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Cap-Weighted Leadership Is Unhealthy

Cap-Weighted Leadership Is Unhealthy

Below is a reprint of an article written Thursday in the subscriber-only DecisionPoint Alert: One of the things we keep track of is the performance of the S&P 500 Index (SPY), which is cap-weighted, versus the S&P 500 Equal Weight Index (RSP). In a healthy bull...   READ MORE 

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MEM TV: Easy Way To Uncover Best Candidates for These Markets

MEM TV: Easy Way To Uncover Best Candidates for These Markets

In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe MEM Edge, Mary Ellen reveals areas of the market that are reversing lengthy downtrends and the best way to participate. She also highlights where the strength is in the markets as the uptrend remains firmly in place. This video originally premiered November...   READ MORE 

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Recap and Action Plan: Small Caps, Beans, Oil

Recap and Action Plan: Small Caps, Beans, Oil

Since we came back from vacation, I've written 3 Dailys. The first of these was on the Economic Modern Family and how it opened its loving arms to the bulls. I was particularly keen on small caps or the Russell 2000 (IWM). I wrote, "Beginning with Granddad...   READ MORE 

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Cutting-Edge Seasonality Insights & Bitcoin 2024 Halving Impact

Cutting-Edge Seasonality Insights & Bitcoin 2024 Halving Impact

In this special edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest Adrien ZduÅ„czyk, CMT, of The Birb Nest shares a groundbreaking seasonality study he created with Jeff Hirsch ofStock Trader's Almanac. Adrien and Dave explain how November and December tend to be seasonably strong for Bitcoin, why...   READ MORE 

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The Bull Has Left the Bear in the Dust: It's Time To Add Small Caps To Your Portfolio

The Bull Has Left the Bear in the Dust: It's Time To Add Small Caps To Your Portfolio

KEY TAKEAWAYS * The Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and Nasdaq Composite notched a three week winning streak. * Small-cap stocks are showing signs of rallying to the upside * Overall, the economy looks to be chugging along, investor sentiment is bullish, and we coudl see a year-end rally The...   READ MORE 

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Oil the New Gold -- Buy When There's Blood in the Streets

Oil the New Gold -- Buy When There's Blood in the Streets

A weaker labor market, manufacturing production slowing, new home prices falling and crude oil inventories rising more than expected are all to blame for the big drop in oil prices. US also eased sanctions on Venezuelan oil. That's the nature of commodities; fresh news can supersede older headlines...   READ MORE 

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The Case for Small-Caps as Major Indexes Test Overbought Conditions

The Case for Small-Caps as Major Indexes Test Overbought Conditions

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Craig Johnson, CFA CMT of Piper Sandler shares his long-term charts of the S&P 500 and 10-Year Treasury Yield and makes the case for small caps through year-end 2023. Dave shares one breadth indicator reaching a bearish extreme...   READ MORE 

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Capitalizing on Market Momentum: The Art of Pullback Swing Trading

Capitalizing on Market Momentum: The Art of Pullback Swing Trading

On this week's edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe explains how to use multiple timeframes to trade a pullback. He shows the reasons why the setup looked attractive on the daily chart, then goes down to the hourly chart to evaluate the quality of the pullback...   READ MORE 

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Larry's "Family Gathering" November 16, 2023 Recording

Larry's "Family Gathering" November 16, 2023 Recording

In this video, Larry begins with a followup on the October rally kickoff. He then covers stocks like CRWD, META, NVDA, LULU, and DKNG. Larry answers questions about seasonal and cyclical differences, his personal indicators, and what retailers rely most on for the Christmas season. He highlights some trades that...   READ MORE 

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"Family Gathering" Meeting Today at 2:00 PM Eastern

"Family Gathering" Meeting Today at 2:00 PM Eastern

Today, Larry Williams will be hosting a "Family Gathering" meeting at 2pm Eastern Standard Time (11am Pacific).  Sign-in in begins 5 minutes prior. The show will be recorded and posted online for those of you who cannot attend. Use the link below to join: Link to Join Webinar:...   READ MORE 

