Most stocks surged with the broader market in the fourth quarter of 2023. SPY and QQQ extended their advances in 2024, but some stocks did not partake and fell back. Even so, some of these stocks show signs of long-term trend reversals and their declines in 2024 look corrective. This... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave recaps today's market activity from the CMT 2024 Summit in Dubai, highlighting AMD's upside breakout, breadth improvement for US stocks, and why big round numbers matter for stocks like SMCI. This video originally premiered on... READ MORE
I have been hearing comments that some of the Magnificent Seven no longer qualify for membership, so I thought a quick look at them might be helpful. For this analysis, I'll be using weekly charts. Apple (AAPL): AAPL is dealing with trying to move production out of China,... READ MORE
We've begun talking more about the Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO) as it relates to finding "pure strength" and "pure weakness". What it all comes down to is the zero line and the PMO's behavior above or below. We review the Magnificent 7... READ MORE
On this week's edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe features special guest, Bruce Fraser of Power Charting. Joe and Bruce discuss swing trading in detail, first by defining swing trading and how it is different from trend trading, and then spending time going through the SIG... READ MORE
Absorbing the information gleaned from monthly charts for various asset classes or sectors can help gain some perspective. However, I find that an examination of the relationships between them can be equally rewarding, if not moreso. That's because they point out the nature of the current investment environment,... READ MORE
Let's begin this month with a look at... The False Flag of Fed Rate Cuts Day after day, we hear how the Fed will embark on a series of rate cuts this year "because inflation has peaked" and is heading lower. The drop in inflation is... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave shares his first market update from Dubai with a recap of Bitcoin's electrifying rally, Tesla's bounce higher, and Alphabet's pullback. The S&P 500 remains above 5K with plenty of new 52-week... READ MORE
Today Carl explains the benefits of using the Price Momentum Oscillator versus the MACD. They are not the same! Carl then gives us his insights on the market in general as well as Bitcoin news, Magnificent 7 overview, as well as Crude Oil and Interest Rates. Erin gives us an... READ MORE
Chartists can improve their odds by focusing on stocks that are in long-term uptrends and showing upside leadership. This is similar to a dual-momentum approach, which was covered last week. Today's example will use the 40-week SMA to define the trend, a 52-week high to confirm upside leadership... READ MORE
In the previous technical note, it was categorically mentioned that, while the overall trend may stay intact, the markets could continue to largely consolidate. In line with the analysis, the markets kept consolidating, staying in a broad but defined trading range. That range, over the past week, was 422 points;... READ MORE
We've highlighted all the warning signs as this bull market phase has seemed to near an exhaustion point. We shared bearish market tells, including the dreaded Hindenburg Omen,and how leading growth stocks have beendemonstrating questionable patterns. But despite all of those signs of market exhaustion, our growth-led... READ MORE
In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe MEM Edge, Mary Ellen reviews what drove the markets to new highs and what areas are outperforming. She also shares how to identify a buy point in NVDA after its gap up following earnings, as well as how to determine when a... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) recovered quickly from a post-earnings slump * Its longer term price action suggests indecision and the current pattern can also break either way * This can either be a short-term trade or an investment; both scenarios will require different strategies If you ran a StockCharts Gap... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave drops an all-mailbag episode featuring viewer questions on the Hindenburg Omen, ascending triangle patterns, Fibonacci Retracements, projecting upside targets for stocks like NVDA, and the best technical indicator long-term investors should use! This video originally premiered on February 23,... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * S&P 500 hits a new all-time high and could keep on going * NVIDIA's stellar earnings report was a catalyst to the rise in the S&P 500 * Volatility declined, indicating that investors are still relatively calm Well, Nvidia did it! A stellar earnings... READ MORE
On this week's edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe dives into the world of technical analysis by sharing three unique ways to utilize the RSI indicator alongside MACD and ADX -- the Pullback Trade, Confirming a Breakout and 2nd Chance Entry. He then covers the symbol... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave breaks down the latest market breadth indicators, ranging from bullish (S&P 500 advance-decline line) to bearish (Bullish Percent Indexes breaking down) to everything in between. He also analyzes key growth names including SMCI, PANW, AMZN, and NVDA.... READ MORE
Last November I asked the question "Are emerging markets about to emerge?"Using the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) as our benchmark, I concluded that more strength was needed in order to push the indicators into a bullish mode. In the intervening period, things have improved, but... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave focuses on AAPL which closed below its 200-day moving average as it tests key price support. Guest Jesse Felder of The Felder Report reports on the Titanic Syndrome, a market breadth indicator similar to the Hindenburg Omen that suggests... READ MORE
