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Gold Miners' Performance vs. Gold -- Does It Say Sell Gold?
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
In Monday's DecisionPoint Trading Room video, we were asked why we cover Gold Miners (GDX) as well as Gold (GLD). There are two reasons:
1. Some people prefer to own the commodity, Gold, and others prefer to own an operating company that benefits from the price of Gold,...
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This Market is On Track for a 45-Year Breakout
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
It's not very often that any market experiences a 10-year breakout, let alone a 45-year one. That, however, is what Chart 1 says is about to materialize for the inflation-adjusted gold price.
Since the chart is based on monthly data, we will not know for sure until the...
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How ADX Stage Analysis Can Make You a BETTER Trader!
by Joe Rabil,
President, Rabil Stock Research
In this exclusive StockCharts TV video, Joe shows the four stages a stock or market can be in at any time. He explains each stage and how ADX & Volatility can help define each stage. He then shows what stage the SPY is right and why the bias is still...
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The Growth Trade is Back!
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave recaps an epic rally in mega cap growth stocks, with NVDA up over 6% and META threatening a new 52-week high. Ā Dave highlights how gold and bond prices continue to rise in the face of stronger stocks, and breaks...
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CRITICAL Week Ahead for S&P 500
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius assesses various rotations using Relative Rotation Graphs, starting at asset class level and then moving to sectors. Julius zooms in on the industries of two sectors to get an idea of where pockets of out-performance may exist in the current market. He then...
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Why Bonds and Gold Are Outperforming Stocks
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave recaps a choppy Monday for the equity markets, as gold tests new all-time highs and interest rates continue to plummet. Ā He highlights the stock to bond ratio, revisits the classic 60:40 ratio favored by investors, and breaks down...
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Time for a Pause That Refreshes Stocks and Gold?
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
Most weekends, I run through a chart list featuring weekly bars and candlesticks of bonds, stocks and commodities to see if any one or two bar patterns or candlestick formations have developed. Last week produced a crop of bearish messages from the major averages and some sectors. Before you rush...
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CrowdStrike: Did On-Balance Volume See the "Largest IT Outage In History" Coming?
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
Friday's CrowdStrike software disaster has been described as "the largest IT outage in history," and it brought home just how vulnerable the planet is to itty-bitty coding errors. We were busy publishing the DecisionPoint ALERT Weekly Wrap, so I didn't have a chance to...
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Election Year Patterns | Larry's "Family Gathering" July 18, 2024 Recording
by Larry Williams,
Veteran Investor and Author
What stocks right now does Larry have his eye on? Which ones is he saying "see you later... for now"? And which ones does he not like very much at all?
In this month's Family Gathering video, Larry presents an in-depth discussion on the patterns we...
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Dow Theory Bull Confirmed! What Happens Next?
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave comments on the Newer Dow Theory signal, improving market breadth conditions, impact of lower interest rates, and key levels to watch for GLD, UNH, CAT, and BAC. He also breaks down today's rally driven by small caps...
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Citi Predicts $3,000 Gold by 2025 ā What You Need to Know
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* What the Fed does in the coming months could dramatically affect the direction of gold prices
* While seasonality suggests a shift from slump to strong performance for gold, it will likely coincide with the Fed's rate decisions in the coming months
* Goldman Sachs projects gold to...
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They Say Three Steps and Stumble; This Market is Taking a Fourth
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
The legendary technician Edson Gould had a rule that, after three discount rate hikes, the stock market would be likely to stumble. That doesn't apply to emerging markets, but it did make a catchy headline. What is relevant to the iShares MSCI Emerging Market ETF (EEM) is that,...
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Silver's AI Boom: The Next Big Trade You Need to Know About
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Silver may be the next big "AI trade"
* While silver ETFs are seeing large outflows, silver futures are telling a different story
* Understanding silver's seasonal pattern and identifying the key levels to watch are critical
Over the last few years, the "AI trade&...
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S&P 500 Earnings Results Are In for 2024 Q1 and Market Is Still Overvalued
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
S&P 500 earnings are in for 2024 Q1, and here is our valuation analysis.
The following chart shows the normal value range of the S&P 500 Index, indicating where the S&P 500 would have to be in order to have an overvalued P/E...