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Soybeans Could be the Next Parabolic Runner

Soybeans Could be the Next Parabolic Runner

Brazil planted a record soybean crop only to see unusually dry and hot weather create concerns for the harvest. Furthermore, Argentina had an extreme shortfall of soybean meal crops. Meanwhile, the USDA numbers were bearish for corn and soybeans, as U.S. crops came in larger than expected. However, China...   READ MORE 

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Three Ways to Stay on the Right Side of the Market

Three Ways to Stay on the Right Side of the Market

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest Dave Landry of DaveLandry.com reveals his three charts to define the market trend, limit losses, and stay on the right side of the market. Host David Keller, CMT targets names trading higher and testing key resistance, including TGT,...   READ MORE 

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Stock Market Welcomes Us Home in a Big Way

Stock Market Welcomes Us Home in a Big Way

The Economic Modern Family has opened its loving arms to the bulls and to us after our 2 weeks away. Beginning with Granddad Russell 2000 (IWM), Monday began with a gap up over the 50-DMA (blue). We will watch for a phase change confirmation. Furthermore, the monthly chart shows IWM...   READ MORE 

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Larry's LIVE "Family Gathering" Webinar Airs THIS WEEK - Thursday, November 16th at 2:00pm EST!

Larry's LIVE "Family Gathering" Webinar Airs THIS WEEK - Thursday, November 16th at 2:00pm EST!

Larry is going LIVE! Don't miss the upcoming "Family Gathering" webinar with Larry Williams, airing live through Zoom this Thursday, November 16 at 2:00pm EST. In this must-see event, Larry will be presenting his current opinions on a broad variety of current market topics, directly...   READ MORE 

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A Supercharged Stock Market Rally: Catch These Stocks Before They Get Away

A Supercharged Stock Market Rally: Catch These Stocks Before They Get Away

KEY TAKEAWAYS * Cooling CPI data sends equities roaring higher * The 10-year Treasury yield fell below 4.5%, a critical support level * Small-cap stocks were clearly the biggest winners today October's unchanged headline US CPI and lower-than-expected core CPI were reasons for investors to celebrate. The broader stock market...   READ MORE 

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Stocks and Bonds SOAR After October CPI

Stocks and Bonds SOAR After October CPI

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest Pete Carmasino of Chaikin Analytics puts this week's action into long-term perspective using his charts of bond prices, interest rates, unemployment, and regional banks. Dave highlights three stocks with actionable signals this week: ROST, FSLR, and MCK....   READ MORE 

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Sector Spotlight: Sector Rotation and Macro Insights for the Economic Cycle!

Sector Spotlight: Sector Rotation and Macro Insights for the Economic Cycle!

On this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I update the current rotation in sectors and the positioning of macroeconomic variables to make an assessment of the positioning of the stock market within the economic cycle. This video was originally broadcast on November 14, 2023. Click anywhere on...   READ MORE 

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Is It Time for Interest Rates to Fall?

Is It Time for Interest Rates to Fall?

I last wrote about bonds and interest rates in August, as they were in the process of challenging their October 2022 highs. My conclusion at the time was that they were likely to go through, but that upside potential would  be limited due to what seemed at the time to...   READ MORE 

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Finding Setups as Markets Wait for October CPI

Finding Setups as Markets Wait for October CPI

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave identifies bullish and bearish momentum divergences as the equity and bond markets await the October CPI reading on Tuesday morning. He answers questions covering Brent crude oil prices, uranium stocks, inverse head and shoulders patterns, and upside potential for...   READ MORE 

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DP Trading Room: Is Your Portfolio OUTDATED? The Truth About The 60/40 Mix

DP Trading Room: Is Your Portfolio OUTDATED? The Truth About The 60/40 Mix

In this week's edition of The DecisionPoint Trading Room, Carl opens the show with a discussion about the typical 60/40 Portfolio (60% US Stocks/40% US Bonds) and whether it will continue to serve you well given the decline in Bonds. Is this portfolio blend obsolete? Both...   READ MORE 

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The Zweig Breadth Thrust Triggers, but the Indicator is Missing Something

The Zweig Breadth Thrust Triggers, but the Indicator is Missing Something

Today's report features the Zweig Breadth Thrust, which was developed by the late, and great, Marty Zweig. Zweig appeared regularly on Wall Street Week, contributed to Barrons, published The Zweig Forecast and wrote Winning on Wall Street in 1986. Among other things, his timeless book shows us how...   READ MORE 

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Why is S&P 4400 So Important Right Now?