On this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I separate the 11 sectors in the S&P 500 into Offensive, Defensive, and Sensitive, assessing their group rotational patterns to see if there is any alignment with the current technical condition of the S&P 500. After... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Looking at Risk ON / OFF through BETA * RRG shows mixed rotations * SPY Uptrend intact with limited downside risk BETA One of the Risk ON/OFF metrics I like to keep an eye on is BETA. From Investopedia: —systematic risk— I have updated my spreadsheet with last year'... READ MORE
The momentum phenomenon has been a fixture in the US equity markets for decades. There are two types of momentum to consider: absolute momentum and relative momentum. Absolute momentum refers to the underlying trend, up or down. Relative momentum quantifies the strength of the uptrend and compares it to other... READ MORE
Going into last week, the Magnificent Seven stocks were looking more like the Magnificent Four. Leadership within the group became more concentrated, with Amazon, Meta, Microsoft and Nvidia having done most of the heavy lifting. This is far different from the first 6 weeks of 2023, when gains among these... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The NYFANG+ index of leading growth stocks is up about 12% year-to-date, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 have gained only 5%. * All three of these growth stocks show similar patterns, with a recent gap higher. But they have now all stalled out. * If these... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave answers viewer questions on the Money Flow Index, using RSP vs. SPY for relative strength analysis, strategies for names in extended uptrends like NVDA, applying Fibonacci retracements to charts like KRE, and more. This video originally premiered on February... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * DraftKings has demonstrated significant revenue growth following a lengthy period of outperformance relative to the S&P 500 and its respective sector and industry * DraftKings' stock is overbought, with a declining RSI suggesting near term market correction * Set a price alert to measure an anticipated pullback... READ MORE
A Golden Cross BUY Signal is generated when the 50-day EMA of a price index crosses up through its 200-day EMA. DecisionPoint's Golden Cross Index (GCI) shows the percentage of stocks in a price index that have a Golden Cross BUY Signal, and is an expression of long-term... READ MORE
On this week's edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe shares the criteria for his favorite ADX setup. He explains what he needs to see on 2 different timeframes to put a stock into position for a powerful trend that can last a long time. Joe closes... READ MORE
In this video, Larry begins by presenting two trade recommendations, then digs into AI stocks, Bitcoin, and what you should be doing right now. Is it time to go long? Go short? Or wait for a decline? He explains the difference between FOMO and actually losing money, and how pain... READ MORE
Note to the reader: This is the eighth in a series of articles I'm publishing here taken from my book, "Investing with the Trend." Hopefully, you will find this content useful. Market myths are generally perpetuated by repetition, misleading symbolic connections, and the complete ignorance of... READ MORE
Last November and December, it looked as if gold had broken out from a multi-year inverse head-and-shoulders. Since then, the price has dropped below the breakout area, and the long-term KST has begun to roll over. Just like takeoff and landing are the critical points for an aircraft, breakouts are... READ MORE
Yesterday, the market saw a massive selloff of over 2% at market lows for the SPY and the NDX. However, the rebound at the end of the day was promising, though not enough to change sentiment. What this means is that the selloff came from the hot CPI print, so... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave shows how the S&P 500 is just barely holding trendline support as his short-term Market Trend Model threatens to turn bearish this week. Guest Sean McLaughlin of All Star Charts talks through how he's playing... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Walmart's stock was one among 37 outliers, rising early amidst a major market decline before slightly pulling back * Technical indicators warn of potential weakness, signaling an imminent dip, but there's a good entry point for WMT * Setting price alerts around specific levels and watching... READ MORE
On today's DecisionPoint Trading Room episode, Carl reviews the Magnificent 7 and gives you his opinion on their current and possible future states. He warns against two in particular and gives his stamp of approval on three others. Negative divergences are still a problem and Carl explains why.... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Jim Miekka created the Hindenburg Omen after studying the conditions present at previous market peaks. * The Hindenburg Omen triggered an initial signal this week, just as the S&P 500 finally closed above 5000 for the first time. * If we see a second signal in the next... READ MORE
Periodically, we like to review sentiment charts, and today we have two for you. One is the poll results from the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) and the other is the National Association of Active Investment Managers (NAAIM) Exposure level. In both cases, we are starting to see sentiment... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave digs into The Final Bar Mailbag and answers questions on price patterns like bull flags, what price gaps actually represent on the chart, and why analyzing earnings trends could help you anticipate subsequent moves for stocks like META. This... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Costco's stock surged to unprecedented heights, surpassing its previous all-time record * Costco's technical situation looks exceedingly bullish, but like many stocks hitting record highs, the stock may be slightly overbought * The Money Flow Index can measure momentum and show whether price buying pressure is... READ MORE