KEY TAKEAWAYS * Stock market indexes resumed their bullish trend. * Small- and mid-cap stocks rose the most showing strong upside movement. * Treasury yields rose higher on concerns of reinflation. The afternoon turnaround seems to be more the norm than the exception. Thursday's stock market action followed the trend. What... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Despite a lot of turmoil, SPY continues to show strong rotations on both weekly and daily RRGs. * Rising yields have not damaged the stock rally yet. * Stock/Bond ratio remains strongly in favor of stocks. After the election, things have hardly settled in the world. New developments in... READ MORE
Join Tony as he walks you through a Macro Market outlook, where he shares his top bearish and bullish options trading ideas, These include Disney (DIS), Shopify (SHOP), Intel (INTC), Adobe (ADBE), and Apple (AAPL). He explores growth vs. value, current sector rotation, key earnings, and more. This video premiered... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Tech stocks, especially semiconductors, get hammered. * Treasury yields continue to rally higher in response to Fed comments and strong economy. * The US dollar rally confirms the strength of the US economy. "The economy is not sending any signals that we need to be in a hurry to... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The broader stock market indexes hit milestone levels this week. * Monitoring volatility in bonds could be a leading indicator in market action shifts. * The US dollar can provide clues about future stock market action. Another packed week for the stock market has come to a close. The broader... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Markets bounced back after Thursday's selloff. * Small-cap stocks are struggling to gain steam even though interest rates are likely to decline. * Treasury yields continue to rise. After yesterday's "trick," investors received a "treat" at the end of the trading week,... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Tech stocks gained some ground this week after better-than-expected earnings from Tesla. * US Treasury yields continue to rise. * Bullish momentum keeps gold prices rising higher. Although earnings season is in full swing, trading volume has been relatively light this week. Perhaps investors are waiting for the stock market... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Stock market is treading softly as uncertainties loom on the horizon. * Consumer Staples is the best-performing sector. * Nasdaq breaks out above a consolidation pattern ahead of Tech earnings. The overall trend in the stock market's broader indexes remains bullish. While the indexes were trading lower on... READ MORE
In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius dives in to the sector rotation model, trying to find any alignment between theoretical and real-life rotations of sectors in combination with the economic cycle. The positions of the various sectors and the economic indicators that are part of this model are not... READ MORE
Below, Chart 1 shows a weekly plot for the 30-year yield, where we can see a perfectly formed top whose completion was followed by a negative 65-week EMA crossover. At the time of the breakdown, there were few grounds for suspecting a false break. However, in the last couple of... READ MORE
In this StockCharts TV video, Mary Ellen highlights the continuation rally in AI-related stocks while also reviewing broader market conditions. The move higher in yields as well as volatility were discussed heading into next week's FOMC notes and inflation data. This video originally premiered October 4, 2024. You... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The macro picture of the US economy remains strong with the broader equity indexes in an uptrend. * There has been some rotation in the sectors with Energy taking the lead as a result of rising crude oil prices. * Use the StockCharts MarketCarpet to select stocks for your ChartLists.... READ MORE
S&P 500 earnings are in for 2024 Q2, and here is our valuation analysis. The following chart shows the normal value range of the S&P 500 Index, indicating where the S&P 500 would have to be in order to have an overvalued P/E... READ MORE
In this exclusive StockCharts TV video, Joe presents an introduction to the Average Directional Index (ADX), sharing how it is calculated and how to use it. He highlights some of the strengths, and weaknesses, of this powerful indicator. He then analyzes Bitcoin, NVDA, and AVGO, and finishes up the show... READ MORE
In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius assesses current rotations in asset classes and US sectors using Relative Rotation Graphs, finding a lot of contradictory behavior. Taking a step back, he focuses on the weekly timeframe to find some more meaningful trends and shy away from day-to-day noise. He then... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at a new all-time high. * Stock market indexes still have bullish momentum in spite of up and down movement. * Bond prices could stabilize after digesting the interest rate cut. The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut decision on Wednesdaywas like receiving... READ MORE
Interest rates have been cut -- what now? Larry presents his thoughts in this edition of the Family Gathering video. In this month's Family Gathering video, Larry begins with what he calls the "Fed Cut Discount Rate" and what it means. What does history make of... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The Fed cut interest rates by 50 basis points and shifts focus to the economy. * Stock market rallied after the Fed's interest rate cut decision but closed lower. * Treasury yields rose while bond prices fell. The stock market received what it expected from the Federal Reserve—... READ MORE
While the S&P 500 finished the week once again testing new all-time highs around 5650, the Nasdaq 100 remains rangebound in a symmetrical triangle or "coil" pattern. While this pattern does not necessarily suggest a potential next move for the QQQ, it did lead me to... READ MORE