Why is S&P 4400 So Important Right Now?

KEY TAKEAWAYS * Charles Dow first popularized the concept of trends as defined by the pattern of peaks and valleys in price action. * We can create shaded areas on a chart based on traditional support and resistance levels to create a "stoplight" effect to better define the market phase....   READ MORE 

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Focused Market Leadership Ahead Of Core Inflation Data - Here's What Investors Need To Look Out For

Focused Market Leadership Ahead Of Core Inflation Data - Here's What Investors Need To Look Out For

On Friday, the Nasdaq Composite posted its best day in more than five months, with a 2% rally that pushed this Index further into an uptrend. The S&P 500 had a good day as well, with all eleven sectors advancing higher. The sharp gain in the Nasdaq was...   READ MORE 

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MEM TV: Will The Markets to Continue Trading Higher? This Needs to Happen First

MEM TV: Will The Markets to Continue Trading Higher? This Needs to Happen First

In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe MEM Edge, Mary Ellen reviews what drove the markets higher last week. She also shares what needs to take place in order for a sustained uptrend to materialize. Last up, she presents a review of the weaker areas as defensive stocks pull...   READ MORE 

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Two EASY But INSANELY POWERFUL Ways to See Stocks in the S&P 500, NASDAQ & Dow

Two EASY But INSANELY POWERFUL Ways to See Stocks in the S&P 500, NASDAQ & Dow

On this week's edition of StockCharts TV'sStockCharts in Focus, Grayson demonstrates two easy ways to take the individual stocks in key indexes like the S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, Dow Industrials and more, save those to a ChartList in your own account, and then review...   READ MORE 

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Decoding Bear Markets, Divergences, & More! A Q&A with David Keller, CMT

Decoding Bear Markets, Divergences, & More! A Q&A with David Keller, CMT

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave dives deep into the world of market dynamics and technical analysis to answer YOUR burning questions! He talks topics like point and figure charts, moving averages, Nomura Holdings (NMR), Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG), and more! This video...   READ MORE 

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Moxie Indicator Alerts: Predicting Yesterday's Market Pullback!

Moxie Indicator Alerts: Predicting Yesterday's Market Pullback!

We had been patiently waiting for the action that happened yesterday, even though it was down. In this week's edition of Moxie Indicator Minutes, TG shows you real alerts from the Moxie Indicator Trading room that called the pullback before it happened, and presents how you too can...   READ MORE 

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Stock Market Still Has Legs, Bitcoin Sees a Breakthrough Rally: Is the Market On the Mend?

Stock Market Still Has Legs, Bitcoin Sees a Breakthrough Rally: Is the Market On the Mend?

KEY TAKEAWAYS * The stock market makes major gains with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite closing above previous highs * The 10-Year Treasury yield retested its 4.5% level and reversed to the upside * Bitcoin rallied to close the week above 37,000 It was quite the week in...   READ MORE 

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Find Great Trading Ideas By Combining SCTR Rankings and RRG

Find Great Trading Ideas By Combining SCTR Rankings and RRG

KEY TAKEAWAYS * Combing Top SCTR rankings with Relative Rotation Graphs provides a powerful combination * Confirmation between weekly and daily RRG tails sends strong signals * PLTR, DKNG, COIN, ADBE, NVDA showing strong set-ups One of the several widgets/panels I have on my dashboard is SCTR Reports. To visualize the group...   READ MORE 

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The Halftime Show: Don't Believe Everything the Analysts Say, It's Dangerous!

