KEY TAKEAWAYS * The S&P notched new record highs in five consecutive trading sessions but snapped the winning streak on Friday * Investors still are complacent, as indicated by the CBOE Volatility index * The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield remains within a 4% to 4.2% range In the first week... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave hosts an all-mailbag episode, answering viewer questions on the Relative Strength Index (RSI), how ETFs like QTEC have outperformed benchmarks including the Nasdaq 100, and how to avoid painful losses in leading names like NVDA, PANW, and ADBE. This... READ MORE
On Friday, the market woke up to great news. Mission accomplished on inflation. Yahoo Finance reported: "The Fed's preferred inflation measure — a 'core' Personal Consumption Expenditures index that excludes volatile food and energy prices — clocked in at 2.9% for the month of December, beating... READ MORE
Note to the reader: This is the fifth in a series of articles I'm publishing here taken from my book, "Investing with the Trend." Hopefully, you will find this content useful. Market myths are generally perpetuated by repetition, misleading symbolic connections, and the complete ignorance of... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave breaks down the chart of Intel Corp (INTC) to demonstrate the benefits of three important technical indicators: Moving Averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Relative Strength. He shares why a disciplined process of interpreting these indicators can help investors... READ MORE
On this week's edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe shares his five steps to becoming a better stock picker. He emphasizes the importance of starting with price and using technical analysis to identify potential outperforming stocks. From analyzing monthly and weekly charts to looking at momentum... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest John Kosar, CMT of Asbury Research shares his proprietary Asbury Six macro model, which suggests caution based on weak fund flows and breadth conditions. Dave focuses in on crude oil and gold charts, and also reviews key earnings plays... READ MORE
Some tools in technical analysis are totally objective, such as a moving average crossover. It may be debatable whether it's a decisive signal or not, but a crossover is nevertheless a crossover. Dow Theory, on the other hand, is much more subjective and, therefore, open to interpretation. For... READ MORE
As a follow-up to a daily I wrote earlier in January called "Super Cycles Do Not Just Fade Away",yesterday'sJanuary 23rd dailywas all about one of the three indicators that can get us prepared for more inflation. On January 5th, sugar was still trading under 22... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest Ari Wald, CFA CMT of Oppenheimer lays out a bull case for the S&P 500 based on valuations and forward returns given strong breadth conditions. Dave reviews stocks reporting earnings this week, including LOGI, LMT, PG, DHI,... READ MORE
The biggest mover so far in one month's time is sugar futures, up over 16%. As I am a big follower of weather patterns and have predicted weather could be a huge factor on several crops this year, one major concern for sugar is that the current El... READ MORE
On this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I highlight the short-term weakness in BTC, the price strength in USD, and the clear strength of stocks over all other asset classes. In sectors, I analyze the continuing rotation out of defensive sectors, which is another positive for stocks... READ MORE
Over the weekend, I covered the daily charts on the Economic Modern Family, featuring the Russell 2000 (IWM) and Retail (XRT). Both are lagging the benchmark and in the middle of their January trend calendar ranges. As Semiconductors, NASDAQ, the Dow, and S&P 500 continue to post new... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave observes the S&P 500 index pressing higher after achieving new all-time highs on Friday. While large caps have dominated small caps so far in January, days like today suggest small-cap strength as a potential emerging trend. He... READ MORE
In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe MEM Edge, Mary Ellen reviews the bullish price action in the markets and shares her longer-term outlook. She also highlights the primary driver of last week's rally and which areas and stocks pushed the S&P 500 higher. In... READ MORE
I've spent much of my career helping investors become more like pilots. Why is this such an important mindset to adopt? Well, pilots have to maintain good situational awareness, understanding what is happening around them. They need to make difficult decisions and recognize when conditions are changing. And,... READ MORE
The S&P 500 gained 1.1% last week in a move that puts this Index at a record high. While this is exciting news for investors, those that owned some of last week's top performers are in even better spirits, as the average gain for the... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 close at record highs * Technology stocks are back in the spotlight, with the Nasdaq 100 closing up 1.95% * Keep an eye on momentum and volatility as earnings reports continue to pour in Tech stocks are striking back after... READ MORE
The market was severely overbought going into the new year, so some steam was left off, which, as TG Watkins notes, we can see in the breadth readings. Now with notable names in the tech space leading and taking off, its time to get back in and see if the... READ MORE
On this week's edition of StockCharts TV'sStockCharts in Focus, Grayson shows you the simplest way to find the market's strongest stocks with the highest probability of becoming big winners -- the Sample Scan Library. With this tool, you can scan for stocks making new... READ MORE
