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Strength Off the Lows, But Concerns Remain
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Rotation to large-cap growth is back
* And so is the narrow foundation/breadth supporting this rally
* Weekly and daily $SPX charts need to get in line
Stronger than Expected
The recent rally out of the August 5th low is definitely stronger than I had anticipated. I was watching...
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Head and Shoulders Top for Semiconductors?
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave shows how breadth conditions have evolved so far in August, highlights the renewed strength in the financial sector with a focus on insurance stocks, and describes how the action so far in Q3 could be forming a potential head-and-shoulders...
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How ADX Stage Analysis Can Make You a BETTER Trader!
by Joe Rabil,
President, Rabil Stock Research
In this exclusive StockCharts TV video, Joe shows the four stages a stock or market can be in at any time. He explains each stage and how ADX & Volatility can help define each stage. He then shows what stage the SPY is right and why the bias is still...
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S&P 500 Teetering On 100-Day Moving Average Support
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* The stock market indexes end the week on a positive note after a scary Monday
* Volatility steps back slightly after a brief spike over 65
* Next week's consumer and producer inflation data could help set direction
A sigh of relief? The US stock market started the...
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Will USO Soar to $83? Here Are the Key Levels to Watch!
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Fundamental, technical, and seasonality factors suggest an upside move in WTI crude oil.
* Seasonality and other indicators suggest a swing trading opportunity in the United States Oil Fund (USO).
* Supply and geopolitical factors can quickly change the conditions of the market and the trade.
Oil prices are climbing...
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The Great Rotation: Not What You Think
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Small-cap stocks look like they have lost momentum.
* Market breadth in small-cap stocks appears to be weakening.
* The Utilities sector seems to be gaining momentum.
Just so we are on the same page, I looked up "Great Rotation" on Microsoft's Copilot and came away...
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QQQ: Critical Levels to Watch as Nasdaq Teeters on the Edge
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* QQQ has bounced off its 200-day moving average.
* An optimal entry point for QQQ would be the 50% to 61.8% Fibonacci retracement range.
* If QQQ drops below $350, it can mean further downside.
Just Another Manic Monday? On Monday, the Nasdaq plunged over 3%. With the S&...
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It's Been a Long Time Mr Bear, Where Have You Been?
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Some real damage for the markets
* Equal weight sector rotation paints a more realistic picture
* The BIG ROTATION into small caps has come to a halt
And then ..... all of a sudden..... things are heating up. Lots of (downside) market action in the past week.
Let's...
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Small Caps Poised to Soar: Is Now the Time To Buy IWM?
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Small caps saw an impressive surge in July, outpacing the S&P 500 in that month alone.
* IWM, a Russelll 2000 proxy, is only 8% away from its all-time highs, potentially signaling the start of a new bull market.
* As IWM pulls back (along with the rest...
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Semiconductors Are Down: Is Now the Time to Buy SMH?
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* SMH has completed 100% of a measured move from the bottom of a double-top reversal.
* SMH has broken below several key levels based on various indicators.
* There are actionable levels in the SMH chart that traders can take advantage of if they materialize.
Nvidia (NVDA) was perhaps the...
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S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF Gains Strength
by Bruce Fraser,
Industry-leading "Wyckoffian"
The S&P 500 index ($SPX) is a capitalization-weighted stock index. Many lesser capitalization blue-chip stocks that compose these 500 companies have been performance laggards. Though smaller companies in the index, these corporations are among the bluest of the blue-chip stocks. These prestigious corporations have been overshadowed by the...
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Flying Financials. Will It Be Enough?
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Strong Sector Rotation Out Of Technology
* Financials and Real Estate Lead
* Stock/Bond Ratio Triggers Sell Signal
Flying Financials
In the recent sector rotation, basically OUT of technology and INTO anything else, Financials and Real-Estate led the relative move.
On the RRG above, I have highlighted the (daily)...
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After the Tech Bloodbath: Ways to Strategize Your Portfolio
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Tech stocks took a dive on Wednesday but look like they are making up some of those losses prior to hitting the next support level.
* Expect volatility in the stock market in the coming weeks since it's earnings season and there's a Fed meeting...