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Why Technical Analysis Does NOT Work for Leveraged ETFs
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave answers viewer questions on using technical indicators on leveraged and inverse ETFs like SOXL and SOXS, buying breakouts below the 200-day moving average, upside targets for gold, and whether the $USD is in a primary uptrend.
See Dave'...
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June & Gloom | Larry's "Family Gathering" June 18, 2024 Recording
by Larry Williams,
Veteran Investor and Author
June is here! Will it be bloom or gloom for the stock market?
In this month's Family Gathering video, Larry examines the current averages in the market and what the advance-decline line is telling us. He explains the Trading Day of the Month (TDOM) concept and how you...
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Gold Top? Focus on These Potential Price Objectives
by Stewart Taylor,
Retired Technical Analyst
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Gold reached its triangle breakout price objective
* Since reaching the price objective after the triangle breakout, gold has been in a distribution phase
* If gold breaks lower, it could fall by 10ā12%
In early 2024, gold reached the price objective derived from the breakout of the large...
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Bearish Divergences in 2 KEY Growth Stocks: BEWARE!
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave recaps a fresh new all-time high for the S&P 500, a concerning "hanging man" candle for the SPY, and troubling bearish divergences on the charts of AMZN and GOOGL. He also breaks down short-term and...
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The Next Direction for Interest Rates Is...?
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
In most cycles, central banks around the world raise and lower short-term interest rates in a rough synchronization. Last week, the European and Canadian central banks began lowering their rates, and the British are expected to follow suit this week. Most observers of the US expect the Federal Reserve to...
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S&P 500 Still Bullish: This Is What You Should Watch For
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Stock market unfazed by today's jobs data
* Yields rise, US dollar rises, and equities close the week relatively flat
* Market breadth continues to be strong, indicating the stock market is still chugging along
It was a bit of a seesaw week in the stock market, but,...
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Technology Sector Participation Is Fading
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
The Technology Sector (XLK) continues to dominate and drive the rally, but fewer and fewer stocks within the sector are participating in the rally. We know this because our Silver Cross Index (SCI), which shows the percent of stocks in the Technology Sector with Silver Cross BUY Signals (20-day EMA...
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3 Keys to Finding the Strongest Trends
by Joe Rabil,
President, Rabil Stock Research
On this week's edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe shows the three keys he hunts for when identifying reversals and strong trends, giving a few examples and then showing one that is developing now. He then highlights similar techniques he uses while reviewing the Sectors. In...
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Textbook Double Top on Silver (SLV)
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
Gold is struggling, moving mostly sideways. Silver has technically been moving sideways as well, only it has formed a textbook double top chart pattern. Textbook double tops show even tops and a clear confirmation line delineated at the middle of the "M" formation. What is good about these...
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The Sky is Not Falling | Focus on Stocks: June 2024
by Larry Williams,
Veteran Investor and Author
A note to the Cassandras who are now out in full force...
Led by "Rich Dad, Poor Dad" Robert Kiyosaki's warning of "Be careful, it's the biggest crash in world history," the bears have come out of their winter caves. "We...
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From Summer Doldrums to Year-End Surge: How to Profit from Seasonal Trends in Precious Metals and Bitcoin
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Bitcoin, gold, and silver exhibit similar seasonality patterns.
* Bitcoin, gold, and silver prices largely reflect economic expectations.
* If you're bullish on bitcoin, gold, or silver, there are critical levels to watch.
Safe-haven investments like gold, silver, and now Bitcoin have had a bumpy and uncertain rise,...
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Three Stock Ideas as S&P 500 Treads Water
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave welcomes Tony Zhang of OptionsPlay. Tony shares three stock ideas showing favorable risk/reward characteristics as the S&P 500 index treads water above support at 5250. David describes the deteriorating market breadth conditions and reviews charts of...
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EQUITIES REMAIN IN "GO" TREND WITH SPARSE LEADERSHIP FROM TECH AND UTILITIES
by Alex Cole,
Co-founder, GoNoGo ChartsĀ®
by Tyler Wood,
Co-founder, GoNoGo ChartsĀ®
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Relative Strength
* Market Trend
* Narrow Breadth
Good morning and welcome to this week's Flight Path. We saw some weakness this week as price pulled back a little from all time highs. Momentum cooled, we saw this in the form of Go Countertrend Correction Icons (red arrows)...