The Halftime Show: Don't Believe Everything the Analysts Say, It's Dangerous!

After TLT hit Pete's downside target, it had a violent move higher. On this week's edition ofStockCharts TV'sHalftime, Pete illustrates that the recent rally might be weakening. A look at WTIC crude shows a pullback right on the level Pete uses as a pivot...   READ MORE 

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This Relative Strength Signal Can Provide Early Warning Signs

This Relative Strength Signal Can Provide Early Warning Signs

On this week's edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe shows how to use comparative relative strength to identify important shifts in trend, sometimes well in advance of price. He explains what the line means, plus how to use it to provide early warning signals and for...   READ MORE 

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Long-Term Bond Rally On the Way

Long-Term Bond Rally On the Way

After making a major low in 1981, bonds entered a rising trend that lasted nearly 40 years. During that period, new rules and expectations were constructed and acquired that still influence decision making today -- which is unfortunate, because the game has changed. In 2022, the long-term rising trend line...   READ MORE 

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Stock Indexes Continue Winning Streak: Growth Stocks Still In the Lead

Stock Indexes Continue Winning Streak: Growth Stocks Still In the Lead

KEY TAKEAWAYS * The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite continue their winning streak * Crude oil continues to slide as it trades below its 200-day moving average If there were one thing that was surprising about the stock market, it would be how quickly the charts changed in November. Equities...   READ MORE 

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The Best Traders ALWAYS Cherry-Pick Their Setups

The Best Traders ALWAYS Cherry-Pick Their Setups

In this week's edition of Trading Simplified, Dave shows his methodology in action with two open trades, explaining why you must "cherry-pick" all setups and see subsequent positions through their fruition, even during less-than-ideal conditions. He also shows the recent TFM 10% sell signal and discusses...   READ MORE 

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Sector Spotlight: Unleash The Power of Sector Analysis by Plotting Ratio Symbols on RRG

Sector Spotlight: Unleash The Power of Sector Analysis by Plotting Ratio Symbols on RRG

On this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I take a look at current sector rotation while comparing cap-weighted sectors with equal weight sectors, trying to find areas of the market where either one of these is dominating. I then demonstrate how to use ratio symbols on Relative...   READ MORE 

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Why are Higher Interest Rates a Big Deal?

Why are Higher Interest Rates a Big Deal?

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest Mike Singleton of Invictus Research describes the impact of higher interest rates on consumer spending and growth stock valuations. Host David Keller, CMT charts the breakout for the QQQ and reviews stocks reporting earnings, including DKNG, UBER, and more....   READ MORE 

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Market is UP After 10% Correction; Is a V Bottom in Place?

Market is UP After 10% Correction; Is a V Bottom in Place?

The market has been signalling over-sold in multiple ways over the last 3 months, but we finally got a trigger, right around the 10% correction market plus FOMC. Powell was pretty neutral, but whatever it was, the market decided it liked it. So a V bottom appears to be in...   READ MORE 

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Benchmarks that Will Tell Us this Market Has Legs

Benchmarks that Will Tell Us this Market Has Legs

A couple of weeks ago, I wrote an upbeat article on the market, pointing out the fact that many short- and intermediate-term indicators were in a potentially bullish position at a time when stocks seemed impervious to bad news. I concluded "That does not mean the market will go...   READ MORE 

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This Key Resistance Level is Crucial for the S&P 500

This Key Resistance Level is Crucial for the S&P 500

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave breaks down the charts of the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 with a focus on the downtrend channel for the QQQ and key resistance at 4400 for the S&P 500. He answers viewer questions on...   READ MORE 

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DP Trading Room: This Powerful Scan Finds Stocks Showing NEW Momentum

DP Trading Room: This Powerful Scan Finds Stocks Showing NEW Momentum

In this week's edition of The DecisionPoint Trading Room, Carl covers the major markets as well as the Dollar, Gold, yields, and Bitcoin. Erin runs her "Momentum Sleepers Scan" to find stocks that are showing new momentum under the surface. She uncovers a few stocks for...   READ MORE