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1-2-3 Reversal Pattern: What It Is and How to Use It
by Joe Rabil,
President, Rabil Stock Research
In this exclusive StockCharts TV video, Joe explains the 1-2-3 reversal pattern, its criteria, and what it will take for QQQ to complete the pattern. He also discusses how the pattern is not always as clean as we would like. Joe then shares a few Crypto markets which are starting...
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Can Small and Mid-Caps Save the Market?
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius takes a look at the markets through the lens of the "market factors" panel you can find on your StockCharts dashboard. Starting from the RRG, he then moves to the individual charts for these factors and notes a low correlation for...
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Is It Game Over for Growth Stocks?
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
In this StockCharts TV video, Mary Ellen examines which areas of the market have moved into favor amid the S&P 500 pullback. She compares value vs. growth stocks and the merits of both, and highlights the move away from technology stocks. Which areas are poised for more downside?...
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Hindenburg Omen: The Truth, Effects, and Duration
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave answers viewer questions on the best time frames for viewing charts, insights on using Vanguard ETFs for sector rotation, the duration and effect of the Hindenburg Omen indicator, how stocks are indexed in Dow Jones Groups on StockCharts, and...
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VIX SPIKES! Is a Market Correction Coming?
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave shares a market update including key levels to watch for the S&P 500 index, what a VIX above 15 means for a possible market correction, the improvement in value-oriented sectors, and why DPZ may be the world&...
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Double Top on Semiconductors (SMH)
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
(This is an excerpt from the subscriber-only DecisionPoint Alert)
We noticed a double top on the Semiconductor industry group (SMH) that looks very much like the NVIDIA (NVDA) chart. NVDA is clearly the bellwether for the group, and it appears all of the Semiconductors are feeling the pain. The downside...
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Will This Sector Rotation Be the Start of Something Bigger?
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Technology is rotating out of favor
* Market Capitalization is a two-edged sword
* Negative divergences on Technology and S&P 500 charts are executing
Strong Rotations on Daily RRG
This daily RRG shows the sector rotation over the last five days. With only one more trading day to...
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Why Homebuilder Stocks are on Fire Right Now!
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Homebuilder stocks are rallying on hopes of at least one (if not three) interest rate cuts in 2024
* The SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF broke out above a short-term downward trend
* Though much depends on the interest rate environment, the charts of individual homebuilder stocks show support...
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Find Trades Using These POWERFUL MACD Combinations
by Joe Rabil,
President, Rabil Stock Research
In this exclusive StockCharts TV video, Joe shows how to use 2-3 specific MACD patterns on the monthly and weekly charts to set the stage for potential trading ideas. Joe then goes through the shifts in the Sector action and shows where the money is flowing. He covers the stock...
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Seasonal Sector Investing in the Fall: Top Sectors to Watch Now!
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* One sector ETF is slightly outperforming the S&P 500 while the rest are underperforming the index.
* The performances of the four outperforming sector ETFs from September to December vary.
* Check the price action and fundamentals to see if both might agree with each sector's...
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Small Caps & Value Sectors are Booming (For Now)
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave recaps a strong Monday for value stocks, with the Financial and Energy sectors leading the S&P 500 and Nasdaq to new highs. He shares an update on the Hindenburg Omen, how Bitcoin has regained its 200-day moving...
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Is It Time To SELL Your Magnificent 7 Stocks?
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
In this StockCharts TV video, Mary Ellen reviews the sharp rotation that took place in the markets after inflation data came in below estimates. She also highlights new areas of possible leadership as interest rates decline. Most importantly, she shares the best way to uncover leadership names that are in...
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Citi Predicts $3,000 Gold by 2025 — What You Need to Know
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* What the Fed does in the coming months could dramatically affect the direction of gold prices
* While seasonality suggests a shift from slump to strong performance for gold, it will likely coincide with the Fed's rate decisions in the coming months
* Goldman Sachs projects gold to...
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Simple RSI Trend Strategy: Entry BEFORE a Breakout!
by Joe Rabil,
President, Rabil Stock Research
In this exclusive StockCharts TV video, Joe shows an RSI strategy that offered a few opportunities to get into AAPL before the big breakout. He then highlights what to watch for in TSLA, which may provide the same type of RSI setup sometime over the next week or so; this...