Most of the primary trend indicators I follow are in a bullish mode and show few signs of flagging. That said, some intermarket relationships, which help to indicate whether the environment is risk-off or risk-on, have started to move in a risk-off direction. That's usually a bearish omen... READ MORE
I've been around long enough to remember when Intel (INTC) was the NVIDIA of the day. Now, INTC is under severe pressure, having suspended its dividend, and is currently being considered for removal from the Dow 30 Industrial Average. Oh, how the mighty have fallen! With INTC having... READ MORE
Every business cycle has an inflationary and deflationary part, and it's very important for both traders and investors at least to try to have some understanding which has the upper hand at any particular point in time. For example, when the economy is in a slowdown or recessionary... READ MORE
What to make of the market as we near the end of August? Larry presents his thoughts in this edition of the Family Gathering video. In this month's Family Gathering video, Larry begins by presenting a new way of forecasting for Crude Oil. After that, he follows up... READ MORE
In Monday's DecisionPoint Trading Room video, we were asked why we cover Gold Miners (GDX) as well as Gold (GLD). There are two reasons: 1. Some people prefer to own the commodity, Gold, and others prefer to own an operating company that benefits from the price of Gold,... READ MORE
In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius looks at the conflicting rotations in both asset classes and equity sectors. The weekly rotations differ significantly from their daily counterparts. What does it mean for the current rally in the S&P 500, and what does it mean for the relationship... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave recaps an epic rally in mega cap growth stocks, with NVDA up over 6% and META threatening a new 52-week high. Dave highlights how gold and bond prices continue to rise in the face of stronger stocks, and breaks... READ MORE
In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius assesses various rotations using Relative Rotation Graphs, starting at asset class level and then moving to sectors. Julius zooms in on the industries of two sectors to get an idea of where pockets of out-performance may exist in the current market. He then... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave recaps a choppy Monday for the equity markets, as gold tests new all-time highs and interest rates continue to plummet. He highlights the stock to bond ratio, revisits the classic 60:40 ratio favored by investors, and breaks down... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Smoothing the signal thresholds help to reduce whipsaws. * A new uptrend signaled for TLT as the 5-day exceeded the 200-day by more than 3% * TLT also sports a classic breakout and continuation signal. The 20+ Yr Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) is turning the corner as a long-term trend... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Weak manufacturing and jobs data sends investors into panic mode * All broader stock market indexes fall over 2% * Bond prices rise The dog days of summer are here. And the stock market gives us a brutal reminder of this. The first trading day of August began on a... READ MORE
It looks to me like it's time for the bond market to take a breather, if not have a pullback from now into late October. We can sum it up with the cycle projections from Chart 1. I have highlighted, in red, the down leg of the 450-day... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Investor sentiment has turned more bearish with a continuation of a selloff in big tech stocks. * More earnings, an FOMC meeting, and jobs report are adding to investor uncertainty. * Keep an eye on bond prices as the data starts to unravel. Last week, there was a noticeable change... READ MORE
The bond market experienced a secular bear between 1981 and the spring of 2020. Chart 1 offers three reasons why it has since reversed and given way to a secular uptrend or possibly multi-year trading range. The first piece of evidence comes from violating the multi-decade trendline. Second, the price... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Strong Sector Rotation Out Of Technology * Financials and Real Estate Lead * Stock/Bond Ratio Triggers Sell Signal Flying Financials In the recent sector rotation, basically OUT of technology and INTO anything else, Financials and Real-Estate led the relative move. On the RRG above, I have highlighted the (daily)... READ MORE
Friday's CrowdStrike software disaster has been described as "the largest IT outage in history," and it brought home just how vulnerable the planet is to itty-bitty coding errors. We were busy publishing the DecisionPoint ALERT Weekly Wrap, so I didn't have a chance to... READ MORE
What stocks right now does Larry have his eye on? Which ones is he saying "see you later... for now"? And which ones does he not like very much at all? In this month's Family Gathering video, Larry presents an in-depth discussion on the patterns we... READ MORE
In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius looks at the markets from an asset allocation perspective using various RRGs. Stocks are (still) beating bonds, while commodities are rotating out of favor and the USD is losing steam. BTC is jumping higher off support, and the Yield Curve is steepening against... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The stock market could continue its bullish run on interest rate cut speculation * The S&P 500 Equal-Weighted Index is a good indication of the health of the overall stock market * Bond market action is often a leading indicator of stock market action With the S&... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite close at record highs * Equities, precious metals, and bonds all rise, but Bitcoin shows weakness * Keep an eye on the Equal Weighted S&P 500 and Nasdaq breadth to get early insight into stock market direction. If you were taking... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The stock market continued to move sideways as investors continue to be indecisive * Speech from Fed Chair Powell and Fed meeting minutes could send the market in either direction * Friday's jobs report could impact price action in the stock market The stock market's theme... READ MORE