Using West Texas Crude, Chart 1 features one of my favorite techniques for identifying changes in long-term trends, which is simply a PPO using the 6- and 15-month parameters. When it is above zero, it's bullish, and when below, bearish. The pink shading indicates bearish periods, and the... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The macro picture of the US economy remains strong with the broader equity indexes in an uptrend. * There has been some rotation in the sectors with Energy taking the lead as a result of rising crude oil prices. * Use the StockCharts MarketCarpet to select stocks for your ChartLists.... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Goldman Sachs just raised their price target for gold to $2,900 an ounce. * Goldman Sachs' price target roughly equals $280 in SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD). * GLD could have more room to run. Here's the issue with gold: it's difficult to find... READ MORE
In this exclusive StockCharts TV video, Joe explains how to use two timeframes to identify 2 important characteristics of a great setup. For examples, he shares a few Chinese stocks that are showing great strength to the upside and what levels to watch for a pullback. Joe also covers the... READ MORE
S&P 500 earnings are in for 2024 Q2, and here is our valuation analysis. The following chart shows the normal value range of the S&P 500 Index, indicating where the S&P 500 would have to be in order to have an overvalued P/E... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Metals appear to be reacting bullishly after China injected more stimulus into its economy. * Gold, silver, and copper are displaying unique patterns and structures. * Keep an eye on momentum for clues as to each metal's likely move within the context of its current pattern. China'... READ MORE
The common economic perception is that lower interest rates are good for business, which, in turn, means good for job growth. The following charts will turn that idea upside down and inside out. Keep in mind there is no chart fancy-dancing going on here; I am just presenting the last... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The stock market got an influx of positive news, bringing bullish momentum. * The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at a record high on Friday. * Investors are rotating out of mega-cap tech stocks and into other areas such as precious metals, as well as China-related stocks and ETFs. There&... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Stocks, commodities, and crypto prices soared after China announced its stimulus package, but pulled back slightly after the news. * Metal prices are still holding strong while oil prices pulled back. * Escalating geopolitical tensions don't seem to be impacting the stock market much at the moment. Tuesday&... READ MORE
In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius assesses current rotations in asset classes and US sectors using Relative Rotation Graphs, finding a lot of contradictory behavior. Taking a step back, he focuses on the weekly timeframe to find some more meaningful trends and shy away from day-to-day noise. He then... READ MORE
Sentiment indicators are contrarian, meaning that when the majority of investors are bullish on a market, it is bearish for that market. Most investors are aware of several sentiment indicators that relate to the stock market, but they may not be aware that there is a sentiment indicator for gold... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Gold prices are soaring and are at an all-time high. * Anticipated Fed rate cuts can send gold prices higher. * There are two tools you can use to project gold price action in bullish and bearish scenarios. As of Tuesday, the CME's FedWatch Tool gave a 67%... READ MORE
Most of the primary trend indicators I follow are in a bullish mode and show few signs of flagging. That said, some intermarket relationships, which help to indicate whether the environment is risk-off or risk-on, have started to move in a risk-off direction. That's usually a bearish omen... READ MORE
I've been around long enough to remember when Intel (INTC) was the NVIDIA of the day. Now, INTC is under severe pressure, having suspended its dividend, and is currently being considered for removal from the Dow 30 Industrial Average. Oh, how the mighty have fallen! With INTC having... READ MORE
Every business cycle has an inflationary and deflationary part, and it's very important for both traders and investors at least to try to have some understanding which has the upper hand at any particular point in time. For example, when the economy is in a slowdown or recessionary... READ MORE
Let's get this out of the way... In our last Family Gathering, I announced I am doing my best to retire. That means we will have our September Family Gathering, the October newsletter and mid-month Family Gathering. After that, "Focus on Stocks" is all over. I... READ MORE
What to make of the market as we near the end of August? Larry presents his thoughts in this edition of the Family Gathering video. In this month's Family Gathering video, Larry begins by presenting a new way of forecasting for Crude Oil. After that, he follows up... READ MORE
In Monday's DecisionPoint Trading Room video, we were asked why we cover Gold Miners (GDX) as well as Gold (GLD). There are two reasons: 1. Some people prefer to own the commodity, Gold, and others prefer to own an operating company that benefits from the price of Gold,... READ MORE
It's not very often that any market experiences a 10-year breakout, let alone a 45-year one. That, however, is what Chart 1 says is about to materialize for the inflation-adjusted gold price. Since the chart is based on monthly data, we will not know for sure until the... READ MORE