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They Say Three Steps and Stumble; This Market is Taking a Fourth
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
The legendary technician Edson Gould had a rule that, after three discount rate hikes, the stock market would be likely to stumble. That doesn't apply to emerging markets, but it did make a catchy headline. What is relevant to the iShares MSCI Emerging Market ETF (EEM) is that,...
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One Rule to Drastically Improve Your Trading
by Joe Rabil,
President, Rabil Stock Research
On this week's edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe uses a chart of AAPL to demonstrate how properly using a MACD and ADX indicator combo increases your chances of success. He analyzes 10-Year Yields, Bitcoin, Tesla, Datadog, and ServiceNow. Going through all the sectors, Joe explains...
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Technology Shares SOAR to New All-Time Highs
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, available to watch below, Dave recaps a shortened trading session marked by strength in the technology sector, potential breakouts in gold stocks, and key levels to watch as the S&P 500 index makes a new closing high on...
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Market Breadth is Narrowing - Should You Be Worried?
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius assesses the long-term trends as they are playing out on the monthly S&P 500 sector charts. He takes a look into the future using the expected seasonal trends for the month of July. Markets are still going higher, but the path...
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S&P 500 Earnings Results Are In for 2024 Q1 and Market Is Still Overvalued
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
S&P 500 earnings are in for 2024 Q1, and here is our valuation analysis.
The following chart shows the normal value range of the S&P 500 Index, indicating where the S&P 500 would have to be in order to have an overvalued P/E...
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What to Expect This Month | Focus on Stocks: July 2024
by Larry Williams,
Veteran Investor and Author
Historically, July has seen stock prices move higher almost 80% of the time, cementing this in our trader's notebook as a time to stay home and trade. Others can vacation this month!
Chart 1 is my true seasonal pattern for the Dow for the last 124 years. It...
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Mastering GoNoGo Charting: Scanning Securities on StockCharts.com
by Tyler Wood,
Co-founder, GoNoGo Charts®
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Scanning
* screening
* Idea Generation
* Market Breadth
Join Tyler Wood, CMT, in this insightful tutorial where he demonstrates how to effectively scan for GoNoGo conditions using StockCharts.com. GoNoGo Charts, a powerful method developed by Alex Cole and Tyler Wood, blend foundational tools in technical analysis into a powerful...
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Two Consumer Stocks Popping to New Swing Highs!
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave recaps Wednesday's late-stage rally for the S&P 500. He analyzes the charts of FDX, TSLA, RIVN, AMZN, and GLW, and reviews what a stronger US Dollar could mean for the SPX and Nasdaq.
See Dave&...
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Is This a Market Bubble - or Investor MANIA?
by Joe Rabil,
President, Rabil Stock Research
On this week's edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe goes through the history of stock market bubbles, sharing what they look like, how they typically end, and how it relates to NVDA, MSFT, AAPL and GOOGL. Joe also covers the stock requests that came through this...
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Dow Transports Are Set for a Short-Term Rally, But Will It Be Enough?
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
The Transportation Sector has been one of the weaker brethren of late. That's important, as this market average forms part of the Dow Theory, which many observers believe is currently signaling a bear market. However, back in January, I wrote a piece on the Dow Theorythat came to...
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Cruise Line Stocks Just Exploded! Here's What You Need to Know
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave highlights technical analysis takeaways for NVDA, ENPH, PNR, GLD, and Bitcoin. He also breaks down the sudden resurgence in stocks like CCL, the benefits of long-term trend analysis on the weekly chart of the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and how...
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Dow Stocks Outperform! Here's Why
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
In this StockCharts TV video, Mary Ellen reviews the broader markets, takes a close look at NVDA and other year-to-date winners that sold off last week, and shares top candidates in the Consumer Discretionary sector.
This video originally premiered June 21, 2024. You can watch it on our dedicated page...
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Why Technical Analysis Does NOT Work for Leveraged ETFs
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave answers viewer questions on using technical indicators on leveraged and inverse ETFs like SOXL and SOXS, buying breakouts below the 200-day moving average, upside targets for gold, and whether the $USD is in a primary uptrend.
See Dave'...
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