeling uncertain, though, you're not alone. The stock... READ MORE
On Wednesday, only 4% of the S&P 500's holdings logged gains — a pretty rare occurrence. Since the start of 2024, this has only happened three other times: * August 5, 2024: The last day of the summer correction * December 18, 2024: The Fed's hawkish cut... READ MORE
In this in-depth walkthrough, Grayson introduces the brand-new Market Summary Dashboard, an all-in-one resource designed to help you analyze the market with ease, speed, and depth. Follow along as Grayson shows how to take advantage of panels, mini-charts, and quick scroll menus to maximize your StockCharts experience. This video originally... READ MORE
Something didn't seem to ring true a couple of weeks ago when the whole world, by which I mean from the Treasury Secretary to your favorite cable news host, seized on the recent sell-off in bonds and why they would no longer be a safe haven and therefore... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The bond market has been as volatile as the equity market, as indicated by the Move Index. * The price action in bonds will alert you to stability returning to equities. * Investors should not rush to add positions until stability returns to the stock market. It was another erratic... READ MORE
In this video, Grayson unveils StockCharts' new Market Summary ChartPack—an incredibly valuable new ChartPack packed full of pre-built charts covering breadth, sentiment, volatility data and MUCH MORE! From there, Grayson then breaks down what he's seeing on the current Market Summary dashboard, illustrating how he'... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Declining equities, bonds, and the US dollar is making Wall Street nervous. * Investors will need to look at market price action through the lens of macro factors. * View longer-term charts, keep an eye on bond prices, and watch the US dollar's price action. Another interesting week... READ MORE
Stock market analysis, technical indicators, and market trends are crucial for informed investing. StockCharts is making those things easier, and Grayson Roze is here to show you how. In this video, Grayson provides an in-depth walk-through of the all-new Market Summary Page. This comprehensive tool offers a top-down overview of... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * With fast-moving markets, this report is vulnerable to self-destruction within 5 days. * The bond vigilantes sent a message as long-term yields surged and bonds plunged. * Unless reversed, these developments are negative for stocks, especially rate sensitive stocks. In the opening scene of Mission Impossible 2, Ethan Hunt receives... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The stock market indexes bounced back with the largest one-day gains. * Technology and Consumer Discretionary stocks were the best-performing S&P sectors. * Bonds had the most interesting price in Wednesday's trading. Tariff turmoil continues sending the stock market into a turbulent spin. Tariffs went into... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The broader stock market indexes are showing weakness as more tariff news looms. * The automobile sector continues to get hammered. * Bond and precious metals prices are rising, indicating risk-off investor sentiment. It was an ugly close to another roller-coaster trading week as the stock market struggled with several... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Tuesday's stock market action was lackluster with not much movement in either direction. * Lack of followthrough from the previous trading day's upside action shows uncertainty is still in the air. * Keep an eye on the health of the overall U.S. economy by monitoring... READ MORE
At this week's news conference, Jerome Powell mentioned that the Fed is cautious about making significant changes to interest rates due to unclear economic conditions, citing factors like trade policies and inflation, which have contributed to this uncertainty. If the "experts" don't know, it&... READ MORE
A couple of weeks ago, I wrote that stocks were beginning to slip against the gold price. Chart 1 shows that the ratio has now decisively broken below an important uptrend line, marking the lower region of a three-year top. The short-term KST is currently oversold, so some kind of... READ MORE
In this video, Tony breaks down the big-picture market trends before diving deep into bullish and bearish setups for META, BIDU, AMGN, NVDA, DAL, and more! Get expert insights and key analysis you won't want to miss! This video premiered on February 24, 2025.... READ MORE
In this video, Tony highlights important moves in equities, then shares the OptionsPlay research report for bull/bear plays. Tony then spends time on NVDA, highlighting the importance of staying on top of the AI revolution. He also looks at key stocks like V, BA, META, and more. This video... READ MORE
In this video, Tony shares his weekly market review, discussing growth vs. value, volatility, commodities, and more. From there, he shares his list of bearish and bullish options trade ideas, including META, AMGN, GOOGL, NVDA, DIS, and more. This video premiered on February 3, 2025.... READ MORE
In this video, Dave shares five charts from his ChartList of market ratios that investors can use to track changing market conditions through 2025. If you want to better track shifts in market leadership, identify where funds are flowing, and stay on top of evolving market trends, make sure to... READ MORE
In this video, Tony starts the week with a very different tone as he looks at how markets are currently playing out. He then shares individual trade ideas, pointing out which ones they continue to have a bullish or bearish outlooks on. He looks at some key stocks including META,... READ MORE
