KEY TAKEAWAYS * New Risk Off Environment for Equities * Commodities Leading The S&P500 trend conditions have reversed into "NoGo" and strengthened to purple bars. Alex Cole and Tyler Wood, CMT identify intermarket forces including rising rates ($TNX) and a strong US Dollar (UUP) that can provide headwinds... READ MORE
Right now, there's lots of room for a downside in the market. Do we really want a rate cut? In this video, Larry talks about past interest rate cuts from the Fed, and what happens to stock prices as a result. Historically, we've seen these cuts... READ MORE
In the last couple of weeks, I have been reading stories about shoppers picking up gold bars in, of all places, Costco. According to Gemini, the AI branch of Google, "Reports indicate they may be selling up to $200 million worth of gold bars every month." Normally, thin... READ MORE
In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe MEM Edge, Mary Ellen shares key signals that it's time to sell a stock, using INTC as an example. She also reviews a key area of support for the markets, and new sectors that have entered a downtrend. She finishes... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and Nasdaq Composite dropped * Gold keeps hitting new highs * The VIX spiked above 18 but closed at 17.31 Now that earnings season has begun, what can you expect the stock market to do, especially after its stellar Q1 run?... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Gold is at record highs with retail investors buying despite sky-high valuations * Fiscal, monetary, and geopolitical uncertainties are driving this "relic" turned "alternative currency" * The technical context reveals a few strategic insights for anyone bullish on the yellow metal The strange thing about gold... READ MORE
Note to the reader: This is the sixteenth in a series of articles I'm publishing here taken from my book, "Investing with the Trend." Hopefully, you will find this content useful. Market myths are generally perpetuated by repetition, misleading symbolic connections, and the complete ignorance of... READ MORE
S&P 500 earnings are in for 2023 Q4, and here is our valuation analysis. The following chart shows the normal value range of the S&P 500 Index, indicating where the S&P 500 would have to be in order to have an overvalued P/E... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * A stronger-than-expected jobs report sent the stock market higher * Several stocks and ETFs hit new all-time highs today * Commodity prices continue to rise One day doesn't make a trend—that's one lesson we learned from this week's stock market action. The March... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Several analysts have grown exceedingly bullish on silver which has been undervalued for some time * Price targets are now at the range of $35 to $50 an ounce * The technical outlook presents a mixed picture, but there are a few key levels to watch if you're... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and Nasdaq Composite remains unfazed about interest rates remaining higher for longer. * Commodity prices such as oil, gold, and cocoa are rising, even though inflation seems to be cooling. * The top S&P 500 sector performers indicate the... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave welcomes guest Joe Rabil of Rabil Stock Research, who shares two sectors, Energy and Materials, where he sees upside potential given the recent upswing in commodity prices. Dave speaks to the developing pullback in growth leadership names and why... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave highlights charts breaking above resistance levels, including Gold Shares (GLD), Phillips 66 (PSX), Capital One Fence Corp (COF), Freeport-McMoRan (FCX), and DraftKings (DKNG). Dave also interviews Buff Dormeier of Kingsview Investment Management, who shows how he uses RSI, the... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Wednesday's broad stock market rally shows that investors are still willing to take chances in the stock market * Even though the stock market rallied, Communication Services and Technology were the worst performing S&P 500 sectors on Wednesday * Gold prices have been on a tear... READ MORE
Note to the reader: This is the thirteenth in a series of articles I'm publishing here taken from my book, "Investing with the Trend." Hopefully, you will find this content useful. Market myths are generally perpetuated by repetition, misleading symbolic connections, and the complete ignorance of... READ MORE
It's March Madness in the stock market! In this video, Larry begins by presenting his Trading Days of the Month (TDOM) for the rest of March, as well as the days to hold back on trading. He also presents what he dubs his "Machu Picchu" trade.... READ MORE
In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe MEM Edge, Mary Ellen reviews investors' responses to the rise in interest rates after inflation numbers come in higher than expected. She also shares how riskier areas of the market sold off while cyclicals came into favor. Earnings reports continue to... READ MORE
This month, the SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) broke out to new, all-time highs. That was a significant long-term move, which we will discuss when we get to the monthly chart. Of more immediate interest is the fact that sentiment is still bearish, which bodes well for a continued advance. We... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave tracks the day's weaker session, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq down slightly and the small cap S&P 600 down 1.6%. He covers energy stocks breaking higher on stronger crude oil prices,... READ MORE
Note to the reader: This is the twelfth in a series of articles I'm publishing here taken from my book, "Investing with the Trend." Hopefully, you will find this content useful. Market myths are generally perpetuated by repetition, misleading symbolic connections, and the complete ignorance of... READ MORE