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These Commodities are On Track for Mega Breakouts in May
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
It's rare when you see a multi-year breakout take place, but, when several materialize more or less at the same time, that should really get our attention. That's not simply because of the opportunities being presented, but also because several simultaneous breakouts indicate a broader participation...
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Market Looks Toppy
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
In spite of the massive celebration of Nvidia's earnings report, we are seeing troublesome signs that the market is in the process of putting in a top. There are double top formations on six of the nine major indexes we follow, but the three indexes that haven'...
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Thrilling Week for the Stock Market: Dow Jones Makes Strong Close Above 40,000 for the First Time
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Dow Jones Industrial Average closes above 40,000 for the first time
* Commodities such as silver, copper, and gold are moving higher
* Volatility remains low, indicating investors are complacent
It made it! The Dow Jones Industrial Average ($INDU) closed above 40,000 for the first time, another record...
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Gold Is Doing Great!
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
While we don't typically begin with a monthly chart, it seems like a good place to start, as most of the good news is present there.
Beginning on the left side, we can see how gold made a parabolic advance into an all-time high in 2011. Parabolic advances...
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Gold and Silver Set to Smash Records: Could 2024 Be Their Biggest Year Yet?
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Gold and silver are on the verge of breaking out toward record highs
* Gold and silver have reached most analyst price targets, but they could rise further
* From a technical perspective, gold and silver prices could smash above resistance levels
Gold is on the verge of breaking into...
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Larry Williams: Dow 40k, Cycle Analysis, and Lessons Learned
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, legendary trader and author Larry Williams joins Dave in the StockCharts TV studio. Larry shares his latest thoughts on Dow 40K, the resilient rise of gold and precious metals, cycle analysis on the S&P 500 and crude oil,...
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Larry's "Family Gathering" May 16, 2024 Recording
by Larry Williams,
Veteran Investor and Author
Certainty is needed for a trader's actions. Good judgment comes from experience, and experience is gained from poor judgment. The key to improving your trading is to really, truly study the losing trades.
In this month's Family Gathering video, Larry presents PPI numbers for historical buy...
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A Grand Slam: Broader Stock Market Indexes Soar to New Highs
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* The S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average, and the Nasdaq Composite close at all-time highs
* Bond prices also moved higher, as did gold and silver
* The VIX remains low, indicating investors are complacent
The bull market hasn't gone anywhere. Despite of worrying about the...
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Watch for Higher Lows in These Three Tech Stocks
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave uncovers strength in SQSP using the Stochastics Oscillator and the StochRSI indicator. He shares his favorite chart for analyzing relative strength ratios for leading stocks, and also answers viewer questions on price patterns for XLB and PYPL, plus best...
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35 Years of Crude Oil Forecasting the Future | Focus on Stocks: May 2024
by Larry Williams,
Veteran Investor and Author
All You Need to Know About Crude Oil and the Future
Gold, black gold, is what Crude Oil has become. The entire world runs on energy. 98% of our cars and transportation, our lights, the device you are using to read this... virtually everything we can do is thanks to...
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S&P 500 Makes a New All-Time High By End of June?
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
We've been covering the signs of weakness for stocks, from the bearish divergences in March, to the mega-cap growth stocksbreaking through their 50-day moving averages, to even thedramatic increase in volatilityoften associated with major market tops. While Q1 was marked by broad market strength and plenty of new...
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Netflix Gets Island Reversal On Earnings
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
Netflix (NFLX) earnings were released today, and the news was good. . . except for one little thing. They also suspiciously announced that, starting next year, they would no longer be reporting subscriber metrics. That's like General Motors saying that they will no longer report how many cars and trucks...
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Charts Flashing "No Go" for S&P 500!
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave welcomes guest Tyler Wood, CMT of GoNoGo Charts. Tyler walks through their proprietary momentum model which confirms a bearish rotation for the major equity benchmarks yet a bullish rotation for the commodity space. David walks through key earnings names...
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