In this exclusive StockCharts video,Julius takes a look at asset class rotation on Relative Rotation Graphs. He then addresses the 6 sectors that are NOT in the "best five sectors" for this week. To conclude, he dives into the Technology sector to find some of the best... READ MORE
That may seem like a strange title, but it is intended to make the point that commodities look as though they are in the process of breaking out. Furthermore, this breakout, if successful, would jump-start a finely balanced long-term technical position into a primary bull market, all courtesy of our... READ MORE
S&P 500 earnings are in for 2024 Q3, and here is our valuation analysis. The following chart shows the normal value range of the S&P 500 Index, indicating where the S&P 500 would have to be in order to have an overvalued P/E... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Higher interest rates can directly impact industry groups like homebuilders, which are driven by consumers borrowing money. * While a normal shaped yield curve suggests optimism for economic growth, the transition from an inverted yield curve usually results in weaker stock prices. * The market trend remains the most important... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * No Santa Claus Rally this year, but the stock market's optimistic price action on Friday lifted investors' moods. * Stocks like TSLA and NVDA had big gains while X, CVNA, and alcoholic beverages had big declines. * Treasury yields and the US dollar remain high, and oil... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Track the Yield curve moving back to normal on RRG * USD showing massive strength against all currencies * Stock market drop not affecting sector rotation (yet) The Yield Curve The RRG above shows the rotations of the various maturities on the US-Yield Curve. What we see at the moment... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Broader stock market indexes got a bearish jolt on Wednesday. * Gold, silver, and cryptocurrencies joined the equity selloff. * Treasury yields and the US dollar jump higher. Uncertainty in the stock market makes it difficult to make investment decisions. When investors sell off stocks, everyone follows without giving it... READ MORE
After the November pullback, GLD began to rally again. This week, on Wednesday, price exceeded the nearest November top, which made official the new rising trend from the November low. Brief celebration ends the following day as GLD tops, setting the top boundary for a bearish rising wedge formation. Rising... READ MORE
Looking for options trade ideas? In this video, Tony presents some of the best options trading strategies! After discussing special 0DTE strategies, the big picture, and individual sectors and industries, Tony covers bullish and bearish ideas for stocks including NVDA, SHOP, GOOGL, META, CAT and many more. This video premiered... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The broader stock market indexes continue to notch new record highs. * Risk appetite is strong as Bitcoin rises while Treasury yields and volatility retreat. * Earnings from Oracle, Adobe, Broadcom, and Costco may move the stock market next week. The first trading week in December started on a positive... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Low VIX reading implies that conditions are favorable for stocks. * The MOVE index is basically a VIX for bonds, and can help to corroborate volatility readings across asset classes. * High yield spreads remain quite narrow, implying bond investors perceive a low risk environment. "The market goes up... READ MORE
My recent discussions on the Market Misbehavior podcasthave often included some comments on the interest rate environment, particularly the shape of the yield curve. We've had an inverted yield curve since late 2022, and so the yield curve taking on a more normal shape could mean a huge... READ MORE
In this video, Tony shows how he starts his week with a clear technical and fundamental perspective of the stocks he's likely going to enter, and of options positions throughout the week, and how you can apply that yourself. Tony shares bullish (NVDA, DIS, SHOP) and bearish (AAPL,... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The broader stock market indexes take a breather. The day before Thanksgiving, the stock market took a little breather. But the weekly performance was still impressive. The Dow Jones Industrial Average ($INDU) remains the broader index leader, rising 0.96% for the week. The S&P 500... READ MORE
Join Tony as he walks you through a Macro Market outlook, and shares his top bearish and bullish options trading ideas. He talks growth vs. value, commodities, bonds, the Dollar Index, sectors like homebuilders and semiconductors, and stocks like NVDA, DIS, INTC, and more. This video premiered on November 26,... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Stocks and bond prices rallied on Monday in response to President-elect Trump's pick for Treasury Secretary. * Gold and oil prices fell steeply as concerns of geopolitical risks ease. * Small and mid-cap stocks were the leaders in today's equity rally. It's a short... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Broader equity indexes ended the week on a positive note, with small- and mid-caps gaining momentum. * Gold regained its bullish momentum, and the US dollar surged. * Bitcoin skyrocketed and crossed the 10K level, but closed lower. The last full trading week before the Thanksgiving holiday has ended on... READ MORE
Today, the 20-Year Bond ETF (TLT) 50-day EMA crossed down through the 200-day EMA (Death Cross), generating an LT Trend Model SELL Signal. This was the result of a downtrend lasting over two months. We note that the PMO has been running flat below the zero line for a month,... READ MORE