Last week, I pointed out the inflationary consequences of the recent gold breakout, as gold market participants initially expect prices to firm up in the commodity pits and later the CPI itself. This week, we will take those thoughts a step further by relating swings in industrial commodity prices to... READ MORE
Pete presents the 100th and final edition ofStockCharts TV'sHalftime! This week, Pete shares some parting tips on what to look for when the trends change from defense, (risk off) to offense (risk on). He explains how he saw them coming and how the Chaikin Power Gauge did as... READ MORE
The title of this article may be exaggerated, but, last Friday, the probabilities for an upward reversal in the rate of inflation later this year went substantially higher. That's because the gold price, an inflationary bellwether, broke out from a 4-year trading range to a new all-time high.... READ MORE
Absorbing the information gleaned from monthly charts for various asset classes or sectors can help gain some perspective. However, I find that an examination of the relationships between them can be equally rewarding, if not moreso. That's because they point out the nature of the current investment environment,... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave continues his market recaps from Dubai, focusing on the impressive rally in small caps, continued strength in Bitcoin, and upside potential for crude oil and oil services stocks. He highlights one technology name in a persistent downtrend, but potentially... READ MORE
Let's begin this month with a look at... The False Flag of Fed Rate Cuts Day after day, we hear how the Fed will embark on a series of rate cuts this year "because inflation has peaked" and is heading lower. The drop in inflation is... READ MORE
Last November I asked the question "Are emerging markets about to emerge?"Using the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) as our benchmark, I concluded that more strength was needed in order to push the indicators into a bullish mode. In the intervening period, things have improved, but... READ MORE
On this week's edition ofStockCharts TV'sHalftime, Pete takes a look at long-term trends. Semiconductors taking it on the chin. Inflation is still a problem. Bonds are selling off, and the Fed isn't cutting rates until, in Pete's opinion, the unemployment rate falls.... READ MORE
Last November and December, it looked as if gold had broken out from a multi-year inverse head-and-shoulders. Since then, the price has dropped below the breakout area, and the long-term KST has begun to roll over. Just like takeoff and landing are the critical points for an aircraft, breakouts are... READ MORE
On this week's edition of the GoNoGo Charts show from StockCharts TV, Alex takes a look at the market using the GoNoGo methodology as the S&P 500 digests the rally to all time highs. After using the GoNoGo Asset Map to look at the trends across... READ MORE
Let's begin this month with a look at ... Home Prices and Stocks Most people have the majority of their money in homes and/or stocks. Thus, I thought that this month, I would take a look at what should be happening in the real estate market. Let'... READ MORE
Gold is not the most exciting asset at the moment, but it is in a long-term uptrend and perhaps the strongest commodity out there. There are also signs that the January decline is ending as RSI hits a momentum support zone and a bullish continuation pattern forms. Note that GLD... READ MORE
Oil is not only an important commodity in and of itself, but is also one has a substantial influence on commodity indexes in general. Its weight in the CRB Composite is 23%; for energy in total, it is 39%. Chart 1 compares the oil price to the CRB Composite, where... READ MORE
For today, I am reprinting an interview I did for Kitco News with Neils Christensen, written by Neils. (Kitco News) - The gold market remains in a solid holding pattern as it waits for some direction from the Federal Reserve, and one market strategist is warning potential precious metals investors... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave tracks the S&P 500 as it pushes to a new high above 4900, while the McClellan Oscillator rotates to a bullish reading. He breaks down earnings plays this week, including XOM, MSFT, and more. This video originally... READ MORE
On Friday, the market woke up to great news. Mission accomplished on inflation. Yahoo Finance reported: "The Fed's preferred inflation measure — a 'core' Personal Consumption Expenditures index that excludes volatile food and energy prices — clocked in at 2.9% for the month of December, beating... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest John Kosar, CMT of Asbury Research shares his proprietary Asbury Six macro model, which suggests caution based on weak fund flows and breadth conditions. Dave focuses in on crude oil and gold charts, and also reviews key earnings plays... READ MORE
As a follow-up to a daily I wrote earlier in January called "Super Cycles Do Not Just Fade Away",yesterday'sJanuary 23rd dailywas all about one of the three indicators that can get us prepared for more inflation. On January 5th, sugar was still trading under 22... READ MORE
The biggest mover so far in one month's time is sugar futures, up over 16%. As I am a big follower of weather patterns and have predicted weather could be a huge factor on several crops this year, one major concern for sugar is that the current El... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Commodities and USD rotating deep inside the lagging quadrant, indicating weak relative strength * Bitcoin is in a strong relative uptrend vs all other asset classes, but going through a corrective phase * Stocks are the clear winner in this asset allocation battle The RRG above shows the rotation of... READ MORE