In this exclusive StockCharts TV video, Joe shows the four stages a stock or market can be in at any time. He explains each stage and how ADX & Volatility can help define each stage. He then shows what stage the SPY is right and why the bias is still... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave recaps an epic rally in mega cap growth stocks, with NVDA up over 6% and META threatening a new 52-week high. Dave highlights how gold and bond prices continue to rise in the face of stronger stocks, and breaks... READ MORE
In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius assesses various rotations using Relative Rotation Graphs, starting at asset class level and then moving to sectors. Julius zooms in on the industries of two sectors to get an idea of where pockets of out-performance may exist in the current market. He then... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave recaps a choppy Monday for the equity markets, as gold tests new all-time highs and interest rates continue to plummet. He highlights the stock to bond ratio, revisits the classic 60:40 ratio favored by investors, and breaks down... READ MORE
Most weekends, I run through a chart list featuring weekly bars and candlesticks of bonds, stocks and commodities to see if any one or two bar patterns or candlestick formations have developed. Last week produced a crop of bearish messages from the major averages and some sectors. Before you rush... READ MORE
Friday's CrowdStrike software disaster has been described as "the largest IT outage in history," and it brought home just how vulnerable the planet is to itty-bitty coding errors. We were busy publishing the DecisionPoint ALERT Weekly Wrap, so I didn't have a chance to... READ MORE
What stocks right now does Larry have his eye on? Which ones is he saying "see you later... for now"? And which ones does he not like very much at all? In this month's Family Gathering video, Larry presents an in-depth discussion on the patterns we... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave comments on the Newer Dow Theory signal, improving market breadth conditions, impact of lower interest rates, and key levels to watch for GLD, UNH, CAT, and BAC. He also breaks down today's rally driven by small caps... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * What the Fed does in the coming months could dramatically affect the direction of gold prices * While seasonality suggests a shift from slump to strong performance for gold, it will likely coincide with the Fed's rate decisions in the coming months * Goldman Sachs projects gold to... READ MORE
The legendary technician Edson Gould had a rule that, after three discount rate hikes, the stock market would be likely to stumble. That doesn't apply to emerging markets, but it did make a catchy headline. What is relevant to the iShares MSCI Emerging Market ETF (EEM) is that,... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Silver may be the next big "AI trade" * While silver ETFs are seeing large outflows, silver futures are telling a different story * Understanding silver's seasonal pattern and identifying the key levels to watch are critical Over the last few years, the "AI trade&... READ MORE
S&P 500 earnings are in for 2024 Q1, and here is our valuation analysis. The following chart shows the normal value range of the S&P 500 Index, indicating where the S&P 500 would have to be in order to have an overvalued P/E... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave answers viewer questions on using technical indicators on leveraged and inverse ETFs like SOXL and SOXS, buying breakouts below the 200-day moving average, upside targets for gold, and whether the $USD is in a primary uptrend. See Dave'... READ MORE
June is here! Will it be bloom or gloom for the stock market? In this month's Family Gathering video, Larry examines the current averages in the market and what the advance-decline line is telling us. He explains the Trading Day of the Month (TDOM) concept and how you... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave recaps a fresh new all-time high for the S&P 500, a concerning "hanging man" candle for the SPY, and troubling bearish divergences on the charts of AMZN and GOOGL. He also breaks down short-term and... READ MORE
In most cycles, central banks around the world raise and lower short-term interest rates in a rough synchronization. Last week, the European and Canadian central banks began lowering their rates, and the British are expected to follow suit this week. Most observers of the US expect the Federal Reserve to... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Stock market unfazed by today's jobs data * Yields rise, US dollar rises, and equities close the week relatively flat * Market breadth continues to be strong, indicating the stock market is still chugging along It was a bit of a seesaw week in the stock market, but,... READ MORE
The Technology Sector (XLK) continues to dominate and drive the rally, but fewer and fewer stocks within the sector are participating in the rally. We know this because our Silver Cross Index (SCI), which shows the percent of stocks in the Technology Sector with Silver Cross BUY Signals (20-day EMA... READ MORE
On this week's edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe shows the three keys he hunts for when identifying reversals and strong trends, giving a few examples and then showing one that is developing now. He then highlights similar techniques he uses while reviewing the Sectors. In... READ MORE
Gold is struggling, moving mostly sideways. Silver has technically been moving sideways as well, only it has formed a textbook double top chart pattern. Textbook double tops show even tops and a clear confirmation line delineated at the middle of the "M" formation. What is good about these... READ MORE
A note to the Cassandras who are now out in full force... Led by "Rich Dad, Poor Dad" Robert Kiyosaki's warning of "Be careful, it's the biggest crash in world history," the bears have come out of their winter caves. "We... READ MORE