Let's get right to it. The charts and our tools are telling. To start, I always look at moving averages and phases. Then I look at Real Motion and momentum to see if there is a divergence to price. After that, I check out our Leadership indicator which... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave hosts a special all-mailbag edition, answering viewer questions on leading vs. lagging indicators, arithmetic vs. log scale charts, and how the Fed manipulates the yield curve. He digs into specific trading strategies using RSI, MACD, On Balance Volume, and... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Commodities and USD rotating deep inside the lagging quadrant, indicating weak relative strength * Bitcoin is in a strong relative uptrend vs all other asset classes, but going through a corrective phase * Stocks are the clear winner in this asset allocation battle The RRG above shows the rotation of... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Nasdaq Composite index rises 1.35% thanks to semiconductor stocks and an upgrade for Apple * The Nasdaq Composite is trading close to its 52-week high, but market breadth isn't sharing the bullish sentiment * Market breadth indicators, such as the advance-decline issues and percent above moving average,... READ MORE
As the S&P 500 digests the rally to all time highs, Alex and Tyler take a look at GoNoGo Trend® conditions of several areas of the market on this edition of the GoNoGo Charts show. Amongst US equity indices, the Nasdaq and S&P offer more constructive... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest John Kolovos, CFA CMT of Macro Risk Advisors describes how the market is reacting to "good overbought" conditions in late 2023, and why the Russell 2000 small cap ETF may be the chart to watch in Q1... READ MORE
The Fed stopped raising rates in July, and, by mid-October, yields had peaked. Since then, yields have begun to decline in anticipation of the Fed beginning rate cuts this year. At this point, it appears that yields have found support and may possibly bounce, or begin moving sideways. This chart... READ MORE
We are super excited to announce that today starts the official January 6-month calendar range! As you can see in the chart for Apple, the small red and green horizontal lines have appeared on one of our favorite platforms at StockCharts.com. In fact, Geoff Bysshe and I recently did... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * EUR/USD executes bearish flag formation * Leaves rising trend channel by breaking rising support line as a result After a rally from $1.045 to a high of $1.1140 from October to December 2023, the EUR/USD exchange rate has now executed a bearish flag formation, which... READ MORE
On this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I look at asset class rotation and examine the continued preference for stocks over bonds. After that, I move on to sector rotation and the Technology sector, breaking it down into industry groups and plotting them on a Relative Rotation... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest Adam Turnquist of LPL Financial lays out the case for a tactical selloff for stocks, as well as why long-term indicators remain constructive in early 2024. Dave breaks down the bearish momentum divergence prevalent in the technology sector, and... READ MORE
In this video, Larry digs into rate cuts and how they affect the markets. When interest rates are high, money is in circulation. He's been watching the rate of inflation; as he notes, an object in motion tends to stay on the same path. He also warns against... READ MORE
After a long weekend, the market action on January 16th held some surprises. The Bullish Trends, or gainers, were the dollar and -- here is the surprise for some -- many different commodities. The Bearish Trends, or losers, were foreign currencies, long bonds, and (not shown on the chart) US... READ MORE
Today, Larry Williams will be hosting a "Family Gathering" meeting at 2pm Eastern Standard Time (11am Pacific). Sign-in in begins 5 minutes prior. The show will be recorded and posted online for those of you who cannot attend. Use the link below to join: Link to Join Webinar:... READ MORE
Last week, eight new Bitcoin-based ETFs began trading courtesy of recent SEC approval. This launch was well anticipated, as the price had already run up in the hope that these new buyers would push it to an even higher level. The thought occurred to me that the situation is not... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Using RRG to see Large-Cap vs Small-Cap sector rotation * The current strength for Small-Cap stocks vs Large-Caps is evident At the end of last year, I wrote a blog article about the relationship between Large-Cap and Equal-Weight sectors. It involved plotting the ratios of the large-cap sector ETFs... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Stocks Showing Relative Strength in All Time Frames on RRG On this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, 2024's first episode, I dive into both Asset Class and Sector Rotation to set the stage for 2024. Today, I focus on a synchronized rotation of... READ MORE
After consolidating for most of the week, the markets extended their upmove and ended at yet another record lifetime high. In the past four out of five sessions, the markets were seen consolidating and staying under limited corrective retracement. However, they did find themselves taking support at the short-term 20-Day... READ MORE
In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe MEM Edge, Mary Ellen takes a look at some of the items that drove price action last week. Growth stocks came roaring back for week two of 2024, which is great news for those that were believers last year. They can renew... READ MORE
We kicked off the new year of 2024 with an overheated stock market, excessively bullish breadth indicators, and euphoric sentiment levels. While the first week in January felt like a "wake-up call" pullback for awestruck bulls, this last week saw the S&P 500 push right back... READ MORE